Summary of Tigermed (3347.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tigermed (3347.HK) - **Market Cap**: HK$51,795 million (approximately US$6,654 million) [2] Industry Insights - **Industry**: Innovative drugs financing in China - **Growth Metrics**: - Total financing size for innovative drugs in China increased by 342% year-over-year (yoy) to Rmb18.0 billion in December 2025, marking a new high in the past three years [1] - Primary market financing for innovative drugs grew by 140% yoy to US$1.1 billion in December 2025 [1] - For the year 2025, total financing and primary market financing sizes rose by 38% and 25% yoy, respectively [1] Financial Performance and Projections - **Booking Growth**: Tigermed is expected to deliver higher new booking growth in 2026 compared to a mid-teens percentage in 2025 [1] Valuation - **Target Price**: HK$73.00, representing a potential upside of 72.0% from the current price of HK$42.44 [2] - **Expected Total Return**: 72.8%, including a dividend yield of 0.8% [2] - **Valuation Breakdown**: - HK$21.8 per share for clinical trial solutions - HK$35.8 per share for clinical-related and laboratory services - HK$0.4 per share for other services - HK$1.5 per share for net cash - HK$13.5 per share for investment income [11] Risks - **Downside Risks**: - Weaker-than-expected client orders - Intense market competition - Less-than-expected investment gains - Increased investment in AI potentially affecting operating profit margin (OPM) - Margin pressure due to overseas expansion - Lower-than-expected long-term margins with AI adoption [12] Conclusion - Tigermed is positioned to benefit from the significant growth in the innovative drugs financing sector in China, with strong projections for new bookings and a favorable valuation outlook. However, potential risks related to market dynamics and operational challenges must be monitored closely.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical sector is currently in a left-side layout phase after adjustments in 2025, with both institutional holdings and valuations positioned for upward elasticity, particularly in innovative drugs and their supply chains for 2026, benefiting from China's strengthening innovation competitiveness [1][4] - The recovery of the innovative industry chain is expected to continue, with CDMO orders and performance starting to recover from 2024, further improving in 2025 and expected to sustain into 2026 [1][9] Core Insights and Arguments - The driving forces behind the enhancement of China's innovation competitiveness include the successful implementation of business development (BD), overseas clinical progress, and commercialization, along with breakthroughs in new technologies such as XDC, dual antibodies, and small nucleic acids [5] - Investment opportunities in 2026 are concentrated in globally competitive assets, including innovative drugs, high-end manufacturing, and domestic demand-related sectors, particularly those with recovery logic [2] - The domestic demand recovery trend is clear, strengthening quarter by quarter in 2025, driven by high domestic innovation BD, a warming primary and secondary market, and an increase in IPOs in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [20] Notable Companies and Technologies - Key companies to watch include Innovent Biologics, Botai Biological Products, and Engen Biologics, which are core recommended assets due to their potential for significant data readouts and BD catalysts [6][10] - In the CRO sector, companies like Tigermed and Zhaoyan New Drug are expected to see performance turning points in 2026, supported by a recovery in domestic demand [3][21] - The CDMO sector is projected to continue its growth trajectory, with leading companies such as WuXi AppTec and Kelun Biotech expected to perform well due to increasing orders from overseas [22][23] Emerging Technologies and Investment Opportunities - Emerging technologies such as brain-computer interfaces and AI in pharmaceuticals are anticipated to bring new investment opportunities, with potential IPOs in these areas [12][29] - The central OTC sector is expected to see marginal recovery in 2026, with key companies like China Resources and Dong'e Ejiao being highlighted for their potential growth [13][30] Upcoming Catalysts and Key Events - Important upcoming events include the JPMorgan conference, which may provide data updates and BD changes, and significant data readouts expected in Q1 and April from major conferences [8][10] - The performance of companies in the first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to show significant elasticity and fundamental support, particularly in the CRO and innovative drug sectors [11][20] Conclusion - The pharmaceutical industry is positioned for a recovery phase with significant investment opportunities in innovative drugs, CDMO, and CRO sectors, driven by domestic demand recovery and technological advancements. Key companies and upcoming events will play a crucial role in shaping the market dynamics in 2026 [1][2][4][20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the following A-share targets: Jiangsu Heng Rui Medicine, Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical, Huadong Medicine, Jiangsu Nhwa Pharmaceutical, Xiamen Amoytop Biotech, Zhejiang Jingxin Pharmaceutical, Innovent Biologics, WuXi AppTec, Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting, Lepu Medical, MicroPort EP MedTech [5][36][8] - The report also maintains an "Outperform" rating for the following H-share targets: Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group, 3SBio, PATEO Biotech, Akeso, and related targets: Innovent Biologics, WuXi AppTec [8][36] Core Insights - The report continues to recommend the innovative drug and device industry and its supply chains, indicating a positive outlook for this sector [1][36] - In December 2025, the pharmaceutical sector underperformed the market, with the SW Pharmaceutical and Biological index falling by 4.1%, while the SHCOMP rose by 2.1%, ranking 26th among Shenwan primary industries [15][37] - The report highlights that the premium level of the pharmaceutical sector relative to all A-shares is currently at a normal level, with a relative premium rate of 63.2% as of the end of December 2025 [25][37] Summary by Sections A-Share Targets - The report includes a monthly portfolio of A-share targets that outperformed the pharmaceutical index, with a monthly average decline of 1.8% compared to the overall pharmaceutical index decline of 3.9% in December 2025 [11][36] - The top three stock gains in December 2025 were Luyan Pharma (+118.8%), CareRay Digital Medical Technology Co., Ltd. (+36.6%), and Hubei Hongyuan Pharmaceutical Technology Co., Ltd. (+34.0%) [24][37] H-Share Targets - The report notes that the Hong Kong stock pharmaceutical sector also underperformed the market, with the Hang Seng Healthcare index falling by 9.5% and the Hong Kong Biological Technology index falling by 10.6% in December 2025 [26][38] U.S. Market Performance - In December 2025, the U.S. pharmaceutical sector underperformed the market, with the S&P 500 Healthcare Select Sector declining by 1.5% while the S&P 500 fell by only 0.1% [26][39]

Group 1 - CRO concept stocks are performing strongly, with notable increases in share prices: Zhaoyan New Drug up 11.52% to HKD 22.26, Tigermed up 5.98% to HKD 44.98, WuXi AppTec up 4.65% to HKD 105.7, and Kanglong Chemical up 4.59% to HKD 20.74 [1] - Huafu Securities reports that external demand for CXO companies has significantly improved since 2024, with a recovery in year-on-year growth expected from Q4 2024 through Q3 2025, indicating a clear trend of industry rebound [1] - Yongxing Securities notes that the domestic CXO industry is experiencing an upward trend in light of improved investment and financing conditions for innovative drugs, with strong demand for specialized CDMO services driven by the expanding market for emerging fields such as peptides, CGT, ADC, and nucleic acid drugs [1] Group 2 - The domestic CXO sector has shown relatively weaker performance compared to external demand since the beginning of 2025, but there is a strong certainty of recovery from the front-end to the back-end, suggesting potential left-side opportunities [1] - Chinese CDMO companies are expected to open growth ceilings through capacity expansion, technological layout, and model innovation, building barriers in niche markets while accommodating global orders [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector experienced a significant rebound in 2025, driven by innovation, and is expected to reach new highs in 2026 [4][17] - The A-share market saw a 12.9% increase year-to-date, while the H-share market surged by 57% [18] - The report emphasizes the importance of tracking macroeconomic conditions and the potential for valuation recovery in the consumer healthcare sector [4][24] Market Review - The CITIC Pharmaceutical Index fell by 2.0% in the week of December 29, 2025, to January 2, 2026, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.4 percentage points [3][32] - Year-to-date, the CITIC Pharmaceutical Index has risen by 12.9%, lagging behind the CSI 300 Index by 4.8 percentage points [32] - The top-performing stocks for the week included Duorui Pharmaceutical (+15.9%) and Mailland (+10.3%) [47] Sector Performance - The report highlights significant sector differentiation, with the medical services sector (including CXO and innovative supply chains) showing the highest growth, exceeding 50% [24] - The quarterly performance showed a strong start in Q1, followed by fluctuations in Q2 and Q4 due to various market catalysts [27] Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on innovative drugs, particularly those with revenue and performance exceeding expectations, as well as companies benefiting from technological advancements [5][4] - Specific stocks recommended for January include Kangfang Biotech, WuXi AppTec, and Aidi Pharmaceutical [5][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the innovative pharmaceutical and medical device industry chain [4][8]. Core Viewpoints - The report continues to recommend the innovative pharmaceutical and medical device industry chain, highlighting a selection of A-share and H-share stocks with an "Overweight" rating [2][8][11]. - The performance of the pharmaceutical sector in December 2025 was weaker than the broader market, with the SW Pharmaceutical Biotechnology index declining by 4.1% compared to a 2.1% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [18][30]. - The report notes that the premium level of the pharmaceutical sector relative to the entire A-share market is currently at a normal level, with a relative premium rate of 63.2% as of December 31, 2025 [29][32]. Summary by Sections A-Share Recommendations - The report lists the following A-share stocks with an "Overweight" rating: - 恒瑞医药 (Hengrui Medicine) - 科伦药业 (Kelun Pharmaceutical) - 华东医药 (East China Pharmaceutical) - 恩华药业 (Enhua Pharmaceutical) - 特宝生物 (Tebao Biological) - 京新药业 (Jingxin Pharmaceutical) - 益方生物 (Yifang Biological) - 药明康德 (WuXi AppTec) - 泰格医药 (Tigermed) - 乐普医疗 (Lepu Medical) - 联影医疗 (United Imaging) - 微电生理 (Microelectrophysiology) [8][9]. H-Share Recommendations - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the following H-share stocks: - 翰森制药 (Hansoh Pharmaceutical) - 三生制药 (3SBio) - 科伦博泰生物 (Kelun-Botai Biological) - 康方生物 (CanSino Biologics) - 映恩生物 (InnoCare Pharma) - 百济神州 (BeiGene) [11][12]. Performance Analysis - The report indicates that the 国泰海通医药 monthly portfolio outperformed the pharmaceutical index in December 2025, with an average decline of 1.8% compared to a 3.9% decline in the overall pharmaceutical index [14][15]. - The report highlights the best-performing stocks in December 2025, with 泰格医药 (Tigermed) increasing by 11.2%, 特宝生物 (Tebao Biological) by 7.5%, and 惠泰医疗 (Huitai Medical) by 3.9% [15][18].

Group 1: Core Insights - The report maintains a strong market rating for the pharmaceutical industry, indicating a clear upward trend driven by recovering demand and improved performance in the CXO sector [1][2] - The CXO sector has shown significant stock price increases, with some companies experiencing nearly 100% growth since the beginning of 2025, driven by the innovative drug market and a recovery in orders [3][6] Group 2: CXO Sector Analysis - The CXO sector's overall revenue increased by 11.8% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with a notable profit increase of 58.1% [13] - External demand for CXO services has rebounded, with significant order growth from leading CDMO companies, indicating a clear recovery trend [22][31] - Internal demand for CXO services has lagged behind external demand, but there are signs of strong growth in domestic innovative drug projects and increased investment in the domestic market [3][22] Group 3: Life Sciences Upstream - The life sciences upstream sector has seen a 37.7% increase in stock prices year-to-date, outperforming the pharmaceutical and biotechnology index by 18% [3] - Revenue for the upstream sector increased by 8.8% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with net profit rising by 27.7% [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a strategic investment focus on companies such as WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics, and Tigermed, while also highlighting more flexible investment options like Zhaoyan New Drug and Nossan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for several companies in the pharmaceutical sector, including Jiangsu Heng Rui Medicine, Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group, 3SBio, Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical, and Jiangsu Nhwa Pharmaceutical [5][6]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the high prosperity in innovative drugs and continues to recommend companies with promising pipelines and performance growth in the Biopharma/Biotech sector, maintaining an "Outperform" rating for Innovent Biologics, WuXi XDC Cayman, and others [5][23]. - It highlights the performance of the A-Shares pharmaceutical sector, which underperformed the market, with the SW Pharma & Bio index falling by 0.2% while the SHCOMP rose by 1.9% [7][18]. - The report notes that the premium level of the pharmaceutical sector relative to all A-Shares is currently at a normal level of 66.7% as of December 26, 2025 [13][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Continued Recommendation for Innovative Drugs and Industry Chain - The report continues to recommend innovative drugs and the associated industry chain, highlighting the high demand and potential for revaluation in the pharmaceutical sector [5][23]. - Specific companies recommended include Jiangsu Heng Rui Medicine, Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group, 3SBio, Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical, and Jiangsu Nhwa Pharmaceutical, all rated as "Outperform" [5][6]. 2. A-Shares Pharmaceutical Sector Performance - In the fourth week of December 2025, the A-Shares pharmaceutical sector underperformed the broader market, with a decline of 0.2% compared to a 1.9% increase in the SHCOMP index [7][18]. - The best-performing sub-sectors included chemical raw materials (+2.0%) and medical equipment (+0.1%), while biological products saw a slight decline of -0.1% [9][18]. 3. Hong Kong and U.S. Market Performance - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector also underperformed, with the Hang Seng Healthcare index down by 1.8% and the Hang Seng Biotechnology index down by 2.3% [18]. - In contrast, the U.S. pharmaceutical sector performed similarly to the market, with the S&P Healthcare Select Sector increasing by 1.0% [18].

从资金流向上来看，当日医疗服务板块主力资金净流出8.24亿元，游资资金净流入4129.99万元，散户资 金净流入7.83亿元。医疗服务板块个股资金流向见下表： 证券之星消息，12月26日医疗服务板块较上一交易日下跌0.21%，皓元医药领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3963.68，上涨0.1%。深证成指报收于13603.89，上涨0.54%。医疗服务板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600721 | 自花医药 | 12.24 | 5.88% | 48.95万 | | 5.94亿 | | 301096 | 百诚医药 | 55.93 | 3.79% | 5.12万 | | 2.84亿 | | 000504 | *ST生物 | 9.20 | 3.25% | 2.70万 | | 2461.38万 | | 301201 | 诚达药业 | 41.95 | 0.84% | 6.37万 | | 2.72亿 | | 603259 | 药明康德 | 92.70 | 0. ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the stark contrast between the overall recovery of the CRO industry, which has seen a rise of over 40% this year, and the significant decline of Tigermed, which has been removed from the Shenzhen 100 Index due to its stock price dropping over 70% since its peak in 2021, resulting in a market value loss of more than 130 billion yuan [1][2][7] Group 2 - The removal of Tigermed from the Shenzhen 100 Index reflects a decline in its industry status, as the adjustment is based on quantitative indicators such as market capitalization, liquidity, and industry representation, indicating a reassessment of its market leadership [2][3] - Despite holding a 10.6% market share and being the only Chinese clinical CRO in the global top ten, Tigermed's revenue is projected to decline by 10.58% in 2024, with net profit expected to plummet by nearly 80% [3][8] - In the first three quarters of 2025, while net profit increased by 25.45%, this growth was primarily driven by non-operating income, including a 303% surge in investment income and a more than tenfold increase in fair value changes [3][8] Group 3 - Tigermed faces dual challenges: external factors such as intensified industry competition and rising costs, alongside internal issues like an imbalanced profit model [4][9] - The gross margin for clinical trial services has dropped from 38.4% to 22.8%, indicating pricing pressure and cost control challenges [4][9] - The company's reliance on investment income has made its profit structure fragile, raising concerns about sustainability [4][9] Group 4 - The CEO's decision to cash out over 21 million yuan in September 2025 has further shaken market confidence in Tigermed [4][9] - Although some institutions predict potential revenue recovery in the next three years, Tigermed must transition from an "investment-driven" model to a "core business-driven" approach to regain market trust and improve its competitive edge [4][9][10]