AI Infrastructure Driving Record GrowthThe company's momentum score—a percentile-ranked metric measuring price strength and volatility—surged week-on-week from 89.27 to 92.92, placing the foundry in the top 10% of all stocks tracked by Benzinga Edge.The momentum spike follows a historic January for the Taiwanese economy, where exports surged 70%—the fastest pace in 16 years—fueled almost entirely by AI hardware.Analysts note that TSM's ability to deliver complex architectural shifts on schedule has maintain ...

近日，Stratechery创始人、知名科技分析师Ben Thompson参与了一场深度对话。 在本次长达一个半小时的深度访谈中，Ben Thompson凭借其二十年的科技观察经验，围绕AI时代的算力瓶颈、商业模式演变以及科技巨头的护城河进行了犀 利点评。 核心预警：TSMC的保守与2029年的芯片荒 作为聚合理论的提出者，Thompson对当前AI基础设施的建设速度表达了极大的担忧。他提出了一个核心观点： 全球AI扩张的限制因素实际上是台积电的产能 扩张速度。 Thompson指出，尽管市场需求巨大，但作为垄断者的台积电在扩产上表现得相当保守。这是因为晶圆厂（Fab）的风险极高，一旦产能过剩，巨额的折旧成 本将摧毁利润率。 "晶圆厂99.9%的成本是折旧……台积电实际上表现得很理性。他们宁愿放弃潜在的长期收入，也不愿承担产能过剩的下行风险。" 这种保守策略导致了风险的错配。台积电将产能不足的风险转移给了英伟达、苹果和各大云厂商，而这些科技巨头面临的是"因算力不足而损失未来收入"的风 险。 Thompson做出了一个惊人的预测： "我认为我们在2029年左右将面临大规模的芯片短缺。" 他强调，目前的资本开支增 ...

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Nvidia’s ( NVDA ) stock has been flat for almost half a year since August 2025, ranging between $170-$200/share. I believe NVDA’s share price is at risk of a major decline, and here’s why.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I ha ...

Group 1: Palantir Technologies - Palantir Technologies has seen a significant pullback in its stock performance, with shares trading at 128 times forward earnings, indicating an astronomical valuation [1] - The company is described as being priced for perfection, which may not be sustainable in the long term [11] Group 2: Nvidia - Nvidia's stock is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 24.5, which is considered reasonable given its growth prospects [3] - The upcoming launch of the Rubin platform in the second half of 2026 is expected to support inference at a cost up to 10 times lower than Nvidia's Blackwell GPUs and enable training of large models with 4 times fewer GPUs [4] - Nvidia's CEO believes that the demand for powerful AI chips will continue to grow, positioning the company as a major beneficiary of this trend [6] - Nvidia's current market cap is $4.4 trillion, with a gross margin of 70.05% [5][6] Group 3: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - AMD is identified as a credible challenger to Nvidia, trading at nearly 32 times forward earnings, which is still seen as a bargain compared to Palantir [7] - AMD's Instinct MI400 chips are expected to match Nvidia's Vera Rubin chips in performance while offering 1.5 times the memory capacity and scale-out bandwidth [8] - The market anticipates that AMD's stock will regain momentum once the MI400 chips are launched [10] Group 4: Market Dynamics - AI hyperscalers are diversifying their investments and are unlikely to rely solely on Nvidia, which could benefit AMD [10] - Both Nvidia and AMD are expected to benefit from continued demand for GPUs, and they do not need to be perfect to achieve market-beating returns [12]

Group 1 - The world's most valuable technology stocks have experienced significant declines in market value this year, raising concerns about the return on heavy AI investments [1] - Microsoft shares have dropped approximately 17% year-to-date, resulting in a market value loss of about $613 billion, bringing its valuation to around $2.98 trillion [2] - Amazon's stock has decreased by about 13.85% this year, erasing roughly $343 billion in market value, leaving it valued at approximately $2.13 trillion [2] Group 2 - Capital spending for Amazon is expected to increase by more than 50% this year [3] - Other major companies like Nvidia, Apple, and Alphabet have also seen declines in market value, totaling $89.67 billion, $256.44 billion, and $87.96 billion, respectively [3] - The shift in market psychology indicates a move from long-term AI ambitions to a demand for near-term earnings visibility [4] Group 3 - Companies such as TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Walmart have gained market value, adding $293.89 billion, $272.88 billion, and $179.17 billion, respectively [4] - The current valuations for TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Walmart stand at $1.58 trillion, $817 billion, and $1.07 trillion [4]

Market Analysis by covering: NVIDIA Corporation, Advanced Micro Devices Inc, Super Micro Computer Inc. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

Alphabet's massive capital expenditure plans are great news for computing providers.Listening to other companies' earnings reports outside of the ones you invest in is an important task for investors. You can pick up lots of useful information, especially from the customers of companies that you're invested in.One of the companies to report earnings recently dropped a bombshell that should make Nvidia (NVDA 2.21%) and Broadcom (AVGO 1.87%) investors jump for joy. Alphabet (GOOG 1.10%) (GOOGL 1.06%) told inv ...

如果把时间拨回一年前，华尔街几乎形成了共识：只要是AI相关的资本支出，规模越大、投入 越激进，未来的护城河就越深。彼时的逻辑很简单——算力决定上限，模型决定胜负，而现金 流只是暂时性的牺牲。 但进入2026年，这套逻辑正在被市场亲手拆解。 亚马逊正式跌入熊市区间，微软成为Mag7中最早确认熊市的一员，Meta距离20%的技术性熊 市只剩一步之遥；与此同时，Alphabet的跌幅明显受控，英伟达则被推到了所有交易的"风暴 眼"。 这并不是一轮普通的科技股回调，而是一次 AI投资逻辑的阶段性结算 ： 市场第一次开始系统 性地追问——这些前所未有的AI资本支出，究竟能不能转化为可验证的回报。 七大巨头不再同涨同跌，正是这个问题被摆上台面的直接结果。 分化的起点：当AI资本 支出开始侵蚀现金流安全垫 真正的分水岭：不是投不投AI， 而是AI能否被"内部消化" 表面上看，最近一轮抛售似乎是情绪主导，但真正让市场产生分歧的，是 AI支出对财务结构的 冲击已经变得不可忽视 。 【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】 以亚马逊为例。2026年高达2000亿美元的资本支出计划，在两年前会被视为"云计算+AI长期 护城河"的加码，如 ...

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