理想汽车（LI.O/2015.HK） 更新报告 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------------------|------------------------------|--------------------------|---------|-------------------------------------------|---------------|---------------|---------------------------------------| | | | 买入 | | | | | | | 2024 年 9 月 3 日 | | | 智 ...

中国民航信息网络（696） 更新报告 | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------|---------------------------------| | 买入 \n受益于民航业需求回暖，业绩恢复增长 | 李宜格 | 2024 年 9 月 3 日 | | 业 绩 符合预期 ： 2024 年 上 半 年 公司收入 40.4 亿元人民币 | 852-25321962 | | | （ YoY+22.2% ）,归属于母公司股东净利润 13.7 亿元（ YoY+13.9% ），主要 | | Vicky.li@firstshanghai.com.hk | | 是受益于民航运输业需求回暖，系统处理旅客量恢复增长所致。公司每股 | 罗凡环 | | | 盈利为人民币 0.47 ...

英伟达（NVDA） 更新报告 第一上海证券有限公司 www.mystockhk.com 业绩摘要 GAAP 摊薄每股收益为 0.67 美元，高于彭博一 致预期的 0.61 美元 图表 1： 季度收入及增速（百万美元） 图表 2：季度分部收入（百万美元） -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 0 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 24,000 28,000 32,000 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 主营业务收入 YoY Growth 2,880 22,604 3,668 454 346 88 Gaming Compute Networking Professional Visualization Automotive OEM & IP - 2 - 本报告不可对加拿大、日本、美国地区及美国国籍人士发放 股息现价比 0.01% 0.01% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 资料来源: 公司资料, 第一上海预测 资料来源: 彭博 本季 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 102.0 HKD, representing a potential upside of 32.8% from the current price of 76.8 HKD [1][2]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 62.6%, reaching 7.72 billion RMB in the first half of 2024, alongside a robust revenue growth of 13.8% to 33.74 billion RMB [1]. - The gross margin improved by 0.8 percentage points to 64.1%, driven by the performance of the Anta main brand and Fila [1]. - The company announced a share repurchase plan of 10 billion RMB over the next 18 months to enhance market confidence [1]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: The company achieved a revenue of 33.74 billion RMB in H1 2024, up 13.8% year-on-year [1]. - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 62.6% to 7.72 billion RMB, with core net profit rising 17.0% to 6.16 billion RMB [1]. - **Gross Margin**: The gross margin rose to 64.1%, reflecting a 0.8 percentage point increase [1]. - **Operating Profit**: Operating profit grew by 13.6% to 8.66 billion RMB, maintaining an operating margin of 25.7% [1]. - **Free Cash Flow**: The company generated free cash flow of 7.62 billion RMB [1]. - **Net Cash Position**: The net cash position increased significantly to 32.39 billion RMB [1]. Brand Performance - **Anta Main Brand**: Revenue for the Anta main brand grew by 13.5% to 16.1 billion RMB, benefiting from strong e-commerce growth and product effectiveness [1]. - **FILA Brand**: Revenue for the FILA brand increased by 6.8% to 13.01 billion RMB, with growth driven primarily by bulk sales [1]. - **Other Brands**: Other brands saw a revenue increase of 41.8% to 4.6 billion RMB, with DESCENTE and KOLON leading the growth [1]. Future Outlook - The company expects double-digit growth for the Anta brand in 2024, while the FILA brand's growth forecast has been adjusted to high single digits [1]. - The operating profit margins for the Anta and FILA brands are projected to be around 20% and 25%, respectively [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD Electronics, with a target price of HKD 44, indicating a potential upside of 53.3% from the current price of HKD 28.7 [2]. Core Insights - BYD Electronics has shown stable growth in consumer electronics and automotive electronics, with promising prospects in new businesses such as servers [2]. - The company reported a net profit of RMB 1.518 billion for the first half of 2024, with total revenue reaching RMB 78.58 billion, a year-on-year increase of 39.9% [2]. - The acquisition of Jabil's Chengdu and Wuxi factories has positively impacted the consumer electronics segment, which generated RMB 63.3 billion in revenue, up 54.22% year-on-year [2]. - The automotive business continues to expand, with revenue of RMB 7.757 billion, reflecting a growth of 26.48% [2]. - The report anticipates revenue growth of 31%, 9.7%, and 10.6% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profits projected to grow by 13%, 31.7%, and 18% during the same period [2]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2022, was RMB 107.19 billion, with a projected increase to RMB 206.85 billion by 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.4% [4]. - Net profit for 2022 was RMB 1.86 billion, expected to rise to RMB 7.10 billion by 2026, indicating a significant growth trajectory [4]. - The report highlights a decrease in gross margin to 6.85% due to changes in product mix and increased financial costs from acquisitions [2]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from RMB 0.82 in 2022 to RMB 3.15 by 2026 [4]. - The dividend payout ratio is expected to stabilize around 30% from 2024 onwards, with dividends per share increasing from RMB 0.165 in 2022 to RMB 0.945 by 2026 [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 30 for the company [2]. Core Views - The company is expected to maintain a good order growth in the second half of the year, with annual performance projected to approach the peak levels seen in 2021. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing restructuring of global supply chains, particularly as domestic manufacturing capacity shifts overseas [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a revenue of RMB 8.02 billion for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.7%. The gross margin slightly increased by 0.3 percentage points to 32.3%. Operating profit reached RMB 1.75 billion, up 28.5%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.52 billion, a 23.5% increase. Basic earnings per share stood at RMB 0.95, with a solid financial position reflected in net cash of RMB 10.65 billion [1]. Sales and Market Trends - Sales trends across all models are improving, with significant growth in demand from downstream consumer goods, certain home appliances, and the 3C industry. The main Mars series saw sales of 24,115 units and revenue of RMB 5.17 billion, marking year-on-year increases of 45.5% and 34%, respectively. The Jupiter series achieved sales of 840 units and revenue of RMB 1.46 billion, with year-on-year growth of 14.9% and 6.5%. The Chang Fei Ya series also rebounded with sales of 1,955 units and revenue of RMB 1.02 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 34.5% and 25.7% [1]. Domestic and International Market Outlook - Domestic revenue grew by 33.7% to RMB 5.18 billion, driven by a recovery in demand from the consumer goods sector. International revenue increased by 13.2% to RMB 2.84 billion, with strong demand from emerging markets such as Vietnam, Brazil, and Mexico. The company anticipates improved overseas revenue recognition in the second half of the year as shipping schedules stabilize [1]. Future Revenue and Profit Projections - The revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are adjusted to RMB 15.9 billion, RMB 18.99 billion, and RMB 22.3 billion, respectively. Net profit projections for the same years are RMB 3 billion, RMB 3.53 billion, and RMB 4.1 billion, respectively. The report maintains a target price of HKD 30, corresponding to forecasted price-to-earnings ratios of 14, 12, and 10 for 2024 to 2026 [2].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating for the company with a target price of $959.49, indicating a potential upside of 0.9% from the current price of $950.53 [2][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 36% year-over-year, reaching $11.3 billion in Q2 2024, with a net profit of $2.967 billion, reflecting a 56% increase [1]. - The strong performance is primarily driven by the robust sales of Tirzepatide, which saw a 71% quarter-over-quarter increase, contributing significantly to the metabolic segment's revenue growth of 50% [1][2]. - The company is expanding its production capacity for Tirzepatide, with expectations to increase capacity by 1.5 times in the second half of 2024 compared to the second half of 2023 [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q2 2024 revenue was $11.3 billion, with a gross profit of $9.13 billion and a gross margin of 80.8% [1]. - R&D expenses were $2.71 billion, representing 24% of revenue, while marketing and administrative expenses were $2.12 billion, accounting for 18.7% of revenue [1]. - The company achieved a net profit margin of 26.3% with earnings per share of $3.28 [1]. Product Pipeline and Growth Drivers - The metabolic segment's revenue growth was significantly supported by Tirzepatide, with sales reaching $3.09 billion, and Zepbound sales increased by 140% to $1.24 billion [1][2]. - The oncology segment also showed strong growth, with sales increasing by 29%, driven by the CDK4/6 inhibitor Abemaciclib and the third-generation BTK inhibitor Pirtobrutinib [2]. - The autoimmune segment's revenue grew by 17%, with potential approval for Lebrikizumab in the U.S. expected to further boost growth [2]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned in the pharmaceutical industry, with a market capitalization of $903.4 billion and a strong pipeline of products [3]. - The anticipated production ramp-up and new product approvals are expected to sustain growth momentum in the coming quarters [1][2].

中车时代电气（3898） 更新报告 买入 2024 年 8 月 27 日 上半年业绩高增长，轨交业务持续回暖，半导体利润增厚 陈晓霞 852-25321956 xx.chen@firstshanghai.com.hk 2024 上半年净利润增长 30.56%：公司 2024 上半年收入 102.84 亿元，增长 19.99%；净利润 15.07 亿，增长 30.56%。 分业务看，轨道交通业务收入 61.39 亿，增长 30.87%；新兴 装备业务 40.94 亿，增长 9.21%，其中，功率半导体器件 17.47 亿，增长 26.63%，传感器 1.36 亿，下降 47%，新能源汽车 电驱 9.03 亿，增长 8.23%，工业变流 9.03 亿，下降 3.58%。 轨交业务持续回暖：国铁集团动车组招标量已超过去年全年 水平，公司占有率保持稳定。截至 2023 年底，全国机车拥 有量 2.24 万辆，标准动车组保有量 4427 标准列，更新替换 和维修的需求特别是动车高级修将增厚公司今明年的收入。 预计今年动车板块收入增长乐观，机车相对持平，城轨业务 略有下滑。 新兴装备业务增速快：功率半导体宜兴三期预计今年 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Kingsoft Corporation (3888) with a target price of HKD 28, indicating a potential upside of 30.5% from the current price [1][2]. Core Insights - Kingsoft's revenue for the first half of 2024 reached RMB 4.61 billion, representing an 11% year-on-year growth. The office software and services segment contributed RMB 2.41 billion, also up 11%, driven by growth in personal office subscriptions, despite a decline in institutional licensing [1]. - The gaming segment generated RMB 2.2 billion, a 10% increase, attributed to successful game content innovations, particularly for "Jian Wang 3" and "Chen Bai Jin Qu" [1]. - The company reported a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reaching RMB 680 million, a 171.7% year-on-year growth [1]. - Kingsoft Office is enhancing its AI collaboration strategy, with a focus on the WPS 365 platform aimed at organizational clients, integrating upgraded versions of WPS Office and AI solutions [1]. - The gaming business is adopting a premium strategy, with the mobile version of "Jian Wang 3" launched in June 2024, achieving a monthly active user count of 11.46 million in its first month [1]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, total revenue is projected to be RMB 9.65 billion, reflecting a 13% increase from 2023 [3]. - The net profit for 2024 is forecasted at RMB 1.17 billion, indicating a 142.8% growth compared to 2023 [3]. - The report anticipates continued growth in profits for 2025 and 2026, with projections of RMB 1.5 billion and RMB 1.8 billion, respectively [3][4]. Key Financial Metrics - The gross margin for the first half of 2024 was 82%, slightly down from the previous year [1]. - The company had cash and cash equivalents of RMB 19.7 billion as of June 2024, with a net operating cash inflow of RMB 1.37 billion for the first half [1]. - The diluted earnings per share for 2024 is expected to be RMB 0.86, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 24.9 based on the target price [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price adjusted to HKD 107, representing a potential upside of 28% from the current price of HKD 83.5 [3][11]. Core Insights - The company's Q2 2024 performance exceeded market expectations primarily due to lower market forecasts and effective cost optimization, although it faces significant pressures in the second half of the year due to economic uncertainties and challenges in monetizing AI search capabilities [3][11]. - The advertising business is under pressure, with core online marketing revenue declining by 2% year-on-year to RMB 192 billion, influenced by a weak macroeconomic environment and increased competition [3][6]. - The AI cloud business showed strong growth, with revenue increasing by 14% year-on-year to RMB 51 billion, driven by incremental income from generative AI and foundational models [3][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q2 2024, total revenue was RMB 339 billion, slightly below market expectations, with a year-on-year decline of 0.4% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 8% [5]. - Non-GAAP operating profit reached RMB 75 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2%, while non-GAAP net profit was RMB 74 billion, down 8% year-on-year but better than market expectations [5][8]. - The company reported a cash position of RMB 162 billion, with free cash flow of RMB 63 billion, indicating a solid financial standing [5][11]. Advertising Business - The core online marketing revenue was RMB 192 billion, down 2% year-on-year, attributed to a sluggish macroeconomic environment and slow recovery of offline vertical clients [3][6]. - Approximately 18% of search results in Q2 were generated by AI, up from 11% in May, although this has not yet been monetized effectively [3][6]. - The report anticipates that advertising revenue growth will face greater declines in Q3 2024 compared to Q2, with ongoing pressures expected throughout the year [3][6]. AI Cloud Business - The AI cloud revenue grew by 14% year-on-year, with generative AI contributing 9% of AI cloud revenue in Q2, up from 6.9% in Q1 [3][7]. - The company launched the Wenxin 4.0 Turbo model, enhancing its competitive edge and aiming for higher efficiency and scalability for AI clients [7][8]. - The autonomous driving service "Luobo Kuaipao" provided 899,000 rides in Q2, marking a 26% year-on-year increase, with plans for full self-driving services in Wuhan [7][8].