Core Viewpoint - H World Group (华住) shows stable stock performance with a recent closing price of $45.22, reflecting a slight increase of 0.62% on November 18, 2023, and a year-to-date increase of 44.7% [1] Financial Performance - The trading volume on November 18 was 1.7747 million shares, with a total transaction value of $78.9539 million, which is a decrease of 45.65% compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over the past 5 trading days, the stock has seen a cumulative increase of 0.04%, while the increase over the past 60 days is 29.79% [1] Institutional Ratings - Institutional sentiment towards H World Group remains positive, with Zacks Research and HSBC Global Research recently assigning a "Strong Buy" rating [1] Strategic Developments - The launch of the new brand "Qianji Daguan" on October 31 is a significant strategic move for H World Group, aimed at enhancing its position in the hotel supply-side reform [1] - The founder, Ji Qi, highlighted favorable factors such as a large population base and substantial infrastructure development, which are expected to create growth opportunities for the hotel industry, thereby boosting confidence in the development of "Qianji Daguan" [1] - This new brand is anticipated to become a key growth driver for H World Group in the next phase of its development [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of 7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, exceeding guidance [4][12] - Adjusted net profit for Q3 2025 was 1.52 billion yuan, up 10.8% year-on-year, with a net profit margin increase of 0.5 percentage points [4][12] - The company has opened over 2,000 new hotels year-to-date, indicating strong expansion [14] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue reached 70 billion yuan, with M&F revenue at 33 billion yuan, reflecting a 27.2% year-on-year growth [4][12] - The adjusted net profit for Q3 2025 was 15.2 billion yuan, marking a 10.8% increase year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin improvement of 0.5 percentage points [4][12] Operational Metrics - The domestic RevPAR for Q3 2025 was 256 yuan, a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year, while the ADR increased by 0.9% [14] - The company opened 749 new hotels in Q3 2025, with a total of over 2,000 new hotels opened this year, suggesting an annual opening rate exceeding the previous guidance of 2,300 hotels [14] Strategic Outlook - The company maintains a strong market position with a focus on high-quality expansion and a light-asset strategy, which has led to a steady increase in franchise business profitability [13][15] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 250.95 billion yuan, 266.46 billion yuan, and 284.94 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 5.0%, 6.2%, and 6.9% [15]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "BUY" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 39.5, indicating a potential upside from the current price of HKD 34.10 [1][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 6.96 billion for Q3 2025, representing an 8% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of RMB 1.47 billion, up 15.4% year-on-year. Adjusted EBITDA reached RMB 2.5 billion, reflecting a 19% increase [8]. - The company has shown a consistent improvement in its business operations, with a significant increase in the number of hotels and a stable RevPAR performance [12]. - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, with projections of RMB 4.31 billion, RMB 4.79 billion, and RMB 5.50 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 41%, 11%, and 15% [12]. Company Overview - The company operates in the tourism and leisure industry, with a market capitalization of RMB 77.71 billion and a total share count of approximately 3,069.39 million [2]. - The company has a diversified revenue model, with 50.1% from leasing and owned properties, and 47.5% from management franchises and licensing [4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 41.65% and an operating margin of 29.4% in Q3 2025, indicating improved profitability [12]. - The report highlights a decrease in the expense ratio by 2.48 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to cost control measures and operational efficiency [12]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from marginal improvements in hotel supply and continued penetration into lower-tier cities, alongside product upgrades and cost management strategies [12]. - The report suggests that RevPAR may see growth in Q4 2025, supported by the company's strategic initiatives [12].

Core Insights - Huazhu Group Limited reported a total transaction value of hotel room and non-room revenue of 30.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 17.5% [1] - Total revenue increased by 8.1% to 7 billion RMB, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 1.5 billion RMB, up 15.4% compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - Adjusted net profit was approximately 1.52 billion RMB, a year-on-year growth of 10.8%, while adjusted EBITDA reached 2.5 billion RMB, increasing by 18.9% [1] Financial Performance - Huazhu's China business revenue was 5.7 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.8%, while international revenue was 1.2 billion RMB, showing a decline of 3.0% [1] - The management and franchise revenue segment saw significant growth, increasing by 27.2% to 3.3 billion RMB [1] Operational Metrics - As of September 30, 2025, Huazhu operated 12,702 hotels globally, with a total of approximately 1.246 million rooms [1] - In China, the number of operating hotels was 12,580, with around 1.22 million rooms, and there are 2,727 hotels under development [1] - In the third quarter, Huazhu opened 749 new hotels, marking a quarterly record for the year, with a total of over 2,000 new openings year-to-date and an expectation of 2,300 new hotels by year-end [1] Operational Efficiency - The average daily rate for Huazhu's China business in the third quarter was 304 RMB, showing slight increases year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [2] - The occupancy rate was 84.1%, slightly lower than the 84.9% recorded in the same period of 2024 [2] - The blended average revenue per available room remained stable at 256 RMB [2]

Core Viewpoint - Huazhu Group's Q3 2025 financial results exceeded market expectations, driven by strong leisure travel demand and the company's asset-light transformation strategy [1][2] Group 1: RevPAR Recovery - RevPAR for Huazhu in Q3 was 256 RMB per night, marking a turnaround from five consecutive quarters of year-on-year decline, and was slightly above market expectations [1][8] - The average daily rate (ADR) increased by 1% year-on-year, reaching 304 RMB, as the company shifted its focus from economy hotels to mid-range and high-end brands [1][8] - Occupancy rate (OCC) showed a narrowing decline, reaching 84.1%, indicating a recovery in the domestic leisure travel market [8][12] Group 2: Expansion and Market Position - Huazhu opened 1,554 new hotels by the end of Q3, significantly outpacing the industry average, with most new openings in mid-range and above brands [1][16] - The company is accelerating its expansion in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, aiming to establish a significant presence in these markets over the next 3-5 years [16] Group 3: Franchise Business Growth - Total revenue for Q3 reached 6.96 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, surpassing the company's guidance of 2%-6% [2][19] - Franchise business growth was robust, with a 27.2% year-on-year increase in franchise agreements, contributing to 47.5% of total revenue [2][19] Group 4: Profitability and Cost Management - The company's light-asset strategy has helped maintain stable gross margins despite a decline in average transaction prices [24] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 reached 2.51 billion RMB, an 18% year-on-year increase, exceeding market expectations [29] - Management expenses significantly decreased due to improved operational efficiency from digitalization, despite increased marketing expenditures [29]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the focus on value investing in Asia, particularly in Hong Kong, targeting stocks with significant discrepancies between market price and intrinsic value [1] - It highlights two main categories of investment opportunities: deep value balance sheet bargains and wide moat stocks, which are characterized by their strong competitive advantages [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The research service aims to identify deep value stocks, such as net cash stocks and low price-to-book (P/B) ratio stocks, which are available at a discount [1] - It also seeks wide moat stocks, which are high-quality businesses with sustainable competitive advantages, often referred to as "Magic Formula" stocks [1] Group 2: Market Focus - The primary focus is on the Asian equity market, with a particular emphasis on Hong Kong-listed stocks [1] - The service provides monthly updates and watch lists to assist value investors in tracking potential investment opportunities [1]

Core Points - U.S. stock futures are lower, with Dow futures down approximately 200 points [1] - Helmerich and Payne Inc reported a fourth-quarter loss of 1 cent per share, with quarterly sales of $1.012 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $973.678 million [1] - Helmerich and Payne shares fell 7% to $25.69 in pre-market trading [1] Company Movements - Alpha Technology Group Ltd shares decreased by 19% to $17.50 after a significant surge of 132% on Monday [4] - Invivyd Inc shares fell 13.4% to $2.46 following the announcement of a $125 million public offering [4] - Nice Ltd shares dropped 7.3% to $112.00 after a 9% decline on the previous day [4] - H World Group Ltd shares fell 6.7% to $41.95 despite reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results [4] - Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc shares decreased by 6.6% to $9.01 after a 12% gain on Monday [4] - Rocket Pharmaceuticals Inc shares declined 6% to $2.86 [4] - OBOOK Holdings Inc shares fell 5.6% to $7.53 [4] - Iperionx Ltd shares decreased by 5% to $33.00 [4] - Home Depot Inc shares slipped 2% to $351.01 after reporting worse-than-expected third-quarter adjusted EPS and lowering FY25 adjusted EPS outlook [4]

Core Insights - Huazhu Group reported a hotel revenue of 30.6 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.5% [1] - The group's total revenue reached 7 billion yuan, an increase of 8.1% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit at 1.52 billion yuan, up 10.8% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was 2.5 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.9% increase year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The total number of operating hotels globally reached 12,702, a 17.1% increase year-on-year, with total rooms at 1,246,240, up 17.3% [1] - In Q3, Huazhu opened 749 new hotels in China, marking a record high for the year, bringing the total operating hotels in China to 12,580 and total rooms to 1,220,297 [1] - The number of hotels awaiting opening stands at 2,727 [1] Strategic Focus - Huazhu continues to focus on economy and mid-scale hotels, aligning with consumer trends for high cost-performance [1] - The company is enhancing its competitive advantage through a series of refined management measures, including coordinated pricing and promotional controls [1] Operational Metrics - In Q3, Huazhu's average daily rate (ADR) was 304 yuan, occupancy rate (OCC) at 84.1%, and revenue per available room (RevPAR) at 256 yuan, all showing positive trends [2] - These metrics reached 100.9%, 99.2%, and 99.9% of the levels seen in the same period of 2024, indicating a successful balance between scale and lean growth [2] Membership and Direct Sales - The Huazhu membership program saw a 17.3% year-on-year increase, surpassing 300 million members, making it the largest globally [2] - Membership bookings increased by 19.7%, totaling over 66 million nights, accounting for 74% of total bookings [2] - Future plans include enhancing member benefits, expanding points usage, and deepening cross-industry collaborations to strengthen direct sales capabilities [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Daiwa maintains an "Outperform" rating for Huazhu Group-S (01179) and raises the target price from HKD 30.5 to HKD 36.5 due to a faster-than-expected recovery in average room revenue [1] - The company’s adjusted EBITDA for Q3 shows a robust growth of 19% year-on-year, reaching RMB 2.513 billion, which exceeds market expectations of RMB 2.414 billion [1] - The adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 3.3 percentage points year-on-year to 36.1%, indicating improved operational efficiency [1] Group 2 - Daiwa believes that the temporary oversupply situation in the Chinese hotel industry has gradually eased over the past two to three months, allowing for a rebound in average room revenue [1] - The EBITDA forecasts for the company for the years 2025 to 2027 have been raised by 11% to 13% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa maintains a "Outperform" rating for Huazhu Group-S (01179) and raises the target price from HKD 30.5 to HKD 36.5, primarily due to a faster-than-expected recovery in average room revenue, leading to an 11% to 13% increase in EBITDA forecasts for 2025 to 2027 [1][1][1] Group 1: Company Performance - In Q3, the company reported robust growth with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 19% year-on-year to RMB 2.513 billion, surpassing market expectations of RMB 2.414 billion [1][1][1] - The adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 3.3 percentage points year-on-year to 36.1% [1][1][1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The temporary oversupply situation in the Chinese hotel industry has gradually eased over the past two to three months, suggesting a potential recovery in average room revenue [1][1][1]