【提醒：日内请重点关注（以下均为北京时间）】① 时间待定 芬兰总理奥尔波将访华（1月25-28 日）； ② 欧股盘前 阿斯麦控股发布业绩报告； ⑦ 23:30 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布政府版原油库存周报； ③ 18:00 欧洲央行执委Elderson在关于任命的听证会发表开场白演讲，欧洲央行12月中旬提名其继续担 任监管委员会副主席； ⑧ 次日02:00 欧洲央行执行理事会成员Isabel Schnabel讲话； ④ 美股盘前 苹果供应商康宁公司（GLW）、星巴克发布业绩报告； ⑤ 21:30 美国12月商品贸易帐； ⑥ 22:45 加拿大央行公布利率决议； ⑨ 次日03:00 美联储发布FOMC利率决议声明（没有"季度性"经济预期概要/SEP）； ⑩ 次日03:30 美联储主席鲍威尔举行例行新闻发布会； ⑪ 美股盘后 微软、Meta、特斯拉发布业绩报告，拉姆研究、IBM、ServiceNOW也将发布业绩报告； ⑫ 次日05:30 巴西央行公布利率决议； ⑬ 次日05:45 新西兰12月进出口与贸易帐； ...

21世纪经济报道记者贺泓源、实习生徐鸿儒 对于倪睿安来说，股价当然是重要的，这与他的收入息息相关。而更重要的，或许是星巴克创始人霍华 德·舒尔茨（Howard Schultz）对他的看法。 打工人之间的差距是明显的，尤其在收入上。 星巴克于当地时间1月26日提交的备案文件显示，该公司CEO倪睿安（Brian Niccol）在2025财年总薪酬 为3100万美元，包括500万美元奖金和近2000万美元股票奖励。2024财年其薪酬为9600万美元，其中包 括超9000万美元股票奖励。 这意味着，一年间倪睿安的年薪缩水6500万美元（约合4.52亿元人民币）。 背后有着股价原因。倪睿安在2024年9月接管星巴克，当时他获得了超高薪酬。不过，星巴克股价2025 年下跌7.7%，连续第四年下跌，致使倪睿安2025财年的薪酬中失去了绩效奖金。 自他上任以来，星巴克就启动了扭转疲软销售的计划，其中包括改造门店并精简繁复的菜单。星巴克还 增加了对咖啡师工时的支出，以提升速度和服务质量。截至2025年9月财年结束前，星巴克已关闭627家 门店，其中逾九成位于北美，并裁减900名办公室员工。 种种调整下，在截至2025年9月末的 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the trend of major restaurant brands, including Starbucks, shifting towards hiring more part-time workers while reducing the emphasis on full-time positions, particularly in first-tier cities [1][4][5] Group 1: Employment Trends - Starbucks China is focusing on controlling labor costs, with 61.7% of job postings for student part-time positions and only 20.4% for full-time roles [1] - Many Starbucks locations are no longer hiring full-time staff, opting instead for part-time roles to manage operational costs [3] - The trend of hiring part-time workers is becoming a common strategy among leading restaurant brands to cope with rising labor costs and operational pressures [5] Group 2: Labor Cost Challenges - The average labor cost in the restaurant industry has risen to 22.2% of revenue, an increase of 4.5 percentage points over three years, squeezing profit margins [8] - New social security regulations have raised labor costs by approximately 27.45%, adding about 24,000 yuan to the annual cost per employee [8] - High employee turnover rates, with a staggering 89.47% for front-line service staff, exacerbate the challenges faced by the industry [9] Group 3: Flexible Employment Models - The industry is moving towards flexible employment models, with projections indicating that 30%-39% of the workforce will be engaged in flexible roles by 2025 [11] - Major fast-food chains like McDonald's rely heavily on part-time workers to manage labor costs and adapt to fluctuating customer demand [11] - Companies are adopting strategies such as cross-training employees to enhance operational efficiency and reduce overall labor costs [11] Group 4: Future Directions - The focus of human resource management in the restaurant industry may shift from a cost-driven approach to a value-driven one, emphasizing service quality and customer experience [12]

Market Overview - The NASDAQ 100 has seen a fifth consecutive day of gains, rising approximately 1% [1] - Despite the rally, a majority of stocks are in the red, indicating a narrowing of the rally's breadth [2] - The Bloomberg Dollar Index has decreased by about 0.7%, reflecting a trend of lower dollar value amidst rising equity prices [1][2] Bond Market Insights - The 30-year bond yield in the U.S. is approaching its highest levels in a decade, which is attracting long-term investors [4] - Bond funds are starting to show a steeper curve, indicating renewed interest from portfolio managers [5] - Current market conditions suggest a Goldilocks economic scenario, with expectations for continued growth but uncertainty about future pricing [6] Currency and Inflation Trends - The U.S. dollar's softness is perceived as a potential manipulation by the government, which may welcome a weaker dollar [7][8] - The Federal Reserve's actions, including replacing Treasury bills with reserves, contribute to a narrative of a weaker dollar and inflationary pressures [9] Investment Opportunities - U.S. investors are finding attractive yields in international markets, particularly in countries like New Zealand and Australia, where bond yields are higher than U.S. credit [11] - The luxury goods market is experiencing mixed results, with watches and jewelry showing growth while fashion and spirits face challenges [41][43] Company-Specific Developments - Starbucks is expected to report earnings soon, with a focus on U.S. transaction growth and long-term guidance [30][31] - LVMH's luxury fashion division is struggling, with a noted decline in organic sales growth, particularly in fashion and spirits [41][48] - The company is diversifying its portfolio, with growth in watches and jewelry, indicating a shift in consumer spending behavior [43][44]

Starbucks Corp. is mandating that Chief Executive Officer Brian Niccol use the company’s private jet for all his travel, including personal trips, while removing a previous restriction that would have required him to reimburse some travel expenses. Under the travel agreement, which was altered following a security review, Niccol no longer has to pay Starbucks back for non-professional use of the jet, according to a filing. Previously, he was responsible for charges from personal travel after an annual cap ...

-- Are Investors Buying the Starbucks Turnaround Plan? This Year, They're Drinking It Up [S&P 500 Hits Record High][Why Health Insurance Stocks Are Sinking Tuesday][Gold Surges Above $5,000 Per Ounce For First Time][What to Expect From This Week's Fed Meeting]- Top StoriesShares of Starbucks have been steady climbers in the early going of 2026.James Manning / PA Images via Getty ImagesClose### Key Takeaways- Two events this week—quarterly financial results and an investor day—could help extend that run.- Sh ...

Core Insights - Starbucks has seen a year-to-date stock increase of approximately 14%, indicating a potential turnaround after facing challenges with traffic and cost pressures [1] - The question arises whether it is still a good time for investors to buy into Starbucks shares, especially after the company's comparable store sales turned positive in fiscal Q4 [2] Financial Performance - In fiscal Q4 2025, Starbucks reported a revenue increase of 5% year over year, reaching $9.6 billion, which is an acceleration from the 4% growth in fiscal Q3 2025 [3] - North America comparable-store sales were flat in fiscal Q4 2025, improving from a 2% decline in fiscal Q3, although there was a 1% decline in comparable transactions [4] - The international segment performed better, with comparable store sales rising 3% year over year, supported by a 6% increase in comparable transactions, despite a 3% decline in average ticket size [5][6] Profitability Challenges - Despite improving sales trends, Starbucks reported a non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.52 in fiscal Q4 2025, a 35% decline year over year, and a non-GAAP operating margin of 9.4%, down 500 basis points from the previous year [7][8] - The current valuation at around 40 times forward earnings suggests that a successful turnaround may already be reflected in the stock price [8]

Core Viewpoint - Starbucks is experiencing short-term stock momentum but faces challenges in medium- and long-term performance, with disappointing Q4 fiscal 2025 results and cautious guidance for fiscal 2026 [2][4][6] Financial Performance - Q4 fiscal 2025 net revenues reached $9.6 billion, reflecting a 5% year-over-year increase [4] - GAAP EPS was reported at $0.12, significantly missing analyst expectations of around $0.82 for adjusted EPS [4] - Operating income fell sharply to $308.5 million from $1.25 billion the previous year, with operating margin contracting to 4.5% from 18.7% [5] Comparable Store Sales - Global comparable store sales increased by 1%, driven by a 3% growth in international markets [5] Store Operations - The company closed a net of 627 stores, bringing the total to 40,990 locations [5] Future Guidance - Starbucks provided cautious guidance for fiscal 2026, targeting modest global comparable sales growth and mid-single-digit store expansions [6] - The company is focusing on "Back to Starbucks" initiatives under CEO Niccol, emphasizing labor investments and promotions without specific EPS or revenue targets [6] Stock Performance Comparison - In early 2026, SBUX shares increased by 14.5%, with a 3% gain in the last five days and 13% over the past month [2] - Compared to the S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Index, Starbucks outperformed in the short term but lagged significantly in the long term, with only a 4% gain over the last two years compared to the index's 43% [3]

Group 1: Company News - Haolilai apologized for selling bread that had fallen on the floor, stating that the affected batch has been destroyed and employee training will be strengthened. The incident involved a new employee and occurred on January 25, 2026 [1] - Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol's total compensation for the fiscal year 2025 will be $31 million, a significant decrease from $96 million in fiscal year 2024 [2] - Anta Sports announced plans to acquire 29.06% of Puma SE for €1.505 billion, aiming to become the largest shareholder and enhance its global market position [3] - Mixue Ice City won a trademark infringement case against six similarly named companies, reinforcing its brand recognition as it prepares for a 2025 IPO [4] - Alibaba's charity initiative "Yiqi Hui Jia Guo Nian" promotes over 300 specialty products from 24 underdeveloped counties [5] Group 2: Industry Developments - The State Administration for Market Regulation penalized Shenzhen Romoss Technology for quality issues related to power banks, highlighting regulatory efforts to maintain market order [7] - Taobao Flash Sale participated in drafting the "Digital Service Standards for Elderly Meal Assistance," marking a significant step in community service [8] - JD.com launched a national subsidy program for specific 3C digital products, offering a 15% discount in 15 provinces [10] - Fat Donglai's founder announced a shift towards original research and development to enhance product quality [11] - Tmall International reported that 2,415 overseas brands opened their first stores on the platform in 2025, indicating strong growth in international brand presence [12] Group 3: Retail Expansion - Beijing Yonghui Supermarket's Hongkun Plaza store was forced to close due to property management issues, impacting its operations [15] - Sam's Club plans to open two new stores in Tianjin in 2026, with construction progressing as scheduled [16] - JD's Qixian Xiaochu brand is accelerating its national expansion, opening new stores in multiple cities [17] - Aote's store count in China reached 95, with plans to exceed 100 by the end of the first quarter [23] - McDonald's Shanghai location has reached 600 stores, with plans to expand to over 10,000 locations by 2028 [21] - Domino's Pizza opened its 1,405th store in Sanya, marking a significant milestone in its expansion strategy [21] - Master Kong's Chongqing smart production base has reached full production capacity, with a daily output of 150,000 boxes [21]

Core Insights - Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is a leading coffee roaster, marketer, and retailer with a market cap of $109.5 billion, specializing in premium coffee and food offerings across international markets [1] Performance Overview - Over the past 52 weeks, SBUX shares have declined by 2.5%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which gained 13.9%. However, year-to-date (YTD), SBUX stock is up 14.4%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 1.5% return [2] - SBUX has also underperformed the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY), which increased by 6.4% over the past 52 weeks, but has outpaced XLY's 2.4% YTD rise [3] Q4 Financial Results - In Q4, SBUX reported mixed results with revenue increasing by 5.5% year-over-year to $9.6 billion, surpassing consensus expectations by 2.6%. However, adjusted EPS fell by 35% year-over-year to $0.52, missing analyst estimates by 5.5% due to restructuring costs and a decline in its North American Coffee Partnership [4] Future Earnings Expectations - For fiscal 2026, analysts project SBUX's EPS to rise by 9.9% year-over-year to $2.34. The company's earnings surprise history has been disappointing, missing consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 35 analysts covering SBUX, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 17 "Strong Buy," 2 "Moderate Buy," 10 "Hold," 2 "Moderate Sell," and 4 "Strong Sell" ratings. This configuration has changed from the previous month, where 16 analysts suggested a "Strong Buy" [5][6]