Market Overview - US stock futures showed a slight increase, with Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 futures both up approximately 0.3% and Nasdaq 100 futures rising by 0.2% as investors anticipated a funding deal to end the partial US government shutdown [1] Technology Sector Performance - The technology sector experienced significant selling pressure, with Nvidia and Microsoft each declining over 2%. Other AI-related companies such as Broadcom, Oracle, and Micron also saw losses, contributing to an overall decline of more than 2% in the S&P 500 tech sector [2] Company-Specific Developments - Chipotle's stock fell nearly 7% after reporting a decline in customer traffic and warning of potential stagnation in same-store sales growth by 2026 [3] - Advanced Micro Devices' shares dropped over 7% following a negative reaction to its first-quarter outlook [3] - Super Micro Computers' stock surged 11% after raising its annual revenue forecast, driven by strong demand for AI servers [4] - Enphase Energy's stock soared 20% in premarket trading after exceeding analysts' profit and revenue estimates, although it remains down nearly 42% for the year [6] - Chipotle's stock further declined by 5% in premarket trading after reporting a 2.5% drop in same-store sales for Q4 and projecting no sales growth for 2026 [7]

Brett Ashcroft Green, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ and advocate for early retirement through disciplined, tax-efficient investing. With a previous background working alongside high-net-worth and ultra-high-net-worth families, Brett specialized in private credit and commercial real estate mezzanine financing as a business director at a large family office. His experience spans the U.S. and Asia, including years living and working in China. He is fluent in Mandarin Chinese in both business and legal ...

Brett Ashcroft Green, CFP® is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ and advocate for early retirement through disciplined, tax-efficient investing. With a previous background working alongside high-net-worth and ultra-high-net-worth families, Brett specialized in private credit and commercial real estate mezzanine financing as a business director at a large family office. His experience spans the U.S. and Asia, including years living and working in China. He is fluent in Mandarin Chinese in both business and legal ...

Core Insights - Major investments in AI infrastructure are not leading to the same balance sheet concerns seen during the late 1990s telecom boom, as companies today have stronger earnings relative to their interest obligations [1] - The Alger AI Enablers & Adopters ETF (ALAI) is focused on companies that fund expansion primarily through free cash flow rather than excessive debt, reflecting a more sustainable financial approach [1] Group 1: Financial Health of Companies - Current corporate fundamentals are in better shape compared to the internet buildout period, with the S&P 500's interest coverage ratio at 8.4x as of November 30, 2025, nearly double the 4.7x recorded in December 1999 [1] - U.S. investment-grade corporate bond issuance exceeded $1.5 trillion in 2025, indicating robust corporate financial health [1] Group 2: AI Infrastructure Funding - Companies deploying AI infrastructure today maintain strong cash flow and healthy balance sheets, allowing them to fund capital expenditures from operating cash flow [1] - The ALAI ETF attracted over $245 million in net inflows in 2025, with $54.5 million in Q4 alone, demonstrating investor confidence in this quality-focused approach [1] Group 3: ETF Performance - The ALAI ETF returned 40.3% in 2025 and has a net expense ratio of 0.55%, with assets under management totaling $298.2 million [1] - As of January 16, 2026, NVIDIA Corp. is the largest holding in ALAI at 12.3%, followed by Microsoft Corp. at 8.7%, Amazon.com, Inc. at 8.2%, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. at 6.0% [1]

市场风险偏好有所下降！ 北京时间2月4日凌晨，美股三大指数集体下跌，纳指跌幅超过1%。科技股全线下挫，美光科技跌超4%，英伟达、微 软跌近3%。 投机属性更强的加密货币市场也再度跳水。比特币盘中一度暴跌7%并跌破7.3万美元。截至发稿，比特币、以太坊跌 近4%，Solana跌超5%。coinglass数据显示，刚刚过去的24小时内，加密货币全网合约爆仓超7亿美元，爆仓人数高 达16.98万人。 周二，美股三大指数集体跳水，纳指盘中跌幅一度超过2%，标普500指数一度跌超1.6%，道指跌幅也一度超过1%。 截至收盘，纳指跌1.43%，标普500指数跌0.83%，道指跌0.34%。 美国大型科技股多数下跌，万得美国科技七巨头指数跌幅达1.62%。个股方面，英伟达、微软跌近3%，脸书跌超 2%，亚马逊跌近2%，谷歌跌超1%，苹果跌0.2%，特斯拉微涨0.04%。其他个股方面，美光科技跌超4%，甲骨文、高 通跌超3%。此外，软件股延续跌势，ServiceNow跌7%，Salesforce跌6.85%。 英伟达CEO黄仁勋周二否认了与OpenAI交易生变的传闻。他在接受媒体采访时明确表示，公司投资OpenAI的计划仍 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent sell-off in the software sector, particularly in legal software and data services, has been exacerbated by the introduction of new AI tools by companies like Anthropic, leading to heightened competition and investor panic [1][3][8]. Group 1: Market Reaction - The market experienced a significant downturn, with the S&P 500 index dropping over 1.6% and the Nasdaq composite index falling approximately 2.4% during the sell-off [3]. - Legal software companies were particularly affected, with Thomson Reuters (TRI) seeing a drop of 20.7% and Legalzoom.com (LZ) also declining over 20% [3]. - The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) fell by 5.6% on the day, marking a cumulative decline of over 14% over six consecutive trading days [5]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment has shifted from cautious to panic, with Jefferies traders describing the situation as "SaaSpocalypse," indicating a complete sell-off of SaaS stocks regardless of price [8]. - Concerns about the core business of software companies being threatened by AI technology have intensified, leading to a broader impact on the credit market [5][9]. - The fear of increased competition and pricing pressure due to AI advancements has led to downgrades for several software companies, including Adobe and Freshworks [12]. Group 3: Company Performance - In the current earnings season, only 71% of S&P 500 software companies reported quarterly revenues above Wall Street expectations, compared to 85% for the overall tech sector [7][12]. - Microsoft, despite reporting solid earnings, faced scrutiny over slowing cloud sales growth, resulting in a stock price drop of 10% [12]. - Palantir Technologies emerged as a rare bright spot, with a 70% revenue growth in Q4, exceeding expectations and boosting its stock price by nearly 7% [15]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Anthropic's new automation tools for the legal sector have raised concerns about its unique position in the market, potentially disrupting traditional legal services [10][11]. - The introduction of AI tools by other companies, such as Alphabet's Project Genie, has further fueled fears of industry upheaval [11]. - The ongoing competition in the AI space is seen as a critical factor in determining which companies will thrive or struggle in the future [16][17].

Market Overview - The US stock market experienced a decline on Tuesday, primarily driven by a sell-off in technology stocks, leading to significant drops in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices. Investors are becoming increasingly cautious about the returns on investments related to artificial intelligence [2][3] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 166.67 points, or 0.34%, closing at 49,240.99 points. The S&P 500 dropped by 58.63 points, or 0.84%, to 6,917.81 points, while the Nasdaq Composite decreased by 336.92 points, or 1.43%, to 23,255.19 points, nearly erasing all gains made since the beginning of the year [2][3] Technology Sector Performance - Major technology stocks faced pressure, with Nvidia down 2.84%, Microsoft down 2.87%, and Alphabet's Class A and C shares falling by 1.16% and 1.22%, respectively. Amazon saw a decline of 1.79%, while Broadcom dropped by 3.26% [3][4] - The S&P 500 technology sector fell over 2%, marking it as the worst-performing sector among the 11 major sectors. The S&P 500 software and services index has seen a continuous decline for five consecutive days, with a total drop of 12.8%, the largest five-day decline since March 2020 [5] AI Investment Sentiment - Market sentiment towards AI investments is deteriorating, with investors increasingly demanding proof of profitability to justify substantial capital expenditures. This shift is evident as Microsoft shares plummeted last week, while Meta rebounded strongly after its earnings report, indicating a growing distinction in market expectations for high investment versus high growth [4][5] - Concerns are rising regarding competition and business model disruptions in the legal, data analysis, and professional services sectors due to advancements in AI, as demonstrated by the significant stock price drops of companies like RELX and Wolters Kluwer, which fell over 10% [5] Company-Specific Developments - AMD reported better-than-expected quarterly results but provided cautious guidance for the next quarter, predicting a sequential revenue decline of about 5%, despite a year-over-year increase of approximately 32% [6] - Walmart's stock rose over 2%, driven by growth in its digital business and new customer acquisition, marking its market capitalization surpassing $1 trillion for the first time [3] Broader Economic Context - Amid the stock market pressure, US Treasury bonds attracted safe-haven buying, with the two-year Treasury yield falling by 0.2 basis points to 3.568% and the ten-year yield down by 1 basis point to 4.268% [6] - The market anticipates a delay in the Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut, now expected in June, influenced by improving economic data, although this is contingent on upcoming employment data [7]

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a decline, primarily driven by a sell-off in technology stocks, leading to significant drops in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices. Investors are becoming increasingly cautious about the returns on investments related to artificial intelligence, with software and data analytics sectors being particularly hard hit [1] - The S&P 500 technology sector fell over 2%, marking it as the worst-performing sector among the 11 major sectors. The S&P 500 software and services index has seen a continuous decline for five consecutive days, with a total drop of 12.8%, the largest five-day decline since March 2020 [7] Performance of Major Stocks - Major tech stocks faced pressure, with Nvidia down 2.84%, Microsoft down 2.87%, and Alphabet's Class A and C shares down 1.16% and 1.22%, respectively. Amazon fell 1.79%, and Broadcom dropped 3.26% [3][6] - Walmart's stock rose over 2%, driven by growth in digital business and new customer acquisition, marking its market capitalization surpassing $1 trillion for the first time [4] - PepsiCo's stock increased by 4% following strong earnings driven by improved organic sales [5] AI Investment Sentiment - Market tolerance for AI investments is declining, with investors increasingly demanding proof of profitability to justify substantial capital expenditures. This shift is evident in the contrasting stock performances of Microsoft and Meta, reflecting a growing distinction in market expectations regarding high investment for high growth [7] - Concerns are rising about intensified competition and disruptions in business models within the legal, data analytics, and professional services sectors due to AI developments, leading to significant stock declines for companies like RELX and Wolters Kluwer [7] Bond Market Activity - Amid the stock market pressure, U.S. Treasury bonds saw increased demand for safety, with the two-year Treasury yield falling by 0.2 basis points to 3.568% and the ten-year yield dropping by 1 basis point to 4.268% [9] - The yield spread between the two-year and ten-year Treasuries narrowed slightly to 69.5 basis points, indicating a shift in market dynamics [9] Commodity Market Performance - Gold and silver prices rebounded strongly after two days of significant declines, with spot gold rising 5.2% to $4,906.82 per ounce, while silver increased by 4.8% to $83.23 per ounce [10] - Oil prices also saw a slight rebound, with WTI crude oil futures rising by 1.72% to $63.21 per barrel, as the market weighs global supply prospects and easing tensions between the U.S. and Iran [10]

【环球时报驻韩国特约记者 黎枳银 环球时报记者 肖震冬】韩国股市此前两日上演"过山车"式震荡，先 遭遇大幅下挫，一度触发"熔断"，后又强劲反弹，市场在恐慌性抛售与低价买盘快速回流之间反复拉 扯。多方分析称，在全球人工智能（AI）投资预期出现波动之际，这凸显以AI企业大规模支出为核心 的上涨结构在高估值环境下"走钢丝"的现实。 " 波动性主导首尔股市 " 彭博社报道称，2日韩国综合股价指数（KOSPI）单日下跌5.3%，为去年4月以来最大跌幅，股指期货下 行一度触发程序化交易暂停。此前长期领涨市场的芯片权重股集体承压，三星电子与SK海力士当日盘 中跌幅均超过6%。韩元同步走弱，市场避险情绪瞬间升温，国内外资金在现货市场纷纷转为净卖出。 但仅仅一个交易日后，韩国股市便快速反弹。据韩国《韩民族日报》3日报道，KOSPI时隔一天重返 5000点，在前一交易日跌幅超过5%后，早盘上涨逾3%，盘中一度触发买入侧程序化交易限制。"KOSPI 经历过山车行情，波动性主导首尔股市"，《韩国先驱报》3日以此为题报道。对于反弹动因，韩国 Kiwoom证券分析师韩智英指出，在美国市场情绪暂时企稳的背景下，前一日暴跌所引发的低价买盘迅 ...

【宏观消息】 特朗普签署拨款法案 结束政府部分"停摆"。当地时间2月3日，美国总统特朗普在白宫椭圆形办公室签 署政府拨款法案，结束政府部分"停摆"。当天稍早前，美国国会众议院投票通过联邦政府多个部门本财 年剩余时间拨款法案，从1月31日开始的联邦政府部分"停摆"僵局得以化解。该法案将为联邦政府多个 部门提供资金至9月30日、即本财年结束之时，并为近期因移民执法行动引发争议和抗议的国土安全部 提供两周的资金，以便各方继续就改进该部门运作进行谈判。 【个股消息】 智通财经APP获悉，周二，三大指数收跌，纳指几乎完全回吐今年以来的涨幅。比特币一度跌破7.3万 美元关口，以太坊一度跌至2100美元附近。美政府部分停摆将使1月就业报告将无法如期在本周五公 布。 【美股】截至收盘，道指跌166.67点，跌幅为0.34%，报49240.99点；纳指跌336.92点，跌幅为1.43%， 报23255.19点；标普500指数跌58.63点，跌幅为0.84%，报6917.81点。英伟达(NVDA.US)跌2.8%， Paypal(PYPL.US)跌20.3%，甲骨文(ORCL.US)跌超3%，微软(MSFT.US)跌近3%。纳斯 ...