- The report tracks the market trend by monitoring stocks that have reached new highs, using the 250-day high distance as a key metric[11] - The 250-day high distance is calculated as follows: $ 250 \text{ day high distance} = 1 - \frac{Close_t}{ts\_max(Close, 250)} $ where $ Close_t $ is the latest closing price and $ ts\_max(Close, 250) $ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11] - As of November 28, 2025, the 250-day high distances for major indices are: Shanghai Composite Index 3.50%, Shenzhen Component Index 5.40%, CSI 300 4.66%, CSI 500 6.85%, CSI 1000 4.10%, CSI 2000 2.78%, ChiNext Index 8.17%, and STAR 50 Index 13.77%[12][13] - The report identifies 1043 stocks that reached new 250-day highs in the past 20 trading days, with the highest numbers in the basic chemicals, power equipment and new energy, and machinery industries[19] - The report also tracks "stable new high stocks" based on analyst attention, relative stock strength, trend continuity, price path stability, and new high sustainability[23] - The selection criteria for stable new high stocks include: at least 5 buy or hold ratings in the past 3 months, top 20% in 250-day price change, and a composite score based on price path smoothness and new high continuity[26] - The report lists 26 stable new high stocks, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Guangku Technology, and Zhongkuang Resources, with the highest numbers in the cyclical and manufacturing sectors[27][30]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a positive outlook for the non-ferrous metals industry, with expectations of price increases and improved profitability driven by macroeconomic factors and supply chain dynamics [1][2][3] - The mining ETF (159690) has shown significant gains, reflecting the strong performance of constituent stocks such as Shengxin Lithium Energy and Zhongmin Resources, which are benefiting from the rising prices of non-ferrous metals [1] - The report from Galaxy Securities suggests that after a bottoming out in 2024, the industry will enter a new upward cycle in 2025, supported by macroeconomic recovery and liquidity easing from the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2 - In the industrial metals sector, copper supply constraints are expected to persist due to limited new projects and production disruptions, while demand is bolstered by traditional and new applications [2] - The cobalt market is anticipated to see upward price elasticity due to supply management policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo and increasing demand from electric vehicles and military reserves [2] - The rare metals sector, particularly rare earths, is projected to benefit from stable demand and enhanced strategic value, with domestic supply controls likely to strengthen the industry's global position [3] Group 3 - The mining ETF is described as a "non-ferrous amplifier," providing leveraged exposure to rising commodity prices, with a significant allocation to key resources like gold, silver, copper, lithium, and rare earths [3] - The ETF's performance is expected to be robust as global manufacturing stabilizes and demand from emerging industries such as renewable energy and artificial intelligence continues to grow [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant rise in rare metal stocks driven by the dual forces of new energy transition and high-end manufacturing upgrades, with the rare metal theme index showing a strong performance [1][2] - As of November 27, 2025, the rare metal ETF fund has accumulated a 15.14% increase over the past three months, indicating strong investor interest and market momentum [1] - The liquidity of the rare metal ETF fund is notable, with a turnover rate of 5.29% and a total transaction volume of 975.95 million yuan, reflecting active trading [1] Group 2 - The strategic value of rare metals is emphasized, with traditional demand remaining stable while emerging fields like humanoid robots and low-altitude economy are becoming significant growth drivers [2] - The industry is experiencing increased concentration due to tighter domestic supply controls and enhanced export regulations, which are expected to support rising rare metal prices and improve corporate profitability [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the rare metal theme index account for 60% of the index, with companies like Northern Rare Earth and Luoyang Molybdenum leading the way [2][4]

Group 1 - The A-share market for lithium mining stocks is experiencing a strong upward trend, with several companies nearing their daily price limits [1] - Major gainers include Dazhong Mining approaching the limit, Shengxin Lithium Energy rising over 8%, and Guocheng Mining, Yahua Group, and others increasing by over 5% [1] - The overall market sentiment is positive, indicated by the MACD golden cross signal formation, suggesting a favorable outlook for these stocks [2] Group 2 - Dazhong Mining has a market capitalization of 47.4 billion and has increased by 270.25% year-to-date [2] - Shengxin Lithium Energy has a market capitalization of 32.6 billion with a year-to-date increase of 158.49% [2] - Other notable companies include Guocheng Mining with a market cap of 29.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 114.30%, and Yahua Group with a market cap of 25.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 91.27% [2]

11月27日，中矿资源跌0.31%，成交额15.21亿元。两融数据显示，当日中矿资源获融资买入额2.14亿 元，融资偿还1.73亿元，融资净买入4049.17万元。截至11月27日，中矿资源融资融券余额合计20.62亿 元。 融资方面，中矿资源当日融资买入2.14亿元。当前融资余额20.33亿元，占流通市值的4.42%，融资余额 超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 融券方面，中矿资源11月27日融券偿还3.05万股，融券卖出8.95万股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 570.38万元；融券余量46.07万股，融券余额2936.03万元，超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 截至9月30日，中矿资源股东户数5.86万，较上期减少11.15%；人均流通股12139股，较上期增加 12.55%。2025年1月-9月，中矿资源实现营业收入48.18亿元，同比增长34.99%；归母净利润2.04亿元， 同比减少62.58%。 分红方面，中矿资源A股上市后累计派现17.28亿元。近三年，累计派现15.92亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，中矿资源十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流 通股东，持股 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector is experiencing a rebound, driven by increased demand from downstream industries such as energy storage and power batteries, alongside supply-side uncertainties [1] Industry Summary - As of November 27, 2025, the China Securities Rare Metals Theme Index rose by 0.54%, with notable increases in stocks such as Yunnan Zhenye (+5.63%) and Tin Industry Co. (+4.90%) [1] - The price of lithium carbonate futures previously exceeded 100,000 yuan/ton due to significant growth in demand and supply constraints [1] - The scarcity of strategic minor metals, coupled with rapid growth in demand from sectors like new energy, semiconductors, and military industries, is intensifying supply-demand conflicts [1] - Future price trends for rare metals are expected to continue upward due to ongoing resource scarcity, demand structure upgrades, and policy adjustments [1] Company Summary - According to Shenwan Hongyuan Research, the small metals sector is anticipated to see positive changes in 2026, with energy storage demand driving an earlier reversal in the lithium carbonate industry cycle [1] - The value of strategic minor metals such as rare earths, tungsten, and antimony is expected to be continuously reassessed in the context of de-globalization [1] - The restructuring of the global credit landscape and the continuation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts will support the favorable trends for precious and minor metals [1] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Rare Metals Theme Index accounted for 60% of the index, including companies like Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Ganfeng Lithium [1]

第2笔成交价格为63.93元，成交4.60万股，成交金额294.08万元，溢价率为0.00%，买方营业部为机构专 用，卖方营业部为机构专用。 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生4笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为2526.42万元。该股近5个交易日累 计下跌8.50%，主力资金合计净流入1.5亿元。 责任编辑：小浪快报 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 11月26日，中矿资源收涨3.82%，收盘价为63.93元，发生2笔大宗交易，合计成交量9.2万股，成交金额 588.16万元。 第1笔成交价格为63.93元，成交4.60万股，成交金额294.08万元，溢价率为0.00%，买方营业部为机构专 用，卖方营业部为机构专用。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the positive outlook for the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by recent market trends and potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3][4]. - The non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) has seen a price increase of 0.46% and has attracted 206 million yuan in the last 10 days, indicating strong investor interest [1]. - As of November 25, the total size of the non-ferrous metals ETF reached 686 million yuan, making it the largest among three ETFs tracking the same index [1]. Group 2 - Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Milan suggested increasing rate cuts to support the economy, with an 84.9% probability of a 25 basis point cut in December [3]. - Analysts believe that a Fed rate cut could boost non-ferrous metal prices due to currency depreciation, making metals cheaper in dollar terms and increasing global demand [3]. - Institutions are optimistic about the non-ferrous metals sector continuing a bull market, with key focus areas including copper and aluminum due to supply constraints and recovering demand, as well as lithium and cobalt driven by energy storage and battery needs [3]. Group 3 - The non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) and its linked funds provide comprehensive coverage of various metals, allowing for better risk diversification compared to investing in single metal sectors [4].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model tracks the distance of stock prices or indices from their 250-day high to monitor market trends and identify potential market leaders. It is based on the momentum and trend-following strategy, which has been proven effective in various studies[11][18]. - **Model Construction Process**: The 250-day new high distance is calculated as follows: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ represents the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance is 0. If the price has fallen from the high, the distance is a positive value, indicating the degree of decline[11]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively identifies market trends and highlights stocks or indices that are leading the market, aligning with the principles of momentum and trend-following strategies[11][18]. 2. Model Name: Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model focuses on selecting stocks that exhibit stable price paths and consistent momentum, as smoother price trajectories are associated with stronger momentum effects[24][27]. - **Model Construction Process**: The selection process involves the following criteria: - **Analyst Attention**: At least 5 buy or overweight ratings in the past 3 months - **Relative Strength**: 250-day price change in the top 20% of the market - **Price Stability**: Stocks are ranked based on: - **Price Path Smoothness**: Ratio of price displacement to the total price path - **Sustainability of New Highs**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days - **Trend Continuity**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days The top 50 stocks based on these criteria are selected[24][27]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model emphasizes the importance of smooth price paths and consistent momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24][27]. --- Model Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: 250-Day New High Distance - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the relative distance of a stock's price from its 250-day high, serving as an indicator of momentum and trend strength[11]. - **Factor Construction Process**: The formula is: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ is the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures momentum and trend-following characteristics, making it a reliable indicator for identifying market leaders[11]. 2. Factor Name: Price Path Smoothness - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor evaluates the smoothness of a stock's price trajectory, as smoother paths are associated with stronger momentum effects[24]. - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the ratio of price displacement to the total price path over a specified period - Rank stocks based on this ratio and select the top performers[24]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor highlights stocks with stable momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24]. --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Factor - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Price Path Smoothness Factor - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33]

| 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002978 安宁股份 | | 1837.27万 | 5.48% | 1109.91万 | 3.31% | -2947.18万 | -8.78% | | 000960 铝亚股份 | | 1573.04万 | 1.42% | 1443.22万 | 1.30% | -3016.27万 | -2.72% | | 301026 浩通科技 | | -159.34万 | -1.52% | 1322.31万 | 12.64% | -- -1162.98万 | -11.12% | | 920068 天工股份 | | -331.51万 | -6.35% | -332.76万 | -6.37% | 35.85万 | 0.69% | | 688750 金天钛业 | | -350.74万 | -3.80% | -602.48万 | -6.53% | 953.22万 | 10.34% | | 6 ...