Core Insights - Qualcomm's stock is experiencing a decline despite reporting strong earnings, with adjusted earnings of $3.00 per share and revenue of $11.27 billion, both exceeding Wall Street estimates [3][4] - The company's guidance for the first quarter also surpassed projections, but rising expenses and a soft outlook for automotive chip sales have raised concerns [3][4] Financial Performance - Fourth-quarter chip revenue reached $9.8 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $9.4 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 13%, and an 18% increase when excluding the declining business with Apple [4] - Licensing revenue decreased but was not as severe as anticipated, highlighting Qualcomm's strong position in the cellular radio chip market [6] Market Position and Challenges - Qualcomm maintains a dominant position in the high-end Android phone market, despite overall weak global Android phone sales [5] - The company faces ongoing conflicts with major customers, particularly Apple, which is transitioning away from Qualcomm's chips for its devices [7][8] Future Prospects - Qualcomm is focusing on new AI accelerator chips and servers, which are expected to generate significant revenue by 2027, although the company must convince customers to choose its products over established competitors like Nvidia [8][9] - The challenge lies in attracting customers beyond major cloud service providers, who often prefer their own chip solutions [9]

Investment Opportunity - Onchain US Stock portfolio allows for crypto diversification and hedging against market volatility [1] - Qualcomm (QCOM) is highlighted as a stock of interest [1] Trading Platform - Trading is available via a provided link [1]

Market Overview - US stock index futures are all up ahead of the market opening on November 6, with Dow futures up 0.02%, S&P 500 futures up 0.09%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.06% [1] - European indices show a decline, with Germany's DAX down 0.08%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.37%, France's CAC40 down 0.44%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.04% [2][3] - WTI crude oil is up 0.64% at $59.98 per barrel, while Brent crude is up 0.49% at $63.83 per barrel [3][4] Market Sentiment - A report from SentimenTrader indicates that despite recent market stability, there are ominous signs suggesting potential weakness ahead, with the "Titanic Syndrome" appearing four times in the last five trading days [5] - Deutsche Bank is exploring ways to hedge its exposure to data center risks, including shorting a basket of AI-related stocks, amid concerns of a potential AI bubble [6] Economic Indicators - Federal Reserve Governor Milan emphasizes that current interest rates are too high and suggests further cuts may be necessary, citing limited job growth and declining wage increases [7] - The ongoing US government shutdown is impacting the airline industry, with plans to cut 10% of flights at 40 major airports due to air traffic control safety concerns [7] Company News - Tesla is facing a critical vote on Elon Musk's compensation plan, which could lead to significant stock price volatility depending on the outcome [8][9] - Arm reported a 34% increase in revenue to $1.14 billion for Q2, with a 155% increase in operating profit, exceeding market expectations [9] - Qualcomm's Q4 sales reached $11.27 billion, driven by demand for high-end smartphones, with a forecast for Q1 sales also above market expectations [10] - Snap's Q3 revenue grew 10% to $1.51 billion, with a significant partnership with Perplexity AI valued at $400 million [11] - AppLovin's Q3 revenue increased by 8.9% to $1.41 billion, with a strong cash flow and a $3.2 billion share buyback plan [12] - Robinhood's Q3 net revenue doubled to $1.274 billion, with a 271% increase in net profit, although cryptocurrency revenue fell short of expectations [12] - DoorDash's Q3 revenue grew 27% to $3.45 billion, but rising costs led to a decline in profit, causing a nearly 10% drop in pre-market trading [13] - IonQ's Q3 revenue surged 221.5% to $39.87 million, but the company reported significant losses due to acquisitions [14] - American Superconductor's Q2 revenue increased over 20% but fell short of expectations, leading to a drop in pre-market trading [15] - Fortinet's Q3 core business revenue growth hit a decade low, with a 14% increase in total revenue [15] Upcoming Events - Key speeches from Federal Reserve officials are scheduled, including remarks from New York Fed President Williams and Cleveland Fed President Mester [16]

Core Viewpoint - Qualcomm's stock price drop of 4% post-earnings release is unjustified as analysts find no fundamental factors supporting such a reaction [1][25][38] Financial Performance - Qualcomm reported revenues of $9.82 billion for Q4FY25, a 13% year-over-year increase, with mobile device revenue at $6.96 billion (up 14%), automotive revenue at $1.05 billion (up 17%), and IoT revenue at $1.81 billion (up 7%) [8][9] - The company’s non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) for Q4FY25 was $3.00, a 12% increase from $2.69 in Q4FY24 [9] - The QCT segment, which drives over 80% of revenue, showed strong performance with a 13% revenue increase [5][9] Market Perception - The market has mischaracterized Qualcomm as merely another "AI stock," leading to a perception that its valuation needs to revert to a more reasonable level [2] - Qualcomm's current P/E ratio is around 16-17, which is considered reasonable compared to much higher valuations in the tech sector [2][30] Growth Drivers - Qualcomm's non-Apple business is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% over the next five years, with the last two years showing a CAGR of 17-18% [11] - The automotive and IoT segments are also projected to grow significantly, with automotive expected to grow at a CAGR of 27% over the next year [13] Tax and Cash Flow - The recent stock price decline was influenced by a $5.7 billion tax expense, which is a non-cash accounting adjustment related to new U.S. tax laws, not affecting actual cash flow [18][25] - Qualcomm's tax rate is expected to stabilize between 13-14%, with actual cash tax payments anticipated to be lower than expected [18] Competitive Position - Qualcomm is focusing on edge-to-cloud AI solutions, differentiating itself from competitors like NVIDIA by emphasizing cost-effective inference rather than model training [20] - The company has partnered with HUMAIN in Saudi Arabia to launch a hybrid edge-cloud AI inference service, indicating its commitment to AI development [20] Valuation and Future Outlook - Analysts believe Qualcomm's current valuation is significantly discounted compared to industry peers, with a target P/E ratio of 18 being more appropriate [30][36] - The company’s ability to maintain a stable profit margin in the QCT segment and continued growth in mobile devices and automotive sectors are critical for achieving this valuation [37]

By Mike Dolan -What matters in U.S. and global markets today By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets Signs that U.S. economic activity remains brisk helped steady the stocks ship, but this also cast more doubt on why the Federal Reserve needs to ease again next month and that has pushed Treasury yields higher. The week's latest tech wobble calmed on Wednesday as service sector surveys impressed, although valuation concerns smoldered. Chip designer Qualcomm's stock fell back 4% overnight des ...

Group 1 - Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures showed little change early Thursday, indicating a mixed market sentiment [1] - Key earnings reports were released from companies including Robinhood Markets, AppLovin, ARM Holdings, DoorDash, and Qualcomm [1] - Tesla shareholders are set to vote on CEO Elon Musk's $1 trillion pay deal, with TSLA stock approaching a buy point [1] Group 2 - SiTime, a timing-chip maker, exceeded expectations for Q3 and raised guidance for Q4, resulting in a rise in its stock during extended trading [2] - AppLovin's stock increased due to better-than-expected earnings and guidance [4] - DoorDash's stock declined following an earnings miss, as the company is increasing its investments [4]

Group 1 - Citigroup raised the target price for Qualcomm (QCOM.US) from $175 to $180 [1] - Citigroup lowered the target price for McDonald's (MCD.US) from $375 to $371 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Qualcomm's consistent participation in the China International Import Expo reflects its long-term strategic commitment to the Chinese market and deep collaboration with the local industrial ecosystem, showcasing its role in China's industrial upgrade process [1][3]. Group 1: Technological Advancements - Over the past eight years, the telecommunications industry has evolved from 5G pre-commercialization to the deep integration of AI and 5G, with Qualcomm positioned at the intersection of this transformation [5]. - Qualcomm's participation in the expo has allowed it to turn technological concepts into commercial products, marking a significant transition from "exhibits" to "goods" [5][6]. - The company has expanded its partnerships beyond smartphone manufacturers to include smart connected vehicles and XR (extended reality), enhancing its technology's application across various scenarios [6][9]. Group 2: Collaboration and Market Impact - Qualcomm has supported the launch of over 210 smart connected electric vehicles in China over the past three years, indicating its significant role in the automotive industry's transformation [9]. - The company emphasizes the importance of collaboration with Chinese partners to drive innovation and reduce costs, facilitating the rapid commercialization of new technologies [10]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Qualcomm aims to leverage advancements in AI and 6G to foster technological innovation and industrial upgrades, aligning with China's "AI +" strategy [12]. - The company is actively involved in the development of 6G standards, anticipating that it will continue to collaborate closely with the Chinese industrial chain to achieve new milestones in this area [13][14].

Core Insights - Qualcomm is transforming into a technology company covering a power range from 5W to 500W, diversifying its business from mobile to data centers, robotics, automotive, and wearable devices [2] - The company has launched two AI-focused system-on-chips (SoCs), AI200 and AI250, aimed at enterprises looking to run existing AI models efficiently rather than training new ones [2] - Qualcomm's CEO highlighted the competitive edge in the data center market with a focus on inference, building on the software ecosystem established since the launch of the Cloud AI 100 in 2020 [2] - The new AI200 and AI250 chips utilize a novel architecture with DDR memory and PCI Express interfaces to enhance energy efficiency and computational density [2] - Samsung is expected to use Snapdragon mobile SoCs 100% in the Galaxy S25, with a projected 75% usage in the Galaxy S26 [3] - The market for AI-enabled wearable devices, including smart glasses, smartwatches, and smart earbuds, is rapidly expanding, presenting a significant growth opportunity for Qualcomm [3]

Core Insights - Qualcomm has participated in the China International Import Expo for eight consecutive years, showcasing its continuous innovation in technology and collaboration with Chinese industry partners [3][9] - The theme of Qualcomm's exhibition this year is "Together, We Achieve Progress for Everyone," highlighting its commitment to enhancing China's innovation ecosystem through technological advancements and partnerships [1][3] Group 1: Product Innovations - At the expo, Qualcomm displayed 12 flagship smartphones from Chinese manufacturers powered by the fifth-generation Snapdragon 8 Gen 2 mobile platform, marking the first large-scale offline exhibition of these products [3][5] - The rapid introduction of new products reflects Qualcomm's deep collaboration with leading Chinese smartphone brands such as Xiaomi, Honor, and OnePlus, showcasing breakthroughs in AI, imaging, gaming, and connectivity [3][5] Group 2: Expansion into New Markets - Qualcomm's collaboration with Chinese smart industries extends beyond smartphones to include AI PCs and tablets, with nearly 150 designs powered by the Snapdragon X series platform [5] - In the automotive sector, Qualcomm partnered with Chery to develop the Zongheng G700 model, integrating smart technologies and supporting over 210 models from Chinese automotive brands since 2023 [5] Group 3: AI and IoT Applications - Qualcomm introduced its new brand "Qualcomm Leap," focusing on industrial IoT and cellular infrastructure solutions, complementing its well-known Snapdragon brand [7] - The expo featured various applications of Qualcomm Leap, including humanoid robots and retail terminals, demonstrating the company's commitment to digital transformation in collaboration with over 90 Chinese partners [7] Group 4: Vision for the Future - Qualcomm emphasizes the importance of open collaboration and continuous innovation as core drivers for future development, aiming to unlock new opportunities for high-quality industrial growth [9] - The company is dedicated to promoting the deep integration of technology and industry, from edge intelligence to the future of 6G, and from personal AI to industrial intelligence [9]