证券代码：002938 证券简称：鹏鼎控股 公告编号：2025-035 礼鼎半导体为因应《公司法》规定与考虑未来资金运用计划，进行定向减资， 减去部分股东未实缴之出资，将公司认缴注册资本总额由 17,846.4543 万美元 变更为 11,013.121 万美元，股东 Monterey Park Finance Limited 的认购出资额 由 13,000 万美元变更为 6,166.6667 万美元。变更前后，股东出资情况如下： | | 股东名称 | 变更前 | | 变更后 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 认缴出资额 | 出资比例 | 认缴出资额 | 出资比例 | | | | (美元) | | (美元) | | | 1 | Monterey Park Finance Limited | 13,000 万 | 72.84% | 6,166.6667 万 | 55.99% | | 2 | 硕沅有限公司 | 865.6405 万 | 4.85% | 865.6405 万 | 7.86% | | 3 | 沂瑞有限公司 | 451 万 | 2.53% | ...

Group 1 - The AI PC concept sector experienced a decline of 1.31%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with notable declines from companies such as Sihua New Materials, Demingli, and Longqi Technology [1][2] - Among the AI PC concept stocks, only four saw price increases, with China Great Wall rising by 7.84%, Geling Deep Vision by 2.36%, and Haopeng Technology by 2.14% [1][3] - The AI PC concept sector had a net inflow of 783 million yuan from main funds, despite 30 stocks experiencing net outflows, with Softcom Power leading the outflow at 102 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top gainers in today's concept sectors included Glyphosate with a rise of 6.09%, Dairy Industry at 3.55%, and Supply and Marketing Cooperatives at 2.72%, while the AI PC concept was among the laggards [2] - The main funds saw significant net outflows from several companies, including Changying Precision, Baiwei Storage, and Pengding Holdings, with outflows of 95 million yuan, 52 million yuan, and 51 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The leading stocks for net inflow included China Great Wall with 1.245 billion yuan, Shenghong Technology with 87 million yuan, and Yuncong Technology with 19 million yuan [2][3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) with a target price of 33.63 CNY [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the AI industry trends and is actively upgrading its production capacity to meet the growing demand for high-end HDI and SLP products [4][9] - The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 35.14 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 3.62 billion CNY, a growth of 10.1% [9] - The company is focusing on expanding its market share in the AI edge PCB market and has seen significant growth in its automotive and server PCB segments [9] Financial Forecasts - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.77 CNY, 2.15 CNY, and 2.44 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][13] - Revenue is expected to grow from 32.07 billion CNY in 2023 to 50.54 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.9% [7] - The gross margin is projected to improve slightly from 21.3% in 2023 to 22.4% in 2027 [7] Business Segments - The company’s communication PCB business is expected to generate 24.24 billion CNY in revenue in 2024, a growth of 3.08%, while the consumer electronics and computer PCB business is projected to reach 9.75 billion CNY, growing by 22.3% [9] - The automotive and server PCB segments have shown substantial growth, with a revenue increase of 90.34% in 2024, reaching 1.025 billion CNY [9] Capital Expenditure - The company plans to invest 5 billion CNY in capital expenditures in 2025 to support its production capacity upgrades and global expansion [9]

Group 1 - The company has a high export ratio but does not have direct sales to the US [1] - Products are delivered to domestic and Asian downstream assembly plants, with minimal direct procurement from the US [1] - Current tariff events have no direct impact on the company [1]

Group 1 - The "China Listed Companies Value 100" list for 2024 highlights the importance of advanced manufacturing and AI innovation, high-quality development of private enterprises, and the cultivation of new consumption [1][2] - Yunnan Aluminum Co., Ltd. topped the list with a comprehensive score of 91.59, followed by Huayi Group, Beixin Building Materials, and COSCO Shipping Holdings [1] - The manufacturing sector leads with 67 listed companies, particularly in high-growth areas such as new energy, semiconductors, AI hardware, electronic manufacturing, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] Group 2 - High-end liquor companies like Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Shanxi Fenjiu continue to rank on the list, while food and beverage companies like Haitian Flavoring and Dongpeng Special Drink achieve rapid growth through expanded sales channels [2] - The AI industry in China is projected to reach a scale of 269.7 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of over 30% expected from 2025 to 2029 [2] - The "Data Asset Listed Companies Analysis Report" indicates that 100 companies disclosed data resource entries in their 2024 annual reports, with positive impacts on stock prices concentrated in high-relevance sectors like information technology [3]

Group 1 - The rapid development of AI technology is leading to an increase in AI smartphone penetration and a decrease in prices, with the Meizu Note 16 series being the lowest-priced AI smartphone at 594.15 yuan [1] - The market has seen a shift towards AI smartphones in both high-end and mid-range segments, with prices now dropping below 1,000 yuan for several models, including those from OPPO and vivo [1] - The Meizu Note 16 series features the Flyme AIOS 2 operating system and integrates with Alibaba Cloud's Qwen-Omni model, offering various AI functionalities such as AI assistant and AI image recognition [1] Group 2 - There are significant differences in AI functionalities across different price segments, with high-end smartphones utilizing more powerful NPU chips for enhanced AI capabilities, while budget models rely more on cloud-based AI [2] - The chip is the most significant cost component in smartphones, with the Meizu Note 16 using a 6nm chip and the Note 16 Pro using a 4nm chip, indicating a trend towards more advanced technology in budget devices [2] - The demand for affordable AI smartphones is driving chip manufacturers like Qualcomm and MediaTek to develop mid-range and entry-level chips with AI capabilities [2] Group 3 - The trend of AI integration in smartphones is expected to continue, with an estimated 31.6% of new AI smartphones having NPU capabilities greater than 30 TOPS, projected to rise to 36.2% by 2025 [3] - The growth of AI functionalities in smartphones is positively impacting the performance of related companies, such as Sunlord Electronics, which is experiencing increased demand for components due to the rise in AI features [3] - Companies like Pengding Holdings are fully embracing AI, developing a comprehensive product matrix that includes AI smartphones and other AI consumer products, positioning themselves as key players in the global AI supply chain [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][17]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from stable revenue growth in 2024, driven by the AI wave, with projected revenue of 35.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [1][8]. - The company has established a comprehensive product matrix for AI end-side consumer electronics, positioning itself well for future market opportunities [3][8]. - The report highlights the company's strong performance in the automotive and server PCB segments, with a significant revenue increase of 90.34% in 2024 [2][7]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Projections**: The company forecasts revenues of 32.07 billion yuan in 2023, increasing to 35.14 billion yuan in 2024, and further to 39.60 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12% from 2024 to 2027 [1][9]. - **Net Profit**: The net profit is projected to rise from 3.29 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.62 billion yuan in 2024, with a continued upward trend to 5.73 billion yuan by 2027 [1][9]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is expected to grow from 1.42 yuan in 2023 to 2.47 yuan in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [1][9]. - **Valuation Metrics**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 20.7 in 2023 to 11.9 by 2027, suggesting improving valuation as earnings grow [1][9]. Market Demand and Product Segmentation - The report notes a recovery in market demand for smartphones and consumer electronics, supported by government policies such as trade-in programs and subsidies [2][3]. - Revenue from communication boards, consumer electronics, and computing boards is expected to be 24.24 billion yuan, 9.75 billion yuan, and 1.03 billion yuan respectively in 2024, with significant growth rates of 3.08%, 22.30%, and 90.34% [2][3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively enhancing its capabilities in the automotive PCB market, with plans for significant capital expenditures to support R&D and market expansion [7][8]. - The establishment of the ONE AVARY platform aims to integrate technology and resources across the AI product value chain, enhancing competitive advantages [3][8].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue increase of 9.59% year-on-year for 2024, driven by market demand recovery and new product launches, while Q1 2025 showed a significant revenue growth of 20.94% year-on-year despite a quarter-on-quarter decline [1] Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 35.14 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.62 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 10.14% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 8.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.94%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 30.61% [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 20.76%, a decrease of 0.58 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 10.30%, an increase of 0.05 percentage points year-on-year [1] Product Segmentation - Revenue from communication boards, consumer electronics and computer boards, and automotive and server boards for 2024 was 24.24 billion yuan, 9.75 billion yuan, and 1.03 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.08%, 22.30%, and 90.34% [1] - AI-related products accounted for over 45% of the revenue in the consumer electronics and computer boards segment, which generated 9.75 billion yuan in 2024 [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on AI integration across its product lines, establishing a comprehensive product matrix for AI consumer electronics, including AI smartphones, PCs, and glasses [3] - Significant capital expenditure is planned for 2025, targeting projects such as the Thailand facility, flexible board expansion, and digital transformation [4] - The company is advancing its automotive PCB product development and market entry, achieving mass production of radar computing boards and domain control boards in 2024 [4] Market Outlook - The recovery in consumer electronics demand, driven by policy support and AI technology penetration, is expected to provide substantial growth opportunities for the company [5] - Forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 4.13 billion yuan, 4.93 billion yuan, and 5.73 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.82 yuan, 2.14 yuan, and 2.47 yuan [5]

Group 1 - Shenghong Technology plans to invest up to 3 billion yuan in fixed and intangible asset purchases, including new factory construction, equipment acquisition, and automation upgrades [1] - The investment aims to enhance the company's core competitiveness and ensure sustainable development, responding to high capacity utilization and strong order backlog [1] - The demand for multilayer boards and high-density interconnect boards is expected to grow significantly in the next five years, driven by the AI wave in sectors like automotive electronics and servers [1] Group 2 - Multiple PCB companies, including Pengding Holdings, Qiangda Circuit, and Hush Electronics, are investing in high-end product projects this year [2] - Pengding Holdings anticipates a capital expenditure of 5 billion yuan in 2025, focusing on high-density interconnect boards and digital transformation projects [2] - Qiangda Circuit is constructing a project for multilayer and high-density interconnect boards to meet the needs of 5G communication, automotive electronics, and AI [2] - Hush Electronics is increasing investment in key processes to improve capacity for high-end products, expecting significant capacity improvements by the second half of 2025 [2] Group 3 - The development of AI presents vast market opportunities for the PCB industry, prompting companies to invest in new technologies and materials [3] - Companies are encouraged to enhance their capabilities and competitiveness in the PCB sector through strategic investments [3]

Concept Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today include China Shipbuilding System with a gain of 6.55%, Chengfei Concept at 5.77%, and Military Information Technology at 4.28% [1] - Conversely, the underperforming sectors include Recombinant Protein down by 0.94%, Sugar Substitute down by 0.82%, and Transgenic down by 0.77% [1] Capital Inflow - The Tonghuashun Fruit Index concept sector saw a net inflow of 2.447 billion yuan, with 18 stocks experiencing net inflows and 8 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [1] - Leading the net inflow is Luxshare Precision with 836 million yuan, followed by Dongshan Precision, GoerTek, and Lens Technology with net inflows of 266 million yuan, 254 million yuan, and 201 million yuan respectively [1] Stock Performance - As of May 12, the Tonghuashun Fruit Index concept rose by 4.17%, ranking fourth among concept sectors, with 20 stocks increasing in value [3] - Notable gainers include Lens Technology at 9.63%, Changying Precision at 7.04%, and Luxshare Precision at 6.36% [3] Capital Inflow Ratios - Leading the capital inflow ratios are Lingyi iTech, Dongshan Precision, and Pengding Holdings with net inflow rates of 12.28%, 10.69%, and 10.53% respectively [2][4] - The detailed capital inflow data shows that Luxshare Precision had a turnover rate of 3.80% with a net inflow ratio of 9.08% [2]