Market Overview - On November 7, the communication equipment sector declined by 0.41% compared to the previous trading day, with Fujida leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the communication equipment sector included: - Tianfu Communication (300394) with a closing price of 175.00, up 12.67% [1] - Yizhi Service (002897) with a closing price of 52.60, up 10.00% [1] - Tongyu Communication (002792) with a closing price of 20.32, up 5.28% [1] - Conversely, significant decliners included: - Fujida (920640) with a closing price of 34.90, down 5.16% [3] - Guanghe Communication (300638) with a closing price of 25.82, down 4.16% [3] - Yongding Co. (600105) with a closing price of 14.31, down 4.09% [3] Capital Flow - The communication equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 1.048 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 911 million yuan [4] - Key stocks with significant capital flow included: - Tianfu Communication (300394) with a net inflow of 2.232 billion yuan from institutional investors [4] - Yizhi Service (002897) with a net inflow of 200 million yuan from institutional investors [4] ETF Information - The 500 Quality Growth ETF (product code: 560500) tracks the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index and has seen a recent five-day change of 0.50% [6] - The current price-to-earnings ratio is 17.79, with a recent net inflow of 283,000 yuan [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of performance that exceeds the market by more than 20% [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.366 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 13.7%. However, excluding the impact of a specific business segment, revenue showed a year-over-year increase of 7.32% [5][6]. - The company is focusing on the integration of AI and robotics, with strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing its product offerings in these areas. A notable collaboration with XREAL aims to provide ODM solutions for AR glasses, enhancing local processing capabilities for AI tasks [7]. - The company has established an AIC product line to deliver AI algorithms and hardware solutions for the robotics industry, with plans for mass production of intelligent robotic solutions in 2024 [7]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 7.537 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-over-year decline of 8%. However, growth is expected to rebound in subsequent years, with forecasts of 9.391 billion yuan in 2026 and 11.803 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 24.6% and 25.7% respectively [6][9]. - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 493 million yuan, down 26.1% from the previous year, but is expected to recover to 641 million yuan in 2026 and 841 million yuan in 2027 [6][9]. - The report highlights a recovery in gross margin, which increased to 18.73% in Q3 2025, up 2.9 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [7]. Market Position and Strategic Outlook - The company is positioned as a core player in the global IoT module market, with expectations that its AI and robotics initiatives will drive performance growth. The report notes that concerns regarding tariffs on modules are manageable due to the company's limited exposure to certain markets [7]. - The company is also expanding its offerings in the FWA (Fixed Wireless Access) sector, with the introduction of a new 5G R17 module series, anticipating increased demand and market penetration [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - Excluding the impact of the sold RuiLing Wireless vehicle-mounted pre-installed module business, the revenue from continuing operations grew by 7.32% year-on-year, while net profit slightly decreased by 2.19%, indicating a stable fundamental performance in the core wireless communication module business and the effectiveness of structural adjustments. Growth was observed in FWA, POS, and other IoT businesses. The gross margin for Q3 increased by 2.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to strategic inventory buildup and an increase in the proportion of high-margin solution products, with expectations for continued upward trends in the future. Despite negative growth in revenue and profit for the first three quarters due to the impact of RuiLing Wireless's profit and investment income in 2024, Q4 is expected to show a significant year-on-year growth rebound [2][12][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.366 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.69%, and a net profit of 316 million yuan, down 51.50% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 1.659 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 22.56%, with a net profit of 98 million yuan, down 69.14% year-on-year [5][12]. Business Growth Areas - Smart modules have emerged as a new growth direction. Compared to traditional cellular communication modules, smart modules are equipped with main control chips and memory, capable of running operating systems like Android and Linux, thus possessing strong real-time data processing capabilities and a variety of interfaces. These smart modules, which integrate computing and communication functions, are becoming key carriers for edge computing demands and are expected to drive growth in the smart terminal sector. The company has been increasing its R&D investment in smart modules since 2018 and has launched several products applicable in various industries, including smart retail and automotive electronics [12]. Future Outlook - Looking ahead to 2026, the company is expected to transition from modules to complete solutions in AI toys and embodied intelligent robots, expanding its capabilities and capturing more value in the industry chain. Excluding the impact of RuiLing Wireless in 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue and profit growth in 2025. Profit forecasts indicate net profits of 412 million yuan, 568 million yuan, and 721 million yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -38%, 38%, and 27%, respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 58x, 42x, and 33x [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by more than 10% [1][40]. Core Insights - Nvidia's GTC event provided a significant CAPEX guidance of $500 billion for the Blackwell-Rubin series, with North American CSPs showing a clear upward trend in capital expenditures for Q3 2025 [4][16]. - The report highlights a strong growth trend in AI infrastructure investments, with North American CSPs' capital expenditures reaching a total of $113.3 billion in Q3, marking a 75% year-on-year increase [5][17]. - The A-share communication industry is experiencing high growth in AI computing performance, although there is a mismatch between high short-term expectations and actual performance releases [5][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Nvidia's guidance for North American CSPs suggests CAPEX could reach $443 billion, $549 billion, and $632 billion from 2025 to 2027, with GPU shipments expected to total 20 million units [4][16]. - The report emphasizes the stability of capital markets regarding concerns over "AI bubble" investments, with Nvidia's roadmap enhancing investment certainty in areas like 1.6T optical modules and quantum computing [4][16]. A-Share Communication Industry Overview - The report notes that leading companies in optical modules, such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology, continue to expand production, with stable gross margin trends despite short-term performance fluctuations [5][17]. - The bottleneck effects in core materials like optical chips are becoming more pronounced, with domestic chip manufacturers expected to gain market share as overseas giants slow down production [5][17]. Market Performance - The overall market showed mixed performance during the week of October 27 to October 31, 2025, with the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.67% and the communication index declining by 3.59% [11][20]. - The report identifies cloud computing as the leading sector with a weekly increase of 22.48%, followed by IDC and equipment manufacturers [11][20]. Recommended Companies - The report suggests focusing on companies in various segments, including optical devices (e.g., Guangke Technology, Shijia Photon) and AIOT solutions (e.g., Rockchip, Yiyuan Communication) [20].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 深圳市廣和通無線股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00638 | 說明 | H股 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 135,080,200 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 135,080,200 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 135,080,200 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 135,080,200 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the recent stock performance and financial metrics of Guanghetong, indicating a decline in stock price and significant net outflow of funds [1][2] - Guanghetong's stock price decreased by 2.01% to 26.37 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 23.747 billion CNY as of November 5 [1] - The company has experienced a year-to-date stock price increase of 33.18%, but has seen declines of 3.83% over the last five trading days, 13.17% over the last 20 days, and 8.60% over the last 60 days [1] Group 2 - Guanghetong, established on November 11, 1999, specializes in wireless communication modules and related communication solutions, with 99.38% of its revenue derived from this segment [2] - As of September 30, 2025, Guanghetong reported a revenue of 5.366 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 13.69%, and a net profit of 316 million CNY, down 51.50% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 869 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 620 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Group 3 - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders in Guanghetong decreased by 3.54% to 79,500, with an average of 6,703 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 3.67% [2] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 6.3011 million shares, an increase of 1.553 million shares compared to the previous period [3] - The Southern CSI 1000 ETF reduced its holdings by 50,000 shares, while Huaxia CSI 1000 ETF exited the top ten circulating shareholders list [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that GF Fund Management Co., Ltd. has reduced its stake in Guanghe Tong (00638) by selling 729,200 shares at a price of HKD 19.25 per share, totaling HKD 14.0371 million [1] - After the reduction, the latest number of shares held by GF Fund Management is 13.0344 million, representing a holding percentage of 9.65% [1]

Core Viewpoint - On October 30, 2023, GF Fund Management Co., Ltd. reduced its stake in Guanghetong (00638) by selling 729,200 shares at a price of HKD 19.25 per share, totaling HKD 14.0371 million [1] Summary by Category - **Shareholding Changes** - After the reduction, GF Fund's latest shareholding stands at 13,034,400 shares, representing a holding percentage of 9.65% [1]

Core Insights - The company has shown steady progress in its core business after excluding the impact of the Ruilin Wireless segment, with a year-on-year revenue decline of 13.7% in the first three quarters of 2025, totaling 5.37 billion yuan, and a net profit of 320 million yuan, down 51.5% year-on-year [1] - The revenue from continuing operations increased by 7.3% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 2.2% year-on-year, indicating resilience in core operations [1] - The company is focusing on the commercialization of edge AI and robotics, with 55% of the funds raised from H shares allocated to these areas, suggesting strong future growth potential [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, the company reported a revenue of 1.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.4%, with a net profit of 98 million yuan, down 69.1% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 17.14%, a decrease of 3.57 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 5.88%, down 4.68 percentage points year-on-year [1] - In Q3, the gross margin improved to 18.73%, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.90 percentage points, while the net margin was 5.84%, showing a slight recovery [1] AI and Robotics Business - The company has established mature solutions in the AI toy sector, with successful mass production of the Cat1+SDK module and the second-generation MagiCore chipset, indicating strong market readiness [2] - In the AR glasses segment, a strategic partnership with leading AR technology company XREAL was formed to accelerate the commercialization of AI solutions [2] - The robotics business includes lawn mowing robots and embodied intelligent robots, with significant growth expected in the lawn mowing segment and the launch of a new development platform for embodied intelligent robots [3] FWA and Automotive Business - The FWA business is primarily driven by overseas markets, particularly in North America, where 5G penetration is low, indicating substantial growth potential [4] - The automotive sector is experiencing a clear trend of replacing 4G with 5G modules, with the company having a competitive advantage in the new energy vehicle market and expanding its customer base [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits of 460 million yuan, 610 million yuan, and 790 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 55, 41, and 32 times [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Insights - The company has shown steady business progress, with a strong momentum in AI and robotics, despite a year-on-year revenue decline of 13.7% to 5.37 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025. Excluding the impact of the Ruilin Wireless business, the revenue from continuing operations increased by 7.3% year-on-year [1] - The company is actively cultivating new growth areas in edge AI and robotics, with 55% of the funds raised from H-shares allocated to these sectors, indicating strong future growth potential [2] - The company has established close partnerships in the AI toy sector, with mature solutions and successful product launches, which are expected to benefit from increased product volume in the future [2] - In the robotics sector, the company has achieved mass production of lawnmowers and launched a new generation of embodied intelligent robot development platforms, positioning itself as a core hardware supplier in the AI robotics industry [3] - The FWA (Fixed Wireless Access) business is primarily driven by overseas markets, with significant growth expected in emerging markets like India, while the domestic automotive sector is expanding its customer base for vehicle-mounted modules [4] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate net profits of 460 million yuan, 609 million yuan, and 791 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 55, 41, and 32 [5] Financial Summary - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 17.14%, down 3.57 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 5.88%, down 4.68 percentage points year-on-year. However, the gross margin for Q3 showed a quarter-on-quarter increase to 18.73% [1] - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected to be 7.593 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 7.28%, followed by a recovery in 2026 and 2027 with growth rates of 21.67% and 21.08% respectively [13]