上海百润投资控股集团股份有限公司 关于为全资子公司提供担保额度的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、解除担保情况 （一）担保情况概述 上海百润投资控股集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）与招商银行股份 有限公司上海分行（以下简称"招行上海分行"）签订了《最高额不可撤销担保 书》（编号：540224110101），为公司之全资子公司上海巴克斯酒业营销有限公 司（以下简称"巴克斯营销"）承担最高限额为 3 亿元的连带保证责任；公司与 招行上海分行签订了《最高额不可撤销担保书》（编号：5402241102），为公司 之全资子公司上海锐澳商务咨询有限公司（以下简称"锐澳商务"）承担最高限 额为 1 亿元的连带保证责任，详见 2024 年 11 月 28 日登载于《证券时报》《上 海证券报》《证券日报》《中国证券报》及巨潮资讯网（http://www.cninfo.com.cn） 的《百润股份：关于为全资子公司提供担保额度的进展公告》（公告编号： 2024-073）。 （二）解除担保情况 1．近日，公司接到锐澳商务、招行上海分行通知，锐澳商务已 ...

Core Viewpoint - Different consumer sectors exhibit both differences and commonalities in recovery rhythms, with ROA being a leading indicator for operational recovery in consumer enterprises [1][2] Group 1: Recovery Rhythm Analysis - The recovery rhythm of various consumer sectors is influenced by industry supply and demand, as well as supply chain structures, with a focus on stock market competition as a mainstream phenomenon [2] - The stages of enterprise and channel adjustments are outlined, starting from oversupply to a new balance in supply and demand, with ROA serving as a key indicator throughout these stages [2] - Current recovery sequences indicate that soft drinks and snacks are leading, followed by food supply chains, condiments, dairy products, beer, and finally, liquor [2][3] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Emphasis on sectors where ROA stabilizes, indicating potential valuation recovery opportunities, with a preference for sectors that still show price or volume growth [3] - Price logic suggests that rising CPI may drive valuation recovery in traditional industries with high penetration rates, such as liquor, beer, and dairy products, which are likely to attract incremental capital [3][4] - Recommended companies in the liquor sector include Kweichow Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, and Shanxi Fenjiu, while in dairy, focus on Yili and Mengniu [3] Group 3: Volume Logic - In the context of cost-effective consumption, companies with high supply chain efficiency are expected to gain volume, with specific recommendations for companies in the food supply chain and soft drinks [4] - Industries with low penetration rates may withstand economic cycles, with recommendations for low-alcohol beverages and functional foods that can enhance brand premium through specialization [4] - Companies benefiting from overseas market expansion include Angel Yeast and Bailong Chuangyuan [4]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery stage of consumer spending, highlighting that different sectors exhibit both commonalities and differences in their recovery rhythms, driven by supply-demand dynamics and industry structure [4][5] - ROA (Return on Assets) is identified as a leading indicator for the operational recovery of consumer companies, with a focus on analyzing various sub-sectors [4][13] Group 2: Sector Performance - The current recovery sequence indicates that soft drinks and snacks are leading, followed by the catering supply chain, condiments, dairy products, beer, and finally, liquor [5][25] - The report draws parallels with Japan's 1990s consumption differentiation, noting that sectors addressing consumer pain points and with low penetration rates are likely to succeed [5][6] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on sectors where ROA is stabilizing, indicating potential valuation recovery opportunities, particularly in traditional sectors like liquor, beer, and dairy [6][8] - It recommends identifying sub-sectors with either price or volume growth, with a preference for price-driven strategies [6][8] Group 4: Detailed Sector Analysis - The frozen food sector is showing signs of marginal improvement, with leading companies enhancing operational efficiency through product innovation and channel reforms [27][28] - The snack sector is experiencing high demand, driven by new channel developments, although competition is intensifying [33][35] - The beer industry is under pressure, with a focus on high-end products, but overall growth is slowing due to external economic factors [39][41] - The dairy sector is nearing the end of its adjustment phase, with expectations of improved performance as raw milk prices rise [41][42] - The liquor sector is currently in a phase of inventory reduction, with performance risks gradually clearing as channels stabilize [43][48]

Group 1 - The non-white liquor sector increased by 0.16% on December 16, with Huichuan Beer leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3824.81, down 1.11%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12914.67, down 1.51% [1] - Key stocks in the non-white liquor sector showed varied performance, with the highest gain being 3.23% for Yuanzhi Ban [1] Group 2 - The non-white liquor sector experienced a net outflow of 25.06 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 53.38 million yuan [2] - The trading volume and turnover for key stocks in the non-white liquor sector varied, with Yuanzhi Ban achieving a turnover of 421 million yuan [1][2] - The net inflow from retail investors was significant, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment towards the non-white liquor sector [2][3] Group 3 - Specific stocks like Baorun Co. and Huichuan Beer had notable net inflows from retail investors, while others like ST Lanhua and Jin Feng Wine experienced net outflows [3] - The data indicates a mixed sentiment among institutional and retail investors, with some stocks attracting retail interest despite overall sector outflows [3] - The performance of individual stocks varied significantly, highlighting the importance of stock selection within the non-white liquor sector [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company, BaiRun Co., Ltd., reported a projected net profit of 549 million yuan for the first three quarters ending September 30, 2025, indicating a positive financial outlook [2]. Financial Performance - The projected net profit for the first three quarters is 549 million yuan [2]. Market Influences - The company's stock price is influenced not only by its operational and financial performance but also by economic policies, industry conditions, and market trends [2].

Market Trends - The domestic market indices showed a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,909.52, down 0.37%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13,277.36, down 0.39% [4]. Industry Commentary - The communication industry is witnessing significant developments, particularly with Marvell's proposed acquisition of Celestial AI for approximately $3.25 billion, which is expected to accelerate the arrival of the Optical Interconnect (OIO) era within two years. The acquisition includes a cash component of $1 billion and approximately 27.2 million common shares, with additional performance-based payments potentially bringing the total to $5.5 billion [6]. - Celestial AI's technology aims to enhance the efficiency of AI clusters, achieving over twice the energy efficiency of copper interconnects and significantly reducing latency and power consumption. The technology is expected to contribute substantial revenue starting in the second half of the 2028 fiscal year [6]. - The successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket marks a significant milestone in commercial aerospace, with expectations for a substantial increase in launch capacity by 2026. This success is anticipated to alleviate the current bottleneck in national rocket launch capabilities [10]. Derivative Research - The investment value of the BaiRun convertible bond is highlighted, with a remaining term of 1.82 years and a bond balance of 1.127 billion yuan. The bond's market price is 121.84 yuan, with a conversion premium of 154.25% [11]. Key Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on several key areas within the communication and aerospace sectors, including: 1. CPO/OIO technologies: Companies such as Tianfu Communication, Zhongji Xuchuang, and others are recommended for investment [10]. 2. Domestic computing power: Companies like ZTE, Unisoc, and Inspur Information are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [10]. 3. Commercial aerospace: Companies such as Chaojie Co., Yinbang Co., and others are noted for their growth potential in the commercial aerospace sector [10]. Overall Market Performance - The overall market showed an upward trend during the week of December 1-5, 2025, with the Shenwan Communication Index rising by 3.69% and the ChiNext Index increasing by 1.86%. The satellite communication sector led the gains with an 11.60% increase [10].

Report Overview - **Investment Rating**: Not provided - **Core View**: Although the conversion premium ratio of Bairun Convertible Bond is high, its market price is low and the remaining term is less than 2 years. The company's whiskey business is expected to gradually enter the harvest period, and the convertible bond is expected to have elasticity in the future [5] Company and Bond Information - **Bond Information**: Bairun Convertible Bond (127046.SZ) is AA - rated, with a bond balance of 1.127 billion yuan, accounting for 99.95% of the total issuance. The remaining term is 1.82 years, and the redemption price at maturity is 110 yuan. The closing price on December 5th was 121.84 yuan, with a conversion premium ratio of 154.25% [1] - **Company Information**: Bairun is a consumer - oriented liquor group with pre - mixed cocktails as the core, flavors and fragrances as the foundation, and spirits as the strategic extension. From Q1 to Q3 in 2025, its revenue was 2.27 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 4.89%; the net profit attributable to the parent company was 549 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 4.35%. The latest total market value is 23.5 billion yuan, and the PE TTM is 33.79x [3] Key Highlights of Bairun Convertible Bond - **Profitability**: The company's business is diversified, covering flavors, pre - mixed drinks, and whiskey. In H1 2025, the gross profit margins of the flavor business and the pre - mixed drink business reached 70.75% and 70.48% respectively, significantly higher than the average level of about 45% in the non - liquor industry. It focuses on niche markets and has a leading position in the segment, with outstanding profitability [4] - **Whiskey Business**: The company's Laizhou Distillery is the largest whiskey production base in China. As of November 2025, it has filled over 500,000 whiskey aging barrels. In 2025, it launched series of products such as "Bailide" blended whiskey and "Laizhou" single - malt whiskey, covering high - end, mid - end, and low - end markets. With the help of the mature pre - mixed drink channel network, the number of distributors is increasing, laying a solid foundation for future revenue growth [4] - **Pre - mixed Drink Business**: The core brand "RIO" has ranked first in the domestic pre - mixed drink market for many consecutive years, with a market share of 30.97% in 2024. The three - product matrix of "Wei Xun", "Qiang Shuang", and "Qing Shuang" meets the different needs of young consumers. From Q1 to Q3 in 2025, the revenue increased quarter - on - quarter for three consecutive quarters. The jelly wine launched in June and the 12° light - enjoyment series launched in August contributed incremental revenue, supporting the restoration of market share [5] Valuation - Based on the Shanxi Securities convertible bond valuation model, if the stock price remains unchanged and no forced redemption or downward adjustment is considered, the reasonable valuation of Bairun Convertible Bond is between 123 and 128 yuan [6]

Group 1 - The non-liquor sector experienced a decline of 0.71% compared to the previous trading day, with BaiRun Co., Ltd. leading the losses [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3909.52, down 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13277.36, down 0.39% [1] - A table detailing the individual stock performance within the non-liquor sector was provided [1] Group 2 - In terms of capital flow, the non-liquor sector saw a net outflow of 237.91 thousand yuan from main funds, and a net outflow of 2324.29 thousand yuan from speculative funds, while retail investors had a net inflow of 2562.2 thousand yuan [2] - A table showing the capital flow for individual stocks in the non-liquor sector was included [2]

Group 1 - The company, BaiRun Co., Ltd. (002568), responded to investor inquiries on December 5, indicating that it discloses shareholder information in its periodic reports [1] - Investors are encouraged to pay attention to the announcement data in the company's periodic reports [1]

Market Overview - The non-liquor sector increased by 0.52% on December 2, with Huichuan Beer leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3897.71, down 0.42%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13056.7, down 0.68% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Huichuan Beer (600573) closed at 12.95, up 6.15% with a trading volume of 403,000 shares and a turnover of 527 million yuan [1] - Wujing Beer (000729) closed at 12.47, up 2.55% with a trading volume of 223,800 shares and a turnover of 278 million yuan [1] - Zhujiang Beer (002461) closed at 9.56, up 1.27% with a trading volume of 130,400 shares and a turnover of 125 million yuan [1] - ST Xifa (000752) closed at 12.59, up 1.21% with a trading volume of 57,600 shares and a turnover of 72.34 million yuan [1] - Chongqing Beer (600132) closed at 54.25, up 0.65% with a trading volume of 21,300 shares and a turnover of 115 million yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The non-liquor sector saw a net inflow of 113 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 94.81 million yuan [2][3] - Huichuan Beer had a net inflow of 191.1 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 64.7 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Wujing Beer experienced a net inflow of 24.35 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 42.18 million yuan from retail investors [3]