证券代码：002074 证券简称：国轩高科 公告编号：2026-001 国轩高科股份有限公司 关于第五期员工持股计划非交易过户完成的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 国轩高科股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 8 月 28 日召开第九届 董事会第十三次会议和第九届监事会第十三次会议，并于 2025 年 9 月 23 日召开 2025 年第一次临时股东大会，审议通过了《关于<公司第五期员工持股计划（草 案）>及其摘要的议案》，公司现已办理完成公司第五期员工持股计划（以下简 称"本员工持股计划"）非交易过户事项，本次非交易过户股份数量合计 943.9993 万股。根据中国证券监督管理委员会《关于上市公司实施员工持股计划试点的指 导意见》及《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号——主板上市公司规 范运作》等相关规定，现将本员工持股计划实施进展情况公告如下： 一、本员工持股计划的股票来源及规模 本员工持股计划股票来源为公司回购专用证券账户已回购的公司 A 股普通 股股票。 二、本员工持股计划认购及非交易过户情况 1、账户开立情 ...

国轩高科公告称，公司已完成第五期员工持股计划非交易过户事项，过户股份943.9993万股，占2025年 12月31日股本总额的0.52%，股份来自公司回购股份。该计划股票受让价格为21.07元/股，实际认购资 金19,890.07万元。存续期不超60个月，分两类对象设置差异化解锁安排。控股股东、实控人未参与，持 有人份额分散。公司将按规定进行会计处理并披露进展。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guoxuan High-Tech's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a total market capitalization of 73.094 billion yuan, indicating potential volatility in investor sentiment [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Since the beginning of the year, Guoxuan High-Tech's stock price has increased by 3.04%, with a 2.03% rise over the last five trading days and a 3.10% increase over the last 20 days, while experiencing a 1.66% decline over the last 60 days [2]. - The stock's trading volume reached 1.353 billion yuan with a turnover rate of 1.90% as of January 8 [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Guoxuan High-Tech reported a revenue of 29.508 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.533 billion yuan, which is a significant increase of 514.35% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.095 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 356 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, Guoxuan High-Tech had 266,600 shareholders, a decrease of 2.59% from the previous period, with an average of 6,509 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 2.65% [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 56.4023 million shares, an increase of 3.289 million shares from the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - The production of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) is projected to reach 3.915 million tons by 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 61.5% [1] Monthly Production Trends - In 2025, LFP production is expected to show a steady increase throughout the year, with monthly outputs of 200,000 to 300,000 tons from January to May, 300,000 to 400,000 tons from June to October, and exceeding 400,000 tons in November and December [3] Capacity Analysis - By the end of 2025, nominal LFP production capacity is expected to reach 6.53 million tons, an increase of 950,000 tons from 5.58 million tons at the end of 2024. However, significant idle capacity exists due to high costs, outdated equipment, lack of technology, and insufficient funding [5] - The nominal production capacity of companies capable of mass production will total 5.7235 million tons, up 742,500 tons from 4.981 million tons in 2024 [5] Company Market Share - Hunan Youneng leads the market with approximately 30% share, while other companies hold less than 10%. The second tier includes Wanrun New Energy, Defang Nano, Fulian Shenghua, Youshan Technology, Longpan Lithium Source, and Guoxuan High-Tech, each with market shares between 5% and 10% [8] - The third tier consists of Taifeng Xianxing, Anda Technology, GCL-Poly Energy, Dingsheng Technology, Jintang Times, Rongtong High-Tech, Wanhu Chemical, and Sichuan Langsheng, each with market shares exceeding 2% [8] Production Growth Rates - Among the top 20 companies, Zhongchu Innovation's 100,000-ton production line is expected to fully release in 2025, with a staggering growth rate of 1578%. Other companies like Bangpu Recycling and Wanhu Chemical also show growth rates exceeding 200%, while Anda Technology, GCL-Poly Energy, and Fulian Shenghua exceed 100% [9] Process Technology - The phosphate iron process accounts for 82.1% of production, followed by ferrous oxalate, ferric nitrate, iron red, and hydrothermal methods. The latter three processes have the potential to transition from niche to mainstream as they have already achieved mass production of high-pressure solid products [11]

Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that 2026 is expected to mark the beginning of a new healthy and orderly development cycle for China's lithium battery new energy industry [3][19]. Investment Overview - In 2025, over 282 public investment projects related to the lithium battery industry chain in China are anticipated, with a total investment exceeding 820 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of over 74% [4]. - The investment projects are primarily concentrated in East and Central China, with regions like Fujian, Shandong, and Jiangsu leading in lithium battery and material manufacturing due to their rich chemical resources and strategic enterprise layouts [6]. Regional Distribution - The Southwest region, particularly Sichuan, is expected to dominate the investment in lithium battery positive materials, accounting for 59% of the projects, with a significant production capacity of over 350 GWh [11]. - Negative materials investment is more evenly distributed, with North and Northwest China favored due to lower electricity costs [11]. - The electrolyte projects are mainly concentrated in East China, benefiting from a robust industrial chain and proximity to downstream markets [11]. Overseas Expansion - Chinese lithium battery companies are increasingly focusing on overseas markets, with significant investments in Thailand, Spain, and Portugal, driven by favorable geopolitical conditions and local demand [7]. - Notable projects include the establishment of a zero-carbon AI super factory in Portugal and a joint venture factory in Spain by CATL and Stellantis [7]. Solid-State and Sodium Battery Development - In 2025, solid-state battery projects are expected to be concentrated in East China, with planned capacities of 74 GWh and total investments of 28 billion yuan [15]. - The sodium battery sector is projected to see significant growth, with planned capacities of 81 GWh and total investments of 32.2 billion yuan, primarily in the Southwest region [15]. Market Outlook - The lithium new energy industry is emerging from a challenging period characterized by supply-demand imbalances and declining prices, with positive signals indicating a recovery starting in 2025 [18]. - The demand for solid-state batteries and sodium batteries is expected to accelerate, with the latter projected to achieve a 100% increase in shipments by 2026 [19].

Group 1 - The solid-state battery sector continues to rise, with companies like HaiXi Communications and DaoShi Technology seeing gains of over 10% [1] - Donut Lab announced the launch of the world's first mass-producible all-solid-state battery at the CES in Las Vegas, boasting an energy density of 400Wh/kg, enabling longer range and lighter structure [1][2] - The all-solid-state battery can be fully charged in just 5 minutes and supports safe, reliable full discharge without significant capacity degradation over its lifespan, which can reach up to 100,000 cycles [1] Group 2 - The battery is designed without flammable liquid electrolytes, eliminating the risk of thermal runaway and dendrite formation, and has been rigorously tested under extreme conditions [2] - Donut Lab claims that the materials used for the solid-state battery are abundant, low-cost, and geopolitically secure, avoiding reliance on rare or sensitive elements [2] - Verge Motorcycles will be the first to use Donut Lab's solid-state battery, allowing for a 10-minute charge that provides up to 60 kilometers of range per minute of charging, with a long-range version capable of 600 kilometers on a single charge [3] Group 3 - Traditional lithium-ion batteries are nearing their theoretical energy density limit of 300Wh/kg, making it difficult to meet the demands for higher energy density and safety in electric vehicles and other applications [3] - Solid-state batteries are recognized as a disruptive technology that can achieve higher energy density and safety, prompting global companies and research teams to innovate to avoid falling behind [3] - The year 2026 is identified as a critical period for equipment localization in the solid-state battery industry [3]

Global Energy Storage Battery Shipment Analysis and Forecast - The report from Qidian Research Institute SPIR indicates that global energy storage battery shipments are projected to reach 358 GWh in 2024 and 637 GWh in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 77.93%. By 2030, shipments are expected to reach 2380 GWh. The main drivers for this growth include the transition in the global energy structure towards renewable energy sources like solar and wind, which increases the demand for energy storage batteries [2][3] - The demand for energy storage on the grid side is also expected to grow rapidly due to the increasing need for stability and flexibility in power systems, especially with the large-scale integration of renewable energy sources. Grid-side storage can effectively balance power supply and demand fluctuations, enhancing system stability [2] Market Concentration and Competitive Landscape - By 2025, the concentration ratio (CR6) of the energy storage cell industry is expected to reach around 50%, indicating a highly concentrated competitive landscape characterized by "one strong player and many strong challengers" along with emerging dark horses. CATL remains the leader, while companies like Chuangneng New Energy have rapidly entered the top five within four years [6] - Lithium iron phosphate (LFP) has become the dominant choice for energy storage cells, holding over 90% of the global market share. The ability to innovate in storage technology and control costs has become a significant competitive barrier for leading companies. The industry is anticipated to undergo a deep reshuffling period in the next two years, where technological innovation and scale advantages will be crucial for companies aiming to emerge as dark horses [8] Top 20 Energy Storage Battery Suppliers in China for 2025 - According to Qidian Research Institute SPIR, the top 20 energy storage cell suppliers in China for 2025 include CATL, EVE Energy, Chuangneng New Energy, Zhongchuang Innovation, Ruipu Lanjun, BYD, Guoxuan High-Tech, Penghui Energy, Rongjie Energy, Ganfeng Lithium, Zhongtian Energy, Xinwanda, Desay Battery, Haishida, Lishen Battery, Trina Storage, Kunyu Power, Nandu Power, Dufeng New Energy, and Xinneng An [9]

Core Insights - The solid-state battery sector continues to rise, with companies like HaiXi Communications and DaoShi Technology seeing gains of over 10% [1] - Donut Lab announced the launch of the world's first mass-producible all-solid-state battery at CES 2023, boasting an energy density of 400Wh/kg and a design life of up to 100,000 cycles [1][2] - The all-solid-state battery is claimed to be safer than traditional lithium-ion batteries, with no flammable liquid electrolytes and minimal capacity degradation under extreme conditions [1][2] Industry Developments - Donut Lab's solid-state battery is made from abundant, low-cost materials, avoiding reliance on rare or sensitive elements, and is expected to be cheaper than lithium-ion batteries [2] - Verge Motorcycles will be the first to use Donut Lab's solid-state battery, allowing for a 10-minute charge time and a range of up to 600 kilometers on a single charge [2] - The solid-state battery technology is recognized as disruptive, prompting global companies and research teams to innovate to avoid falling behind [3] Company Progress - Companies like CATL and BYD are advancing in solid-state battery technology, with CATL expected to achieve small-scale production by 2027 and BYD planning to start mass demonstration applications around the same time [5] - Various automotive manufacturers, including SAIC and Changan, are also working on solid-state battery integration, with targets for production and vehicle testing set for 2026 and 2027 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market continues to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.5%, reaching a nearly 10-year high, marking a 13-day consecutive gain [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) rose over 1%, with a trading volume of nearly 400 million yuan, achieving two consecutive days of gains [1]. - The top ten component stocks of the Battery 50 ETF show mixed performance, with significant gains from companies like XianDai Intelligent (+2.84%) and GreenMei (+2.49%), while others like Ningde Times (-0.93%) experienced declines [5]. Group 2: Lithium Carbonate Market Dynamics - Lithium carbonate futures surged by 7% yesterday and hit the daily limit today, driven by a shift in supply-demand dynamics towards a tighter balance [4]. - According to Huatai Securities, the oversupply of lithium carbonate is expected to improve significantly by the first half of 2025, with a projected cumulative oversupply of 50,200 tons in 2024, narrowing to 7,955 tons by Q2 2025, and turning into a shortage in Q3 and Q4 with gaps of 15,200 tons and 20,000 tons respectively [7]. Group 3: Demand Growth in Energy Storage - The demand for energy storage is expected to grow significantly, driven by high growth in power batteries and energy storage applications, particularly in AI data centers and renewable energy storage [8]. - Dongwu Securities forecasts a two-year sustained growth cycle for energy storage, with domestic bidding for energy storage expected to reach 190 GWh in 2025, a 138% increase, and cumulative installations projected to exceed 163 GWh, a 47% year-on-year increase [9]. Group 4: Global Energy Storage Trends - In the U.S., the demand for energy storage is expected to rise due to the rapid growth of AI data centers, with projected installations of approximately 53 GWh in 2025 and 80 GWh in 2026, reflecting a 51% year-on-year increase [10]. - European markets are also experiencing growth, with expected installations of 20 GWh in 2025 and 42 GWh in 2026, driven by supportive capacity pricing policies [10]. Group 5: Battery Industry Outlook - The lithium battery materials sector is witnessing positive changes, with energy storage demand exceeding expectations, leading to a recovery in industry sentiment [11]. - The electrolyte supply chain is expected to see an upward trend, supported by energy storage demand and rising lithium carbonate costs, with a projected tight balance in 2026 [11]. Group 6: Investment Strategy in Battery Sector - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) is highlighted for its significant exposure to energy storage (27%) and solid-state battery technology (42%), making it a favorable investment choice amid the expected demand surge [13][15]. - The ETF's management fee is notably low at 0.15% per year, enhancing its attractiveness for investors looking to capitalize on the battery sector's growth [15].

Core Viewpoint - The battery supply-demand inflection point has not yet arrived, but discussions about when it will occur continue. Optimists believe that the lithium battery sector will see marginal changes in supply-demand dynamics by 2026, driven by strong energy storage demand and overseas expansion. Conversely, pessimists argue that the sector still faces overcapacity and a slowdown in demand due to preemptive electric vehicle sales [2][21]. Company Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Guoxuan High-Tech reported nearly 30 billion yuan in revenue, but its net profit attributable to shareholders was only over 80 million yuan, indicating weak profitability [4][10]. - The company experienced a significant stock price increase, with shares rising from 20 yuan to nearly 50 yuan within a few months starting in May 2025 [2]. - Financial data for the first three quarters of 2025 shows revenue of 29.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.21%, and a net profit of 2.53 billion yuan, up 514.35% [5][6]. Financial Highlights - In Q3 2025, Guoxuan High-Tech achieved revenue of 10.11 billion yuan, a 20.68% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.17 billion yuan, a staggering increase of 1434.42% [6][7]. - The company's gross profit margin was 17.58%, which is lower than the leading competitor CATL's margin of 25.31% [11]. - The significant difference between net profit and net profit excluding non-recurring gains is primarily due to a large investment gain from Chery's IPO, which contributed 2.44 billion yuan to the quarterly results [9][10]. Expansion and Risks - Guoxuan High-Tech's aggressive expansion plans include a 40 GWh lithium battery project in Morocco and Slovakia, with a total investment of approximately 191 billion yuan [12]. - The company faced financial pressure, with short-term borrowings increasing from 177.4 billion yuan to 187.14 billion yuan, while cash reserves decreased from 118.36 billion yuan to 110.33 billion yuan [12]. - The company’s project in Michigan, USA, was declared in default, leading to the recovery of over 20 million dollars in government subsidies and casting a shadow over its U.S. market expansion [4][13][16]. Market Competition - The solid-state battery and European market expansion are seen as key opportunities for Guoxuan High-Tech, but competition remains fierce [5][19]. - The European market is dominated by CATL and LG Energy, which together hold over 70% of the market share [20]. - The battery industry is projected to face overcapacity, with supply reaching 2610 GWh and demand at 1387 GWh in 2025, indicating a continued oversupply situation [17][18].