Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - In April 2025, the national average selling price of live pigs was 14.80 yuan/kg, with a month-on-month increase of 1.33% and a year-on-year decrease of 1.95% [6][18] - The supply gap in May is expected to lead to a further increase in the price center of live pigs, driven by limited increases in supply and improving demand [6][18] - The average weight of pigs sold is expected to gradually decline, but the narrowing price difference between different grades of pigs will have limited pressure on prices [7][22] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - April saw a non-seasonal increase in pig prices, with expectations for further price increases in May due to supply constraints and improving demand [6][18] - The average price of live pigs in April was 14.80 yuan/kg, with a month-on-month increase of 1.33% [6][18] - The slaughter volume in April was 4.213 million heads, a month-on-month decrease of 4.54% but a year-on-year increase of 6.76% [6][18] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of pigs is expected to be limited in May due to previous culling and disease impacts, while demand for pork is showing marginal improvement [6][18] - The planned output for May is expected to increase by 1.98% compared to actual output in April [6][18] Profitability and Market Performance - The average profit for self-bred pigs in April was 69.44 yuan/head, a month-on-month increase of 63.63% [8][26] - The number of breeding sows in April increased by 0.96% month-on-month [8][26] - The price of 15kg piglets reached 630 yuan/head, indicating a high price level during the replenishment season [8][26] Company Performance - In April, 12 listed pig farming companies collectively sold 16.2368 million pigs, a year-on-year increase of 37.22% [9][28] - Major companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs reported significant year-on-year increases in sales volume [9][28] - The average selling prices varied among companies, with some experiencing increases while others saw declines [9][35]

Group 1: Business Performance - In 2024, the company's feed business sales volume increased by 0.87%, while the pig farming business saw a 7.55% increase in annual output, reaching 3.0285 million pigs [2][3] - The average selling price of pigs increased by 10.5% compared to the previous year, leading to a higher revenue share from pig farming [2][3] - The company plans to sell 2.9 million tons of feed and aims for a pig output of 3.5 to 4 million heads in 2025 [2][3] Group 2: Research and Development - The company has obtained 28 national new veterinary drug certificates, focusing on improving pig breeding quality and feed formulation [3][5] - Significant R&D achievements include the development of a gene-engineered inactivated vaccine for swine fever, which is a first in the country [5][6] - The company is committed to enhancing its competitive edge through continuous R&D investments in core business areas [3][5] Group 3: Future Growth Strategies - The company plans to expand its feed, pig farming, and agricultural product businesses, leveraging its strategic location to explore markets in Central Asia [3][4] - Future growth will also involve potential mergers and acquisitions based on market conditions [4][6] - The company aims to diversify its business by exploring related fields such as pet feed and vaccines [7][9] Group 4: Financial Goals and Market Position - The company's operational targets for 2025 include a total revenue of 21 billion yuan, with specific goals for feed production, animal vaccines, and corn storage [7][9] - The company has opened over 70 direct sales stores and counters in the northwest and north China regions [11][12] - The company is focused on improving its market value through enhanced governance and investor communication [12][13]

Group 1 - The animal vaccine sector saw an increase of 1.28%, ranking 8th among concept sectors, with 13 stocks rising, including Reap Bio, Blue Biological, and Yongshun Biological, which rose by 6.01%, 4.42%, and 4.36% respectively [1][2] - The leading stocks in terms of net inflow of main funds were Reap Bio with a net inflow of 9.98 million yuan, followed by Tiankang Biological, Kexing Pharmaceutical, and Biological Shares with net inflows of 9.45 million yuan, 5.12 million yuan, and 1.64 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The main fund inflow ratios were led by Shunlian Biological, Kexing Pharmaceutical, and Tiankang Biological, with net inflow ratios of 7.59%, 5.97%, and 5.13% respectively [3] Group 2 - The stocks with the largest declines included *ST Xianfeng, Haili Biological, and Ronioushan, which fell by 4.97%, 0.72%, and 0.66% respectively [1][4] - The overall trend in the animal vaccine sector indicates a mixed performance, with some stocks experiencing significant gains while others faced declines [1][4] - The trading volume and turnover rates varied significantly among the stocks, with some showing high turnover rates despite negative price movements [4]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage of the agriculture sector with an "Overweight" rating, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry due to stable demand and strong policy support [3][5]. Core Views - The agriculture sector is seen as a defensive investment option amidst a complex external environment, with many meat protein and agricultural product prices currently in a recovery phase, suggesting potential for stable growth in leading companies [3]. - The report highlights that low costs are a core competitive advantage for listed pig farming companies, recommending a focus on firms with strong cost control or clear cost reduction paths [3]. - The report suggests monitoring specific companies across various segments, including pig farming, poultry, feed, and agricultural products, indicating a diversified investment approach [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The agriculture sector underperformed the market by 1.02 percentage points during the week of May 6-9, 2025, with the index closing at 2,619.30, reflecting a 0.99% increase [14]. - Among sub-sectors, the fishery sector performed best with a 3.87% increase, while the breeding sector saw a slight decline of 0.19% [16][18]. Key Industry Data Pig Farming - As of May 9, 2025, the average price of live pigs was 14.82 CNY/kg, down 0.13% from April 30, 2025, and down 0.74% year-on-year [1]. - The profit from self-breeding was 84.33 CNY per head, while the profit from purchasing piglets increased by 9.92 CNY to 58.46 CNY per head [1]. Poultry - As of May 9, 2025, the average price of broiler chicks was 2.91 CNY per chick, up 0.34% week-on-week, while the price of white feather broilers was 7.45 CNY/kg, down 0.40% [2]. Agricultural Products - As of May 9, 2025, the average prices for key crops were as follows: wheat at 2,460.67 CNY/ton (up 0.19%), japonica rice at 2,864.00 CNY/ton (up 0.21%), corn at 2,292.86 CNY/ton (up 1.78%), and soybean meal at 3,300.00 CNY/ton (down 5.08%) [2]. Company Announcements - Muyuan Foods reported selling 6.573 million pigs in April 2025, a year-on-year increase of 51.80%, with an average selling price of 14.66 CNY/kg [35][36]. - Shennong Development achieved a sales revenue of 1.533 billion CNY in April 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.68% [37].

Core Viewpoint - The livestock farming index in China has shown a slight decline, with specific stocks experiencing mixed performance, while external factors such as foot-and-mouth disease in South Africa are impacting the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of May 13, 2025, the China Livestock Farming Index (930707) decreased by 0.38%, with stocks like Luyouli (300381) and Jinxinnong (002548) showing gains of 1.07% and 1.05% respectively, while Ruipubio (300119) led the decline with a drop of 2.66% [1]. - The Livestock ETF (516760) fell by 0.80%, with a latest price of 0.62 yuan, but it ranked first in weekly performance among comparable funds as of May 12, 2025 [1]. - The Livestock ETF had a turnover rate of 1.07% during the trading session, with a total transaction value of 1.4475 million yuan, and an average daily transaction of 4.6547 million yuan over the past year [3]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The South African Department of Agriculture confirmed the spread of foot-and-mouth disease to provinces like KwaZulu-Natal, prompting China's Ministry of Agriculture to urge livestock farmers to restrict animal transport and implement a 28-day quarantine for new animals [1]. - Everbright Securities identified three main investment themes: (1) Planting: Rising prices of staple crops like corn and wheat are expected to benefit major planting companies; (2) Seeds: Improved demand in the seed industry due to favorable planting conditions; (3) Agricultural Chemicals: Improved planting profits are likely to reduce agricultural input cost pressures, expanding the agricultural chemicals market [1]. Group 3: Valuation Metrics - The Livestock ETF closely tracks the China Livestock Farming Index, which includes companies involved in animal feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming, reflecting the overall performance of related listed companies [3]. - As of May 12, 2025, the Livestock Farming Index's price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) was 12.26, indicating it is at a historical low, being below 99.43% of the time over the past year [3]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the Livestock Farming Index accounted for 69.38% of the index, with Hai Da Group (002311) having the highest weight at 11.24% [3][5].

天康生物一季度业绩大爆发的核心因素还是生猪养殖业务的回暖。根据公司2024年年报，其生猪养殖产 业链行业的毛利率从2023年的-13.82%大幅提升至2024年的14.61%；而今年一季度公司在这方面的盈利 能力或将进一步上升。根据公司披露的相关数据，一季度公司生猪养殖完全成本为13.01元/kg，其中1 月、3月的成本都降到了13元/kg以下。 5月9日晚间，天康生物（002100）发布4月份生猪销售简报，4月份销售生猪24.47万头，销量环比下降 3.93%，同比增长1.58%；销售收入3.80亿元，销售收入环比增长1.06%，同比持平。2025年4月份商品猪 (扣除仔猪、种猪后)销售均价14.32元/公斤，环比增长4.75%。2025年1—4月，公司累计销售生猪105.54 万头，较去年同期增长18.84%；累计销售收入15.57亿元，较去年同期增长11.61%。 公司发布的一季报已经显示出强烈的成长信号。数据显示，天康生物一季度净利达1.48亿元，同比增长 超174%；经营活动现金流净额高达1.24亿元，去年同期为-3.34亿元。值得注意的是，从回报率来看， 天康生物最新股息率达到3.46%，仅次于牧 ...

Core Insights - TianKang Biological (002100.SZ) reported a mixed performance in 2024, with revenue declining by 9.72% to 17.176 billion yuan, while net profit surged by 144.38% to 605 million yuan, reflecting a strategic shift in business focus amidst industry challenges [2][3] Revenue Breakdown - The feed business, a traditional pillar for TianKang, saw sales revenue drop by 17.67% to 5.345 billion yuan, accounting for 31.12% of total revenue, primarily due to weakened demand from the livestock sector and increased raw material price volatility [2] - In contrast, the pig farming and food processing segment became the largest revenue contributor with sales of 6.157 billion yuan, achieving an 11.11% year-on-year growth, driven by improved production efficiency and rising pig prices [3] Operational Efficiency - TianKang's pig farming segment achieved a record high gross margin in nearly four years, with a total of 3.0285 million pigs sold and a reduction in production costs from 15.99 yuan/kg at the beginning of the year to 13.12 yuan/kg by year-end, showcasing effective cost management [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is exploring collaborative solutions across its supply chain, emphasizing the integration of feed, vaccines, and farming services to provide comprehensive support for livestock farmers [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Short-term consumption weakness has led to a slight decline in pig prices, but high prices for piglets and sows indicate optimistic expectations for the future [4][6] - The pig farming sector shows low valuation opportunities, while the pet sector continues to strengthen the logic of domestic brand rise [7][25] - The overall agricultural index underperformed the market by 0.93 percentage points during the week [29] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - After the May Day holiday, consumer support was insufficient, leading to a slight decline in national pig prices. As of May 9, the average selling price of live pigs was 14.79 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan/kg week-on-week, a decrease of 0.14% [4][15] - The average daily slaughter volume of sample enterprises was 148,800 pigs, a decrease of 780 pigs from the previous week [4][15] Weekly Viewpoint - The pig sector shows low valuation opportunities, with the supply side not yet recovering to the levels of the same period in 2023. The demand side is supported by macro policies driving consumption recovery [25] - Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, Juxing Agriculture, Huadong Food, and Tiankang Biological [7][25] Market Performance (May 5-9) - The agricultural index rose by 0.99%, underperforming the market by 0.93 percentage points, with the fishery sector leading the gains [29][32] - Notable stock performances included *ST Jiawo (+13.47%), Guotou Zhonglu (+12.05%), and Xuelong Biological (+11.04%) [29][35] Price Tracking (May 5-9) - As of May 9, the national average price for live pigs was 14.82 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan/kg from the previous week. The average price for piglets was 36.87 yuan/kg, also down 0.01 yuan/kg [41] - The average profit for self-bred pigs was 84.33 yuan/head, a decrease of 0.72 yuan/head week-on-week [41] Key News (May 5-9) - Seven departments jointly issued an implementation opinion to enhance the overall effectiveness of the agricultural science and technology innovation system [36]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Short-term consumption weakness has led to a slight decline in pig prices, but high prices for piglets and sows indicate optimistic expectations for the future [4][6] - The pig farming sector shows low valuation opportunities, while the pet sector continues to strengthen the logic of domestic brand rise [7][25] - The overall agricultural index underperformed the market by 0.93 percentage points during the week [29] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - After the May Day holiday, consumer support was insufficient, leading to a slight decline in national pig prices. As of May 9, the average selling price of pigs was 14.79 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan/kg week-on-week, reflecting a 0.14% decrease [4][15] - The average daily slaughter volume of sample enterprises was 148,800 pigs, a decrease of 780 pigs from the previous week [4][15] Weekly Viewpoint - The pig sector shows low valuation opportunities, with the supply side not yet recovering to the levels of the same period in 2023. The demand side is supported by macro policies that boost consumption recovery [25] - Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, Juxing Agriculture, Huadong Food, and Tiankang Biological [7][25] Market Performance (May 5-9) - The agricultural index rose by 0.99%, underperforming the market by 0.93 percentage points, with the fishery sector leading the gains [29][32] - Notable stock performances included *ST Jiawo (+13.47%), Guotou Zhonglu (+12.05%), and Xuelong Biological (+11.04%) [29][35] Price Tracking (May 5-9) - As of May 9, the national average price for pigs was 14.82 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan/kg from the previous week. The average price for piglets was 36.87 yuan/kg, also down 0.01 yuan/kg [41] - The average profit for self-bred pigs was 84.33 yuan/head, a decrease of 0.72 yuan/head week-on-week [41] Key News (May 5-9) - Seven departments jointly issued an implementation opinion to enhance the overall effectiveness of the agricultural science and technology innovation system, emphasizing the importance of technological innovation in agricultural modernization [36][37]

Core Viewpoint - Multiple listed companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets announced significant updates, providing insights for investors [2] Company Announcements - Wolong Real Estate will change its stock name to "Wolong New Energy" effective May 15, 2025, while the stock code remains unchanged [3] - Ningbo Fuda has terminated its major asset restructuring plans due to a lack of agreement on the final transaction scheme, with no significant impact on its current operations or financial status [4] - Land usage rights for a site in Shanghai will be returned by Shanghai Xiba due to external economic conditions, expected to reduce profits by approximately 36.42 million yuan, which is about 85% of the previous year's audited net profit [7] - Blue Dai Technology plans to acquire an 18% stake in Chongqing Taiguan for 34.11 million yuan, resulting in full ownership of the subsidiary [6] Performance Metrics - China Merchants Shekou reported a sales amount of 14.764 billion yuan in April, with a cumulative sales area of 2.0594 million square meters for the first four months of 2025 [8] - Shoukai Co. achieved a sales amount of 1.46 billion yuan in April, with a 24.92% decrease in sales area compared to the previous month [9] - Tiankang Biological reported a sales revenue of 380 million yuan from pig sales in April, with a 1.06% increase from the previous month [10] - Longyuan Co. reported a sales revenue of 125 million yuan from pig sales in April, with a 14.59% increase from the previous month [11] - New Wufeng sold 408,100 pigs in April, marking a 36.31% year-on-year increase [13] - Guangqi Group's April automobile sales were 116,400 units, a 12.66% year-on-year decline [16] - Jianghuai Automobile reported April sales of 30,764 units, down 3.55% year-on-year [17] - Shunong Development achieved a sales revenue of 1.533 billion yuan in April, a 0.68% year-on-year increase [19] Contracts and Agreements - Fuling Electric plans to sign a contract for an energy management project in Anhui Province, with an estimated investment of 488 million yuan and projected returns of 790 million yuan over eight years [21] - *ST Weihai has been pre-selected for a construction project with a bid of 108 million yuan, which represents 4.33% of its audited revenue for 2024 [22] Shareholder Actions - Liyuan Technology's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 3.04 million shares, representing no more than 2.0008% of total shares [23] - Baoli Food's shareholder intends to reduce holdings by up to 3% of total shares, equating to approximately 12 million shares [24] Share Buybacks - Hongta Securities' chairman proposed a share buyback plan with a total amount between 100 million and 200 million yuan [26]