Core Insights - The modern livestock industry is increasingly demanding diverse animal nutrition, leading to higher requirements for feed performance, which traditional standardized products can no longer meet [1] - Additive premix feed fills the market gap with flexible formulation design and precise nutritional supply, improving feed utilization, reducing farming costs, and enhancing animal growth performance and product quality [1] Industry Overview - Additive premix feed consists of two or more nutritional feed additives mixed with carriers or diluents, including compound premix feed, trace element premix feed, and vitamin premix feed [3] - The production of additive premix feed in China has experienced fluctuations, with production reaching 542.6 million tons in 2019, a decrease of 16.9% year-on-year, and recovering to 594.5 million tons in 2020, a growth of 9.6% [1][8] - In 2021, production increased to 663.1 million tons, a year-on-year growth of 11.54%, but fell to 652.2 million tons in 2022 due to various factors, including the pandemic [1][8] - In 2023, production rebounded to 709.1 million tons, an increase of 8.7% year-on-year, but is expected to decline to 695.1 million tons in 2024 due to adjustments in pig production capacity and reduced livestock inventory [1][8] Industry Policies - The industry has seen a series of supportive and regulatory policies aimed at promoting standardization and efficiency, such as the 2024 "Green Sword Protect Grain Safety" enforcement action focusing on illegal production and sales of feed additives [4][6] - The 2025 Feed Quality Safety Supervision Work Plan emphasizes the inspection of banned substances and illegal additives in various feed products, including premix feeds [4][6] Industry Chain - The upstream of the additive premix feed industry includes feed raw materials like soybeans, corn, and fish meal, while the midstream involves the production of various types of premix feeds [6] - The downstream application includes livestock farming sectors such as pig, poultry, and aquaculture [6] Market Dynamics - The additive premix feed market is characterized by a clear competitive structure, with leading companies like New Hope, Tongwei, and Da Bei Nong forming the first tier, while other companies like Haida Group and Zhengbang Technology represent the second tier [10][12] - The market is expected to consolidate further, with smaller companies facing challenges due to limited innovation and sales channels [10][12] Future Trends - The industry is moving towards precise product functionality and value enhancement, focusing on tailored formulations for different livestock species and growth stages [16] - Technological advancements will drive the integration of biotechnology and smart manufacturing, optimizing formulation structures and improving production processes [17] - A comprehensive service model will emerge, extending beyond product provision to include technical support and real-time monitoring for farmers [18]

Market Performance - The Xinjiang state-owned enterprise reform sector increased by 1.4% compared to the previous trading day, with Beixin Road and Bridge leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3836.77, up 0.05%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12585.08, up 0.37% [1] Stock Highlights - Beixin Road and Bridge (002307) saw a closing price of 5.73, with a significant increase of 9.98% and a trading volume of 2.8782 million shares, amounting to 159.3 million yuan [1] - Tianfu Energy (600509) closed at 8.51, up 4.03%, with a trading volume of 513,800 shares and a transaction value of 435 million yuan [1] - Tiankang Biological (002100) closed at 7.39, up 3.50%, with a trading volume of 452,100 shares and a transaction value of 339 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The Xinjiang state-owned enterprise reform sector experienced a net inflow of 154 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds saw a net outflow of 96.78 million yuan [2] - Main funds showed a net inflow in stocks like Beixin Road and Bridge, with 122.1 million yuan, while retail funds had a net outflow of 52.4 million yuan [3] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Beixin Road and Bridge (002307) had a main fund net inflow of 122.1 million yuan, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 52.4 million yuan [3] - Tianfu Energy (600509) recorded a main fund net inflow of 33.3 million yuan, with retail funds showing a net outflow of 36.3 million yuan [3] - Zhongtai Chemical (002092) had a main fund net inflow of 23.1 million yuan, while retail funds faced a net outflow of 44.6 million yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Minsheng Securities highlights the cyclical recovery in the livestock industry, emphasizing the valuation shift for leading companies in the sector [1] Livestock Industry - The domestic livestock cycle is expected to reverse, with both domestic and international beef and raw milk markets likely to experience upward momentum [1] - Official capacity regulation in the pig industry is anticipated to accelerate cash flow improvements for leading enterprises, potentially transforming them into dividend stocks as industry capacity contracts [1] - In the poultry sector, limited supply fluctuations are expected, with market conditions likely to improve alongside demand recovery, allowing leading companies to achieve higher cash flow and dividend returns [1] Feed Industry - The deepening industrialization of livestock and poultry farming, along with clear industry segmentation, positions leading feed companies to further enhance their competitive advantages through technology and service [1] Pet Industry - The pet industry is identified as a scarce growth sector, expected to benefit from demographic changes [1] Investment Recommendations - Recommended livestock companies include: - For livestock: Youran Dairy, Modern Dairy, and China Shengmu [1] - For pigs: Huazhong Holdings, Dekang Agriculture, Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, Tiankang Biological, and Shennong Group [1] - For poultry: Lihua Stock, Yisheng Shares, and Shennong Development [1] - For feed: Haida Group [1] - For pets: Guibao Pet [1]

每日经济新闻 每经AI快讯，11月24日，猪肉板块盘初活跃，天康生物涨超5%，牧原股份、立华股份、巨星农牧、罗 牛山跟涨。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural products sector, particularly focusing on the livestock industry and its cyclical recovery [1][4]. Core Insights - The livestock industry is experiencing a reversal of internal competition, which is expected to support long-term pig prices. As of November 21, the price of live pigs was 11.67 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.4% [1]. - The beef market is entering a new price increase phase, with the average price of beef at 66.38 CNY/kg, showing a year-on-year increase of 8% [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of leading companies in the livestock sector, suggesting that their cash flow will improve due to official capacity control measures [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview and Data Summary - The report provides a weekly summary of agricultural product data, highlighting trends in livestock prices and supply dynamics [12]. 2. Fundamental Tracking 2.1 Swine - The swine industry is seeing orderly progress in reversing internal competition, which is expected to stabilize profitability [13]. 2.2 White Chicken - A slight increase in supply is noted, with attention on seasonal consumption recovery [13]. 2.3 Yellow Chicken - Supply remains at a low level, with potential benefits from improved domestic demand [13]. 2.4 Eggs - The egg market faces significant mid-term supply pressure, with wholesale prices at 3.63 CNY/jin, down 28% year-on-year [13]. 2.5 Beef - A new round of beef price increases is anticipated, with a focus on the upward trend in the beef cycle for 2025 [13]. 2.6 Raw Milk - The report suggests that the de-stocking of dairy cows may accelerate in Q4, potentially leading to a price turning point for raw milk [13]. 2.7 Soybean Meal - Short-term supply is expected to be ample, while medium-term demand and supply dynamics are projected to strengthen [13]. 2.8 Corn - Domestic supply and demand balance is tightening, with prices expected to maintain a moderate upward trend [13]. 2.9 Sugar - Short-term increases in imports are noted, with attention on the rhythm of arrivals and fluctuations in crude oil prices [13]. 2.10 Rubber - Prices are expected to stabilize in the short term, with a positive outlook for the medium term [13]. 2.11 Palm Oil - Short-term performance is weak, with medium-term policy support being a focus [13]. 2.12 Cotton - Inventory pressure is neutral, with demand still needing recovery [13]. 2.13 Red Dates - Limited demand recovery is noted, with attention on weather conditions in new production areas [13]. 3. Market Trends - The report discusses market trends and price movements across various agricultural products, indicating a complex interplay of supply and demand factors [12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The demand for pork is expected to support prices as the year-end peak season approaches, despite a decline in prices due to overproduction and accelerated culling of sows [3][12] - The suspension of imports of Japanese seafood is beneficial for the domestic aquaculture sector, as it reduces competition and supports local prices [4][18] - The pet industry is experiencing growth driven by consumer upgrades and increased domestic production, with significant market potential projected for the coming years [22] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The culling of breeding sows has accelerated, with the national average price of live pigs at 11.62 yuan/kg as of November 21, 2025, down 0.01 yuan/kg week-on-week and down 4.75% year-on-year [11][12] - The average weight of pigs slaughtered is 128.81 kg, showing a slight increase week-on-week [11] - Cold weather is expected to boost pork consumption, providing support for prices during the peak season [12] Weekly Insights - The pig farming sector is facing losses, leading to accelerated culling of sows. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [22] - The feed sector is benefiting from strong demand, with domestic production expected to improve due to recovery in livestock numbers [22] - The pet market is projected to grow significantly, with a focus on domestic brands due to rising consumer preferences and tariff barriers [22] Market Performance (November 17-21) - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 0.45 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 3.90% and the agricultural index down 3.45% [24] - The fishery sector led gains, with notable increases in stocks such as Zhongshui Fishery (+61.05%) and others [24][30] Price Tracking (November 17-21) - The average price of live pigs was 11.64 yuan/kg, down 0.09 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the price of piglets increased to 19.15 yuan/kg [35] - The price of corn futures rose slightly to 2183.00 yuan/ton, while soybean meal futures decreased to 2427.00 yuan/ton [46][50]

Market Overview - On November 21, the Xinjiang state-owned enterprise reform sector fell by 3.41% compared to the previous trading day, with Baodi Mining leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down 3.41% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock movements included: - Beixin Road and Bridge (002307) rose by 9.92% to a closing price of 5.21, with a trading volume of 1.6997 million shares and a turnover of 862 million yuan [1] - Baodi Mining (601121) fell by 9.92% to a closing price of 66.9, with a trading volume of 386,900 shares and a turnover of 278 million yuan [2] - Other significant declines included: - Zhun Oil Co. (002207) down 8.29% to 7.96 [2] - Guanyi Co. (600251) down 5.56% to 8.67 [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The Xinjiang state-owned enterprise reform sector experienced a net outflow of 31.4271 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 13.9266 million yuan [2][3] - Key capital flows for selected stocks included: - Beixin Road and Bridge had a main fund net inflow of 2.61 million yuan, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 1.44 million yuan [3] - Zhongtai Chemical (002092) had a main fund net inflow of 550.65 thousand yuan, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 2.52974 million yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities emphasizes the importance of identifying and capturing turning points in the agricultural sector in 2026, focusing on core indicators and finding entry points within a relatively reasonable valuation range [1] Group 1: Swine Breeding - The swine breeding sector is expected to benefit from changes in supply and demand, with a continued emphasis on a balanced approach of offense and defense [1] - The investment opportunities in the swine breeding sector arise from changes in production capacity affecting pig price expectations, with a recommendation to focus on major players like Muyuan Foods (002714) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498), as well as smaller companies like Tiankang Biological (002100) and Shennong Group (605296) [1] - Despite a generally pessimistic outlook on pig prices based on current data, there is potential for changes within the industry that could lead to investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Pet Food - The pet food sector is characterized by sustained growth and significant market share expansion potential, with export growth serving as a shield for performance and the development of proprietary brands as a spear for future market share increases [2] - The report suggests that companies in the pet food industry should focus on maintaining or exceeding growth expectations for their proprietary brands while leveraging multi-brand operations [2] - Key companies to watch in the pet food sector include Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891), Guibao Pet (301498), and Petty (300673), with additional attention on Yuanfei Pet (001222) [2]

Core Viewpoint - The feed sector experienced a decline of 1.6% on November 20, with Tianma Technology leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4% and the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.76% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The feed sector's individual stock performance showed mixed results, with Hai Da Group slightly increasing by 0.02% to close at 58.55, while Tianma Technology dropped significantly by 9.90% to 15.02 [1][2]. - The total trading volume for the feed sector was substantial, with Hai Da Group recording a transaction amount of 2.12 billion, and Tianma Technology reaching 10.94 billion [1][2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 498 million from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 239 million [2]. - Specific stocks like Hai Da Group and He Feng Co. experienced varying levels of net inflow and outflow from different investor categories, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the pig price remains weak, and the logic of destocking may gradually strengthen. The price of pigs is currently at 11.85 yuan/kg, with the industry facing losses [3][18] - The agricultural policy is undergoing a profound transformation, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and activating enterprise innovation. The report anticipates that under the influence of capacity control policies, pig prices may stop falling and rebound earlier than expected [4][19] - The report highlights the importance of high-quality development in the industry, with a clear direction for capacity control policies. Companies that lead in cost and connect with farmers are expected to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [4][19] Summary by Sections 1. Swine Industry - The swine sector is experiencing fluctuations, with DeKang Agriculture leading the gains at +9% week-on-week. The number of breeding sows has decreased significantly, and futures prices are rising, but the stock market has not reacted [3][18] - The report emphasizes the need for solution-oriented enterprises as the industry policy shifts towards protecting farmers' rights and promoting innovation [4][19] 2. Poultry Industry - The poultry sector continues to face a "high capacity, weak consumption" contradiction, with the price of broiler chickens at 3.50 yuan/kg and chick prices at 3.60 yuan each. The report suggests that integrated enterprises may increase their market share due to losses forcing breeding farms to reduce capacity [5][19] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to the recovery of the domestic industry, improved management effects, and increased capacity utilization. The company is expected to achieve growth beyond expectations [6][20] 4. Pet Industry - The pet industry shows a strong concentration of leading brands, with the top five brands remaining stable. The report notes that the competition among leading brands is intensifying, leading to potential pressure on profit margins, but sales growth remains high [9][21] - The report predicts that the market concentration will increase, with the CR5 expected to reach nearly 40% in the next five years [11][23] 5. Agricultural Products - The USDA's November supply and demand report did not exceed expectations, leading to a significant drop in soybean prices. The report indicates that domestic soybean inventories are high, and the supply remains sufficient [13][25] 6. Market and Price Situation - The report notes that the agricultural index increased by 2.70% week-on-week, with agricultural product processing performing the best at +6.40% [26]