招商证券：同意由招证国际向其全资子公司分次增资不超过90亿港元。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Netflix is leading a bid of approximately $70 billion for Warner Bros. Discovery's film and streaming assets, which are considered strategically valuable for Netflix [1] - If the acquisition is successful, Netflix's subscriber base could increase from 300 million to over 400 million by merging with HBO Max's 120 million subscribers, raising its market share from 20% to 28% [1] - The report highlights potential challenges, including significant subscriber overlap between the two platforms (approximately 25% to 30%) and short-term execution risks along with rising debt issues [1] Group 2 - The firm projects Netflix's Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders to grow by 19% and 24% year-on-year in Q4 of this year and in 2026, respectively [1] - Based on a compound annual growth rate of earnings from 2025 to 2027, Netflix's current price-to-earnings growth ratio for 2026 is estimated at 1.8 times, compared to the median of 2 times for major U.S. tech companies [1] - The target price for Netflix is set at $142, with a rating of "Buy" [1]

招商证券国际发表研报指，奈飞以约700亿美元领先竞购华纳兄弟探索公司影业及流媒体资产；又认为 华纳兄弟探索公司的流媒体及影业资产对奈飞具有战略价值，若收购成功，凭借其财务承受能力，叠加 华纳兄弟探索的知识产权和用户基础，有望进一步提升奈飞的市场地位。该行认为，如果奈飞竞标成 功，将把其3亿订阅用户与HBO Max的1.2亿以上用户合并，总数超过4亿，市场份额从20%提升至 28%。但不利因素包括，两平台之间存在显著的订阅用户重叠(约25%至30%)；短期内面临执行风险及 债务飙升问题。该行预计，奈飞今年四季度和2026年Non-GAAP归母净利润，按年分别增长19%、 24%。以2025至2027年盈利复合年增长率计算，奈飞当前2026年市盈增长率为1.8倍，相较于美国主要 科技公司的中位数2倍，该行予奈飞目标价142美元，评级"增持"。 ...

该行预计，阿里巴巴截至12月财季CMR增速将同比放缓至6%，同时预计季度亏损将显著收窄。另预计 集团中国商业整体收入在2026-2027财年分别增12%及9%，2026年经调整EBITDA分别年减37%，2026年 则年增35%。整体而言，该行将阿里巴巴2026-2027财年归母净利润预测上调1-3%，其中云业务收入上 调抵消了国际电商及其他板块的下调。该行继续维持集团为中国互联网首选，保持对其AI领导力、云 业务加速及核心商业稳健前景的积极判断。 智通财经APP获悉，招商证券国际发布研报称，阿里巴巴-W(09988)管理层表示，未来三年无AI泡沫， 并拟上调此前2026-2028财年总计3800亿元人民币的资本开支。该行对阿里云的持续加速保持乐观，预 计其2026-2027财年收入同比增34%及35%。暂维持港股目标价198港元及"增持"评级。 ...

招商证券国际发布研报称，阿里巴巴-W(09988)管理层表示，未来三年无AI泡沫，并拟上调此前2026- 2028财年总计3800亿元人民币的资本开支。该行对阿里云的持续加速保持乐观，预计其2026-2027财年 收入同比增34%及35%。暂维持港股目标价198港元及"增持"评级。 该行预计，阿里巴巴截至12月财季CMR增速将同比放缓至6%，同时预计季度亏损将显著收窄。另预计 集团中国商业整体收入在2026-2027财年分别增12%及9%，2026年经调整EBITDA分别年减37%，2026年 则年增35%。整体而言，该行将阿里巴巴2026-2027财年归母净利润预测上调1-3%，其中云业务收入上 调抵消了国际电商及其他板块的下调。该行继续维持集团为中国互联网首选，保持对其AI领导力、云 业务加速及核心商业稳健前景的积极判断。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current market valuation of the express delivery industry is considered relatively high compared to the performance expected in 2026, with a focus on growth drivers for performance recovery in 2026 [1] Express Delivery Industry Core Data - In October 2025, the national express delivery volume reached 17.6 billion pieces, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.9%, with a decline of 4.9 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The average revenue per delivery piece was 7.48 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.0%, with a narrowing decline of 1.9 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The total revenue from express delivery business amounted to 131.67 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.7%, with a decline of 2.5 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Consumer Data - From January to October, the total retail sales reached 41.2 trillion yuan, growing by 4.3% year-on-year, with October retail sales at 4.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [2] - The cumulative online retail sales of physical goods from January to October reached 10.4 trillion yuan, growing by 6.3% year-on-year, with October online retail sales at 1.25 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.9% [2] - The e-commerce penetration rate for the first ten months was 25.2%, down by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the October penetration rate was 26.9%, up by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] Listed Express Delivery Companies Core Data - The growth rate of delivery volume varies among companies, with SF Express benefiting from proactive business development, achieving a year-on-year increase of 26.3% in October 2025, while Yunda, Shentong, and YTO experienced changes of +12.8%, -5.1%, and +4.0% respectively [3] - The average revenue per delivery piece for SF Express, YTO, Yunda, and Shentong in October was 13.18, 2.23, 2.11, and 2.18 yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -10.0%, -3.5%, +4.5%, and +7.4% [3] - In October, the express delivery revenues for SF Express, YTO, Yunda, and Shentong were 20.1 billion, 6.2 billion, 4.5 billion, and 5.0 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of +13.7%, +9.0%, -0.9%, and +11.8% [3] - The market share of Yunda and Shentong increased, with their respective market shares in October being 13.3%, reflecting a year-on-year change of -0.5% and -0.1 percentage points [3]

Core Insights - The National Press and Publication Administration announced the approval of 178 domestic game licenses and 6 imported game licenses on November 26, indicating a stable monthly issuance of licenses, which is expected to boost market confidence in the gaming industry [1][3]. Industry Overview - As of November, a total of 1,532 domestic game licenses and 92 imported game licenses have been issued this year, showing a significant increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1][3]. - The distribution of the 178 domestic licenses includes 167 mobile games, 7 games for both mobile and client platforms, 3 client-only games, and 1 game available on mobile, client, and web platforms [1]. Company Highlights - Key games approved in this round include titles from major companies such as: - Ksyun Network's "Ice and Snow King" - Iceberg Network's "Little Guardian" - Perfect World's "Dream New Zhu Xian: Light Enjoy" - Other notable titles from various developers [2]. - Tencent continues to maintain a strong portfolio with 14 evergreen games, while Giant Network's "Supernatural Action Group" has exceeded expectations [4]. - Companies like 37 Interactive Entertainment and Perfect World are also expected to contribute to profit growth with their new game launches and existing titles [4].

Core Insights - The report from China Merchants Securities International predicts an acceleration in AI model integration by 2026, with the U.S. leading in advanced agents and multimodal models like GPT-5 and Gemini 3, while China is rapidly closing the gap through efficient open-source models, creating intense competition in the global market [1] Industry Summary - Cloud capital expenditures remain high to meet the surging demand for inference, indicating a robust investment environment in AI technologies [1] - The emergence of AI agents is expected to trigger a competitive battle for traffic entry points in 2026, highlighting the strategic importance of AI in future market dynamics [1] Company Preferences - The firm maintains a favorable view on large tech companies for their optimal positioning in AI monetization, leveraging strong core businesses to subsidize AI investments and implement monetization strategies [1] - In the Chinese internet sector, the preferred order of segments is advertising > cloud > gaming > value-added services > e-commerce = local services > live streaming, indicating a strategic focus on advertising and cloud services [1] - The firm continues to favor companies with characteristics such as stable profit growth, competitive moats, good risk-reward profiles, and substantial shareholder returns, with top picks being Tencent, Alibaba, and Bilibili [1] - In the U.S. stock market, the preferred order for large tech companies is Alphabet > Meta > Amazon > Microsoft, reflecting a strategic preference based on their capabilities in AI [1]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ● 被担保人名称：CMS International Gemstone Limited ● 本次担保金额及已实际为其提供的担保余额：本次担保金额为不超过7亿人民币。截至本次担保生效 前一日，招商证券国际有限公司为CMS International Gemstone Limited提供的担保余额为16亿人民币。 ● 本次担保是否有反担保：否 ● 对外担保逾期的累计数量：无 ● 特别风险提示：被担保人是特殊目的公司（SPV）,自成立以来未开展除债券发行外的其他业务活动， 无其他投资活动，2024年末被担保人资产负债率超过70%，请投资者充分关注担保风险。 一、担保情况概述 CMS International Gemstone Limited 1.成立日期：2021年8月18日 2.实收资本：美元1元 (一) 担保基本情况 招商证券股份有限公司（以下简称招商证券或公司）的全资子公司招商证券国际有限 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities indicates that incremental capital is expected to maintain a stable net inflow in December, with foreign capital activity likely to continue to rebound [1][4]. Group 1: Market Style Outlook - The market style is expected to focus on large-cap stocks, with a potential shift from growth to value [2]. - Historical data shows that large-cap styles have outperformed in December, influenced by policy expectations from key domestic meetings and the upcoming annual report preview window [2]. - The central bank's recent monetary policy report suggests a "cross-cycle" approach, indicating that policy support may be more pronounced next year [2]. Group 2: External Factors - The likelihood of a hawkish rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is high, which may lead to a peak in the US dollar index, reducing external liquidity's impact on the market compared to November [2]. - The demand for foreign capital is expected to increase due to the anticipated strength of the RMB, driven by year-end settlement needs and a peak in the dollar index [2]. Group 3: Fund Flows and Liquidity - December is projected to see stable net inflows of incremental capital, with foreign capital activity expected to rise [4]. - The monetary market's liquidity remained stable in November, supported by the central bank, and is likely to continue being reasonably ample in December [4]. - New equity fund issuance is expected to provide additional capital for sectors like AI and chips, with significant fundraising occurring in early December [2][4]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Preferences - Market risk appetite has fluctuated, with a shift towards defensive trading characteristics, favoring low-volatility sectors such as banking and textiles [5]. - Defensive sectors have performed well, while previously high-performing sectors like technology and automotive have seen declines [5].