Core Viewpoint - The coal mining sector experienced a decline of 0.38% on December 25, with China Coal Energy leading the drop. Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.47% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.33% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The coal mining sector's stocks showed mixed performance, with notable declines in major companies such as China Coal Energy, which fell by 1.40% to a closing price of 12.70 [2]. - The trading volume for China Coal Energy was 160,500 shares, with a transaction value of 205 million yuan [2]. - Other companies in the sector, like Jiangxi Tungsten Equipment and Jinko Energy, also saw declines of 1.17% and 0.97%, respectively [2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The coal mining sector experienced a net outflow of 359 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 380 million yuan [2]. - The table of capital flow indicates that retail investors were more active, with significant inflows into stocks like Xin Dazhou A, which saw a net inflow of 852,620 yuan from major funds [3]. - Conversely, stocks like Huaihe Energy and Shanmei International faced net outflows from major and speculative funds, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Electric Power Investment Energy has experienced a stock price decline of 2.01% on December 25, with a current price of 26.83 yuan per share and a total market capitalization of 60.141 billion yuan [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 42.86%, with a recent 5-day decline of 1.00%, a 20-day increase of 3.27%, and a 60-day increase of 18.25% [2] - As of September 30, the company reported a revenue of 22.403 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.72%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 6.40% to 4.118 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The main business segments of Electric Power Investment Energy include aluminum products (55.11% of revenue), coal products (30.29%), and electricity products (13.02%) [2] - The company has distributed a total of 11.815 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.550 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 11.29% to 27,100, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 12.72% to 82,831 shares [2]

Core Insights - In 2025, coal prices significantly declined, leading to a return of sector profitability to the lowest levels in the past decade. However, the outlook for 2026 suggests potential demand improvement and limited supply capacity utilization, which may lead to a recovery in coal price levels [2][5][6]. - The report emphasizes that with a clear supply-demand improvement and the presence of both defensive and offensive investment opportunities, the likelihood of success for selected stocks is high. If demand is strong and coal prices improve beyond expectations, attention should be given to currently undervalued stocks with low liquidity and lower profit margins [2][7]. Industry Overview - The coal industry faced a challenging year in 2025, with thermal coal prices dropping from 855 CNY/ton in 2024 to 697 CNY/ton, an 18% decrease. The profitability of the sector fell to the 30th percentile of the past decade due to weak demand driven by warm weather and sluggish manufacturing electricity consumption [5][16]. - Coking coal prices also saw a significant decline, dropping 26% from 2024's 2022 CNY/ton to 1502 CNY/ton, with profitability at the 10th percentile of the past decade. This was primarily due to strong supply, with a 1.5% year-on-year increase in coking coal supply in the first three quarters of 2025 [5][16]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - For thermal coal in 2026, demand improvement is anticipated, with limited supply growth expected. The report identifies three key questions regarding market resilience: whether negative growth in thermal power will become the norm, if domestic supply can be controlled, and whether rising coal prices will increase imports [6][30]. - The report suggests that the central government's focus on controlling "involution" competition will continue to limit supply growth in 2026, despite some new production capacity coming online. Long-term resource depletion may also exert upward pressure on domestic coal prices [6][30]. Investment Recommendations - The report advocates for investment in the coal sector in 2026, highlighting the potential for a bottom reversal. It suggests that the timing for investment should align with capital flows, particularly in the first quarter when there is often a demand for increased allocation to dividend-paying sectors [7][30]. - Recommended stocks include Yanzhou Coal Mining Company and China Shenhua Energy, which are expected to benefit from a recovery in coal prices to a range of 750-800 CNY/ton. Additionally, stocks with significant growth potential and low valuations, such as Huayang Co. and Jinkong Coal Industry, are highlighted as potential targets if demand and price improvements exceed expectations [7][30].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.53% on December 24, with 26 out of the 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by defense and electronics, which increased by 2.88% and 2.12% respectively [1] - The coal industry saw a decline of 0.70%, ranking second in terms of the largest drop [1] Capital Flow - The net inflow of capital in the two markets was 10.37 billion yuan, with 17 sectors experiencing net inflows. The electronics sector had the highest net inflow of 8.68 billion yuan, followed by the power equipment sector with a net inflow of 3.76 billion yuan [1] - Conversely, 14 sectors experienced net outflows, with the non-ferrous metals sector leading with a net outflow of 1.635 billion yuan, followed by the basic chemicals sector with a net outflow of 1.212 billion yuan [1] Coal Industry Analysis - Within the coal industry, there were 37 stocks, with 18 rising and 15 falling. The net outflow of capital for the coal sector was 73.72 million yuan [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the coal sector were Jiangxi Tungsten Equipment (47.77 million yuan), Shanxi Coal International (22.18 million yuan), and Shanxi Coking Coal (16.85 million yuan) [2] - The stocks with the largest net outflows included Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (48.62 million yuan), Yongtai Energy (44.88 million yuan), and Electric Power Investment Energy (34.78 million yuan) [2] Individual Stock Performance - The top performers in terms of capital inflow included Jiangxi Tungsten Equipment (4.77%), Shanxi Coking Coal (0.53%), and Baotailong (1.77%) [3] - The stocks with the largest declines included Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (-0.32%), Yongtai Energy (0.00%), and Electric Power Investment Energy (-1.05%) [3]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月23日，电投能源在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，扎铝二期项目首批电解槽在12 月20日成功通电。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Electric Power Investment Energy has increased by 49.36% this year, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 23, the stock price rose by 2.04% to 28.05 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 62.876 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has shown significant gains over various time frames: 5.06% in the last 5 trading days, 6.33% in the last 20 days, and 25.84% in the last 60 days [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 22.403 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.72%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 6.40% to 4.118 billion CNY [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 11.815 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.550 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 11.29% to 27,100, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 12.72% to 82,831 shares [2]. - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the fifth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 47.2447 million shares, an increase of 18.5055 million shares from the previous period [3].

格隆汇12月23日丨电投能源(002128.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示，扎铝二期项目首批电解槽在12月20日 成功通电。 财经频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [8] Core Viewpoints - Recent coal prices have been declining, raising concerns about future price trends. The supply side is expected to remain tight due to year-end production cuts and the imposition of export taxes by Indonesia, while demand may improve with the new year's long-term contracts and seasonal increases in consumption [2][7] - The coal price is anticipated to stabilize and recover in the short term due to supply constraints and seasonal demand increases, suggesting a favorable investment opportunity in the coal sector [6][7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The coal index (Yangtze) increased by 0.36%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.64 percentage points, ranking 19th out of 32 industries [6][22] - As of December 19, the market price for Qinhuangdao thermal coal was 703 CNY/ton, down 42 CNY/ton week-on-week, while the price for coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1740 CNY/ton, up 110 CNY/ton week-on-week [6][16] Supply and Demand Analysis - As of December 18, the daily coal consumption across 25 provinces was 580.2 million tons, a decrease of 2.0% week-on-week and 9.8% year-on-year. The inventory at power plants was 134 million tons, with a usable days count of 23.2 days, an increase of 0.3 days week-on-week [17][36] - The supply side is influenced by production cuts at coal mines and the impact of export taxes from Indonesia, which could tighten supply further [7][17] Price Trends - The price of thermal coal has seen a significant decline, with a monthly drop of 105 CNY/ton (-13%), nearly erasing gains from October [7][43] - The report suggests that while coal prices are currently under pressure, improvements in supply and demand dynamics could provide a floor for prices in the near term [6][7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on coal sector investments, particularly as the first quarter is typically a period of increased insurance capital inflow, which may enhance the attractiveness of coal stocks [7][12]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" for several companies including China Coal Energy, China Shenhua, and Jinneng Holding Coal Industry [3][8]. Core Viewpoints - Australia's electricity demand is projected to double by 2050, necessitating a twofold increase in coal power capacity to ensure supply during the transition period. Total electricity demand is expected to rise from 205 billion kWh to 389 billion kWh by the fiscal year 2049-50, with significant contributions from high-energy industries such as industrial electrification and data centers [2][3]. - Current coal power capacity in Australia has decreased from approximately 30,000 MW to about 21,000 MW, with aging units averaging over 40 years of operation. Non-scheduled outages are expected to reach 7% of total operating time from 2027 to 2035, indicating a critical need for coal power to maintain grid stability during the transition to renewable energy [3][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights a significant decline in Australia's coal power capacity and the urgent need for expansion to meet future electricity demands. The transition to renewable energy sources is progressing but faces substantial gaps in implementation [2][3][8]. Key Companies - Recommended companies include: - Yancoal Australia (Buy) - Jinneng Holding Coal Industry (Buy) - China Coal Energy (Buy) - China Shenhua (Buy) - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (Buy) - Huainan Mining (Buy) - China Qinfa (Buy) [3][8]. Price Trends - Coal prices have shown mixed trends, with Newcastle coal prices at $105 per ton, down by $2.75 per ton (-2.55%), while European ARA coal prices increased slightly to $96.21 per ton, up by $0.64 per ton (+0.67%) [1][3][36].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Electric Power Investment Energy has shown a significant increase in price and trading activity, indicating positive market sentiment and potential growth opportunities for the company [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 22, Electric Power Investment Energy's stock price rose by 2.02% to 27.82 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 62.36 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 48.14% year-to-date, with a 0.61% rise over the last five trading days, 6.55% over the last 20 days, and 25.48% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Electric Power Investment Energy reported a revenue of 22.40 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.72%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 6.40% to 4.12 billion CNY [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 11.81 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.55 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Electric Power Investment Energy decreased by 11.29% to 27,100, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 12.72% to 82,831 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 47.24 million shares, an increase of 18.51 million shares compared to the previous period [3]. Group 4: Business Overview - Electric Power Investment Energy, established on December 18, 2001, and listed on April 18, 2007, is primarily engaged in the production, processing, and sales of coal products, thermal power, and electrolytic aluminum [1]. - The company's revenue composition includes aluminum products (55.11%), coal products (30.29%), power products (13.02%), and others (1.59%) [1].