Core Viewpoint - The application of AI and domestic substitution will be the main theme of technology investment in 2026, with AI evolving from isolated technological advancements to broader productivity integration with existing digital infrastructure [1] Market Review - Since 2025, both Chinese and US tech stocks have performed well, with a broad increase in AI computing power. The Chinese market has outperformed, with the CITIC Technology Five Industry Index, Hang Seng Technology Index, and Nasdaq Index rising by +41%, +30%, and +23% respectively as of November 7, 2025 [2] - AI infrastructure construction remains the main narrative, showing a broad-based increase across the entire industry chain, with CITIC Communications, CITIC Electronics, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising by +114%, +72%, and +45% respectively [2] Technology Trends - In 2025, despite the absence of revolutionary AI products, North America's major cloud service providers (CSPs) have consistently invested in AI infrastructure, with capital expenditures (Capex) expected to reach $400 billion, a 60% year-on-year increase [3] - The trend of domestic substitution is becoming inevitable, with domestic manufacturers like Huawei seeking to enhance system-level computing capabilities through communication capabilities [3] Policy Guidance - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has successfully met its core indicators, and the "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes improving technological self-reliance, with a focus on the AI industry chain for 2026 [4] - The plan highlights key areas such as integrated circuits and high-end equipment, indicating strong policy support for the domestic semiconductor and computing industry [4] Investment Logic - The domestic computing chain shows significant earnings elasticity, with potential yet to be fully tapped. The semiconductor equipment and AI chip investments are expected to have clear certainty under the wave of domestic substitution [5] - The model and application side may also see localized explosive opportunities, particularly in AI-enabled internet technology giants and rapidly commercializing AI applications [5] Industry Focus - The domestic computing industry is viewed as a long-term demand and breakthrough area, with a strong belief in the importance of computing power to national strength [6] AI Applications - AI applications in areas such as advertising, coding, and video generation are seeing rapid commercialization, with significant business value already generated [8] - The Robo X industry is expected to enter a phase of scale expansion from 1 to 100 in 2026, driven by advancements in autonomous driving technology and decreasing component costs [8]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the U.S. stock market is supported by mid-term elections, policy easing, ample liquidity, and a favorable fundamental outlook for 2026. Despite concerns over high valuations and potential risks from high interest rates, the market remains attractive for investment due to strong growth expectations and the increasing market share of MAG8 companies [1][10]. Macroeconomic Environment - The monetary policy is expected to remain accommodative, with the federal funds rate projected to decline to 3.25%-3.4% by the end of 2026. This is supported by a weakening job market, with 1.1 million layoffs expected in 2025, and the Fed's recent interest rate cuts [2]. - The fiscal policy, particularly the OBBB Act passed in July 2025, is anticipated to create a $3.4 trillion deficit over the next decade, providing significant tax relief for businesses and contributing to fiscal expansion [3]. Market Liquidity - Four key factors are expected to support liquidity in the U.S. stock market: the expansion of dollar-pegged stablecoins, increased corporate buybacks, a shift of funds from money market funds to equities and bonds, and a resurgence in individual investor participation [4]. Fundamental Outlook - The fundamental outlook for the U.S. stock market is bolstered by strong growth in technology and improvements in the policy environment. The S&P 500 is projected to see revenue and earnings growth of 5.2% and 6.6% in 2025, respectively, with expectations for even higher growth in 2026 [6]. AI Bubble Narrative - The narrative surrounding the potential bursting of the "AI bubble" is considered unlikely in the short term, as demand for AI technologies continues to grow, supported by advancements in chip performance and system capabilities [7]. Private Credit Market Risks - Concerns regarding the private credit market have emerged following recent bankruptcies, but the overall default rate remains moderate, and the impact on the banking sector is expected to be manageable [8]. High Interest Rate Environment - The prolonged high interest rate environment poses risks to the real economy and financial system, with potential implications for the stock market if the Federal Reserve fails to respond timely to emerging risks [9]. Stock Market Outlook - The combination of fiscal and monetary easing is expected to support the continuation of a bull market in U.S. stocks in 2026, with a focus on sectors such as technology, manufacturing, energy infrastructure, military, and financial services [10].

Core Viewpoint - Since 2025, both Chinese and American tech stocks have shown impressive performance, with the computing power sector leading the market, and there are emerging opportunities in models and applications for 2026 [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The computing power sector has outperformed the market, indicating strong growth potential [1] - There is an expectation that domestic computing power will replicate the long bull market seen in US stocks since 2023 [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The urgency for development in semiconductor equipment and AI chips has increased due to overseas restrictions, making domestic substitution a prevailing trend [1] - Domestic chip manufacturers have begun exploring solutions like super nodes to overcome performance disadvantages of single cards by leveraging multi-card advantages [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The construction of multi-card clusters raises demands for the quantity and quality of components, creating greater investment opportunities across the supply chain [1] - Specific sectors such as liquid cooling, storage, power supply, optical modules, PCBs, and quantum computing are expected to see higher performance elasticity [1] Group 4: Application and Model Opportunities - There is potential for localized explosive growth in models and applications, particularly in AI-enabled internet tech giants and rapidly commercializing AI applications such as AI advertising, AI agents, AI video generation, and autonomous driving [1]

Core Insights - In September, electricity consumption increased by 4.5% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from August's growth of 5.0% [1][2] - The demand for electricity in the secondary industry continued to recover, reaching a growth rate of 5.7%, while the tertiary industry's demand remained resilient [2] - The report recommends investing in hydropower with stable operations and a safety margin in valuation, H-share leading thermal power with performance elasticity and low valuation, and H-share green power with improved subsidy expectations [1] Electricity Consumption Trends - In September, the electricity consumption growth rate was 4.5%, down from 5.0% in August, with the secondary industry's demand recovering to 5.7% [2] - The high-energy-consuming sectors showed varied electricity demand growth, with the black metal industry experiencing high growth while the non-metal industry remained flat [2] - Coastal regions benefited from exports, with a year-on-year electricity consumption growth rate of 7.2% [2] Power Generation and Investment - From January to September, new wind and solar power installations reached 61.09 million and 240.27 million kilowatts, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 56.2% and 49.3% [3] - In September, new thermal power installations totaled 6.81 million kilowatts, maintaining a steady production pace [3] - Power source investment from January to September was 598.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.6%, with significant growth in thermal and nuclear power investments [3] Hydropower and Utilization Rates - The average utilization hours for power generation equipment in September were 263 hours, a year-on-year decrease of 9.6% [4] - Hydropower generation saw a significant increase due to improved water conditions, with utilization hours rising to 402 hours, an increase of 28.4% [4] - Wind and solar power utilization hours decreased, with wind power utilization at 127 hours (down 20.6%) and solar power at 90 hours (down 7.2%) [4]

Core Insights - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the GMV growth rate for the e-commerce sector during the "Double 11" shopping festival (October 9 to November 11) is expected to remain consistent with last year's overall performance [1] E-commerce Performance - Instant retail platforms such as Meituan Flash Purchase and Taobao Flash Purchase have shown impressive growth during this year's event, warranting ongoing attention [1] - Categories like home appliances and 3C digital products, stimulated by national subsidies, have achieved steady growth despite high base comparisons from the previous year [1] - There is a noticeable recovery in discretionary consumption categories such as beauty and apparel, indicating an overall positive trend in consumer demand [1] Future Outlook - It is recommended to monitor the core e-commerce platforms' developments in supply chain capabilities, core user investments, and AI empowerment [1] - Continuous evaluation of the synergy between food delivery, instant retail investments, and e-commerce is suggested for future assessments [1]

Core Insights - Since 2025, both Chinese and American tech stocks have shown impressive performance, with the computing power sector leading the market [1] - Looking ahead to 2026, domestic computing power is on the rise, with performance elasticity and investment certainty expected to replicate the long bull market seen in US stocks since 2023 [1] Sector Analysis - The urgency for development in semiconductor equipment and AI chips has increased due to overseas restrictions, making domestic substitution a prevailing trend [1] - Domestic chip manufacturers have begun to explore solutions such as super nodes to compensate for single card performance disadvantages by leveraging multi-card advantages, facilitating breakthroughs in computing power [1] - The construction of multi-card clusters demands higher quality and quantity of components, presenting greater investment opportunities across the supply chain [1] - Sub-sectors such as liquid cooling, storage, power supply, optical modules, PCBs, and quantum computing are expected to experience higher performance elasticity [1] Application Opportunities - The model and application side is anticipated to witness localized explosive opportunities, particularly in internet tech giants empowered by AI [1] - Fast-developing AI application sectors include AI advertising, AI agents, AI video generation, and commercial autonomous driving [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that since 2025, both Chinese and American technology stocks have performed remarkably, with the computing power sector leading the market in growth [1] - The outlook for 2026 indicates that domestic computing power is on the rise, showing both performance elasticity and investment certainty, potentially replicating the long bull market seen in U.S. stocks since 2023 [1] - There are expected localized explosive opportunities in models and applications, particularly in AI-enabled internet technology giants and rapidly commercializing AI applications such as AI advertising, AI agents, AI video generation, and automated driving [1]

Core Viewpoint - The brokerage industry has experienced a significant performance surge in Q3 2025, with 42 listed brokerages achieving a total net profit of 169 billion yuan, marking a 62.4% year-on-year increase [1] Revenue Performance - The top five brokerages exhibit a clear "one super, one strong" revenue pattern, with CITIC Securities leading at 55.815 billion yuan, followed by Guotai Junan at 45.892 billion yuan, together contributing 1.01707 billion yuan, which accounts for 57.6% of the top five's total revenue [2] - Guotai Junan's revenue growth of 101.6% is primarily attributed to the merger with Haitong Securities, while China Galaxy and GF Securities reported revenue growth of 44.39% and 41.04%, respectively [2] Net Profit Performance - The industry saw five brokerages surpassing 10 billion yuan in net profit, with CITIC Securities at 23.159 billion yuan and Guotai Junan at 22.074 billion yuan, establishing a "dual giant" market structure [3] - Guotai Junan led in net profit growth at 131.80%, influenced by goodwill from the merger, while CITIC Securities showed a 37.86% increase, indicating strong profitability [4] Brokerage Business - The average daily trading volume in the market reached 1.64 trillion yuan, a 106.1% increase year-on-year, driving brokerage commission income growth of over 50% across the board [5] - Guotai Junan's commission income surged to 10.814 billion yuan, a 142.80% increase, while CITIC Securities led in scale with 10.939 billion yuan, reflecting a 52.90% growth [6] Proprietary Business - The top five brokerages collectively generated 83.579 billion yuan in proprietary business income, accounting for 47.02% of total revenue [6] - CITIC Securities led proprietary income at 31.603 billion yuan, a 45.88% increase, while Guotai Junan exceeded 20 billion yuan with 20.370 billion yuan, marking a 90.11% growth [6] - There is a notable divergence in proprietary income growth rates, with Guotai Junan leading at 90.11%, while Huatai Securities experienced a decline of 15.08% due to a high base effect from a previous year [7]

Core Viewpoint - The global energy storage industry has experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 50% over the past 1 to 2 years, with positive prospects for continued growth in the coming year due to supportive policies and market conditions [1] Industry Summary - The domestic energy storage market is expected to benefit from the implementation of capacity pricing policies and supporting measures from various provinces, leading to improved terminal yield and sustained growth across the entire supply chain from bidding to installation [1] - The energy storage industry is projected to maintain a growth rate above 50% in the next year, supported by national policies and the backdrop of global energy shortages, indicating a promising future for the sector [1]

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has released the "Monetary Policy Implementation Report for the Third Quarter of 2025," outlining the future monetary policy direction [1] - The report highlights significant external uncertainties and challenges to international economic trade order, while also acknowledging risks to domestic economic performance [1] - The third quarter GDP growth was reported at 4.8%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the second quarter, prompting the PBOC to emphasize the need for stronger domestic economic recovery [1] Monetary Policy Direction - The PBOC signals the implementation of a moderately accommodative monetary policy and the strengthening of policy execution and transmission [1] - There is a possibility of a further 10 basis points interest rate cut in the fourth quarter if domestic demand does not recover sufficiently, aimed at reducing financing costs and stabilizing overall demand [1] Support for Consumption - The report introduces measures to support personal credit repair, which is seen as a continuation and deepening of financial support for consumption system construction [1] Renminbi Internationalization - The PBOC's stance on Renminbi internationalization is increasingly positive, identifying "capital account opening" and "cross-border payments" as key strategies [1] Structural Optimization - The PBOC is focusing on the internal coordination of the interest rate system, indicating a shift in monetary policy from total volume control to a dual emphasis on structural optimization and effective transmission [1]