1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Bullish" [1] 2. Core Views of the Report - The cosmetics industry continues to show differentiation, with brand demand being weak in the off - season, agents seeking change in difficult situations, and producers seizing supply - chain reconstruction opportunities. The medical aesthetics industry has new entrants with better - than - expected shipments, and new product catalysts are worth attention [3][4] 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Cosmetics: Continued Differentiation 3.1.1 Brand Merchants - In 1 - 3Q25, beauty brand merchants' revenue was 28.4 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 0.6%; personal care brand merchants' revenue was 5.7 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 12.4%. In 3Q25, beauty and personal care brand merchants' revenues were 8.05 billion and 1.805 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 1.3% and an increase of 7.6% respectively. Beauty revenue weakened quarter - on - quarter, while personal care remained flat [18] - Beauty: Affected by the earlier Double Eleven promotion, consumer enthusiasm declined in September, and brands reduced live - streaming activities. In terms of single - quarter revenue growth, Shuiyang Co., Ltd. and Shanghai Jahwa increased by over 20%, Marubi Co., Ltd. had double - digit growth, Proya had low - double - digit decline, and Betaine and Freda had high - single - digit decline [18] - Personal care: Runben Co., Ltd.'s Q3 revenue increased by 17% year - on - year, with a slight increase in growth rate quarter - on - quarter. Baiya Co., Ltd.'s 3Q25 revenue improved, and Dengkang Oral Care had steady growth [18] - In 1 - 3Q25, beauty brand merchants' net profit after non - recurring items was 2.33 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 15%; personal care brand merchants' was 604 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 3.4%. Some companies showed initial cost - control effects [24] 3.1.2 Agents - Agents are seeking change in difficult situations by exploring three paths: incubating self - owned brands (represented by Ruoyuchen), using AI to reduce costs and increase efficiency (represented by Yiwow), and expanding high - growth categories (such as Qingmu Technology expanding into trendy toy agency operations) [30] - Ruoyuchen's self - owned brands Feicui and Zhanjia continued to gain momentum. In Q3, self - owned brand revenue was 451 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 344.5%, accounting for 55.1%. Zhanjia's Q3 revenue was 227 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 119%, and 1 - 3Q revenue was 680 million yuan. Feicui's Q3 revenue was 203 million yuan, a quarter - on - quarter increase of over 98.8%, and 1 - 3Q revenue was 362 million yuan [30] 3.1.3 Producers - Demand continued to recover, and the revenue of the producer sector increased by 9%, 17%, and 30% year - on - year from Q1 to Q3, with the growth rate increasing quarter by quarter [33] - QingSong Co., Ltd. focused on optimizing customers and product structure, and its profit turned positive for four consecutive quarters from 2Q24 to 1Q25. Jieya Co., Ltd. had increasing orders from overseas big customers, and its Q3 performance growth accelerated. Jiaheng Home Co., Ltd. increased revenue but not profit, mainly due to the short - term impact of the Huzhou base's capacity ramp - up [33] 3.2 Medical Aesthetics: New Entrants with Better - than - Expected Shipments 3.2.1 Upstream Consumables - The growth rate of demand expansion slowed down, and supply - side competition intensified. In terms of the cumulative number of Class III medical device approvals, hyaluronic acid > regenerative (Sculptra/Poly - L - Lactic Acid) > botulinum toxin > recombinant collagen. Old products of hyaluronic acid and regenerative types faced growth pressure, and the growth rate of recombinant collagen Class III medical device products slowed down significantly quarter - on - quarter [38] - Hyaluronic acid: Aimeike's revenue growth rate from 24Q1 to 25Q3 was + 28.2%/+2.3%/+1.1%/ - 7%/ - 18%/ - 25%/ - 21% year - on - year, showing a quarterly decline since 24Q2 [38] - Collagen: Jinbo Biotech's revenue growth rate from 24Q1 to 25Q1 was + 76%/+100%/+92%/+73%/+63% year - on - year, and in 2Q25/3Q25, it was + 30%/+13% year - on - year. On October 23, the "Recombinant Type I α1 Subtype Collagen Freeze - Dried Fiber" Class III medical device certificate of Giant Biogene was approved by NMPA [38] - Leapmed Medical's medical aesthetics shipments were better than expected, with Q3 medical service and health management business revenue of 320 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 28%, and the revenue of Sculptra and Hydrodermabrasion reaching 86.1367 million yuan [36] 3.2.2 Downstream - The new model of Xinoxygen Medical Clinics showed high - growth potential. The Q3 revenue guidance was 150 - 170 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 231% - 275%, and a quarter - on - quarter increase of 4% - 18%. It plans to implement the "100 - City, 1000 - Store" plan in the long term [40] - Stores are expanding from first - tier cities to new first - tier and second - tier cities. As of November 6, it covered 42 stores in 10 cities. The promotion of self - owned brands was remarkable, and it cooperated with Xihong Miracle Sculptra 3.0, priced at 2999 yuan, which was officially launched on September 25 [43] 3.3 Investment Recommendations - Brands with upward potential and both growth and certainty: Recommend Maogeping (Oriental aesthetics, dual - wheel drive of makeup and skincare, and the second - curve of perfume is worth looking forward to) and Shangmei Co., Ltd. (with one cornerstone brand, five growth brands, and N seed businesses) [8][46] - Companies with new product pipelines and expected performance elasticity: Pay attention to Giant Biogene and Leapmed Medical [8][46] - Companies in strategic adjustment and expected to reach an inflection point: Recommend Shuiyang Co., Ltd. (the effect of high - end transformation is gradually emerging), and pay attention to Shanghai Jahwa, Betaine, and Freda [8][46]

Core Insights - The retail industry is experiencing a shift from value preservation to emotional value, with a focus on high-growth segments for investment opportunities [5][28] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the retail sector, emphasizing the importance of consumer insights and differentiated product offerings [5][28] Retail Market Overview - The retail index reported a slight increase of 0.31% during the week of November 3 to November 7, 2025, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.08% [7][16] - Year-to-date, the retail index has increased by 4.20%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index's 19.27% growth [16][20] Investment Strategy for 2026 - The investment strategy highlights four main themes: 1. **Gold and Jewelry**: Focus on high-end and fashionable gold segments, with recommendations for brands like Lao Pu Gold and Chao Hong Ji [5][48] 2. **Retail E-commerce**: Emphasize the transformation of offline retail to enhance service and experience, with key players like Yonghui Supermarket and Ai Ying Shi [5][48] 3. **Cosmetics**: Target domestic brands that capture emotional value and innovate on safety ingredients, recommending brands like Juzi Biological and Pechoin [5][49] 4. **Medical Aesthetics**: Focus on differentiated product manufacturers and expanding medical institutions, with recommendations for brands like Ai Mei Ke and Ke Di-B [5][49] Sector Performance - The jewelry sector is undergoing significant changes due to rising gold prices and a decline in traditional wedding markets, leading to the emergence of brands with strong consumer insights [5][29] - The cosmetics sector is seeing a rise in domestic brands leveraging cultural roots and emotional value to capture market share [5][41] Company-Specific Insights - **Chao Hong Ji**: Reported a revenue increase of 28.4% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with a notable performance in Q3 [54] - **Yonghui Supermarket**: Experienced a revenue decline of 22.2% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, but is undergoing significant transformation [50] - **Juzi Biological**: Achieved a revenue growth of 21.7% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, focusing on collagen products [50]

Core Viewpoint - During the Double Eleven shopping festival, the company reported strong sales performance through collaborations with popular livestream hosts such as Li Jiaqi and Zhu Zixiao [1] Group 1 - The company is exploring diverse marketing channels and collaboration models with an open attitude [1] - The brand Winona has recently launched a collaboration with Jasmine Milk White [1] - The company is actively engaging in various promotional activities across mainstream e-commerce and social media platforms [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively engaging in diverse marketing strategies and collaborations to enhance sales performance during the Double Eleven shopping festival, indicating a positive sales outlook and innovative approaches in the industry [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - The company reported impressive sales data during the Double Eleven period, collaborating with popular platform hosts like Li Jiaqi and Zhu Zixiao [1] Group 2: Brand Collaborations - The company has initiated a co-branding partnership between its Winona brand and Jasmine Milk White, showcasing its commitment to innovative product collaborations [1] Group 3: Marketing Strategies - The company is exploring various marketing channels and collaboration models with an open attitude, actively promoting its products across mainstream e-commerce and social media platforms [1]

Market Overview - The cosmetics sector experienced a decline of 1.21% on November 6, with Betaini leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4007.76, up 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13452.42, up 1.73% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable gainers included: - Shuiyang Co., Ltd. (300740) with a closing price of 20.83, up 1.46% [1] - Qingsong Co., Ltd. (300132) with a closing price of 7.27, up 1.11% [1] - Significant decliners included: - Betaini (300957) with a closing price of 42.22, down 4.89% [2] - Jiahen Home Care (300955) with a closing price of 36.68, down 3.47% [2] Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The cosmetics sector saw a net outflow of 82.6352 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 58.2199 million yuan [2] - The trading volume for Shuiyang Co., Ltd. was 149,100 shares, with a transaction value of 311 million yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - Major net inflows were observed in: - Shuiyang Co., Ltd. with a net inflow of 23.1839 million yuan [3] - Qingsong Co., Ltd. with a net inflow of 7.1227 million yuan [3] - Major net outflows were noted in: - Betaini with a net outflow of 90.237 million yuan [3] - Shanghai Jahwa (600315) with a net outflow of 90.237 million yuan [3]

Core Points - On November 5, 2025, Beitaini (300957) recorded a financing buy of 10.96 million yuan and a financing repayment of 10.70 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of 264,500 yuan, with a financing balance of 618 million yuan [1] - Over the past three trading days, the cumulative net financing buy reached 10.41 million yuan, and in the last 20 trading days, there were 12 days with net financing buys [1] Financing Summary - On November 5, 2025, the net financing buy was 264,500 yuan, with a financing balance of 618 million yuan, accounting for 3.29% of the circulating market value [2] - The net financing buys for the previous trading days were as follows: November 4: 3.85 million yuan, November 3: 6.30 million yuan, October 31: -5.18 million yuan, October 30: -3.22 million yuan [2] Margin Trading Summary - On November 5, 2025, there were 400 shares sold short, with a repayment of 1,800 shares, resulting in a net short buy of 1,400 shares, and a remaining short balance of 110,100 shares [3] - The short selling activity for the previous trading days included: November 4: 2,200 shares, November 3: -1,900 shares, October 31: 2,800 shares, October 30: 2,100 shares [3] Overall Margin Balance - The total margin trading balance on November 5, 2025, was 623 million yuan, reflecting an increase of 185,600 yuan or 0.03% from the previous day [4] - The margin balance changes for the previous trading days were: November 4: 3.89 million yuan increase, November 3: 6.22 million yuan increase, October 31: -5.01 million yuan decrease, October 30: -3.26 million yuan decrease [4]

Core Insights - The 2025 Tmall "Double 11" pre-sale commenced on October 15, achieving impressive results in the first hour, with 35 brands surpassing 100 million yuan in sales and 1802 brands doubling their sales compared to the previous year [1] - Taobao Live emerged as a significant highlight during this consumption surge, with the number of users paying deposits experiencing double-digit growth and the number of live streaming rooms exceeding last year's levels [1] Group 1 - Li Jiaqi's live streaming room and other top Taobao live streaming rooms showed remarkable performance, with visitor numbers increasing by over 45% in the first hour and GMV for add-to-cart items showing positive year-on-year growth [3] - Key categories such as beauty, maternal and infant products, fashion, and food saw sales growth of nearly 80%, with over twenty popular items quickly selling out on the first day of the "Double 11" pre-sale [3] - The "Li Jiaqi Live Streaming Room Super Beauty Festival" became a focal point, with 39 products exceeding sales of 100,000 units on the first day [3] Group 2 - Domestic brands have significantly increased their participation on mainstream e-commerce platforms, with their market share rising from 40% to 66%, and live streaming rooms like Li Jiaqi's becoming crucial for showcasing these brands [4] - Domestic brands are establishing deep connections with young consumers through variety shows and top live streaming rooms, exemplified by Li Jiaqi leading 12 domestic beauty brands to open a pop-up store in Paris [4] - Brands such as Proya, Winona, and Naturie quickly entered the top twenty in Tmall's beauty sales within just four hours of the pre-sale, with Proya achieving the top position, highlighting the synergy between quality domestic products and live streaming marketing [4]

Group 1 - The event held in Kunming focused on the theme of "integration towards a new spring city," attracting nearly a hundred media leaders from across the country [1] - The research team explored the industrial development dynamics and cultural roots of Kunming, emphasizing the significance of flowers in driving the local economy and enhancing its global presence [1][4] - The logistics system for flower transportation in Yunnan has been developed to accommodate the delicate nature of flowers, with a cold chain distribution center capable of processing 12.5 million flower packages daily [3] Group 2 - Yunnan's flower shipment volume has increased significantly, from 2 tons to 260 tons daily, with a total annual shipment of 155,000 tons in 2024, supported by a collaborative cold chain, air, and rail transport system [4] - The skincare brand "Winona," under Yunnan Betaini Biotechnology Group, has achieved a top ten position in Tmall's beauty pre-sale rankings, showcasing the company's strong production capabilities and automated processes [6] - Betaini's R&D investment reached 337 million yuan in 2024, maintaining an annual growth rate of over 5% for three consecutive years, leading the industry in innovation [6] Group 3 - The historical significance of Kunming is highlighted by the establishment of the National Southwest Associated University during the war, which contributed to cultural and educational advancements in the region [8] - The current media landscape faces challenges similar to those encountered by the university during its time, emphasizing the need for adaptation and innovation in content production and dissemination [8][10] - The president of the Chinese Evening Association stressed the importance of integrating advanced technology with cultural and educational values to revitalize the spirit of the university [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (Maintain) [5] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year increase of 137% in net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 [5] - The main brand, Winona, continues to lead the domestic dermatological skincare market, with significant competitive advantages [7] - The company has improved its gross margin to 74.3% in Q1-Q3 2025, focusing on brand building and core product optimization [7] - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is expected to be 449 million, 557 million, and 673 million RMB respectively, with corresponding year-on-year changes of -10.84%, +24%, and +20.97% [6][7] Financial Summary - The company's total revenue for 2023 is projected at 5,522 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.14% [6] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 757 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 28.01% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 1.06 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 42.07 [6][9] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 18,867.14 million RMB [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, with a focus on new consumption sectors such as beauty care, IP derivatives, and gold jewelry [5][32]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent tax policy changes regarding gold, which exempts value-added tax for standard gold transactions, potentially boosting market activity [3][22]. - The beauty care sector shows mixed performance, with some companies reporting significant revenue growth while others face declines [4][25]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic brands in the beauty market, with notable rankings in the Douyin beauty list indicating a shift towards local products [22][23]. Market Performance - During the week of October 27 to October 31, 2025, the retail trade, social services, and beauty care sectors experienced changes of +1.63%, +0.45%, and -2.21% respectively, ranking 8th, 17th, and 30th among 31 primary industries [13][15]. - The cosmetics sector faced a decline of -2.57%, while segments like trade and e-commerce performed well with increases of +3.44% and +2.97% [15][18]. Key Company Announcements - Shanghai Jahwa reported a revenue of 4.961 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, with a net profit growth of 149.1% [25]. - Proya Cosmetics achieved a revenue of 7.098 billion yuan, reflecting a modest growth of 1.89% [25]. - The opening of Pop Mart's first store in the Middle East marks a significant expansion for the brand [29]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Shiseido, Giant Bio, Marubi, Runben, Proya, Chaohongji, and Furuida as potential investment targets within the recommended sectors [5][32].