Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Keshun Co., Ltd. experienced a stock decline of 5.62%, with a current share price of 6.72 yuan, a trading volume of 10.18 million yuan, a turnover rate of 0.17%, and a total market capitalization of 7.459 billion yuan [1] - Keshun Co., Ltd. is located in Shunde District, Foshan City, Guangdong Province, and was established on October 10, 1996. The company was listed on January 25, 2018, and its main business involves the research, production, and sales of new building waterproof materials, as well as providing waterproof engineering construction services [1] - The revenue composition of Keshun Co., Ltd. includes waterproof membranes at 51.11%, waterproof coatings at 27.10%, waterproof engineering construction at 17.31%, other products at 2.61%, and seismic isolation products at 1.88% [1] Group 2 - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Keshun Co., Ltd., a fund under the Fortune Fund ranks first. The Fortune Research Select Flexible Allocation Mixed A (000880) increased its holdings by 226,900 shares in the third quarter, holding a total of 17.6863 million shares, which accounts for 1.99% of the circulating shares. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 7.0745 million yuan [2] - The Fortune Research Select Flexible Allocation Mixed A (000880) was established on December 12, 2014, with a latest scale of 515 million yuan. Year-to-date returns are 11.2%, ranking 1207 out of 9000 in its category; the one-year return is 24.31%, ranking 4913 out of 8193; and since inception, the return is 219.6% [2]

Core Insights - The construction materials industry is currently at a low valuation level, with a focus on urban renewal and related opportunities. The allocation ratio for construction materials in Q4 2025 is 0.72%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points from Q3 2025, indicating significant potential for valuation recovery [6][15]. Group 1: Urban Renewal and Market Dynamics - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development issued a notice on January 20, 2026, to support urban renewal actions, providing specific operational guidelines for the "14th Five-Year Plan" urban renewal strategy. This includes a focus on "two renewals and two new projects," emphasizing the construction of underground pipelines and comprehensive utility tunnels [24]. - Companies involved in urban renewal and the renovation of old neighborhoods, such as Dongfang Yuhong, Keshun Co., Sankeshu, Weixing New Materials, and China Liansu, are recommended for attention [24]. Group 2: Construction Materials Sector Overview - The construction materials sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with expectations for continued improvement in 2026. The supply-side adjustments and structural changes in demand are expected to support this recovery [37]. - The cement market saw a 0.8% decrease in prices week-on-week, with the national average price at 345 RMB/ton as of January 30, 2026. The industry is currently at a historical low valuation, with companies like Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and Shafeng Cement recommended for investment [6][38]. Group 3: Key Company Developments - Keshun Co. established a semiconductor company to explore a second growth curve, focusing on integrated circuit chips and related technologies [20]. - Weixing New Materials plans to acquire an 88.26% stake in Beijing Songtiancheng Technology Co., enhancing its capabilities in municipal pipeline systems and expanding its market reach [23]. - Leading companies in the construction materials sector, such as Sankeshu and Huaxin Cement, are expected to report significant profit growth in 2025, driven by strong operational resilience and strategic adjustments [25][27].

Investment Rating - The report highlights a positive investment outlook for Keda Manufacturing and recommends Shengfeng Cement as a key stock for February [2][12]. Core Insights - Keda Manufacturing's acquisition of the remaining 51.55% stake in Tefu International is viewed positively, with projected revenues of 8.187 billion yuan and net profits of 1.474 billion yuan by 2025 [2]. - Shengfeng Cement is favored due to its resilient business model, low production costs, and significant investments in new economic projects exceeding 1.9 billion yuan [2]. - The report emphasizes the potential for price increases in traditional electronic fabrics and related materials, driven by AI demand and copper price fluctuations [3][15]. - The trend towards space photovoltaic energy is highlighted, with a focus on UTG and TCO glass as essential materials for future energy solutions [4][14]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - Keda Manufacturing's stock resumption is positively received, and the acquisition strengthens its strategic partnerships [2]. - Shengfeng Cement is recommended for its stable core business and cash flow from new investments [2]. Market Performance - The construction materials index showed a mixed performance, with glass manufacturing and fiberglass sectors performing well, while cement manufacturing faced slight declines [19][21]. Price Changes in Construction Materials - National average cement price decreased to 345 yuan/ton, with a slight increase in sales rates [16]. - Float glass prices increased to 1,144.80 yuan/ton, reflecting a 0.53% rise, while inventory levels decreased slightly [16][39]. Important Changes - Several companies released performance forecasts, and Keda Manufacturing announced a capital increase plan for the acquisition of Tefu International [6].

Group 1 - The company, Keshun Co., Ltd., expects a net profit loss of approximately 380 million to 570 million yuan for the fiscal year 2025, compared to a profit of 44.071 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - The company has conducted thorough impairment testing on risk customers, long-aged receivables, certain idle fixed assets, housing assets, and inventory, in accordance with prudence principles and accounting standards [1] - The estimated impact of credit and asset impairment losses is around 750 million yuan [1]

证券代码：300737 证券简称：科顺股份 公告编号：2026-007 债券代码：123216 债券简称：科顺转债 科顺防水科技股份有限公司 2025 年度业绩预告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 1.业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 12 月 31 日。 2.业绩预告情况：预计净利润为负值 | 项 | 目 | | 本报告期 | | 上年同期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润 | | 亏损：38,000 | 万元–57,000 | 万元 | 盈利：4,407.10 | 万元 | | 扣除非经常性损益后的净利润 | | 亏损：46,000 | 万元–69,000 | 万元 | 亏损：25,299.84 | 万元 | 二、与会计师事务所沟通情况 本次业绩预告由公司财务部门预测，未经会计师事务所预审计。 公司就本次业绩预告有关事项与会计师事务所进行了预沟通，双方在 本次业绩预告方面不存在重大分歧。 三、业绩变动 ...

Group 1 - Guangdong Keshun Semiconductor Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 53 million yuan [1] - The company's business scope includes sales of integrated circuit chips and products, sales of semiconductor device special equipment, development of artificial intelligence application software, development of artificial intelligence basic software, and research and development of Internet of Things technology [1] - The company is jointly held by Keshun Co., Ltd. and Ma'anshan Jiming Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd., with Keshun Co., Ltd. holding 98% and Ma'anshan Jiming holding 2% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the establishment of Guangdong Keshun Semiconductor Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 53 million yuan, focusing on integrated circuit chip sales, semiconductor device sales, AI application software development, and IoT technology research and development [1][2]. - The company is co-owned by Keshun Co., Ltd. (300737) and other shareholders, with Keshun Co., Ltd. holding a significant 98% stake [3]. - The business scope includes various projects such as integrated circuit chip design and services, sales of power electronic components, and cloud computing equipment sales [2]. Group 2 - The company is registered in Shunde District, Foshan City, Guangdong Province, and is classified under the information transmission, software, and information technology services industry [2]. - The legal representative of the company is Li Wendong, and it is currently in operation with a business term extending until January 27, 2026, with no fixed end date [2]. - The company is positioned to engage in advanced technology services, including 5G communication technology services and IoT application services [2].

Core Viewpoint - The renovation and building materials sector experienced a slight increase, closing at 18,076.57 points with a growth rate of 0.91%, driven by several stocks in the sector showing positive performance [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Keshun Co. closed at 7.61 CNY per share, leading the sector with a growth rate of 13.58% [1]. - Dongfang Yuhong closed at 17.95 CNY per share, with a growth rate of 7.87%, ranking second in the sector [1]. - Sankeshu closed at 57.88 CNY per share, achieving a growth rate of 7.58%, ranking third in the sector [1]. - Kangxin New Materials closed at 3.81 CNY per share, leading the decline with a drop of 8.19% [1]. - Xiong Plastic Technology closed at 10.38 CNY per share, with a decline of 3.98%, ranking second in losses [1]. - Mona Lisa closed at 16.46 CNY per share, with a decline of 3.23%, ranking third in losses [1]. Group 2: Market Outlook - China Galaxy's research report indicates that both consumption and investment are working together to expand domestic demand, with consumption upgrades driving the high-quality transformation of building materials [1]. - The Central Economic Work Conference mentioned plans to "deeply implement special actions to boost consumption" by 2026, which aligns with the 14th Five-Year Plan's suggestion to "remove unreasonable restrictions on consumption" [1]. - It is anticipated that by 2026, housing purchase restrictions in various regions will gradually be relaxed, enhancing expectations for a recovery in the home decoration market and boosting demand for building materials [1].

Core Viewpoint - The renovation and building materials sector experienced a significant increase of 3.24% on January 29, with Keshun Co., Ltd. leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Keshun Co., Ltd. (300737) closed at 7.61, up 13.58%, with a trading volume of 942,800 shares and a transaction value of 700 million yuan [1]. - Dongfang Yuhong (002271) closed at 17.95, up 7.87%, with a trading volume of 951,200 shares and a transaction value of 1.684 billion yuan [1]. - Sankeshu (603737) closed at 57.88, up 7.58%, with a trading volume of 108,600 shares and a transaction value of 620 million yuan [1]. - Jianlang Hardware (002791) closed at 24.27, up 6.92%, with a trading volume of 1,227,300 shares and a transaction value of 548 million yuan [1]. - Other notable stocks include Tubaobao (002043) at 16.68, up 6.45%, and Weixing New Materials (002372) at 12.51, up 4.86% [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The renovation and building materials sector saw a net inflow of 141 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 54.71 million yuan [2]. - The main capital inflow was observed in Dongfang Yuhong, with a net inflow of 134 million yuan, while Keshun Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of approximately 87.29 million yuan [3]. - Other companies like Wanlishi (002785) and Weixing New Materials (002372) also saw significant net inflows of 39.40 million yuan and 37.56 million yuan, respectively [3].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call of Keshun Co., Ltd. Company Overview - **Company**: Keshun Co., Ltd. (科顺股份) - **Industry**: Waterproofing materials and construction materials Core Insights and Arguments - **Price Increase Strategy**: Keshun plans to raise prices of its phenolic waterproof products by 5%-10% to counteract a 5-6% increase in raw material costs, expecting a 2% increase in gross margin by 2026 [2][6] - **Revenue Growth Projections**: The company anticipates a 10% revenue growth in 2026, amounting to approximately 600 million yuan. The civil construction sector (C-end retail) is expected to grow by 30% (around 300 million yuan), while overseas business is projected to grow by 50% (around 200 million yuan) [2][12] - **Tile Adhesive Business**: Keshun's tile adhesive revenue is expected to reach nearly 500 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 20%-30% anticipated for 2026. The company sees significant growth potential in the tile adhesive market over the next 3-5 years [2][17] - **Overseas Market Strategy**: The company plans to adopt a light asset operation model for its overseas business, establishing small factories in Malaysia, Central Asia, and the Middle East through joint ventures and leasing existing facilities [2][22] Financial Performance and Projections - **2025 Financials**: Keshun's overseas revenue is projected to be around 450 million yuan, with a gross margin of 32%-33% and a net profit margin of 7%-8% (excluding impairments) [2][24] - **Credit Impairment Management**: The company aims to limit credit impairment to within 100 million yuan in 2026, with a focus on preparing for potential bad debts in 2025 [4][28] - **Cash Flow Expectations**: Keshun expects positive operating cash flow in 2025, similar to the 300 million yuan range seen in 2024 [4][29] Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - **Market Demand for Tile Adhesives**: The tile adhesive market is expected to continue growing, with a market size of approximately 60-70 billion yuan. The industry is fragmented, with leading companies like Deko and Yuhong having sales of 2-4 billion yuan each [19][20] - **Price Competition**: There is a small price difference among leading brands, while significant differences exist between leading brands and smaller companies. Keshun plans to expand its market share through channel collaboration and acquisitions of local small manufacturers [20] Challenges and Risks - **Customer Acceptance of Price Increases**: Some customers, particularly in the public construction sector, may resist price increases due to reduced business volume and intense competition [8][9] - **Implementation of Price Increases**: The company has successfully implemented price increases for its roll products, with a gradual realization of price adjustments expected to improve margins over time [10][11] Future Growth and Investment Plans - **Investment in New Materials**: Keshun is exploring high-end new materials in sectors like semiconductors and robotics to diversify its business and enhance resilience against market cycles [4][30] - **Convertible Bond Strategy**: The company aims to complete the conversion of all convertible bonds by 2026, targeting a market capitalization of around 10 billion yuan and a share price of approximately 9 yuan [4][32] - **Long-term Revenue Goals**: Keshun aims to return to a revenue scale of 10 billion yuan within 3-5 years, contingent on industry stabilization and recovery [34] Conclusion Keshun Co., Ltd. is strategically positioning itself for growth through price adjustments, expansion into overseas markets, and diversification into new materials. The company is focused on improving its financial health while navigating challenges in customer acceptance and market competition.