（原标题：主力资金 | 尾盘主力资金巨资抢筹2股） 6个行业主力资金净流入。 9月15日，A股三大指数涨跌不一，行业板块涨少跌多，游戏、农牧饲渔、汽车整车、电源设备、汽车零部件板块涨幅居前，贵金属、珠宝首饰、 小金属、电子化学品、航天航空板块跌幅居前。 从主力资金情况来看，沪深两市全天主力资金净流出340.54亿元。有6个行业主力资金净流入，其中传媒行业净流入8.81亿元，居首；汽车、农林 牧渔净流入金额分别为5.61亿元、2.73亿元；商贸零售、家用电器、建筑材料行业净流入金额分别为1.45亿元、1.3亿元、9238.6万元。 25个主力资金净流出行业中，计算机、电子、通信行业净流出金额居前，均超50亿元；有色金属、国防军工、电力设备、机械设备行业净流出金 额均超20亿元。 9股获主力资金净流入超4亿元 2股尾盘主力资金净流入超1亿元 尾盘沪深两市主力资金净流出57.04亿元。家用电器、房地产、传媒行业尾盘获主力资金抢筹，均超过1亿元。 个股方面，歌尔股份、康盛股份尾盘获主力资金净流入均超1亿元。 歌尔股份近日发布公告，其控股子公司歌尔光学拟通过向交易对方增发约5.3亿元注册资本的方式取得其持有的上海奥来1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry in 2025 is characterized by a mix of strong demand and challenges such as structural overcapacity and declining net profits for many companies [3][4][6]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first half of 2025, China's total lithium battery production reached 480 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 20% [4]. - The export value of lithium-ion batteries from China reached $34.102 billion (approximately 245 billion RMB), marking a year-on-year growth of 25.14% [4]. - Major companies like CATL and EVE Energy have capacity utilization rates close to 90%, while second-tier companies generally operate at 60%-70% [5][10]. Group 2: Company Performance - Over half of the battery companies reported both revenue and profit growth, but significant performance disparities exist, with the "Matthew Effect" intensifying [8]. - For instance, companies like CATL and Zhongxin Innovation saw substantial revenue increases, while others like EVE Energy experienced a decline in net profit [9][11]. Group 3: Market Trends - The demand for energy storage batteries surged, with global shipments reaching 240 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 106% [11]. - The market is shifting from policy-driven demand to profit-driven demand, leading to a shortage of quality energy storage products [11][12]. Group 4: Phosphate Lithium Sector - The phosphate lithium sector is facing a situation of revenue growth without profit, with a total production of 163.2 million tons in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 66.6% [17]. - Despite increased production, many companies in this sector are struggling with low profit margins due to overcapacity and price competition [19][20]. Group 5: Lithium Carbonate Prices - Lithium carbonate prices have remained low, impacting the revenue and profits of lithium mining and salt companies [30][33]. - For example, Ganfeng Lithium reported a net loss of 531 million RMB, while Tianqi Lithium achieved a net profit of 84.41 million RMB, largely due to improved pricing mechanisms [35][36]. Group 6: Separator and Electrolyte Markets - The separator industry is experiencing a decline in profit margins, with many companies reporting losses despite increased sales volumes [41][43]. - The electrolyte market is also facing challenges, with overcapacity leading to price wars and financial difficulties for some companies [46][49]. Group 7: Equipment Sector - The demand for lithium battery equipment is recovering, with leading companies like Xianlead Intelligent and Hanke Technology reporting revenue growth [52][54]. - Solid-state battery equipment is emerging as a new growth point, with significant orders being placed by various companies [56][57].

证券代码：002074 证券简称：国轩高科 公告编号：2025-066 国轩高科股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第一次临时股东大会的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 国轩高科股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025年8月30日在《证券时 报》《中国证券报》《上海证券报》《证券日报》及巨潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn） 刊登了《关于召开2025年第一次临时股东大会的通知》（公告编号：2025-060）， 公司决定于2025年9月23日召开2025年第一次临时股东大会。本次股东大会将采 取现场投票和网络投票相结合的方式召开，为切实保护广大投资者的合法权益， 方便公司股东行使表决权，现将本次股东大会的相关事宜提示如下： 一、会议召开的基本情况 3、会议召开的合法、合规性：本次股东大会会议召开符合《中华人民共和 国公司法》《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》等有关法律、行政法规、部门规章、 规范性文件和《公司章程》的规定。 4、会议召开日期和时间： 现场会议召开时间：2025年9月23日（周二）下午15:00 网络投票时间：通过 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.26% on September 15, with 15 industries experiencing gains, led by the power equipment and media sectors, which rose by 2.22% and 1.94% respectively [1] - The sectors that saw the largest declines were comprehensive and communication, with decreases of 1.80% and 1.52% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 59.754 billion yuan, with only four industries seeing net inflows [1] - The automotive industry led the net inflow with 3.166 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.44%, followed by the media sector with a net inflow of 723 million yuan [1] Power Equipment Sector Performance - The power equipment sector increased by 2.22%, despite a net outflow of 4.950 billion yuan in main capital [2] - Out of 362 stocks in this sector, 158 rose, with 7 hitting the daily limit, while 197 fell, including 2 hitting the lower limit [2] - A total of 136 stocks in the sector experienced net capital inflows, with 14 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan [2] Top Gainers in Power Equipment - The top stocks with significant net inflows included: - Tianqi Materials: 6.95 billion yuan, up 9.99% - CATL: 5.37 billion yuan, up 9.14% - Zhongchao Holdings: 4.47 billion yuan, up 10.02% [2] Top Losers in Power Equipment - The stocks with the largest net outflows included: - Wolong Electric: -2.06965 billion yuan, up 0.13% - Guoxuan High-Tech: -1.13922 billion yuan, down 2.67% - Sunshine Power: -462.4862 million yuan, up 2.05% [3]

2025年，中国电池行业迎来了一波强势上涨行情。 资料来源：百度股市通 这轮增长涵盖了产销量、出口、企业业绩和股票市场的全面攀升。 观察2025年的整个电池市场，再也不是宁德时代、比亚迪两大龙头独大，二三线"苟延残喘"的旧格局，而是转变为多层次、多赛 道共同发展的相对健康的新状态。 亿纬锂能、中创新航、国轩高科、欣旺达……都取得了业绩、股价双丰收，连新人正力新能、瑞浦兰钧，也都吃到了红利，一个 已经盈利，一个接近盈利。 动力电池在市场需求的推动下持续放量，储能电池则凭借全球能源转型的东风异军突起，成为增长最为迅猛的细分领域。企业层 面，龙头厂商稳健领跑，二线品牌凭借灵活市场策略实现快速跟进，市场活力显著增强。 动力电池销量增长远超新能源汽车 出口量稳定持续增长 除了汽车，电池的出口速度也在快速增长。 根据联盟数据，8月，我国动力和其他电池合计出口22.6GWh，环比下降2.6%，同比增长23.9%。1—8月，我国动力和其他电池累 计出口达173.1GWh，累计同比增长48.5%，占前8月累计销量18.8%。 分产品看，8月，我国动力电池出口量为15.1GWh，环比增长1.9%，同比增长35.7%。1—8月，我 ...

Economic Overview - The latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicates stable growth in major production and demand indicators for the first eight months, with industrial added value, service production index, retail sales of consumer goods, and import-export growth rates remaining consistent with the previous months [2] - The urban surveyed unemployment rate averaged 5.2% from January to August, with a slight increase to 5.3% in August compared to the previous month [2] - The logistics industry maintained expansion in August, with improved circulation of production factors and a positive change in production prices, as indicated by a stable PPI [2] Company Insights - Dongfang Jiasheng has established a deep supply chain collaboration with a leading high-end ski brand, aiming to enhance the emotional value of skiing through integrated digital supply chain services [6] - Nova Star Cloud is exploring applications of artificial intelligence in the video image display control industry, indicating a focus on AI technology advancements [6] - China Mobile launched a dedicated large model for the logistics industry, aiming to empower industrial transformation and efficiency through AI solutions [6] - Meituan is providing comprehensive support for new restaurant businesses, including free online store decoration and AI operational tools, to facilitate their successful launch and operation [6] - Tianhua New Energy plans to acquire 75% of Suzhou Tianhua Times New Energy Industry Investment Co., enhancing its long-term development strategy in overseas lithium resource investment [6] Industry Analysis - Zhongtong Express reported a business volume of 9.847 billion pieces in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.5%, but faced a slight decline in market share due to intense price competition [7] - The company adjusted its annual business volume guidance to 38.8-40.1 billion pieces, reflecting a more conservative outlook amid a changing economic and competitive landscape [8] - The average revenue per package decreased slightly, influenced by increased incentives and a shift towards lower-priced services, while the company managed to offset some losses through higher-value customer segments [8][9] - The company’s single-package gross profit margin decreased significantly due to heightened competitive pressures, but a recovery is anticipated in the second half of the year as the market stabilizes [9] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 8.85 billion, 10.22 billion, and 11.53 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13.0X, 11.2X, and 10.0X, indicating a stable profitability outlook [10]

Core Insights - The performance of power battery suppliers has improved significantly due to the rising sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in China, with NEV production and sales reaching 6.968 million and 6.937 million units respectively in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 41.4% and 0.3% [3] - The power battery market has also seen substantial growth, with a total shipment of 477 GWh in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 49% [3] - Among seven major suppliers with over 40% revenue from power batteries, only two companies reported revenue decline, while others experienced revenue and net profit growth [3][4] Company Performance - CATL reported total revenue of 178.886 billion yuan, with power battery revenue accounting for 73.55% and a net profit of 30.485 billion yuan, up 33.33% [4] - EVE Energy achieved total revenue of 28.170 billion yuan, with power battery revenue at 45.25%, and a net profit increase of 24.90% [4] - Guoxuan High-Tech's total revenue was 19.394 billion yuan, with power battery revenue at 72.36%, and a net profit increase of 35.20% [4] - Zhongxin Innovation's total revenue reached 16.419 billion yuan, with power battery revenue at 64.94%, and a remarkable net profit growth of 87.14% [4] - Ruipu Lanjun reported total revenue of 9.491 billion yuan, with power battery revenue at 42.43%, although it still recorded a net loss [4] - Funeng Technology's total revenue was 4.353 billion yuan, with a significant drop in revenue and a net loss [4] - Zhengli New Energy turned a profit with total revenue of 3.172 billion yuan, marking a 94.10% increase in power battery revenue [4] Accounts Receivable Trends - The average accounts receivable turnover days for 12 major power battery suppliers increased to 94.75 days in the first half of 2025, compared to 89.4 days at the end of 2024 [5] - Among the suppliers, seven companies shortened their accounts receivable turnover days, while five experienced an increase [5][6] - BYD had the shortest accounts receivable turnover days at 25 days, while Guoxuan High-Tech had the longest at 163 days [5][6] Payment Terms and Cash Flow - In June 2025, 17 car manufacturers collectively committed to reducing supplier payment terms to no more than 60 days to alleviate cash flow pressures for component manufacturers, including battery suppliers [5] - The accounts receivable turnover days for major battery suppliers reflect the overall payment terms from their automotive clients, which may not directly correspond to the payment terms set by car manufacturers [9][10] - The average accounts payable turnover days for 18 major car manufacturers increased to 187.97 days, indicating a trend of extended payment terms [12][14] Financial Health of Suppliers - Guoxuan High-Tech's accounts receivable accounted for 94.64% of its revenue, indicating potential credit risk [19] - EVE Energy, Ruipu Lanjun, and Xinnengda also reported high accounts receivable ratios, exceeding 60% of their revenues [19][20] - In contrast, leading companies like CATL and BYD had much lower accounts receivable ratios at 35.84% and 11.68% respectively, reflecting stronger cash flow management [19][20]

该行相信电池股近期股价上升已反映明年平均售价上升2%至5%的预期。该行偏好宁德时代及国轩高 科，认为两者受惠周期性复苏及估值吸引。该行对宁德时代A股目标价为369元，评级"买入"，H股目标 价为470港元，评级"中性"；对国轩高科目标价为54.8元，评级"买入"。 高盛发表报告指，万得中国锂电池指数过去60个交易日升约四成，显著跑赢沪深300指数的18%升幅。 该行指，纵使短期电池市场紧张，对电池价格可持续上升保持审慎观点。该行的敏感度分析显示每加价 10%可带来明年盈利三成至六成上望空间，国轩高科、中创新航及亿纬锂能对价格敏感度相对较高。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid development of the lithium battery industry chain in Morocco, driven by Chinese companies, which is creating a new growth engine for the global renewable energy sector [1]. Industry Chain Core Projects - Guoxuan High-Tech is investing approximately $6.8 billion to build Africa's first electric vehicle battery super factory in Morocco, with a planned capacity of 100 GWh, starting with 20 GWh expected to be operational by 2026 [3]. - BTR New Materials Group is investing about $849 million in Tangier to establish a factory with an annual production capacity of 50,000 tons of positive materials and 36,000 tons of negative materials, capable of supplying around 500,000 electric vehicles [4]. - Sichuan Yahua is collaborating with LG Energy Solution to invest over $500 million in a lithium hydroxide refining plant, which is expected to create over 430 direct jobs and ensure high-value utilization of local lithium resources [5]. - Zhongwei Co., Ltd. is investing $2 billion in a joint venture with Al Mada to build an NMC, LFP, and battery recycling project in Jorf Lasfar, with an annual capacity to support over 1 million electric vehicles [6]. Strategic Advantages of Morocco - Morocco holds about 70% of the world's phosphate reserves, a key source for LFP battery materials, and benefits from a low-cost production environment, with battery production costs 36% lower than in other countries [8]. - The Moroccan government aims to increase annual automotive production capacity to 1.4 million vehicles by 2030, aligning with the investment plans of Chinese companies [8]. Global Market Layout Strategic Significance - Investments by Chinese companies in Morocco are part of a broader global market strategy, allowing them to bypass trade barriers and access the U.S. market through free trade agreements [10]. - The establishment of a complete battery industry chain in Morocco enables Chinese companies to serve global markets, creating a "Made in Morocco, Sold Globally" model [10]. Industry Chain Coordination Effects - The investments have created a "chain effect," integrating various components of the battery supply chain, which reduces production costs and enhances supply chain stability [12]. - The Moroccan government supports this industry chain development by providing financial backing and facilitating administrative processes, ensuring smooth project execution [12].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **battery materials sector** and provides insights into the **battery market dynamics** as of September 2025, particularly in China [4][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Battery Price Expectations**: There is caution regarding sustained price increases in the battery market despite short-term tightness. Seasonal strengths may lead to temporary price rebounds, but a sustainable price hike is deemed unlikely due to expected seasonal weakness in Q1 2026 and a balanced supply-demand dynamic [4][6]. - **Earnings Sensitivity**: A sensitivity analysis indicates that a 10% price increase in batteries could result in a 30%-60% earnings upside for 2026 estimates. Companies like Gotion, CALB, and EVE Energy are noted to be more sensitive to battery price hikes [6]. - **Recent Earnings Reviews**: - **CATL**: 2Q25 earnings exceeded expectations, but the battery unit gross profit profile was mixed. The recommendation is to maintain a Buy on A-Shares and downgrade H-Shares to Neutral due to valuation concerns [6]. - **Gotion**: 2Q25 results missed expectations due to one-off items, but the recommendation remains a Buy with a raised target price reflecting strong volume trends and operational efficiency [6]. - **EVE Energy**: 2Q25 earnings missed due to one-off expenses, but unit gross profit beat expectations due to product mix upgrades. The recommendation is Neutral on valuation [6]. - **CALB**: 1H25 earnings beat expectations due to volume strength, maintaining a Neutral rating with a higher target price [6]. - **Farasis**: 2Q25 results were below expectations due to volume misses and new plant ramp-up issues, maintaining a Sell rating [6]. - **Hunan Yuneng**: Strong 2Q25 results affirming sector inflection, maintaining a Buy rating due to improving bargaining power [6]. - **Dynanonic**: Missed both volume and profitability targets, downgraded to Sell from Neutral due to marginalization risks [6]. Additional Important Insights - **Supply Chain Utilization Trends**: The report includes month-over-month changes in supply chain utilization for various battery components, indicating a general upward trend in utilization rates across cathodes, anodes, separators, and electrolytes [8][9]. - **Export Trends**: The report highlights significant growth in battery exports, particularly in Li-ion batteries, with a notable increase in export volumes and unit prices for various battery components [57][58]. - **Market Dynamics**: The report emphasizes the competitive landscape among major players in the battery materials sector, including CATL, BYD, and CALB, and their respective market shares and growth trajectories [39][40]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and data points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the battery materials industry.