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EDA市场国产“扛把子”?华大九天未来成长空间几何
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-04-09 10:26
作为国产EDA龙头华大九天,可谓全村的希望。这起并购究竟能给公司带来什么? 本次交易前,上市公司主要产品包括全定制设计平台 EDA 工具系统、数字电路设计 EDA 工具、晶圆 制造 EDA 工具和先进封装设计 EDA 工具等软件及相关技术服务。其中,全定制设计平台 EDA 工具系 统包括模拟电路设计流程 EDA 工具系统、存储电路设计流程 EDA 工具系统、射频电路设计流程 EDA 工具系统和平板显示电路设计流程 EDA 工具系统;技术服务主要包括基础 IP、晶圆制造工程服务及其 他相关服务。公司产品和服务主要应用于集成电路设计、制造及封装领域。 近日,华大九天一则并购公告引发市场关注。 公告显示,华大九天披露筹划发行股份及支付现金购买芯和半导体科技(上海)股份有限公司(以下简 称"芯和半导体")100%股份的交易预案。 根据交易预案,华大九天拟以102.86元/股的价格向公司实控人中国电子信息产业集团有限公司(以下 简称"中国电子集团")、中电金投控股有限公司(以下简称"中电金投")发行股份募集配套资金。此次 募集配套资金总额不超过发行股份购买资产交易价格的100%,且发行股份数量不超过本次发行股份购 买资 ...
华大九天:公司点评报告:并购优质EDA标的,加速打造全流程能力-20250409
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-04-09 08:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to "Buy" [9][36]. Core Views - The company is planning to acquire 100% equity of Chip and Semiconductor, which will enhance its capabilities in the EDA (Electronic Design Automation) sector [6][7]. - The acquisition is expected to solidify the company's position as a leader in the domestic EDA market, especially in the context of increasing demand for domestic software and hardware alternatives [7]. - The EDA industry is experiencing high growth, with the global EDA market projected to reach $3.227 billion in Q3 2024, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year growth [7]. - The company aims to cover the entire EDA process and field to meet the needs of domestic substitution, leveraging the acquisition to fill product gaps and enhance efficiency [7]. - The financial performance of the company is expected to improve significantly post-acquisition, with projected revenues of 1.224 billion yuan in 2024 and 1.791 billion yuan in 2025, representing growth rates of 21.19% and 46.24% respectively [8]. Summary by Sections Market Data - The closing price of the company is 116.30 yuan, with a market capitalization of 30.508 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 12.87 and a net asset return rate of 1.19% [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 1.010 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.791 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit forecasted to increase from 201 million yuan to 284 million yuan in the same period [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.37 yuan in 2023 to 0.52 yuan in 2025 [8]. Industry Context - The EDA industry is witnessing consolidation, with major players like the company and others actively pursuing acquisitions to enhance their market positions [9]. - The acquisition of Chip and Semiconductor is seen as a strategic move to accelerate growth and improve product offerings in a competitive landscape [7][9].
华大九天(301269):并购优质EDA标的,加速打造全流程能力
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-04-09 08:30
计算机软件 分析师:唐月 登记编码:S0730512030001 tangyue@ccnew.com 021-50586737 并购优质 EDA 标的,加速打造全流程能 力 ——华大九天(301269)公司点评报告 证券研究报告-公司点评报告 买入(上调) 市场数据(2025-04-08) | 收盘价(元) | 116.30 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 149.54/70.06 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,650.76 | | 市净率(倍) | 12.87 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 305.08 | | 基础数据(2024-09-30) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 9.03 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | -0.08 | | --- | --- | | 毛利率(%) | 91.86 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 1.19 | | 资产负债率(%) | 7.17 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 54,294.18/26,232.14 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 -13% 1% 16 ...
华大九天20250408
2025-04-08 15:42
华大九天 20250408 摘要 Q&A 华大九天在 EDA 行业中的地位如何?其未来的发展前景怎样? 华大九天是中国 EDA 行业的龙头企业,其核心团队自 90 年代起便参与了我国首 款自主 EDA 工具的研发,技术积淀深厚。近年来,随着美国对半导体政策不断 加码,国内头部半导体公司受到美国 EDA 工具禁令的影响,使得国产 EDA 行业 迎来了前所未有的发展机遇。华大九天在 2022 年的国内市场占有率已达到 7%, 并且通过与华为等头部公司合作,快速缩小了与海外软件的差距。目前其工艺 覆盖度已接近全流程覆盖,在数字电路方面预计 2029 年实现 90%以上的覆盖。 未来华大九天有望进一步提升市场份额,甚至进入全球前三名。 • 华大九天受益于美国 EDA 禁令,国产替代加速,2022 年国内市场占有率达 7%,通过与华为等合作,快速缩小与海外差距,预计 2029 年数字电路覆盖 率超 90%,有望提升市场份额至全球前三。 • EDA 行业客户粘性高,巨头通过并购补全工具链,形成垄断。全球市场由 新思科技、铿腾电子和西门子 EDA 主导,市占率达 76%,国内约为 75%。 • 中美贸易摩擦促使国产 EDA ...
计算机行业专题:信创产业加快发展,关注科技内循环
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-06 02:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The AI chip and CPU sectors are moving towards self-sufficiency, with significant growth potential in domestic chip production as companies like Alibaba, Tencent, and Huawei increase their investments in chip development [3][10]. - The domestic software industry is expected to accelerate, with the foundational software market projected to grow from approximately 153.8 billion RMB in 2023 to 432.76 billion RMB by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 48% [48]. - The autonomous driving chip market is also seeing a shift towards domestic production, with a notable increase in the output of domestic chips as the new energy vehicle industry expands [3][10]. Summary by Sections 01: AI Hardware: AI Chips + CPUs - The U.S. has added several Chinese AI companies to its entity list, increasing the difficulty of importing related components, which emphasizes the need for self-sufficiency in the AI industry [5]. - In 2024, China's AI chip shipments are estimated at 2.7 million units, with domestic brands accounting for only 30% of the market, indicating a significant reliance on imports [15]. - The market for AI chips in China is projected to grow rapidly, with a CAGR of 66.4% from 2020 to 2024, reaching a market size of approximately 1.412 trillion RMB in 2024 [15]. 02: Accelerated Development of the Trustworthy Computing Industry - The trustworthy computing industry is expected to grow significantly, with a market size projected to reach 3.38 trillion RMB by 2025, driven by increased domestic demand and government support [48]. - The foundational software market is anticipated to see rapid growth, with key segments such as operating systems and databases showing substantial potential for domestic replacement [48][51]. 03: Domestic Autonomous Driving Chips - In 2024, the output of domestic autonomous driving chips is expected to increase, with domestic manufacturers gradually catching up in terms of technology and production capacity [3][10]. - The market for intelligent cockpit chips is also expanding, with domestic chips currently accounting for only 10% of the market, indicating significant room for growth [3][10]. 04: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests actively monitoring the trustworthy computing industry chain due to the ongoing U.S. trade policies and technology restrictions, which are likely to drive domestic production and innovation [3].
华大九天20250402
2025-04-03 06:35
Summary of Huada Jiutian Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: Huada Jiutian - **Industry**: Electronic Design Automation (EDA) Key Points and Arguments - **Acquisition of Newhe Semiconductor**: Huada Jiutian acquired 100% of Newhe Semiconductor through a combination of cash and stock issuance, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in the EDA market, particularly in system-level simulation for chips [3][4] - **Market Positioning**: The acquisition marks the beginning of a large-scale merger and acquisition cycle for Huada Jiutian, aimed at addressing its development gaps as the only EDA platform in China [3][4] - **Technological Trends**: The integrated circuit design is entering a post-Moore's Law era, where advanced packaging is crucial for increasing chip integration. Multi-physical field simulation technology is becoming essential in EDA tools to address challenges posed by chip integration [5][6] - **Challenges in SOC Design**: Huada Jiutian faces significant challenges in SOC design and chip manufacturing, including complex function decomposition, inter-chip connectivity, and advanced packaging issues [9] - **Market Growth Potential**: The domestic EDA market is projected to reach 16 billion RMB by 2030, with Huada Jiutian's localization rate expected to increase to 50%-70%, indicating a potential market capitalization of over 100 billion RMB [3][15] - **IP Business Development**: Huada Jiutian has the potential to develop its IP business, especially after establishing a leading position in the digital EDA market, which could become a new growth driver [3][16] - **Valuation Logic**: The high valuation of Huada Jiutian is supported by its strong market position and growth potential, with a projected PS ratio of 15-20 times based on future market conditions [11][14] - **Future M&A Plans**: The acquisition of Newhe Semiconductor signals the start of a broader M&A strategy, aimed at enhancing key capabilities and achieving a market valuation of 100 billion RMB [17] Additional Important Insights - **Collaboration with International Giants**: Huada Jiutian has partnered with international companies like Xindasi to launch a comprehensive 3D advanced packaging design analysis EDA platform, reinforcing its industry leadership [7][8] - **Technological Achievements**: The company has received national awards for its technological advancements, further solidifying its position in the domestic EDA industry [8] - **Impact of US-China Relations**: The current geopolitical climate is influencing market liquidity and sentiment, which in turn affects Huada Jiutian's revenue growth [12] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting Huada Jiutian's strategic moves, market positioning, and future growth potential within the EDA industry.
未知机构:Zhao Tianqing,a professor of Tianqing China,a leader of EDA for the global three would-20250403
未知机构· 2025-04-03 01:20
Summary of the Conference Call on Huada Jiutian Industry Overview - The company is a leading player in the domestic EDA (Electronic Design Automation) market, with a market share of 7% in 2022, maintaining its position as the top local provider [1] - The domestic semiconductor market is expected to grow at a rate of 20% over the next three years, with the EDA market projected to expand from 14 billion to 35.4 billion from 2024 to 2027, resulting in a CAGR of 36% [1][2] Key Points 1. **Market Growth and Projections** - The EDA market is anticipated to grow significantly due to the increase in the semiconductor market and the rise of EDA software usage from 1% to 1.3% of the semiconductor market [1] - The expected CAGR for the EDA industry from 2024 to 2027 is 36% [1] 2. **Company Growth Drivers** - The company is leveraging both self-research and acquisitions to enhance its process coverage, aiming for a comprehensive suite of EDA tools [1] - The digital circuit coverage is expected to exceed 90% by 2026, with other categories achieving full process coverage [2] - AI-driven advancements are helping the company close the gap with global leaders, while also expanding its market share [2] 3. **Global Market Context** - The leading global EDA companies include Cadence Design Systems (valued at approximately 500 billion), Synopsys (around 480 billion), and Siemens EDA (about 250 billion), collectively holding a 76% market share and a total market capitalization of 1.2433 trillion [2] - Huada Jiutian is projected to capture about 22% of the global market share in the long term, indicating significant growth potential from its current market capitalization of 60.5 billion [2] Financial Forecast - Revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 43% from 2024 to 2026 [2] - The projected net profit for the parent company is forecasted to be 129 million, 230 million, and 392 million for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -35.64%, +77.68%, and +70.83%, leading to a 3-year CAGR of 74% [2] - The price-to-sales (PS) ratio is lower than comparable domestic companies, leading to a "buy" rating for the stock [2]
华大九天(301269)深度报告:国产半导体EDA领航者,加速赶超全球三巨头
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-04-02 12:46
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Huada Jiutian (301269.SZ) [6] Core Insights - Huada Jiutian is positioned as a leader in the domestic EDA (Electronic Design Automation) market, aiming to accelerate its growth and market share to compete with global giants like Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens EDA [2][4] - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 40% in revenue over the next three years, driven by product expansion, market share growth, and advancements in AI technology [3][4] - The company is projected to become the first domestic EDA company to achieve full-process coverage in EDA tools, transitioning from import substitution to global supply [4][11] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The company currently holds a 7% market share in the Chinese EDA market, which is dominated by three major players with a combined market share of 75% [2] - Huada Jiutian's revenue is expected to grow from 1.29 billion yuan in 2024 to 3.92 billion yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 74% for net profit during the same period [4][11] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 1.288 billion yuan, 1.808 billion yuan, and 2.617 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.51%, 40.31%, and 44.75% [4][11] - The company maintains a high gross margin, with a consistent rate above 90% over the past five years, while R&D expenses have been increasing significantly [40][38] Market Context - The EDA industry is expected to grow significantly, with the Chinese EDA market projected to expand from 14 billion yuan in 2024 to 35.4 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 36.1% [43][47] - The report highlights the importance of EDA tools as a strategic foundation for the integrated circuit industry, emphasizing their role in enhancing design efficiency and driving technological advancements [41][42] Competitive Positioning - Huada Jiutian is recognized for its strong R&D capabilities, with over 300 authorized patents and a commitment to innovation, supported by significant investment from state-owned enterprises [32][35] - The company is well-positioned to leverage national policies that support the semiconductor industry, creating a favorable environment for growth and development [51]
华大九天(301269):国产半导体EDA领航者 加速赶超全球三巨头
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-02 12:45
投资要点 国产EDA 龙头,20-23 年营收CAGR 34.6%、归母净利润CAGR 24.7%公司成立于2009 年,核心团队20 世纪90 年代起参与中国首款自主EDA 工具"熊猫ICCAD 系统"的研发。公司在国内头部客户的支持下, 快速迭代,迅速缩小与全球行业龙头公司的差距,国内市场份额快速提升,2022 年已达7%。 2020 至2023 年,公司营收CAGR 高达34.6%、归母净利润CAGR 达24.7%。 半导体市场高增,叠加正版化趋势,预计24-27 年国内EDA 行业增速约36%。 预计2024-2027 年我国半导体市场规模增速约20%。EDA 国产化叠加正版化趋势明显,预计未来三年 EDA 占半导体比重上升至1.1%、1.2%、1.3%。我们预计,24-27 年我国EDA 市场从140 亿增至354 亿 元,CAGR36%。 进口替代到供应全球,公司市场份额有望快速提升。 目前全球及中国市场主要由Synopsys、Cadence 和Siemens EDA 三巨头主导。 2022 年中国EDA 市场 CR3 达75%,公司作为EDA 国产化破局者,2022 年占7%市场份额,位列中国公 ...
华大九天(301269):拟收购芯和半导体 加速构建全流程产品矩阵
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-01 00:48
由于目前该交易仍处于预案环节,交易细节及落地存在不确定性,我们先不将目标标的收购后并表的影 响计入盈利预测。维持2024 年盈利预测不变。 华大九天公告《发行股份及支付现金购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易预案》,公司拟以发行股份及 支付现金的方式购买交易对方持有的标的资产芯和半导体100%股份,购买交易对方为上海卓和信息等 35 名交易对方,募集配套资金认购方为中国电子信息产业集团有限公司、中电金投控股有限公司,发 行股票价格为102.86 元/股,公司股票将于3 月31 日复牌。 评论 定增购买资产预案出炉,具体交易细节仍待确定。在此次交易预案中,公司计划以102.86 元/股的价格 向上海卓和信息等35 名交易对方(芯和半导体原股东)发行股份,并结合支付现金的方式(通过向实 控人中国电子、中国金控发行股份募资,发行价同上),购买芯和半导体100%的股份。其中目前标的 资产的最终交易对价尚未确认,同时发行股票及支付现金的比例也尚未确认,在相关审计、评估工作完 成后,上市公司将与交易对方签署发行股份及支付现金购买资产协议,对最终交易价格和交易方案进行 确认,并在重组报告书中予以披露。 芯和半导体深耕Chipl ...