Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several steel companies, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [3][4]. Core Viewpoints - The introduction of the "Steel Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" aims to address the supply-demand imbalance in the steel industry by implementing precise capacity and production controls, promoting resource allocation to leading enterprises, and achieving dynamic balance in supply and demand [3][7]. - The report highlights that the long-term focus will remain on capacity regulation, which is expected to restore profitability for steel companies, particularly benefiting leading firms from the new regulatory measures [3][7]. Price Trends - As of September 26, 2025, steel prices have decreased, with HRB400 rebar priced at 3,240 CNY/ton, down 40 CNY/ton from the previous week [1][9]. - The report details price changes for various steel products, including hot-rolled and cold-rolled sheets, indicating a general downward trend in prices [1][10]. Production and Inventory - The total production of five major steel products reached 8.65 million tons, an increase of 94,700 tons week-on-week, while total inventory decreased by 121,200 tons to 10.88 million tons [2][3]. - The apparent consumption of rebar was estimated at 2.2044 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 104,100 tons [2][3]. Profitability Analysis - The report notes a decline in profitability for plate products, with the gross margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel changing by +3 CNY/ton, -36 CNY/ton, and -20 CNY/ton respectively [1][3]. - Electric arc furnace steel showed a gross margin increase of 10 CNY/ton week-on-week [1][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies for investment, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel in the general steel sector, and Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel in the special steel sector [3][4]. - It also suggests monitoring high-temperature alloy companies like Fushun Special Steel for potential investment opportunities [3].

Market Overview - On September 26, the special steel sector rose by 1.04%, led by CITIC Special Steel, while the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.11, down 0.65% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13209.0, down 1.76% [1] Stock Performance - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 13.28, up 2.79% with a trading volume of 248,300 shares and a turnover of 327 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 5.35, up 2.10% with a trading volume of 226,500 shares and a turnover of 121 million yuan [1] - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) closed at 5.55, up 1.46% with a trading volume of 111,800 shares and a turnover of 61.88 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include Jiuli Special Materials (002318) at 23.19, up 0.69%, and Xining Special Steel (600117) at 3.14, up 0.32% [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 48.64 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 69.25 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors pulling back while retail investors increased their positions [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Fangda Special Steel saw a net inflow of 14.34 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 7.82 million yuan [3] - CITIC Special Steel had a net inflow of 1.44 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors contributing a net inflow of 12.84 million yuan [3] - Other stocks like Taigang Stainless Steel (000825) and Xining Special Steel (600117) also showed varied capital flows, reflecting differing investor sentiments across the sector [3]

Market Overview - On September 25, the special steel sector rose by 0.46% compared to the previous trading day, with Xianglou New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.3, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13445.9, up 0.67% [1] Stock Performance - Xianglou New Materials (301160) closed at 63.58, up 2.25% with a trading volume of 28,400 lots and a transaction value of 181 million [1] - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 12.92, up 1.10% with a trading volume of 136,200 lots [1] - Jinzhu Pipeline (002443) closed at 7.35, up 0.68% with a trading volume of 144,800 lots [1] - Other notable performances include Jiuli Special Materials (002318) at 23.03, up 0.57%, and Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) at 3.87, up 0.52% [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net inflow of 7.496 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 29.624 million [2] - However, speculative funds experienced a net outflow of 37.1203 million [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Jinzhu Pipeline (002443) had a net inflow of 19.2741 million from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 11.3191 million from speculative funds [3] - Xianglou New Materials (301160) saw a net inflow of 17.6055 million from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 12.4069 million from speculative funds [3] - Fushun Special Steel (600399) recorded a net inflow of 4.4309 million from institutional investors [3]

Market Overview - On September 24, the special steel sector rose by 0.11% compared to the previous trading day, with Jiuli Special Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.64, up 0.83%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13356.14, up 1.8% [1] Stock Performance - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 22.90, with a gain of 3.01% and a trading volume of 142,800 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 325 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) at 34.04, up 2.53% [1] - Changbao Co. (002478) at 5.56, up 1.65% [1] - Shagang Group (002075) at 5.71, up 1.42% [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net inflow of 25.36 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net inflow of 38.95 million yuan [2] - Notably, speculative funds had a net outflow of 64.32 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Jiuli Special Materials had a main fund net outflow of 33.99 million yuan, with retail funds showing a net inflow of 0.37 million yuan [3] - Tai Steel (000825) experienced a main fund net inflow of 5.32 million yuan, while retail funds also saw a net inflow of 0.52 million yuan [3] - Other stocks like Shengde Xintai (300881) and Changbao Co. (002478) faced significant net outflows from main and speculative funds [3]

Core Insights - Leading stocks in the new energy sector, such as Sungrow Power Supply, Haibo Technology, and CATL, reached all-time high closing prices on September 24 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The article highlights that 26 stocks were selected based on criteria including a net cash flow from operating activities exceeding 100 million yuan in the first half of 2025, profitability with positive year-on-year net profit growth, and a rolling price-to-earnings (PE) ratio below 40 [1] - Among these 26 stocks, three have doubled in price year-to-date: Sungrow Power Supply, Nuwell Co., and Ocean Motor [1] - Six stocks have a PE ratio below 15, which are Satellite Chemical, Jiahu Energy, Jiuli Special Materials, Hengdian East Magnetic, Batian Co., and Yutong Bus [1]

Company Overview - Jiu Li Special Materials Co., Ltd. is located in Huzhou, Zhejiang Province, established on January 8, 2004, and listed on December 11, 2009. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of industrial stainless steel pipes and special alloy materials, including pipes, fittings, flanges, bars, and prefabricated components [1]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Jiu Li Special Materials achieved operating revenue of 6.105 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.39%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 828 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 28.48% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 3.468 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.802 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Performance - On September 24, Jiu Li Special Materials' stock price increased by 2.02%, reaching 22.68 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 64.94 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.30%. The total market capitalization is 22.162 billion yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has risen by 0.94%, with a 5-day increase of 2.21%, a 20-day increase of 1.39%, and a 60-day decline of 5.22% [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 16.03% to 20,600, while the average number of tradable shares per person decreased by 13.80% to 46,427 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the second-largest shareholder, holding 44.6371 million shares, an increase of 1.8334 million shares from the previous period [3].

Company Overview - Jiu Li Special Materials Co., Ltd. is located in Huzhou, Zhejiang Province, established on January 8, 2004, and listed on December 11, 2009. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of industrial stainless steel pipes and special alloy materials, including pipes, fittings, flanges, bars, and prefabricated components [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Jiu Li Special Materials achieved operating revenue of 6.105 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.39%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 828 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 28.48% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 3.468 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.802 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Performance - On September 23, Jiu Li Special Materials' stock price fell by 2.01%, trading at 21.90 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 21.4 billion yuan. The stock has decreased by 2.53% year-to-date and has seen declines of 1.22% over the past five trading days, 5.52% over the past 20 days, and 6.45% over the past 60 days [1]. - The stock's trading volume on September 23 was 126 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.60%. The net outflow of main funds was 9.8637 million yuan, with significant buying and selling activity recorded [1]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 16.03% to 20,600, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 13.80% to 46,427 shares. The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 44.6371 million shares, an increase of 1.8334 million shares from the previous period [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities highlights that Jiuli Special Materials achieved a revenue of 6.105 billion yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.39%, with a net profit of 804 million yuan, up 36.44% year-on-year, indicating strong profit growth [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Jiuli Special Materials reported a revenue of 6.105 billion yuan, a 26.39% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The company's net profit, excluding Yongxing Investment income, reached 804 million yuan, reflecting a 36.44% year-on-year growth [1] Group 2: Competitive Advantages - The company leverages its technological advantages to break foreign technology monopolies in some high-end products [1] - Jiuli's advanced extrusion process significantly enhances raw material utilization and product quality, contributing to high gross margins that demonstrate cost advantages and strong competitiveness [1] Group 3: Market Outlook and Expansion - The company is optimistic about the application prospects of its products in the context of the growing demand for deep-sea and acidic oil and gas [1] - Jiuli Special Materials is advancing capacity expansion projects, with progress reported at 100% for the corrosion-resistant pipeline project, 40% for the EBK company upgrade, and 35% for the 20,000-ton high-performance pipe project for nuclear and oil and gas applications [1] - The high-end capacity is expected to accelerate release, injecting new growth potential into the company [1] Group 4: Valuation - Using the DCF method for valuation, the target price for Jiuli Special Materials is set at 31.68 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the steel sector, specifically recommending stocks such as Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, Baosteel, and New Steel [3][6][9]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the current market is experiencing uneven performance, with a focus on the technology sector while traditional industries face significant adjustments. The report suggests that the era of capital oversupply is establishing a foundation for a golden period in capital markets [2]. - The report highlights that the average daily pig iron production has slightly increased, and the total inventory growth has narrowed, indicating a potential improvement in market conditions [14][26]. - The apparent consumption of steel has shown a month-on-month improvement, particularly in rebar demand, which has increased significantly [43]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The CITIC Steel Index closed at 1,778.35 points, down 2.74%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.30 percentage points, ranking 25th among 30 CITIC primary sectors [1][92]. Supply and Production - The average daily pig iron production rose by 0.5 million tons to 241.1 million tons, while the production of rebar decreased slightly, and hot-rolled production saw a minor increase [14][19]. - In August 2025, crude steel production was 77.37 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%, while steel production increased by 9.7% to 122.77 million tons [15][8]. Inventory - Total steel inventory continued to accumulate, with a weekly increase of 0.3%, but the growth rate has narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous week [26][28]. - The social inventory of five major steel products was 11.014 million tons, up 0.6% week-on-week and 7.3% year-on-year [28]. Demand - The apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.503 million tons, up 0.8% month-on-month but down 4.6% year-on-year, indicating a mixed demand scenario [53]. - The average weekly transaction volume of construction steel was 106,000 tons, reflecting a 3.3% increase from the previous week [44]. Raw Materials - Iron ore prices have shown a slight increase, with the Platts 62% iron ore price index at $106.6 per ton, up 0.2% week-on-week and 17.9% year-on-year [62]. - The report notes that the coal and electricity investment completion amount reached 96 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.4%, indicating a positive outlook for related sectors [8]. Prices and Profits - The comprehensive steel price index increased by 0.5% week-on-week, suggesting a potential for continued price strength as industry fundamentals improve [72]. - The current spot price for rebar in Beijing is 3,200 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.3% increase week-on-week [73].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several steel companies, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, based on their projected earnings and valuation metrics [3][4]. Core Insights - The steel prices are showing a strong upward trend supported by raw material costs, with significant increases in various steel products as of September 19, 2025 [1][11]. - The overall steel profit margins have improved, with notable increases in the gross margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel [1][2]. - The report indicates a shift from inventory accumulation to inventory reduction for rebar, suggesting a recovery in demand as the industry enters its peak season [3]. Price Trends - As of September 19, 2025, the prices for key steel products in Shanghai are as follows: - Rebar (20mm HRB400) at 3280 CNY/ton, up 70 CNY/ton from the previous week - High-line (8.0mm) at 3420 CNY/ton, up 60 CNY/ton - Hot-rolled (3.0mm) at 3460 CNY/ton, up 10 CNY/ton - Cold-rolled (1.0mm) at 3830 CNY/ton, up 30 CNY/ton - Common medium plate (20mm) at 3510 CNY/ton, up 50 CNY/ton [1][11][12]. Production and Inventory - As of September 19, 2025, the total production of the five major steel products was 8.55 million tons, a decrease of 1.78 million tons week-on-week, with rebar production specifically down by 5.48 million tons to 2.0645 million tons [2]. - The total social inventory of the five major steel products increased by 63,200 tons to 11.0023 million tons, while steel mill inventory decreased by 11,400 tons [2]. Profitability - The report highlights an increase in steel profitability, with gross margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel rising by 24 CNY/ton, 28 CNY/ton, and 28 CNY/ton respectively, while electric arc furnace steel margins increased by 10 CNY/ton [1][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the following companies: - For the general steel sector: Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel - For the special steel sector: Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel, Yongjin Co. - For pipe materials: Jiuli Special Materials, Youfa Group, Wujin Stainless Steel - Additionally, it suggests paying attention to high-temperature alloy companies like Fushun Special Steel [3].