Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Views - The overall sales of liquor during the recent double festival are weak, with a year-on-year decline of 20%-30%, aligning with previous expectations. High-end brands like Moutai and Wuliangye performed relatively well, while lower-tier brands faced significant pressure [5] - The price stability of liquor during the double festival is noted, with slight increases observed post-festival. The report suggests monitoring price trends as e-commerce promotions begin [5] - The upcoming Sugar and Wine Conference is expected to provide marginal feedback, with the industry showing signs of bottoming out. The report emphasizes the importance of this event for potential recovery opportunities [6][7] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The food and beverage sector has underperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a 0.61% increase compared to the index's 1.80% rise over the past two weeks [14] - The soft drink segment saw the highest increase of 9.98%, while several companies like Zhuangyuan Pasture and Yangyuan Beverage led the gains [14] Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report highlights several key companies with their respective earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, recommending stocks such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao for investment [25] - The report provides a detailed table of key companies, their stock prices, and projected earnings for 2024, 2025, and 2026, indicating a bullish outlook for several firms [25] Investment Strategy - The report suggests that recent policy changes may improve macroeconomic expectations, potentially enhancing both valuation and performance in the food and beverage sector. The overall valuation remains low, justifying the "Recommended" rating [8][23] - Specific recommendations include high-end liquor brands and popular consumer goods, indicating a diversified investment strategy across different segments of the food and beverage industry [8][23]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage industry is "Recommended" [2][27]. Core Views - The performance of the liquor sector during the recent Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day was in line with market expectations, with an overall sales decline of 20%-30% [24][28]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in sub-industries with high growth potential and lower valuations after recent corrections [27][29]. Summary by Sections Recent Market Performance - The food and beverage sector experienced a slight decline, with the Shenwan Food and Beverage Index falling by 0.29%, ranking 27th among Shenwan's primary industries [5][27]. - Sub-industries such as dairy (+1.13%), condiments (+0.74%), and meat products (+0.60%) showed positive growth, while other liquor categories saw declines [14][27]. Liquor Industry Insights - The report indicates that high-end liquor brands like Moutai, Wuliangye, and Fenjiu performed relatively well despite the overall market downturn [24][28]. - The report anticipates continued pressure on the overall financial performance of the liquor sector as it enters the third-quarter reporting period [28]. Consumer Goods Sector - The soft drink and snack sectors maintain a high level of market vitality, with companies like Dongpeng Beverage and Yanjinpuzi showing growth potential [29]. - The report highlights that the soft drink category is a necessity for daily outings, suggesting resilience in growth during holiday periods [29]. Key Company Focus - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring companies such as Guizhou Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, and Wuliangye for their stable performance in the high-end liquor market [28]. - It also recommends attention to regional leaders like Shanxi Fenjiu and Gujing Gongjiu for their resilience [28]. Price Fluctuations - Recent price movements for key liquor products include an increase in the price of Feitian Moutai, with the price per bottle rising from 1760 RMB to 1765 RMB for loose bottles and from 1780 RMB to 1795 RMB for packaged bottles [19][21]. - The average price of fresh milk remained stable at 3.04 RMB per kilogram, while other commodity prices such as sugar and soybeans showed slight fluctuations [21][21]. Company Announcements - Dongpeng Beverage is in the process of issuing H-shares and has updated its listing application with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [24][29]. - Guangzhou Restaurant reported a 1.75% increase in mooncake sales compared to the previous year, with total sales reaching 13.98 million boxes [26]. Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for key companies, with Guizhou Moutai projected to have an EPS of 74.38 RMB in 2025, while Dongpeng Beverage is expected to reach 8.51 RMB [30][31]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for these companies indicate a favorable investment outlook, with Moutai at 19.2 and Dongpeng at 36.6 [30].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The report highlights structural growth opportunities in new products and channels within the consumer goods sector, particularly in the context of the 25Q3 performance forecast [2] - The performance of various sub-sectors is expected to vary, with specific companies showing significant growth potential due to category advantages and new channel expansions [10][12][14][15][16][19][21][22] Sub-sector Summaries 1.1 Snack Foods - The performance in 25Q3 is expected to be differentiated, with companies like Wanchen Group projected to achieve a revenue growth of 39% and a net profit growth of 382% [2][25] - Emphasis is placed on companies that can leverage category trends and new channel opportunities for sustained growth [10][11] 1.2 Soft Drinks - The energy drink segment is showing improved market conditions, with companies like Dongpeng Beverage expected to see a revenue growth of 31% and a net profit growth of 33% [2][25] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong brand power and channel capabilities for long-term growth [12][13] 1.3 Dairy Products - The dairy sector is anticipated to experience flat demand in 25Q3, with companies like Yili expected to see only a 2% revenue growth [2][25] - The report indicates that profitability may improve once raw milk prices stabilize [14] 1.4 Tea Drinks - The market is characterized by a leading player, Mixue Group, which is expected to expand its competitive edge through enhanced product offerings [2][15] - The mid-price segment is highlighted as a key growth area, with recommendations for companies like Guming [15] 1.5 Health Supplements - The report notes a trend towards increased concentration in the B-end market, with companies like Xianle Health projected to achieve a revenue growth of 15% [2][25] - The C-end market is advised to focus on high-growth single products [16][17] 1.6 Ready-to-Drink Alcohol - The performance in 25Q3 is expected to be strong, with companies like Bairun expected to see an 8% revenue growth [2][25] - New product launches are anticipated to drive sales growth [18] 1.7 Beer - The impact of the "drinking ban" is expected to be limited, with Qingdao Beer projected to achieve a 2% revenue growth and an 8% net profit growth [2][25] - The report suggests that the beer sector will see stable growth driven by structural upgrades and cost improvements [19][20] 1.8 Condiments - Leading companies like Haitian Flavoring are expected to maintain stable performance, with a revenue growth of 7% [2][25] - The report emphasizes the importance of robust market strategies during periods of flat demand [21] 1.9 Frozen Foods - The sector is facing weak demand, with companies like Anjixin expected to see a 6% revenue growth [2][25] - The report advises monitoring the recovery of the restaurant supply chain for potential investment opportunities [22][23] 1.10 Marinated Products - The focus is on improving store operations as the sector continues to recover from previous challenges [24] Key Company Tracking - The report provides a detailed forecast for various companies across different segments, highlighting expected revenue and net profit growth rates for 25Q3 [25]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a decline in liquor sales during the recent double festival period, while new consumer categories maintain growth [3][11] - The food and beverage index experienced a slight decline of 0.2%, ranking 15th among 28 sectors, outperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 0.4 percentage points [11][13] - The liquor market is estimated to have seen an overall sales decline of 20% during the double festival, aligning with previous market expectations [11][12] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights - The report notes that the liquor market is facing two types of differentiation: scene differentiation, where banquet scenarios are supported by demand for gatherings, and price differentiation, where high-end and cost-effective products perform well [11][12] - The beverage sector shows resilience due to its essential consumption nature, with functional drinks aligning with health trends and outdoor activities [12] Market Performance - The beverage sector outperformed the liquor sector, with soft drinks (+4.9%), dairy products (+1.8%), and health products (+1.3%) leading the performance [11][13] - Individual stocks such as Zhuangyuan Pasture, Yangyuan Beverage, and Guangming Meat Industry showed significant gains, while brands like Huanlejia and Gujing Gongjiu faced declines [11][13] Upstream Data - Some upstream raw material prices have decreased, with the price of whole milk powder showing a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [17][21] - The price of fresh milk has decreased by 3.2% year-on-year, indicating a downward trend in domestic milk prices [17][21] Liquor Industry News - The report mentions the global launch of a new 25-degree product by Shanxi Fenjiu, highlighting the brand's commitment to quality and innovation [42] - The report also notes a significant increase in sales for the "Maopu" brand, which saw a 115% year-on-year growth in September [42] Recommended Portfolio - The report recommends stocks such as Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, Ximai Food, Weilong Delicious, and Bairun Shares, emphasizing their growth potential and market positioning [4][46]

Market Overview - On October 10, the non-baijiu sector rose by 0.98% compared to the previous trading day, with Kuaijishan leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3897.03, down 0.94%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13355.42, down 2.7% [1] Stock Performance - Kuaijishan (601579) closed at 20.75, up 2.93% with a trading volume of 163,200 shares and a turnover of 341 million yuan [1] - Mogao Co. (600543) closed at 5.91, up 2.60% with a trading volume of 98,200 shares and a turnover of 57.97 million yuan [1] - ST Xifa (000752) closed at 10.90, up 1.87% with a trading volume of 31,100 shares and a turnover of 33.96 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include Nengliangzhangjiu (000729) at 12.25 (+1.41%), Huichuan Beer (600573) at 11.53 (+1.41%), and Jinfeng Wine Industry (600616) at 5.44 (+1.30%) [1] Capital Flow - The non-baijiu sector saw a net inflow of 33.59 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 21.95 million yuan [2] - However, there was a net outflow of 55.54 million yuan from speculative funds [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Kuaijishan (601579) had a net inflow of 26.81 million yuan from institutional investors, while it experienced a net outflow of 40.26 million yuan from retail investors [3] - ST Xifa (000752) saw a net inflow of 2.46 million yuan from institutional investors, with a slight net outflow from retail investors [3] - Mogao Co. (600543) experienced a net outflow of 1.68 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 4.63 million yuan from retail investors [3]

百润股份（002568.SZ）10月10日在投资者互动平台表示，您好！公司分别于今年3月和6月正式发布 了"百利得"单一调和威士忌系列产品和"崃州"单一麦芽威士忌系列产品，累计推出10个以上的SKU，崃 州威士忌流通产品矩阵初具规模；9月推出中国蒙古栎桶单一麦芽威士忌限量产品，坚守"做中国自己的 威士忌"的初心。公司威士忌流通产品于今年逐步开始投放市场，目前包括百利得和崃州在内的主要烈 酒产品尚在铺货的过程中。 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：你好，董秘，请问一下公司下半年在威士忌市场的布 局进展怎么样？市场占有率现在大概是多少？ （记者 曾健辉） ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details the conversion situation of the company's convertible bonds, including issuance, listing, and adjustments to the conversion price over time [1][2][3][5]. Group 1: Convertible Bond Issuance and Listing - The company issued 11.28 million convertible bonds with a total value of 112.8 million yuan, each with a face value of 100 yuan, approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [1]. - The bonds were listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on November 3, 2021, under the name "百润转债" and code "127046" [2]. Group 2: Conversion Price Adjustments - The initial conversion price was set at 66.89 yuan per share, which was adjusted to 66.83 yuan on January 24, 2022, and further adjusted to 47.44 yuan on June 16, 2022, following the company's equity distribution [3]. - The conversion price was adjusted to 47.45 yuan on July 19, 2023, and subsequently to 46.95 yuan on August 25, 2023, after the completion of the company's half-year equity distribution [5]. Group 3: Conversion Situation - In the third quarter of 2025, the company saw a reduction of 414 bonds (valued at 41,400 yuan) due to conversions, resulting in a total of 881 shares converted [5]. - As of September 30, 2025, the remaining convertible bonds amounted to 11,274,695 bonds, with a total value of 1,127,469,500 yuan [5]. Group 4: Corporate Changes - The company completed the registration of changes in its business license, reducing its registered capital from 1,049,368,955 yuan to 1,048,548,555 yuan, following the approval of stock repurchase and amendments to the articles of association [7].

Core Points - Company announced the convening of the sixth board of directors and supervisors meetings on April 25, 2025, and the annual shareholders meeting on May 19, 2025 [2] - The board approved the proposal to repurchase and cancel part of the restricted stock from the 2021 incentive plan and to modify the registered capital [2] - The company has completed the business registration change, with the registered capital reduced from 1,049,368,955 RMB to 1,048,548,555 RMB [2] Company Actions - The company has obtained a new business license from the Shanghai Municipal Market Supervision Administration [2] - The company has completed the filing of the amended articles of association [2]

| 证券代码：002568 | 证券简称：百润股份 | 公告编号：2025-041 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127046 | 债券简称：百润转债 | | 上海百润投资控股集团股份有限公司 经深交所"深证上[2021]1056号"文同意，公司112,800万元可转换公司债券 于2021年11月3日起在深交所挂牌交易，债券简称"百润转债"，债券代码"127046"。 百润转债2025年第三季度转股情况公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 一、可转换公司债券发行上市概况 （一）可转换公司债券发行情况 经中国证券监督管理委员会《关于核准上海百润投资控股集团股份有限公司 公开发行可转换公司债券的批复》（证监许可[2021]2939号）核准，公司于2021 年9月29日公开发行了1,128万张可转换公司债券，每张面值100元，发行总额 112,800万元。本次发行的可转换公司债券向发行人在股权登记日收市后中国证 券登记结算有限责任公司深圳分公司登记在册的原股东优先配售，原股东优先配 售后余额部分（含原股东放弃优 ...

上海百润投资控股集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 25 日召开第六届董事会第三次会议及第六届监事会第三次会议、于 2025 年 5 月 19 日召开 2024 年度股东大会，审议通过了《关于回购注销 2021 年限制性股票 激励计划部分限制性股票的议案》、《关于修改<公司章程>、变更注册资本的 议案》。 上海百润投资控股集团股份有限公司 关于完成工商变更登记的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 公司董事会根据股东大会授权，已于近日完成工商变更登记手续，取得上海 市 市 场 监 督 管 理 局 换 发 的 《 营 业 执 照 》 （ 统 一 社 会 信 用 代 码 ： 91310000632005686K ） ， 公 司 注 册 资 本 由 1,049,368,955 元 人 民 币 变 更 为 1,048,548,555 元人民币，同时完成了《公司章程》的工商备案。 证券代码：002568 证券简称：百润股份 公告编号：2025-042 债券代码：127046 债券简称：百润转债 董事会 二〇二五年十月十日 1 特 ...