ASML Holding(ASML)
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ASML Holding(ASML) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-15 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total net sales for Q3 2025 were €7.5 billion, within guidance, with net system sales at €5.6 billion, including €2.1 billion from EUV system sales and €3.4 billion from non-EUV system sales [6][7] - Gross margin for the quarter was 51.6%, and net income was €2.1 billion, representing 28.3% of total net sales, resulting in an EPS of €5.49 [7][8] - The effective tax rate for Q3 was 17.8%, with an expected annualized effective tax rate of around 17% for the full year [7] - Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments at the end of Q3 were €5.1 billion [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Installed Base Management sales for the quarter were €2 billion, as guided [7] - Net system bookings for Q3 were €5.4 billion, with €3.6 billion from EUV systems and €1.8 billion from non-EUV systems [8] - Net system bookings were slightly weighted towards Logic at 53%, while Memory accounted for 47% [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects Q4 total net sales to be between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, with installed base management sales around €2.1 billion [9] - The company anticipates a strong Q4, similar to the previous year, with a gross margin expected between 51% and 53% [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on advancing its technology roadmap, particularly in EUV and 3D integration, to meet customer demands [12][14] - A strategic partnership with Mistral AI was announced, aiming to embed AI across the company's portfolio to enhance performance and productivity [16] - The company expects a shift towards more advanced Logic and DRAM applications, which will require intensive use of advanced lithography systems [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a positive news flow in the industry, particularly regarding AI infrastructure investments, which supports demand in leading-edge logic and advanced DRAM [10] - There is an expectation of a significant decline in China customer demand in 2026 compared to strong business in 2024 and 2025, but overall sales are not expected to fall below 2025 levels [11] - The company is preparing for growth and has been investing in capacity to meet future demand [50][66] Other Important Information - The company paid an interim dividend of €1.6 per ordinary share in Q3, with another expected in Q4 [8] - A new share buyback program is expected to be announced in January 2026 [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the positive news that helped reduce uncertainty? - Management highlighted positive developments in AI infrastructure investments, which create a backlog of opportunities for future orders [21][22] Question: What is the visibility for 2026 regarding orders and capacity? - Management indicated that while there is some clarity, it is still early to predict exact impacts for 2026, especially concerning customer demand in China [25][26] Question: How do you view the strength in DRAM and its implications for EUV? - Management stated that the transition to 4F2 DRAM architecture is not expected to reduce EUV layer counts, and they anticipate growth in EUV layers [33][34] Question: What is the outlook for gross margin in 2026? - Management noted that product mix and the expected increase in EUV sales would influence gross margin, but specific guidance would be provided in January [90][91] Question: How is the installed base business expected to develop going into 2026? - Management observed that the service business is growing alongside the installed base, and they will provide updates on upgrade business expectations in January [96][98] Question: How is the company preparing for potential supply limitations in the AI market? - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining dialogue with customers to ensure timely adjustments to production capacity [66][68]
ASML Holding(ASML) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-15 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total net sales for Q3 2025 were €7.5 billion, within guidance, with net system sales at €5.6 billion, including €2.1 billion from EUV system sales and €3.4 billion from non-EUV system sales [6][7] - Gross margin for the quarter was 51.6%, and net income was €2.1 billion, representing 28.3% of total net sales, resulting in an EPS of €5.49 [7][8] - The effective tax rate for Q3 was 17.8%, with an expected annualized effective tax rate of around 17% for the full year [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Installed Base Management sales for the quarter were €2 billion, as guided [7] - Net system bookings for Q3 were €5.4 billion, with €3.6 billion from EUV systems and €1.8 billion from non-EUV systems, slightly weighted towards Logic at 53% and Memory at 47% [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects Q4 total net sales to be between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, with installed base management sales around €2.1 billion [9] - The company anticipates a strong Q4, similar to the previous year, with a gross margin expected between 51% and 53% [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on advancing its technology roadmap, particularly in EUV and 3D integration, to meet customer demands in Logic and DRAM markets [10][12] - A strategic partnership with Mistral AI was announced, aiming to embed AI across the company's portfolio to enhance system performance and productivity [16] - The company expects a revenue opportunity between €44 billion and €60 billion by 2030, with gross margins projected between 56% and 60% [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a positive news flow in the industry, particularly regarding AI infrastructure investments, which are expected to support demand in Logic and DRAM [10][11] - There is an expectation of a significant decline in China customer demand in 2026 compared to strong business in 2024 and 2025, but overall sales are not expected to fall below 2025 levels [11][12] - The company is preparing for growth and has been investing in capacity to meet future demand [16][67] Other Important Information - The company paid an interim dividend of €1.6 per ordinary share in Q3 2025, with another expected in Q4 [8] - A share buyback program totaling €12 billion is ongoing, with €5.9 billion already utilized [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the positive news that helped reduce uncertainty? - Management highlighted positive developments in AI infrastructure investments, which create a backlog of opportunities for future orders [21][22] Question: What is the visibility regarding China demand? - Management indicated that the high sales levels in China were not sustainable and expected a return to more normalized levels in 2026 [25][26] Question: How should we think about revenue linearity in 2026? - Management stated that while recent orders have been strong, it is too early to predict revenue linearity for 2027 [30][31] Question: Will the transition to 4F2 DRAM architecture negatively impact EUV? - Management clarified that they do not expect a drop in EUV layer counts with the transition to 4F2, and in fact, anticipate growth in EUV layers [34] Question: What is the outlook for gross margin in 2026? - Management noted that product mix and the expected increase in EUV sales would influence gross margin, but specific guidance would be provided in January [90][91]
美股异动 | 明星科技股普涨 纳微半导体(NVTS.US)涨超8%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 13:53
智通财经APP获悉,周三,美股三大指数集体高开,纳指涨0.85%,明星科技股普涨,纳微半导体 (NVTS.US)涨超8%,美国超微公司(AMD.US)涨超4%,阿斯麦(ASML.US)涨超3%,台积电(TSM.US)涨 超2%,英伟达(NVDA.US)涨超1%。消息面上,此前美联储主席鲍威尔表示,美联储有望在本月晚些时 候再进行一次25个基点的降息,尽管美国政府停摆严重影响了其对经济状况的评估。 此外,传奇对冲基金经理Paul Tudor Jones周二表示,在预期利率将走低的背景下,纳斯达克综合指数有 望在年底前走高,这一言论为一度疲软的市场注入了乐观情绪。 ...
美股三大指数集体高开,科技股普涨
Feng Huang Wang Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 13:47
Group 1: Market Overview - US stock indices opened higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.37%, Nasdaq up 0.95%, and S&P 500 up 0.64% [1] - Technology stocks saw significant gains, with US Superconductor up over 4%, Nanomicro Semiconductor up over 3%, ASML up over 4%, and TSMC up over 2% [1] - Gold stocks also rose, with Harmony Gold up over 3% and Golden Valley up 2% [1] Group 2: Company News - Apple's COO Sabih Khan visited Lens Technology in Jiangsu, China, to inspect the company's practices in smart manufacturing, green production, and talent cultivation [2] - ASML is expected to achieve sales growth driven by strong demand for EUV and DUV lithography equipment, with a revenue target of €44-60 billion by 2030 [3] - Morgan Stanley reported Q3 net revenue of $18.22 billion, exceeding expectations of $16.64 billion, with wealth management revenue at $8.23 billion [4] - Ericsson signed a $3 billion cooperation agreement with Export Development Canada to enhance investment in Canadian R&D and accelerate next-generation technology development [5] - HSBC raised Nvidia's target price from $200 to $320, indicating a potential market capitalization of $7.78 trillion [6]
费城半导体指数高开,涨超2%。阿斯麦涨4%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-15 13:46
Group 1 - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index opened higher, rising over 2% [1] - ASML increased by 4%, while TSMC rose by more than 2% [1] - Nvidia and Micron Technology both saw an increase of nearly 2% [1]
费城半导体指数高开,涨超2%,阿斯麦涨4%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-15 13:45
Group 1 - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index opened higher, rising over 2% [1] - ASML increased by 4%, while TSMC rose over 2% [1] - Nvidia and Micron Technology both saw an increase of nearly 2% [1]
纳指高开近1%,特斯拉涨超2%,阿斯麦绩后涨超5%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-15 13:40
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market opened with all three major indices rising, with the Nasdaq up by 0.96%, the S&P 500 increasing by 0.67%, and the Dow Jones gaining 0.38% [1] Company Highlights - Tesla's stock rose over 2% as reports indicate that Tesla China is advancing two new vehicle projects, which are reduced-spec versions of the current Model Y and Model 3 [2] - TSMC's stock increased by nearly 3%, with market expectations for Q3 net profit to grow by 26% year-over-year, reaching a new high [3] - ASML's stock surged over 5%, reporting Q3 order volume of €5.4 billion, exceeding expectations, and forecasting strong performance for the next year [4] - Intel's stock rose by 2.7% following the launch of its new GPU "Crescent Island," which focuses on high efficiency and low cost for AI inference [5]
道指开盘涨0.4%,标普500涨0.7%,纳指涨1.0%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 13:40
摩根士丹利涨4.4%,Q3净营收高于预期。美国银行涨4.1%,Q3业绩超预期。美元树涨4.9%,展望未来 三年每股收益年增12-15%。阿斯麦涨5.0%,Q3净利超预期,预告明年业绩持续强劲。 来源:滚动播报 ...
纳指期货盘前涨超1% 阿斯麦业绩提振芯片股|今夜看点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 13:05
Group 1: Market Overview - U.S. stock index futures rose before the market opened, with Dow Jones futures up 0.56%, S&P 500 futures up 0.79%, and Nasdaq 100 futures up 1.05% [1] - Chip stocks showed strength, with Nvidia, Broadcom, and AMD rising over 2%, while ASML and TSMC increased by more than 4% [1] - Major tech stocks like Apple, Tesla, Oracle, Palantir, and Intel rose over 1%, with Alibaba increasing by more than 3% [1] Group 2: Company Earnings - Bank of America reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that exceeded market expectations, driven by strong investment banking performance, leading to a pre-market stock increase of about 4% [1] - Morgan Stanley also reported better-than-expected earnings, with stock rising over 4% [1] - Morgan Stanley's third-quarter net revenue was $18.22 billion, surpassing the forecast of $16.64 billion, with wealth management net revenue at $8.23 billion, exceeding the expected $7.78 billion [5] Group 3: Technology Developments - ASML is expected to achieve sales growth driven by strong demand for extreme ultraviolet (EUV) and deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography equipment, with a revenue target of €44-60 billion by 2030 [4] - Nscale plans to build a large AI data center for Microsoft in Texas, with a power capacity of up to 240 MW, set to be operational by Q3 2026 [6][7] - Ericsson signed a $3 billion cooperation agreement with the Canadian Export Development Corporation to enhance investment in Canadian R&D and accelerate next-generation technology development, including 5G and AI [9] Group 4: Strategic Investments - Coinbase announced an investment in the leading cryptocurrency exchange CoinDCX in India and the Middle East, following previous investments through Coinbase Ventures [8] - HSBC raised Nvidia's target price from $200 to $320, indicating a potential market capitalization increase to $7.78 trillion [10]
Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Wednesday
CNBC· 2025-10-15 13:04
Group 1: Bank Earnings and Market Reactions - Bank of America reported better-than-expected earnings with an incredibly low level of charge-offs, while Wells Fargo also set aside less money for losses, raising questions about potential bad corporate loans in the sector [1] - Following strong quarterly results for Bank of America and Morgan Stanley, there is a shift in focus from net interest income to earnings growth, which could lead to higher price-to-earnings ratios for banks, with both stocks rising over 3% [2][3] Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Salesforce's CEO indicated that Agentforce is now integral to the company, but concerns remain about its impact on earnings, despite notable clients like Williams-Sonoma and Dell using the tool [3] - Abbott Labs reported a solid quarter but narrowed its earnings per share guidance due to tariffs, resulting in a stock decline of over 3% [4] - Apollo Global has made another bid for Papa John's, suggesting that restaurant valuations are low, while Texas Roadhouse faces margin pressure from rising cattle prices [5] Group 3: Technology and Semiconductor Sector - ASML reported a strong quarter, highlighting its unique semiconductor equipment that Chinese companies cannot replicate, although it anticipates a decline in sales to China [6] Group 4: Investment Activity and Ratings - An investor group including BlackRock and Nvidia plans to acquire Aligned Data Centers for $40 billion, indicating ongoing activity in the data center sector [8] - Morgan Stanley raised its price target for Johnson & Johnson from $178 to $190, following a strong quarter and positive outlook, including plans to spin off its orthopedics business [9] - BTIG initiated coverage of Nike with a buy rating and a $100 price target, recognizing progress in its turnaround strategy [10]