3 月金股报告 ——指数震荡，风格再平衡 证券研究报告/策略定期报告 2026 年 02 月 27 日 分析师：王永健 执业证书编号：S0740522050001 （2）国内政策流动性宽松，筑牢市场底部。2 月 25 日央行开展 6000 亿元 MLF 操作 并净投放 3000 亿元，连续第 12 个月加量续作，确保春节前后的流动性合理充裕；人 民币汇率持续走强稳定了跨境资金流动预期。 科技大类中，高端制造领涨；周期品中，建材钢铁走强。 （1）科技类资产内部，中游高端制造领涨。国防军工、机械设备、电力设备等中游 高端制造表现突出。其中，地缘政治动荡推动国防军工的走强，产业突破亦为其注入 了新的增长动力；海外制造业回暖、国内设备更新周期为机械设备提供支撑；电力设 备受益于 AI 产业海外缺电叙事与两会前的产业政策预期。 （2）周期大类中，建筑材料、钢铁、煤炭占优，有色金属回调。建筑材料中以玻璃 纤维主题领涨，主要受益于供给端优化、AI 算力和新能源需求预期的外溢。此外，在 地产政策托底预期与高股息属性共振下，钢铁与煤炭板块亦有突出表现。相反，受美 联储降息预期反复、海外地缘扰动与商品震荡走势传导，前期涨幅过大的 ...

(本文来自第一财经) 百济神州跌超8%，药明生物跌超7%，泰格医药、康龙化成跌超5%，君实生物、药明康德、诺诚健华等 跟跌。 ...

| 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 估算权可 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 2269 | 药明生物 | 12.83% | 1.47% | 5.49亿 | | 2 | 6160 | 百济神州 | 10.76% | -2.20% | 6.38亿 | | 3 | 1801 | 信达生物 | 9.33% | -0.34% | 6.44Z | | 4 | 1093 | 石药集团 | 7.45% | -0.99% | 6.04Z | | 5 | 9926 | 康方生物 | 7.05% | 0.58% | 3.82亿 | | 6 | 1177 | 中国生物制药 | 6.06% | -0.16% | 2.447. | | 7 | 2359 | 药明康德 | 5.23% | -0.82% | 2.95亿 | | 8 | 3692 | 翰森制药 | 4.81% | -0.23% | 1.53亿 | | ਰੇ | 1530 | 三生制药 | 3.99% | 0.63% | 2.76亿 | | 10 | 2228 | 晶泰控股 | 3.37% | - ...

可选消费板块下跌，中国中免（601888）跌超10%。 2月24日，港股收盘走低，恒生指数跌1.82%，恒生科技指数跌2.13%。 | 香港股票 △ | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生指数 | 恒生科技 | 恒生生物科技 | | 26590.32 | 5270.70 15654.19 | | | -491.59 -1.82% -114.65 -2.13% -541.42 -3.34% | | | | 港股通消费 | 港股红利 | 港股现金流 | | 1704.19 | 2318.72 | 2555.21 | | -22.73 -1.32% -2.80 -0.12% -41.84 -1.61% | | | 互联网科技股集体走低，阿里巴巴跌2.7%，金山云跌5%，快手、小米等跌逾2%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0268 | 全蝶国际 | 9.970 c | -0.840 | -7.77% | 7.21亿 | | 0020 | 商沥-W | 2.610 c | - ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the pharmaceutical industry [5] Core Insights - The underlying logic of the current pharmaceutical industry era is innovation and international expansion, with a focus on innovative drugs and technology-driven sectors [2][3] - The report highlights the strong performance of the CRO market and suggests a dual investment strategy focusing on both "0 to 1" technology innovation and low-position stocks [2][3] - The report emphasizes the ongoing trend of BD (Business Development) transactions in innovative drugs, with significant growth expected in 2026 [4][15] Summary by Sections 1. Key Events in the Pharmaceutical Industry During the Spring Festival - Innovative drug BD transactions have seen a strong start, with significant overseas development and registration progress for key products [13][14] - The total amount of BD transactions for innovative drugs in China for 2026 has already surpassed one-third of the total for 2025 [15] - The revision of the National Essential Medicines List Management Measures may signal changes in the essential medicines directory [28] 2. Pharmaceutical Market Review and Hotspot Tracking - The pharmaceutical sector's performance was relatively weak, with a weekly decline of 0.81%, ranking 20th among all industries [34][38] - The total trading volume for pharmaceuticals was 401.12 billion yuan, accounting for 3.83% of the total market, below the historical average of 7.09% [55] - The report notes a rising valuation level for the pharmaceutical industry, with a PE ratio of 29.25, which is below the historical average [52] 3. Stock Performance Review - The report lists the top-performing stocks, including Dongyangguang and Zhendemedical, while highlighting the underperformers like Huayuan Biology and *ST Sailong [58][59]

业务与技术发展 2026年初，泰格医药通过日本子公司以2348万元收购MICRON公司56.37%股权，旨在拓展医学影像评 估等海外业务。该交易可能提升全球服务能力，但需关注标的公司的亏损整合情况。公司海外布局已覆 盖33个国家，国际多中心临床试验项目达150个，未来地缘政策风险下的全球化策略值得留意。 行业政策与环境 临床CRO行业随创新药投融资回暖而复苏，经营活动现金流预计达11亿-13亿元（2025年），同比略有 提升。公司龙头地位稳固，但需观察国内集采常态化及国际监管环境（如美国《生物安全法案》）对业 务的影响。 经济观察网 泰格医药于2026年1月29日披露2025年业绩预告，预计归母净利润同比增长105%至204%， 但扣非净利润同比下降43%至61%，主要受非经常性损益（如金融资产投资收益）驱动。机构如瑞银和 高盛在研报中强调，需重点关注公司对2026年新签订单的价格复苏信号、收入及利润指引的后续披露。 高盛将H股目标价微调至66.4港元，瑞银维持目标价57.1港元，均提及"买入"评级。 业绩经营情况 泰格医药于2026年1月29日披露2025年业绩预告，预计归母净利润同比增长105%至204% ...

Group 1 - In 2025, China's foreign trade showed strong resilience, with total exports reaching a historical high, growing by 5.5% year-on-year, despite a complex external environment [1][57] - China's trade surplus exceeded $1 trillion for the first time, marking a significant increase of 19.8% year-on-year [1][57] - The net export of goods and services contributed 1.64 percentage points to GDP growth, the second-highest level since 2007, only behind 2021 [3] Group 2 - The diversification of external demand has strengthened, with emerging markets compensating for the decline in exports to the US, which fell by 19.79% year-on-year [6] - Exports to ASEAN, Africa, and the Middle East saw significant growth rates of 25.9%, 13.64%, and 9.7% respectively, contributing positively to the overall export scale [6] - The share of US exports in China's total exports decreased by 3.53 percentage points to 11.15% [6] Group 3 - The product structure of China's foreign trade is shifting towards higher value chains, with high-end products like electrical machinery, machinery, automobiles, and ships being the main export drivers [8] - Traditional light industrial products such as furniture and toys have seen a decline in export scale due to tariff friction and industrial chain relocation [8] Group 4 - The restructuring of global supply chains is creating significant opportunities for Chinese companies, with a notable increase in the number of Chinese enterprises establishing production capacities abroad, reaching 229 in 2025, nearly doubling from 2024 [18] - ASEAN, Mexico, and India are the primary destinations for Chinese production capacity outflows, with ASEAN covering a wide range of industries [18] Group 5 - The AI expansion cycle is a core focus in the Chinese capital market, with significant growth expected in AI computing hardware, supported by macro investment scales and healthy balance sheets of major tech companies [29][30] - The capital expenditure of major cloud service providers is projected to increase significantly, reflecting strong demand for AI computing [35] Group 6 - Cultural and technological value output is becoming a major trend for Chinese enterprises going abroad, with significant growth in IP exports and innovative products in sectors like gaming and new dining [39][41] - The Chinese innovative pharmaceutical sector is increasingly integrated into the global supply chain, with more products commercialized in the US and Europe [41] Group 7 - Key sectors with strong overseas expansion opportunities in 2026 include new energy (batteries, grid equipment), machinery, TMT (technology, media, telecommunications), and innovative pharmaceuticals [46] - The gaming industry is also highlighted for its potential, with significant overseas revenue growth expected [49]

Core Insights - The CRO (Contract Research Organization) industry in China is a strategic emerging industry that supports pharmaceutical innovation and is crucial for the transition from a pharmaceutical power to a pharmaceutical stronghold [1][9] - The development of policies for the CRO industry has evolved from a focus on the overall biopharmaceutical sector to specialized areas, emphasizing innovation, safety, and supply chain security [1][3] Policy Development History - The policy evolution from the "Tenth Five-Year Plan" to the "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" has progressively recognized the importance of the CRO industry, with increasing support for specialized services [1] - The "Fifteenth Five-Year Plan" emphasizes differentiated, high-value innovation alongside supply chain security [1] National Policy Summary and Interpretation - Since 2006, multiple national policies have been introduced to support the CRO service system, focusing on regulatory standards, clinical trial optimization, and international development [3][7] - Key policies include the establishment of the MAH (Marketing Authorization Holder) system and the optimization of review and approval processes [3][7] Key National Policies (2025 Outlook) - Policies from 2006 to 2025 highlight the strategic importance of biopharmaceuticals and the CRO industry, with a focus on enhancing innovation capabilities and regulatory frameworks [4][5][6] - Recent policies aim to streamline clinical trial approvals and support the development of innovative drugs [6][10] Provincial and Municipal Policy Summary - Various provinces and cities have implemented supportive policies for the CRO industry, including investment subsidies, revenue rewards, and insurance subsidies, with some regions offering up to 50 million yuan in support [11][12] - Specific measures include allowing foreign investment in CROs and promoting AI integration in the industry [11][12][14] Provincial Development Goals - Regions like the Yangtze River Delta focus on high-end CRO service systems, while the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area emphasizes collaborative innovation and full-chain outsourcing [14] - Local governments aim to enhance the scale and service capabilities of the biopharmaceutical industry, with targeted initiatives for specific sectors such as seed industry CROs in Hainan [14]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The clinical CRO industry is experiencing a recovery, with increasing demand driven by the global rise in innovative drug financing and the expansion of clinical trial outsourcing. The company is expected to benefit from this trend, with a significant increase in new orders and market share [8]. - The company has established itself as a leader in the clinical CRO market in China, with its market share rising from 8.7% in 2019 to 12.8% in 2023. This growth is attributed to the optimization of supply and the company's strong competitive position [8]. - The company's revenue and profit forecasts indicate a recovery, with expected revenues of 71.29 billion yuan in 2025, 80.19 billion yuan in 2026, and 93.27 billion yuan in 2027, alongside a substantial increase in net profit [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2004, the company has grown to become a leading clinical CRO in China, providing comprehensive services for the biopharmaceutical industry through self-built and acquired networks [14]. - The company's ownership structure is stable, with key founders holding significant shares and a management team experienced in top-tier biopharmaceutical companies [15]. Financial Analysis - The company has experienced revenue growth from 254 million yuan in 2012 to 6.603 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.5%. However, growth has slowed in 2023 and 2024 due to market conditions [19]. - The company’s gross margin has faced pressure, but a recovery is anticipated in 2026 as low-priced orders are cleared and new orders increase [22]. Industry Outlook - The global demand for CRO services is expected to grow, with the penetration rate of outsourced pharmaceutical R&D projected to exceed 50% by 2024 and reach approximately 65% by 2033 [43]. - The number of CRO companies in China has decreased significantly due to market consolidation, enhancing the competitive landscape for leading firms like the company [52]. Business Segments - The company operates primarily in two segments: Clinical Trial Technical Services (CTS) and Clinical Trial Related Services and Laboratory Services. CTS is the cornerstone of the business, covering all phases of clinical trials [54]. - The company has a strong international presence, with operations in 33 countries and a growing number of overseas projects, reflecting its commitment to global expansion [63].

证券之星消息，2月13日，医疗健康（980016）指数报收于6089.34点，跌1.41%，成交197.5亿元，换手 率0.76%。当日该指数成份股中，上涨的有3家，片仔癀以0.96%的涨幅领涨，下跌的有47家，泰格医药 以4.9%的跌幅领跌。 资金流向方面，医疗健康（980016）指数成份股当日主力资金净流出合计10.64亿元，游资资金净流入 合计1.07亿元，散户资金净流入合计9.56亿元。成份股资金流向详情见下表： 医疗健康（980016）指数十大成份股详情如下： 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 ...