11月26日，重庆钢铁盘中上涨2.10%，截至10:04，报1.46元/股，成交9508.69万元，换手率0.79%，总市 值129.24亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入794.78万元，特大单买入1368.46万元，占比14.39%，卖出916.32万元， 占比9.64%；大单买入1363.28万元，占比14.34%，卖出1020.65万元，占比10.73%。 重庆钢铁所属申万行业为：钢铁-普钢-板材。所属概念板块包括：余热发电、国资改革、低价、中盘、 央企改革等。 截至9月30日，重庆钢铁股东户数18.08万，较上期增加3.27%；人均流通股0股，较上期增加0.00%。 2025年1月-9月，重庆钢铁实现营业收入190.91亿元，同比减少7.32%；归母净利润-2.18亿元，同比增长 83.82%。 分红方面，重庆钢铁A股上市后累计派现5.20亿元。近三年，累计派现0.00元。 责任编辑：小浪快报 重庆钢铁今年以来股价涨1.39%，近5个交易日跌3.31%，近20日跌3.95%，近60日跌3.31%。 今年以来重庆钢铁已经1次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为7月2日，当日龙虎榜净买入-7247.24万 ...

（文章来源：新华财经） 新华财经北京11月24日电钢银电商最新公布的数据显示，截至11月24日当周，全国38个城市，共计135 个仓库的城市钢材总库存量为886.96万吨，较上周环比减少23.11万吨，降幅2.54%。 其中，建筑钢材库存总量为455.74万吨，较上周环比减少17.25万吨（-3.65%)，包含30个城市，共计79 个仓库。热卷库存总量为229.67万吨，较上周环比减少6.78万吨（-2.87%)，包含15个城市，共计47个仓 库。中厚板库存总量75.75万吨，较上周环比减少0.25万吨（-0.33%)，包含9个城市，共计14个仓库。冷 轧涂镀库存总量为125.80万吨，较上周环比增加1.17万吨（+0.94%)，包含5个城市，共计14个仓库。 ...

Group 1 - The mainstream factory price of ordinary square billets in Tangshan and Qian'an remains stable at 2950 CNY/ton and 2960 CNY/ton respectively, with warehouse spot prices including tax reported at 3030 CNY/ton [3] - The market for steel billets is experiencing weak overall transactions, with downstream finished product prices remaining stable [3] - In the Tangshan section, the main prices for various steel products are stable, including I-beams at 3260 CNY/ton, angle steel at 3250 CNY/ton, and channel steel between 3220-3250 CNY/ton, indicating a slowdown in downstream demand [3] Group 2 - The price of 355 band steel in Tangshan remains stable at a mainstream price of 3170 CNY/ton, while the 145 band steel market also shows stability with a mainstream price of 3200 CNY/ton, although transaction volumes are weak [3] - The market for hot-rolled and cold-rolled base materials is stable, with the mainstream price for 1500 wide ordinary open flat plates at 3240 CNY/ton and manganese open flat plates at 3380 CNY/ton, indicating average transaction activity [3] - The price for medium and thick plates in Tangshan is stable, with ordinary plates (14-20mm) at 3240 CNY/ton and low-alloy plates at 3420 CNY/ton, as the market remains cautious [3] Group 3 - The construction steel market in Tangshan shows stability in early trading, with the price of third-grade rebar at 3160 CNY/ton, third-grade small rebar at 3150 CNY/ton, and thread steel at 3370 CNY/ton, although transactions are not favorable [4]

11月21日，钢材现货市场小幅下跌，期货市场主要品种主力以跌为主，其中螺纹涨0.07%、热卷收平， 铁矿石跌0.32%，焦煤跌1.82%，焦炭跌1.31%。双焦跌势延续，再创阶段新低，五大钢材品种库存继续 回落，表观需求环比增加，但原料端持续下行，且市场整体情绪偏弱，期钢价格维持窄幅震荡运行。 一、多空因素分析 1.印度对涉华低灰冶金焦炭作出反倾销初裁 2025年11月14日，印度商工部发布公告，对原产于或进口自中国、澳大利亚、哥伦比亚、印度尼西亚、 日本和俄罗斯的低灰冶金焦炭（Low Ash Metallurgical Coke）作出反倾销肯定性初裁，并建议对这些国 家的该涉案产品征收临时反倾销税，利空钢材价格走势。 2.山东德州、淮北市启动重污染天气橙色预警 山东德州11月22日零时启动重污染天气Ⅲ级应急响应，性污染减排措施，强制性减排措施等。同时，淮 北市决定自11月21日0时启动Ⅱ级橙色预警，解除时间另行通知，实施工业源减排 20% 以上、停工限 产、禁行部分柴油货车等强制性措施。目前看，行业减排及施工管控会收缩钢铁产业链供给，短期强化 供需偏紧预期，利好钢材价格走势。 3.美联储12月降息的概率为3 ...

Core Views - The steel industry is expected to face oversupply issues in 2026, with prices likely to remain volatile [4][49] - The trend of "anti-involution" continues, with supply-side reforms expected to constrain crude steel production by 5%-10% [3][4] Supply and Demand Analysis - Supply remains robust, with iron water production at a high level; as of November 2025, the average daily iron water output was 2.38 million tons, up 3.7% year-on-year [3][8] - Steel production is projected to decline slightly in 2025, with a cumulative crude steel output of 820 million tons, down 4% year-on-year [3][15] - Demand for steel is expected to see a slight increase in 2025, driven by plate steel, while long steel products face challenges; total apparent steel consumption reached 930 million tons, up 5% year-on-year [3][22] Price Trends - Steel prices are anticipated to decline in 2025, with an expected range of 3000-3500 RMB/ton; the price is projected to stabilize in 2026 [3][4] - The decline in coking coal prices is expected to contribute to lower steel prices, with iron ore prices also having room to decrease [3][4] Profitability Outlook - The steel industry is expected to maintain profitability in 2025 due to declining costs, with average gross margins at their best levels from 2021 to 2025 [3][4] - The anticipated recovery in rebar prices to around 3500 RMB/ton could lead to an increase in profitability by 50-100 RMB/ton [3][4] Investment Strategy - Focus on product structure transformation and high-growth segments; recommended companies include Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Nanjing Steel [3][4] - Investment lines for 2026 include stable profits from leading steel companies and opportunities in downstream sectors with strong profitability [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Company reported strong performance in the first three quarters of 2025, with a significant increase in net profit driven by product competitiveness and strategic focus on high-end products [2][10]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 9.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 368.13% [2][10]. - The company's main revenue for the same period was 772.34 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.78% year-on-year [10]. - The third quarter alone saw a net profit of 2.96 billion yuan, up 255.06% year-on-year, despite a revenue decline of 2.25% [10]. Product Development and Strategy - The company is enhancing its "manufacturing + service" competitive advantage, focusing on R&D and technological innovation [2]. - Electric steel production is expected to increase by over 10% in 2025, with new products launched for high-efficiency transformers and applications in robotics and electric vehicles [3]. - The company is committed to developing high-end differentiated products, particularly in the medium-thick plate segment, to meet emerging industry demands [2][3]. Market Position and Competition - The automotive steel segment has seen steady improvement in competitiveness and production, with new product launches aimed at meeting customer needs [4][5]. - The company has established a three-tier marketing service support system to enhance customer satisfaction and service efficiency [5]. Future Investments and Capital Expenditure - Future capital expenditures will focus on production line upgrades, smart manufacturing projects, and energy-saving initiatives, with total investment controlled at half of depreciation and amortization [7]. - A new automotive plate production line is expected to be operational by 2027, enhancing the company's production capacity and flexibility [5]. Industry Trends and Carbon Emission Regulations - The steel industry is set to enter a carbon emissions trading market, which will initially provide a buffer period for companies to adapt [8][9]. - Long-term, the carbon market is expected to drive technological innovation and reduce emissions, with the company preparing by investing in low-carbon technologies and establishing a carbon management platform [9].

Core Insights - The company held a specific investor survey on November 19, 2025, discussing performance, product competitiveness, capital expenditure, and carbon emission policies [1][2] Group 1: Performance and Product Profitability - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 9.53 billion yuan, a significant increase of 368.13% year-on-year, driven by the competitiveness of core products such as electrical steel, automotive plates, and tinplate [3] - The company is focusing on improving the profitability of its medium-thick plates by expanding market share in new energy and high-end equipment sectors while optimizing production processes [3] Group 2: Electrical Steel Business - The company expects a more than 10% increase in electrical steel production in 2025, supported by a comprehensive production system covering over 600 key process control points [4] - The company is accelerating the development and promotion of high-end products, including new oriented electrical steel products for high-efficiency transformers and non-oriented high magnetic products for robotics and new energy vehicles [4] Group 3: Automotive Plate Competitiveness - The automotive plate business has seen steady growth in production and profitability, driven by a dual approach of product innovation and service enhancement [5] - The company plans to launch a new automotive plate production line in 2027, which will enhance product structure flexibility and maintain market leadership [5] Group 4: Capital Expenditure and Depreciation - Future capital expenditures will be controlled within 50% of depreciation and amortization, focusing on production line upgrades, intelligent manufacturing, and quality improvement [6] - Depreciation is expected to decline as new plants have already accounted for some equipment depreciation [6] Group 5: Carbon Emission Policy Response - The company is adopting a cautious approach to carbon emission trading, with a focus on short-term stability and long-term technological innovation [8] - Initiatives include promoting short-process carbon reduction, conducting advanced technology research, and establishing a closed-loop recycling system in collaboration with Volvo [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the coal industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The black metal industry is entering a long-cycle peak phase, with both supply and demand sides experiencing low growth or gradual decline. However, the inherent demand rigidity prevents an immediate recession, providing opportunities for asset enhancement and valuation improvement for leading companies [4][26] - Supply-side adjustments are focused on further concentration and reasonable control of total capacity, with significant consolidation in the coal and steel industries [3][4] - Demand is shifting towards domestic manufacturing and new export markets, with a decreasing reliance on real estate [4][26] Summary by Sections Pricing Cycle, Cost Structure, and Profit Distribution - The pricing framework indicates a high correlation between supply and demand in the black metal industry, with supply-side policies significantly influencing production changes [11][14] - The cost structure highlights that iron ore and coal prices are core components of production costs, with iron ore accounting for approximately 53% of the high furnace ironmaking costs [27][28] - Profit distribution shows that upstream mining resources enjoy the highest profit margins, while steel and coke producers face more pressure [30][31] Industry Chain Map and Pricing Framework - The black metal industry chain includes coal, iron ore, coke, and steel, with coal being a primary raw material for coke production [8][9] - The pricing framework emphasizes the strong linkage between coal, coke, and steel prices, driven by supply and demand dynamics [11][14] Fundamental Cycle and Supply-Demand Transition Paths - The supply cycle is characterized by a peak phase, with capacity growth slowing and structural adjustments underway [37][40] - The demand cycle is closely aligned with macroeconomic trends, with a notable shift towards manufacturing and export markets [4][26] - The transition path for demand indicates a reduction in steel consumption for real estate, with manufacturing and export demand becoming more prominent [4][26]

证券代码：000959 证券简称：首钢股份 北京首钢股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-10 | 投资者关系活动 | 特定对象调研 分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 类别 | 媒体采访 业绩说明会 | | | 新闻发布会 路演活动 | | | 现场参观 其他 | | 活动参与人员 | 招商基金 郭锐、王垠、郭敏、康凯、林澍、罗丽思、李毅、马海林、 | | | 耿浩然、王奇超、刘畅、孙燕青、曾子潇 | | | 长江证券 赵超、郝钰 | | | 首钢股份 乔雨菲、郝成柱、孙志慧、张大成、曹华夏、杨健、海智 | | | 莉 | | 时间 | 2025 11 19 年 月 日 10:00—12:00 | | 地点 | 股份北京第二会议室 | | 形式 | 现场调研 | | | 1.了解到公司今年前三季度业绩是不错的，想了解各类产品的 | | | 盈利水平情况？ | | 交流内容及具体 | 答：公司坚持打造"制造+服务"竞争优势，保持较高的研发强 | | 问答记录 | 9.53 度，推动技术创新成为第一竞争力，前三季度实现归母净利润 | | | 368.13%。公司电工钢、汽 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chongqing Steel's stock price has experienced fluctuations, with a current decline of 2.58% and a year-to-date increase of 4.86%, indicating volatility in market performance [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Chongqing Steel reported operating revenue of 19.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.32% [2] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -218 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 83.82% [2] Stock Market Activity - As of November 19, Chongqing Steel's stock price was 1.51 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 13.366 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a trading volume of 1.06 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.83% [1] - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with a net buy of -72.47 million yuan on July 2 [1] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for Chongqing Steel was 180,800, an increase of 3.27% from the previous period [2] - The average circulating shares per shareholder remained at 0 shares, unchanged from the previous period [2] Dividend Information - Since its A-share listing, Chongqing Steel has distributed a total of 520 million yuan in dividends, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]