Group 1 - The average price of live pigs in China is 11.63 yuan/kg as of November 29, showing a decline of 1.11% compared to the previous weekend, with the industry facing a loss of 111 yuan per head for nine consecutive weeks [1] - The price of weaned piglets at 7 kg is 209 yuan per head, with an average loss of approximately 81 yuan per head for exported piglets this week [1] - The average slaughter weight this week is 129.22 kg, with a slight increase of 0.41 kg week-on-week, while the average slaughter weight for smallholders is at a high of 145.17 kg [1] Group 2 - The demand side shows an increase in daily slaughter volume by 3.39% week-on-week, driven by northern slaughterhouses responding to low pig prices and the onset of seasonal consumption in southern markets [1] - There are sporadic outbreaks of pig diseases in certain regions due to cooler weather, with the proportion of pigs under 90 kg in total slaughter increasing to 4.83%, up by 0.34% from last week [1] - The agricultural team emphasizes the importance of monitoring the pig sector's capacity reduction due to production cuts, losses in farming, and disease interference, suggesting that capacity may continue to decrease [1] Group 3 - As of December 3, 2025, the CSI Livestock Breeding Index shows significant gains for several stocks, including Luoniushan up by 9.98% and Yike Foods up by 3.36% [2] - The Livestock ETF closely tracks the CSI Livestock Breeding Index, which includes companies involved in feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Livestock Breeding Index account for 65.6% of the index, with major companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs leading the list [2]

Core Viewpoint - Wens Foodstuff Group has made a significant donation of 40 million Hong Kong dollars to support disaster relief efforts, becoming the largest donor among mainland enterprises in this context [3][4][3]. Company Overview - Wens Foodstuff Group, a major player in the agricultural and livestock industry, has been operating for over 40 years, starting from a small farming operation to becoming a leading enterprise with over 100 billion yuan in revenue [8][19]. - The company has established a comprehensive industry chain that includes feed production, livestock farming, slaughtering, food processing, and sales, achieving full coverage from upstream seedling cultivation to downstream consumer sales [17][18]. Market Position - In 2024, Wens sold 30.18 million pigs, 1.208 billion chickens, and 517.53 million ducks, holding an 8% market share in the chicken market and ranking second in the pork market with a 4% share [21][22]. - Wens is a key supplier of "Chinese native chickens," with over one-third of the market share, meaning that one out of every three native chickens consumed in China comes from Wens [23][24]. Technological Innovation - Wens has invested significantly in research and development, with expenditures exceeding 5 billion yuan for six consecutive years, and 6.75 billion yuan in 2024 alone, integrating advanced technology into the entire farming process [31][32]. - The company has developed the largest live animal and genetic resource bank in China, achieving 100% self-breeding in yellow feathered chicken breeding and creating two new efficient lean pig breeds [34][36]. Collaboration with Farmers - Wens employs a "company + farmer" model, ensuring risk-sharing and profit-sharing, which has provided a safety net for farmers, even during industry downturns [56][60]. - In 2024, Wens helped 43,000 partner farmers earn a total of 11.843 billion yuan, with average annual income for farmers increasing from 111,000 yuan in 2015 to 275,000 yuan in 2024 [63][64]. Corporate Social Responsibility - The founder's "Great Harmony" philosophy drives Wens' commitment to social responsibility, focusing on urgent societal needs and contributing to education and disaster relief efforts [72][74]. - Wens has donated over 730 million yuan in the past decade, with a total of 94.1863 million yuan in social donations in 2024 alone [80][81].

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Consumer Index (399932) closed at 16047.2 points on December 1, with a slight decline of 0.22%, indicating a mixed performance among its constituent stocks [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The total trading volume for the index was 19.806 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.76% [1]. - Among the constituent stocks, 23 companies saw an increase, with COFCO Sugar leading with a rise of 3.38%, while 15 companies experienced a decline, with Wens Foodstuffs leading the drop at 2.99% [1]. Group 2: Top Constituents - The top ten constituents of the index include: - Yili Group (10.26% weight) at 29.43 yuan, up 0.17% - Kweichow Moutai (9.82% weight) at 1448.00 yuan, down 0.17% - Wuliangye (9.49% weight) at 117.65 yuan, down 0.17% - Muyuan Foods (9.18% weight) at 49.70 yuan, down 2.07% - Luzhou Laojiao (6.62% weight) at 135.76 yuan, down 0.09% - Wens Foodstuffs (6.37% weight) at 17.54 yuan, down 2.99% - Shanxi Fenjiu (6.28% weight) at 193.78 yuan, down 0.27% - Haitian Flavoring (4.08% weight) at 37.16 yuan, up 0.54% - Dongpeng Beverage (3.63% weight) at 269.03 yuan, up 2.04% - Haida Group (3.07% weight) at 55.22 yuan, down 1.04% [1]. Group 3: Capital Flow - On the same day, the net outflow of main funds from the index constituents totaled 968 million yuan, while speculative funds saw a net inflow of 1.063 billion yuan, and retail investors experienced a net outflow of 95.5649 million yuan [3]. - Notable capital flows included: - COFCO Sugar with a net inflow of 68.7449 million yuan from main funds and 29.1858 million yuan from speculative funds - Yili Group with a net inflow of 64.4441 million yuan from main funds but a net outflow of 61.2934 million yuan from retail investors [3]. Group 4: Index Adjustments - Recent adjustments to the index included the addition of one stock and the removal of three stocks, effective December 15, 2025 [4]. - The newly added stock is Zhengbang Technology (002157) from the agriculture and forestry sector, with a total market value of 28.12 billion yuan [4].

证券之星消息，12月1日养殖业板块较上一交易日下跌1.27%，温氏股份领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3914.01，上涨0.65%。深证成指报收于13146.72，上涨1.25%。养殖业板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002157 | 正邦科技 | 3.21 | 5.59% | 362.86万 | | 11.59亿 | | 002124 | 天邦食品 | 2.79 | 2.95% | 77.33万 | | 2.16亿 | | 000876 | 新希望 | 9.47 | 0.64% | 16.84万 | | 1.59亿 | | 600975 | 新五丰 | 6.18 | 0.49% | 13.35万 | | 8222.81万 | | 301116 | 益客食品 | 12.22 | 0.33% | 11.02万 | | 1.35亿 | | 603477 | 巨星农牧 | 17.72 | 0.28% | 4.30万 | | 7614.69万 | | 0 ...

Core Insights - The agricultural sector, particularly the pig farming industry, is experiencing a downturn with significant profit declines due to falling pig prices and macroeconomic capacity adjustments [2][6][7] - Leading companies with low costs and strong cash flow are recommended for investment, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, Dekang Agriculture, and Shennong Group [2][6] - The feed industry shows continued growth, with major players like Haida Group benefiting from increased sales and improved profit margins [3] - The pet food sector is witnessing high growth in proprietary brands, although overall profits are under pressure due to declining export revenues [4] Pig Farming Industry - In Q3 2025, the pig farming sector's revenue decreased by 6% year-on-year to approximately 121.6 billion yuan, with net profit dropping by 70% to around 5.9 billion yuan [2] - The average profit for self-breeding and self-raising pigs fell to 42 yuan per head, a decrease of about 13 yuan from Q2 2025 [2][7] - The industry is entering a phase of loss-driven capacity reduction, with supply pressures expected to persist into the first half of 2026 [6][7] Feed Industry - The feed sector's revenue grew by 13.4% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with a 14.2% increase in Q3 [3] - Major feed companies are seeing a rise in sales volume and market share, with Haida Group's feed exports increasing by approximately 24% [3] - The outlook for the feed industry remains positive, with expectations for continued growth in both domestic and international markets [3] Pet Food Industry - The pet food sector's revenue increased by 9.6% year-on-year in Q3 2025, but net profit fell by 6.1% [4] - Domestic sales for leading brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. are growing at around 40% [4] - Export revenues for pet snacks have declined, particularly in the U.S. market, where exports fell by 42% [4]

人民财讯12月1日电，温氏股份（300498）11月28日在券商策略会上表示，公司养鸡业生产成绩持续保 持高水平稳定。10月份，公司毛鸡出栏完全成本降至5.7元/斤。自8月以来，鸡价快速回升并延续较好 鸡价水平，符合传统消费旺季特性。根据当前鸡价水平，公司养鸡业务可以获得合理盈利。 ...

编号：202514 | 投资者关 | 现场调研 电话会议 | | --- | --- | | 系活动类 | 业绩说明会 路演活动 | | 别 | 券商策略会 其他活动 | | 参与单位 | 2025 年 11 月 28 日，公司前往广西南宁参加国海证券"桂启新程"2026 资本市场年会（线 | | 名称及人 | 下），国寿资管、交银施罗德基金、中金资管等 家机构共 位机构投资者参与。部 9 12 | | 员姓名 | 分名单详见附件清单。 | | | 重要提示：参会人员名单由组织机构提供并经整理后披露。公司无法保证所有参会人员 | | | 及其单位名称的完整性和准确性，敬请投资者注意。 | | 时间 | 年 月 日 2025 11 28 | | 地点 | 广西南宁 | | 上市公司 | 证券事务代表覃刚禄，投资者关系管理室主任史志茹 | | 接待人员 | | | 姓名 | | | | 一、Q&A | | | （一）养猪业务 | | | 1.请问公司当前疫病防控情况如何？ | | 投资者关 | 答：近年来，公司构建了科学完善的生物安全防控体系，配备有空气过滤等硬件设 | | 系活动主 | 施，猪场实施 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. has shown fluctuations, with a current price of 17.71 CNY per share, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 10.60% but a recent decline over the past 20 and 60 days [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Wens achieved a revenue of 75.82 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.53%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 17.98% to 5.26 billion CNY [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 30.11 billion CNY, with 6.28 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 10.94% to 81,100, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 12.11% to 73,543 shares [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 144 million shares, an increase of 5.50 million shares from the previous period [3]

Summary of Earnings Estimates for China Commodities Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China commodities** sector, specifically covering various sub-sectors including steel, coal, cement, aluminum, copper, gold, EV metals, paper, and agriculture. Key Points in Earnings Estimates Revisions - **General Update**: Earnings estimates for China commodities have been refreshed to reflect mark-to-market price changes for Q3 2025 and the current quarter. Target price changes range from -5% to +5%, with investment ratings remaining unchanged. The changes are not viewed as material, and the overall investment thesis remains intact [1][2]. Steel Sector - **Baosteel and Maanshan-H/A**: Earnings estimates cut by 3% to 5%. Loss estimates for Angang-H/A increased by 4% for 2025E [9]. Coal Sector - **Shenhua-H/A, Yankuang-H/A, Chinacoal-H/A**: Earnings estimates updated by -3% to +5% for 2025-27E based on recent coal price trends. Chinacoal-H/A target price adjusted to HK$6.5 from HK$6.4, maintaining a Sell rating [9]. Cement Sector - **CNBM, WCC, BBMG-H/A, Conch-H/A, CRBMT**: Earnings estimates updated by -5% to +3% for 2025-27E, reflecting recent unit gross profit trends [9]. Aluminum Sector - **Chalco-H/A and Hongqiao**: Earnings estimates adjusted by -5% to +5% for 2025-27E based on mark-to-market aluminum and alumina prices. Hongqiao target price fine-tuned to HK$20.0 from HK$19.6, maintaining a Neutral rating [9]. Base Metals (Copper and Gold) - **Zijin-H/A, JXC-H/A, CMOC-H/A, MMG, Zhaojin**: Earnings estimates updated by -5% to +5% for 2025-27E to reflect mark-to-market prices of copper and other metals [9]. EV Metals - **Huayou and GEM**: Earnings estimates adjusted by -3% to +5% for 2025-27E based on mark-to-market nickel/cobalt prices and cathode spreads. Huayou's target price fine-tuned to Rmb32.6 from Rmb32.4, maintaining a Sell rating [9]. Paper Sector - **ND Paper and Sun Paper**: Earnings estimates updated by 0% to 2% for 2025-27E to reflect mark-to-market paper prices [10]. Agriculture Sector - **Hog and Feed Coverage**: Earnings estimates revised by -5% to +3% for companies like Wens, New Hope, Haid, and Dabeinong, incorporating mark-to-market hog and feed prices. For animal health and conventional seeds, estimates revised by -5% to -2% [10][13]. Target Price Methodologies and Risks - **Cement Companies**: Target prices based on historical P/B vs. ROE correlations. Key risks include weaker-than-expected construction demand and slower unauthorized cement capacity exit [14]. - **Base Metals**: Target prices based on historical P/B vs. ROE correlations. Key risks include lower commodity prices and operational risks [14]. Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of considering these estimates as part of a broader investment decision-making process, highlighting potential conflicts of interest due to Goldman Sachs' business relationships with covered companies [3]. This summary encapsulates the key updates and insights from the earnings estimates for the China commodities sector, providing a comprehensive overview of the changes and their implications for investors.

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Increase" [4] Core Views - The trend of pig reduction continues, suggesting a strategic opportunity for participation in the sector [15][16] - The price of lean meat pigs as of November 28, 2025, is 11.09 CNY/kg, down 9.1% from the previous month, indicating ongoing industry losses [15][18] - The average profit for self-breeding pigs is -147.99 CNY/head, a decrease of 58.66 CNY/head from the previous month, while the profit for purchased piglets is -248.82 CNY/head, down 69.1 CNY/head [15][23] - The number of breeding sows has decreased to 39.9 million, and further production capacity reduction is expected due to policy and low prices [15][16] - The mushroom sector shows a sustained price rebound for enoki mushrooms, with strong performance expected from key companies [16] - The seed industry is seeing a clear trend of variety replacement, with transgenic varieties entering commercial sales, indicating potential growth for related companies [16] - In poultry farming, seasonal price elasticity opportunities are noted for yellow feathered chickens, while white feathered chickens are affected by avian influenza in Europe [17] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The lean meat pig price is 11.09 CNY/kg, down 9.1% from last month [18] - The average wholesale price of pork is 17.83 CNY/kg, down 1.1% [18] - The profit for self-breeding pigs is -147.99 CNY/head, a decrease of 58.66 CNY/head [23] - The profit for purchased piglets is -248.82 CNY/head, down 69.1 CNY/head [23] Mushroom Sector - Enoki mushroom prices remain strong, confirming a sustained price rebound [16] - The release period for Cordyceps sinensis as a key new product is approaching, with strong performance expected [16] Seed Industry - A clear trend of variety replacement in corn is noted, with transgenic varieties entering commercial sales [16] - Companies like Kangnong Seed Industry and Longping High-Tech are highlighted for potential growth [16] Poultry Farming - The price of meat chicken chicks is 3.47 CNY/chick, down 3.1% from last month [28] - The average price of white feathered chickens is 7.19 CNY/kg, up 1.4% [32] - The average price of chicken products is 8.95 CNY/kg, up 0.6% [32] Agricultural Products - Domestic corn prices increased to 2329.8 CNY/ton, up 4.0% [44] - Domestic wheat prices rose to 2507.28 CNY/ton, up 0.7% [46] - Domestic soybean prices increased to 4014.74 CNY/ton, up 0.4% [57]