据中证金牛座，当地时间2月25日，津巴布韦矿业部发文称，已暂停所有原矿和锂精矿的出口，即刻生 效。记者梳理获悉，上市公司盛新锂能、中矿资源、天华新能、雅化集团等均在津巴布韦有锂矿等布 局。 华友钴业相关负责人对记者表示，此次津巴布韦的"禁令"主要是对违规出口的监管，公司的采矿证是当 地矿业部颁发的，目前还不确定具体影响有多大。 雅化集团相关负责人对记者表示："公司已经提前把津巴布韦生产的锂精矿全部发出来。最近一段时 间，当地'暂停出口'对公司的生产端不会造成影响。"该负责人进一步表示："根据文件看，未在当地取 得采矿证以及选矿资格的贸易商与代理商，已不具备出口资质。但雅化集团可以继续申请出口，需要在 出口许可流程上补充相关资料，公司已经着手推进。" 对此，中矿资源相关负责人回应称："所有中方在津巴布韦锂精矿出口全部停了，等待后续政策细则。 目前，中方企业在当地锂的深加工产品基本没有，量很小。公司有相关的产业链延伸计划考虑，但现在 不便公开。" ...

证券研究报告·行业研究·电力设备与新能源行业 需求超预期，开启26-27年向上新周期 ——碳酸锂专题 电新首席证券分析师 ：曾朵红 执业证书编号：S0600516080001 联系邮箱：zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 电动车首席证券分析师 ：阮巧燕 执业证书编号：S0600517120002 联系邮箱：ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 联系电话：021-60199793 2026年2月26日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 1 摘要 注：全文的"预计"若无特别说明，均为东吴证券研究所预测 ◆ 供给：增量供给为非矿、澳矿、国内盐湖，增量多集中于26H2。中性情况下，26年全球锂矿供给214万吨， 新增44万吨，若津巴布韦锂精矿出口恢复低于预期，则实际新增更低；27年262万吨，新增48万吨；28年 303万吨，新增41万吨。其中，26年增量主要来自：国内盐湖新增8.4万吨（麻米措、察尔汗、拉果措）、国 内矿山6.6万吨（枧下窝复产、新疆红柳滩、党坝、加达、湘源矿）、海外盐湖6.9万吨（3Q、Mariana和 CO）、澳矿的7.8万吨（泰利森和皮尔巴拉以及Marion等矿山达产）、非矿11.5万吨（中 ...

新能源车ETF（515030）是目前市场上规模最大的新能源车主题ETF，与其联接基金（013013/013014） 跟踪中证新能源汽车指数（399976），选取涉及锂电池、充电桩、新能源整车等业务的上市公司股票作 为成份股，锂电池概念权重占比高达79.98%，前十大重仓股中涵盖了宁德时代（300750）、华友钴业 （603799）、亿纬锂能（300014）、赣锋锂业（002460）、中矿资源（002738）等行业龙头。助力投资 者一键布局。 中信证券表示，2025年中国19%的进口锂精矿来自津巴布韦，预计2026年津巴布韦锂资源产量占全球 12%，该国的锂矿出口禁令将导致中国碳酸锂短期供应愈发紧缺，有望推动锂价大幅上涨。 2月25日下午，多家国际媒体几乎同时放出重磅消息。据Reuters报道，津巴布韦政府宣布立即暂停所有 原材料及锂精矿出口，包括正在运输途中的货物。未来仅持有效采矿权及获批选矿厂的企业具备出口资 格，禁止代理及第三方贸易商出口。申请时需提交省级矿业办关于选矿能力及合规的建议信，并申报矿 物成分。违规者（如续用过期待办）将吊销出口许可乃至采矿权。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zimbabwe's Ministry of Mines has announced an immediate suspension of all unprocessed mineral and lithium concentrate exports, significantly impacting the global lithium supply chain [1][5][7]. Group 1: Market Impact - Following the announcement, U.S. lithium producers saw significant stock price increases, with Sigma Lithium rising nearly 30% and Livent up 8% [1]. - In the A-share market, lithium-related stocks were notably active, with companies like Keli Yuan and Jinyuan shares hitting the daily limit, and Salt Lake shares increasing over 8% [3]. - The price of lithium carbonate has surged, with recent contracts reaching 175,960 yuan per ton, reflecting a 4.84% increase [8]. Group 2: Supply Chain Dynamics - Zimbabwe is the fourth largest lithium producer globally and the largest in Africa, with over 90% of its lithium concentrate exported to China [7]. - The suspension of exports is part of a broader trend, as countries like Namibia and Botswana have implemented similar measures, reshaping the global lithium supply chain towards local processing [7]. - By 2025, Zimbabwe's lithium concentrate production is expected to account for 12% of global supply, with China importing 15.5% of its lithium concentrate from Zimbabwe [7]. Group 3: Domestic Industry Response - China's lithium upstream inventory is critically low, with less than 20,000 tons available, which may exacerbate supply shortages due to the export ban [10]. - The ban is expected to create a supply gap of up to 20,000 tons per month, further intensifying the existing supply-demand imbalance in the lithium market [11]. - The situation may lead to a short-term increase in lithium prices, benefiting domestic lithium companies and prompting them to accelerate overseas mining investments [13]. Group 4: Beneficiary Companies - Huayou Cobalt holds a 51% stake in Zimbabwe's Arcadia lithium mine, with a lithium carbonate equivalent of 245,000 tons, and is developing a processing plant [14]. - Zhongkuang Resources fully controls Zimbabwe's Bikita lithium mine, which is the largest operational lithium mine in Africa, with a high lithium oxide grade [14]. - Tianqi Lithium has full control over the Talison lithium mine, ensuring a self-sufficient resource rate and benefiting from rising lithium prices [14]. - Ganfeng Lithium, a global leader in the lithium industry, has a diversified resource layout and is well-positioned to avoid risks from Zimbabwe's export ban [15].

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月26日，有色矿业ETF招商（159690）开盘涨0.78%，报2.444元。有色矿业ETF招商（159690）重仓股 方面，紫金矿业开盘涨0.66%，洛阳钼业涨1.19%，北方稀土跌0.12%，华友钴业涨3.39%，中国铝业涨 1.63%，赣锋锂业涨4.44%，山东黄金涨0.00%，云铝股份涨1.08%，中金黄金跌0.60%，中矿资源涨 0.04%。 有色矿业ETF招商（159690）业绩比较基准为中证有色金属矿业主题指数收益率，管理人为招商基金管 理有限公司，基金经理为王宁远，成立（2023-06-21）以来回报为142.14%，近一个月回报为2.55%。 ...

2月25日，中矿资源涨5.56%，成交额24.64亿元。两融数据显示，当日中矿资源获融资买入额2.77亿 元，融资偿还2.43亿元，融资净买入3436.65万元。截至2月25日，中矿资源融资融券余额合计26.23亿 元。 截至9月30日，中矿资源股东户数5.86万，较上期减少11.15%；人均流通股12139股，较上期增加 12.55%。2025年1月-9月，中矿资源实现营业收入48.18亿元，同比增长34.99%；归母净利润2.04亿元， 同比减少62.58%。 分红方面，中矿资源A股上市后累计派现17.28亿元。近三年，累计派现15.92亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，中矿资源十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流 通股东，持股1739.65万股，相比上期增加98.88万股。南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第四大流通股 东，持股1052.36万股，相比上期减少21.70万股。东方新能（维权）源汽车主题混合（400015）位居第 五大流通股东，持股966.44万股，相比上期减少143.91万股。南方中证申万有色金属ETF发起联接A （004432）位居第九大流通股东，持股5 ...

有色金属周报 20260219 美国非农超预期+春节来临，金属价格震荡 glmszqdatemark 贵金属：美国 1 月非农数据超预期，降息预期回落，美伊谈判取得阶段性进展但未来变数 较大，长期来看央行购金+美元信用弱化主线难以根本性扭转，继续坚定看好金价上行。 美国 1 月非农新增就业 13 万个，显著高于市场预期的 7 万个，失业率降至 4.3%，低于预 期的 4.4%，降息预期回落，美国和伊朗就核问题进行接触，双方称谈判取得进展，美伊冲 突释放阶段性缓和信号，压制避险需求，但未来双方局势不确定较大，中长期央行购金+美 元信用弱化仍为主线，看好金银价格中枢上移。白银价格可能依然走弱，这轮周期使得光 伏需求承压，银浆成本占比飙升，未来贱金属化成趋势。重点推荐：紫金黄金国际、中国 黄金国际、西部黄金、山东黄金、招金矿业、中金黄金、赤峰黄金、潼关黄金、万国黄金 集团，建议关注灵宝黄金、大唐黄金和集海资源等，白银标的推荐兴业银锡、盛达资源。 风险提示：需求不及预期、供给超预期释放、海外地缘政治风险。 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, among others [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the U.S. non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations with an addition of 130,000 jobs in January, leading to a decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.3%. This has resulted in a cooling of interest rate cut expectations [2]. - The report expresses a positive long-term outlook for gold prices, driven by central bank purchases and a weakening U.S. dollar credit [2]. - The report notes that silver prices may continue to weaken due to pressure from photovoltaic demand and rising costs in silver paste, indicating a trend towards cheaper metals [2]. Summary by Sections Industry and Stock Performance - The report indicates that the SW Non-ferrous Index rose by 1.67% during the week, while the COMEX gold price increased by 1.51% and COMEX silver decreased by 0.33% [9]. - The report provides a detailed performance analysis of key stocks, with several companies recommended for investment based on their earnings forecasts and valuations [3]. Base Metals - The report discusses the fluctuations in base metal prices, noting that aluminum prices have been under pressure due to high inventory levels and seasonal demand declines as the Chinese New Year approaches [25][26]. - Copper prices experienced volatility, initially rising but later falling due to strong U.S. employment data and cautious market sentiment ahead of the holiday [45]. Precious Metals and Minor Metals - The report states that gold and silver prices have seen fluctuations, with gold averaging 1101.52 CNY per gram, down 0.83% from the previous week, while silver prices fell significantly [74]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing geopolitical tensions and their impact on precious metal prices, with a focus on the potential for price recovery as market conditions evolve [78]. Energy Metals - The report highlights a clear shortage in the energy metals sector, particularly lithium and cobalt, with expectations for price increases post-holiday as demand recovers [9]. - Nickel prices are anticipated to rise due to the implementation of Indonesia's nickel ore export quota policy [9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the new energy sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by government policies and market dynamics, particularly in the context of the electricity market reform and lithium prices [1][2]. Group 2 - As of February 25, 2026, the New Energy ETF (516160) rose by 2.24%, with a trading volume of 201 million yuan and a turnover rate of 2.88% [1]. - The State Council issued an implementation opinion on improving the national unified electricity market system, marking a shift towards a more systematic approach to electricity market reform [1]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the China New Energy Index include major players such as CATL, Sungrow Power, and LONGi Green Energy, reflecting the overall performance of the new energy sector [3]. Group 3 - UBS has raised its price forecasts for lithium spodumene and carbonate, indicating that the global lithium market has entered a third price supercycle, driven by the electric vehicle sector [2]. - The cost of single battery cells has decreased to $55 per kWh, nearly a 50% reduction since 2020, with manufacturing costs continuing to decline by approximately 10% annually [2]. - The upcoming Beijing Auto Show is expected to stimulate market demand as new flagship models are set to be launched, potentially leading to a rebound in new energy vehicle penetration rates [2].

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 2月25日，有色ETF银华（159871）开盘涨0.35%，报1.145元。有色ETF银华（159871）重仓股方面，紫 金矿业开盘涨0.20%，洛阳钼业涨0.61%，北方稀土涨0.36%，华友钴业涨1.06%，中国铝业涨0.85%，赣 锋锂业涨1.43%，山东黄金跌0.30%，云铝股份涨0.72%，中金黄金跌0.32%，中矿资源涨0.75%。 有色ETF银华（159871）业绩比较基准为中证有色金属指数收益率，管理人为银华基金管理股份有限公 司，基金经理为谭跃峰，成立（2021-03-10）以来回报为127.80%，近一个月回报为-1.72%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...