Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the pig price is expected to remain stable in the future despite a decline in August due to factors such as heavy weight slaughtering and the spread of African swine fever [3][13] - The average national pig sales price in August 2025 was 13.77 yuan/kg, down 5.35% month-on-month and down 32.35% year-on-year [3][13] - The report highlights that the supply of pigs may gradually tighten in the future due to a decrease in the proportion of large pigs in stock and an increase in the proportion of large pigs being slaughtered [4][17] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In August 2025, the national pig slaughter volume was 4.3388 million heads, an increase of 4.34% month-on-month and 5.66% year-on-year [3][13] - The report notes that the completion rate of pig slaughtering plans was 100.04% in August, with a planned increase of 3.92% in September compared to actual slaughter in August [3][13] Market Dynamics - The structure of pig slaughtering shows an increase in the proportion of large pigs (over 150kg) being slaughtered, while the proportion of large pigs in stock has decreased [4][17] - The average profit for self-breeding and self-raising pigs in August was 36.80 yuan/head, a decrease of 63.80% month-on-month [5][20] Company Performance - A total of 12 listed pig farming companies reported a combined slaughter of 15.116 million heads in August, an increase of 29.79% year-on-year [6][23] - The average sales price of pigs for major listed companies decreased month-on-month, with specific companies reporting the following prices: - Muyuan Foods: 13.51 yuan/kg, down 5.5% - Wens Foodstuffs: 13.90 yuan/kg, down 6.5% - New Hope Liuhe: 13.54 yuan/kg, down 6.9% [7][28]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the poultry industry, particularly the yellow-feathered chicken sector, has returned to profitability since August, with individual chicken profits estimated at 3-4 yuan, potentially offsetting earlier losses in the year [1] - The Pacific Securities report highlights a significant turnaround in the yellow chicken industry's integrated breeding model, which has led to substantial profits in August, contrasting with previous losses [1] - The recent increase in yellow chicken prices is attributed to low production capacity and a recovery in consumer demand, with expectations for continued price rebounds as the autumn and winter consumption peak approaches [1] Group 2 - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Livestock Breeding Index account for 65.57% of the index, including major companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Haida Group [2]

Core Viewpoint - Agriculture is a fundamental industry in China, currently experiencing a phase of price decline and capital exit, which presents a unique investment opportunity due to its low valuation and the need to protect farmers' income [1] Group 1: Swine Industry - The swine industry is undergoing significant policy transformation aimed at capacity regulation, with a focus on protecting farmers' rights and encouraging innovation [2] - The Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission will hold a meeting with 25 swine enterprises to implement capacity control measures [2] - The profitability of listed swine companies has shown substantial growth, and with the anticipated recovery in pork prices, the industry's profit center is expected to stabilize [2] - Companies with cost advantages and those that integrate farmers into their operations are likely to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [2] Group 2: Poultry Industry - The white feather chicken industry is facing a persistent contradiction of high capacity and weak consumption, leading to a reduction in breeding capacity [3] - Integrated enterprises and contract farming businesses are expected to increase their market share as they adapt to the changing landscape [3] - Focus on companies with improving return on equity (ROE) and sustainability, particularly quality imported breeding stock leaders and full-chain leaders [3] Group 3: Pet Industry - The pet industry is witnessing a rise in sales, with a notable increase in the concentration of leading brands [4] - The competitive landscape among top brands is intensifying, and while the overall industry concentration remains low, the leading brands are solidifying their positions [4] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs has impacted exports, but domestic sales trends remain stable, with leading companies expected to maintain high growth rates [4] Group 4: Agricultural Products - The USDA's September report is bearish, indicating an increase in soybean planting area but a decrease in yield expectations [5][6] - The report suggests structural adjustments in demand and higher-than-expected carryover stocks, although trade easing expectations are supporting soybean prices [6] - The upcoming US-China trade negotiations are crucial, focusing on tariffs and export controls, which could influence market dynamics [6]

Core Viewpoint - CATL's stock price reached a new high, driven by multiple favorable factors and strong market performance in the new energy sector [1][5][10] Group 1: Stock Performance - On September 15, CATL's A-shares saw an intraday increase of over 14%, peaking at 371.52 CNY per share, with a closing increase of 9.14% [1] - In the H-share market, CATL's maximum intraday increase was 10.17%, closing with a rise of 7.44% [2] - The combined market capitalization of CATL's A and H shares reached approximately 1.63 trillion CNY, increasing by about 135.5 billion CNY in one trading day [2][5][6] Group 2: Factors Driving Stock Price Increase - The surge in CATL's stock price is attributed to several key factors, including: 1. The China Automobile Manufacturers Association's initiative on supplier payment norms [7] 2. The release of the action plan for accelerating green transformation in Fujian Province [8] 3. The new energy storage scale construction action plan set by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration [8] 4. The automotive industry growth plan aiming for 32.3 million vehicle sales in 2025, with 15.5 million being new energy vehicles [8] Group 3: Company Performance and Market Position - CATL's guidance for 2026 has been revised upward to 1,100 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 46% [9] - CATL holds the leading position in the global market for both power and energy storage batteries, with a 38.1% market share in power batteries as of May 2025 [12] - The company achieved a revenue of 178.89 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a 7.27% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 30.49 billion CNY, up 33.33% year-on-year [14] Group 4: Research and Development - CATL's R&D investment exceeded 10 billion CNY for the first time in the first half of 2025, totaling 10.10 billion CNY [15] - The company has over 21,000 R&D personnel and holds a total of 49,347 patents and pending applications [15]

Group 1 - The poultry concept index rose by 1.80%, ranking fifth among concept sectors, with 19 stocks increasing in value, led by Tiankang Biological, Lihua Shares, and Huaton Shares, which rose by 8.20%, 7.25%, and 4.88% respectively [1] - The poultry sector saw a net inflow of 236 million yuan, with 15 stocks receiving net inflows, and 5 stocks exceeding 10 million yuan in net inflow, with Wens Foodstuffs leading at 186 million yuan [2][3] - The top net inflow ratios were recorded by Wens Foodstuffs at 9.12%, Huaying Agriculture at 5.31%, and Juxing Agriculture at 4.96% [3] Group 2 - The poultry sector's performance was notable, with a significant number of stocks showing positive movement, while some stocks like Huaying Agriculture and Shuanghui Development experienced declines of 1.03% and 0.51% respectively [1][2] - The trading volume and turnover rates for leading stocks in the poultry sector indicate strong investor interest, with Wens Foodstuffs having a turnover rate of 1.73% and Tiankang Biological at 10.72% [3][4] - The overall market sentiment for the poultry sector appears positive, as indicated by the net inflow of funds and the performance of key stocks [2][3]

资金面上看，今日猪肉概念板块获主力资金净流入4.57亿元，其中，20股获主力资金净流入，12股主力 资金净流入超千万元，净流入资金居首的是傲农生物，今日主力资金净流入1.99亿元，净流入资金居前 的还有温氏股份、得利斯、牧原股份等，主力资金分别净流入1.86亿元、6405.00万元、5477.44万元。 | | 物 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 001201 | 东瑞股 | 2.94 | 3.63 | 1238.35 | 9.33 | | | 份 | | | | | | 000048 | 京基智 | 1.51 | 3.55 | 1235.33 | 3.85 | | | 农 | | | | | | 000702 | 正虹科 | 2.01 | 7.12 | 947.38 | 6.20 | | | 技 | | | | | | 002567 | 唐人神 | 1.80 | 4.66 | 844.34 | 2.51 | | 000735 | 罗牛山 | 0.76 | 3.54 | 442.80 | 1.66 | | 600073 | 光明肉 | 0.4 ...

温氏食品集团股份有限公司 为进一步加强与投资者的交流沟通，温氏食品集团股份有限 公司（以下简称"公司"）将参加由广东证监局、广东上市公司协 会共同举办的2025 年广东辖区上市公司投资者网上集体接待日活 动，活动主题为"向新提质 价值领航"。现将有关事项公告如下： 本次投资者集体接待日活动采取网络远程的方式举行，投资 者可以登录"全景•路演天下"网站（http://rs.p5w.net）参与公司 本次投资者集体接待日活动，活动时间为 2025 年 9 月 19 日（星 期五）15:30-17:00。 | 证券代码：300498 | 证券简称：温氏股份 | 公告编号：2025-109 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：123107 | 债券简称：温氏转债 | | 届时公司副总裁兼董事会秘书蒋荣金先生、证券事务代表覃 刚禄先生、投资者关系管理室副主任史志茹先生将通过网络在线 方式，与投资者就近期生产经营情况、公司治理及发展战略等投 资者关心的问题进行沟通与交流。欢迎广大投资者积极参与。 温氏食品集团股份有限公司 关于参加 2025 年广东辖区上市公司投资者网上 集体接待日活动的公告 本公司 ...

资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出597.54亿元，今日有4个行业主力资金净流入，汽车行业主力资 金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨1.44%，全天净流入资金31.66亿元，其次是传媒行业，日涨幅为 1.94%，净流入资金为7.23亿元。 601952 苏垦农发 1.14 0.72 912.33 沪指9月15日下跌0.26%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有15个，涨幅居前的行业为电力设备、传媒， 涨幅分别为2.22%、1.94%。农林牧渔行业位居今日涨幅榜第三。跌幅居前的行业为综合、通信，跌幅 分别为1.80%、1.52%。 主力资金净流出的行业有27个，电子行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金87.73亿元，其次 是有色金属行业，净流出资金为86.06亿元，净流出资金较多的还有计算机、通信、电力设备等行业。 农林牧渔行业今日上涨1.79%，全天主力资金净流入4.36亿元，该行业所属的个股共105只，今日上涨的 有73只，涨停的有1只；下跌的有29只，跌停的有2只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的 个股有48只，其中，净流入资金超5000万元的有5只，净流入资金居首的是傲农生物，今日净流入资金 1 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The swine industry is undergoing significant policy transformation, focusing on capacity regulation and protecting farmers' rights while promoting innovation [5][6] - The latest pig price is 13.52 CNY/kg, with a slight decrease of 0.35 CNY/kg from the previous period, indicating potential short-term price declines due to policy-driven weight reductions [5][15] - The report suggests that if pig prices continue to fall, further market support and capacity control measures may be implemented [5][15] - The overall profitability of listed pig companies has shown significant growth, and with the expected recovery in pig prices and declining costs, profitability is anticipated to remain strong [6][15] Summary by Sections 1. Swine Industry - The latest pig price is 13.52 CNY/kg, with an average weight of 128.32 kg and a 15 kg piglet price of 394 CNY/head [5][15] - The Ministry of Agriculture will hold a meeting with 25 major pig companies to discuss capacity regulation measures [6][15] - Future growth stocks will focus on technological innovation and farmer interests, with companies like DeKang Agriculture and leading pig farming companies such as Muyuan and Wens recommended for investment [6][15] 2. Poultry Industry - The chicken industry faces a "high capacity, weak consumption" contradiction, with the latest chick price at 3.15 CNY/bird and broiler price at 3.43 CNY/kg [7][16] - The report highlights the importance of integrated enterprises and contract farming to increase market share [7][16] - Key investment targets include high-quality imported breeding stock leaders and full-chain leaders like Yisheng and Shengnong Development [7][16] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to improved management and increased capacity utilization, expecting significant growth [8][17] - The prices of various fish species have shown mixed trends, with some experiencing declines [8][17] 4. Pet Industry - The pet industry shows a significant increase in sales growth compared to July, with leading brands maintaining strong positions [9][20] - The competitive landscape is characterized by four leading brands, with potential risks for those unable to keep pace with growth [10][22] - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic brands like Guibao and Zhongchong, which are expected to perform well in the future [10][22] 5. Agricultural Products - The USDA's September report is bearish, with an increase in soybean planting area and a decrease in yield expectations [11][23] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring US-China trade negotiations and their impact on agricultural prices [11][23] - The agricultural sector is viewed as undervalued, with potential for significant returns as the industry transitions through various stages of recovery [11][23] 6. Market and Price Situation - The agricultural index increased by 4.81% over the past week, with the livestock sector performing particularly well [24][29] - The report notes that the CPI has been affected by food prices, which have seen a significant decline [50]

Group 1: Swine Industry - The average selling price of external three-yuan pigs in China on September 14 was 13.27 yuan/kg, a week-on-week decrease of 2.5% [1] - The average selling price of weaned piglets was 294 yuan/head, down 29 yuan/head week-on-week, marking a new low for the year [1] - The average selling price of two-yuan sows was 1595 yuan/head, down 1 yuan/head week-on-week, also a new low for the year [1] - The weak prices of piglets and sows reflect the industry's pessimistic expectations for pig prices in 2026 [1] - The expectation of upgraded capacity regulation in the industry is gaining traction, emphasizing the importance of the "anti-involution" process [2] - The industry is expected to enter a phase of stable and high-quality development, with improved profitability for leading pig companies [2] Group 2: Poultry Industry - The average selling price of white feather broiler chicks was 3.26 yuan/chick, down 1.21% week-on-week [3] - The average selling price of white feather broiler meat was 3.45 yuan/kg, down 1.15% week-on-week [3] - The average selling price of chicken meat cuts was 8687.95 yuan/ton, down 0.09% week-on-week [3] - The seasonal rebound in July-August has ended, with continued ample supply of white chickens expected to be a theme for 2025 [3] - The average selling price of Qingjiao Ma chicken was 5.75 yuan, down 0.3% week-on-week, maintaining a high level for the year [3] - The industry turned profitable in August, with further profit increases expected in September, suggesting a focus on companies' third-quarter performance [3] Group 3: Pet Food Industry - The total sales of pet food on platforms like Tmall, JD, and Douyin in August reached 2.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8% and a month-on-month increase of 19% [4] - Cumulative sales from January to August 2025 reached 19.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11% [4] - Leading domestic brands showed significant growth, with Blue's, Honest Bite, and Fresh Lang increasing by 42%, 33%, and 27% year-on-year, respectively [4] - Overseas leading brands also saw growth, with Pro Plan, Royal Canin, and Orijen increasing by 45%, 28%, and 17% year-on-year, respectively [4]