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中石科技(300684):材料、模切、组件,散热材料全链条布局
China Post Securities· 2025-12-19 09:11
证券研究报告:电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 公司基本情况 l 投资建议 我们预计公司 2025/2026/2027 年分别实现收入 20/26/33 亿元, 归母净利润分别为 3.05/4.13/5.51 亿元,维持"买入"评级。 l 风险提示 | 最新收盘价(元) | 46.35 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)3.00 | / 2.04 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)139 | / 95 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 49.40 / 19.98 | | 资产负债率(%) | 19.5% | | 市盈率 | 68.55 | | 第一大股东 | 吴晓宁 | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 分析师:翟一梦 SAC 登记编号:S1340525040003 Email:zhaiyimeng@cnpsec.com 中石科技(300684) 材料、模切、组件,散热材料全链条布局 l 投资要点 拟收购中石讯冷,加速液冷散热模组推广。公司全资子公司宜兴 中石,拟以 3570 万元自有资金增资 ...
联芸科技(688449):联芸芯途,主控领航
China Post Securities· 2025-12-19 05:16
证券研究报告:电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 买入 |首次覆盖 个股表现 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-10 2025-12 -12% -5% 2% 9% 16% 23% 30% 37% 44% 51% 58% 联芸科技 电子 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 44.83 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)4.60 | / 2.93 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)206 | / 131 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 65.80 / 37.05 | | 资产负债率(%) | 18.1% | | 第一大股东 | 杭州弘菱投资合伙企业 | | (有限合伙) | | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 研究助理:陈天瑜 SAC 登记编号:S1340125090015 Email:chentianyu@cnpsec.com 联芸科技(688449) 联芸芯途,主控领航 l 投资要点 营收净利稳健增长,扣非净利增幅显 ...
宇晶股份(002943):发布2025年股权激励计划,三年业绩目标强势增长
China Post Securities· 2025-12-19 05:11
证券研究报告:机械设备 | 公司点评报告 发布时间:2025-12-19 股票投资评级 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 36.88 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)2.05 | / 1.32 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)76 | / 49 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 39.10 / 17.99 | | 资产负债率(%) | 70.7% | | 市盈率 | -18.36 | | 第一大股东 | 杨宇红 | 研究所 我们预计公司 2025-2027 年营业收入 10.53、17.74、22.48 亿 元,同比增长 1.53%、68.37%、26.78%;预计归母净利润 0.27、2.29、 3.18 亿元,同比增长 107.20%、749.90%、38.73%;对应 PE 分别为 273.92、32.23、23.23 倍。维持"增持"评级。 l 风险提示: 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Em ...
长盈精密(300115):机器人全方位布局,新能源稳步推进
China Post Securities· 2025-12-18 07:11
证券研究报告:电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 买入 |维持 个股表现 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-10 2025-12 -12% 6% 24% 42% 60% 78% 96% 114% 132% 150% 长盈精密 电子 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 36.19 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)13.61 | / 13.57 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)493 | / 491 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 45.22 / 15.79 | | 资产负债率(%) | 58.7% | | 市盈率 | 60.32 | | 第一大股东 | 宁波长盈粤富投资有限 | | 公司 | | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 分析师:万玮 SAC 登记编号:S1340525030001 Email:wanwei@cnpsec.com 长盈精密(300115) 机器人全方位布局,新能源稳步推进 l 投资要点 加快人 ...
中微公司(688012):ICP刻蚀加速增长,CCP刻蚀受益于存储扩产
China Post Securities· 2025-12-18 06:31
买入 |维持 个股表现 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-10 2025-12 -15% -7% 1% 9% 17% 25% 33% 41% 49% 57% 中微公司 电子 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 279.17 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)6.26 | / 6.26 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)1,748 | / 1,748 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 319.11 / 165.98 | | 资产负债率(%) | 24.7% | | 市盈率 | 106.96 | | 第一大股东 | 上海创业投资有限公司 | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 分析师:翟一梦 SAC 登记编号:S1340525040003 Email:zhaiyimeng@cnpsec.com 中微公司(688012) ICP 刻蚀加速增长,CCP 刻蚀受益于存储扩产 证券研究报告:电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 l 投资 ...
泰凌微(688591):无线连接SoC,驱动智能连接
China Post Securities· 2025-12-17 10:38
Investment Rating - The investment rating for TaiLing Microelectronics (688591) is "Buy" and is maintained [2][7] Core Views - The company is entering a harvest period after previous investments, with multiple product lines experiencing rapid growth. The continuous investment in edge AI products and expansion into overseas markets has led to new product shipments exceeding expectations, resulting in significant revenue increases across all product lines, particularly in multi-mode and audio segments. The overseas revenue continues to grow [5][6] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved approximately 766 million yuan in operating revenue, a year-on-year increase of 30.49%, with Q3 alone contributing 263 million yuan. The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was approximately 140 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 117.35% [5][6] Financial Projections - The projected operating revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.11 billion yuan, 1.44 billion yuan, and 1.87 billion yuan, respectively. The net profits attributable to the parent company are expected to be 210 million yuan, 303 million yuan, and 410 million yuan for the same years [7][10] - The company anticipates a growth rate of approximately 30% for operating revenue in 2025 and a gradual decline to about 29.41% by 2027 [10][12] Market Expansion - The planned acquisition of Shanghai Panqi Microelectronics will enable the company to enter the Sub-1G market, which is rapidly growing due to digital economy initiatives and smart meter upgrades. Panqi Microelectronics has established Sub-1G chip solutions with excellent performance metrics, and TaiLing Microelectronics aims to leverage its global sales network to promote these products to overseas clients [6][7]
中南传媒(601098):业务结构持续优化,探索“书店+IP”多元新业态
China Post Securities· 2025-12-17 10:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% relative to the benchmark index within the next six months [8][14]. Core Insights - The company has experienced a decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, with a reported revenue of 8.49 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, down 9.37% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 22.32% to 1.17 billion yuan [5][6]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its business structure and exploring new business models, such as "bookstore + IP" [7]. - The gross profit margin has shown a recovery trend, reaching 46.12% for the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 2.00 percentage points year-on-year [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 8.49 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.17 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.32% [5]. - The company’s revenue for Q3 2025 was 2.15 billion yuan, down 12.94% year-on-year, while net profit for the same period was 153 million yuan, a decrease of 16.33% [5][6]. - The company plans to invest 48 million yuan in upgrading its flagship store, aiming to enhance customer experience and diversify its business offerings [7]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 estimates revenues of 12.9 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.55 billion yuan, 1.61 billion yuan, and 1.67 billion yuan respectively [8][10]. - The expected EPS for the same years is projected to be 0.86 yuan, 0.89 yuan, and 0.93 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13, 13, and 12 [8][10].
2026年度策略:贵金属牛市的下半场
China Post Securities· 2025-12-17 09:03
Industry Overview - The report maintains a strong market rating for the non-ferrous metals sector, with a closing index of 7715.84, a 52-week high of 7846.97, and a low of 4280.14 [1]. Investment Highlights - In 2025, precious metals, particularly gold, were highlighted as the best-performing assets, with gold prices stabilizing above $4000 per ounce and silver outperforming gold due to liquidity factors [4][5]. - The precious metals market in 2025 was characterized by two phases: the first phase involved diversification in asset allocation driven by tariff expectations from the Trump administration, leading to a significant rise in gold prices, while the second phase saw a rally due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5][15]. - The outlook for 2026 suggests that gold prices may continue to rise, supported by weakening dollar credibility, increasing inflation expectations, and continued inflows into gold ETFs [6][37]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver outperformed gold in 2025, particularly after April, due to a recovery in risk appetite and ongoing supply-demand imbalances, with prices reaching historical highs above $60 per ounce by December [39][50]. - The silver market is expected to continue its upward trend in 2026, driven by declining inventories and some countries designating silver as a reserve asset, enhancing its investment appeal [50][51]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report indicates a persistent supply-demand imbalance in the silver market, with significant inventory pressures observed in Shanghai and London, and CME market dynamics reflecting speculative trading [43][44]. - The total supply of silver is projected to remain constrained, with mine production and recycling rates showing modest growth, while demand from industrial applications continues to rise [42]. ETF Inflows and Market Trends - In 2025, there was a notable increase in gold ETF holdings, particularly from Western investors, which played a crucial role in driving gold prices above $4000 per ounce [30][33]. - The inflow of ETFs from North America and Europe significantly contributed to the gold market's performance, marking a shift in investment patterns compared to previous years [31][33].
石化行业周报:持续关注反内卷进展-20251217
China Post Securities· 2025-12-17 08:28
证券研究报告 石化行业周报:持续关注反内卷进展 行业投资评级:强大于市|维持 中邮证券研究所石化团队 分析师:张津圣 SAC 登记编号:S1340524040005 1 1 发布时间:2025-12-17 投资要点 请参阅附注免责声明 2 ◼ 焦点:原油关注OPEC+未来政策。关注PTA反内卷进展。持续关注石化反内卷进展,石化行业中老旧装 置淘汰退出和更新改造的进展。 ◼ 回顾:本周申万一级行业指数表现中,石油石化指数表现较差,较上周下跌3.52%。而中信三级行业指 数表现来看,本周工程服务在石油石化中表现最佳,跌幅1.75%。 ◼ 原油:原油跌;美原油库存下跌,汽油库存上涨 ◼ 聚酯:涤纶长丝价格整体平稳、价差跌。江浙织机涤纶长丝库存天数分品种有涨有跌,织机开工率跌 ◼ 烯烃:样本PE现货价格稳中有跌,聚烯烃石化库存上涨 ◼ 标的: ➢ 上游:地缘若未来再次给出原油溢价,则利好上游标的。 ➢ 炼化:若需求好转,优供给、淘汰落后产能有所进展,则利好中游炼化。 ➢ 长丝:关注PTA反内卷进展,若顺利则利好涤纶长丝。 ◼ 风险提示:油价剧烈波动、地缘风险、欧美通胀反复、欧美经济波动、行业政策变化、项目投产进度变 ...
鹏鼎控股(002938):43亿增资泰国园区,加快AI“云:管:端”全产业链布局
China Post Securities· 2025-12-17 07:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2] Core Insights - The company plans to invest a total of 42.97 billion RMB in its Thailand park to build production facilities and supporting infrastructure, which will enhance its AI product line capacity [5][6] - The company intends to acquire a 53.68% stake in Huayang Technology for 360 million RMB, strengthening its position in the automotive electronics sector [6] - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 384.5 billion, 452.0 billion, and 540.2 billion RMB respectively, with net profits of 38.2 billion, 52.5 billion, and 67.7 billion RMB [7] Financial Summary - The latest closing price of the stock is 48.64 RMB, with a total market capitalization of 1,128 billion RMB [4] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 27.4% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.18 [4] - Projected revenue growth rates are 9.59% for 2024, 9.42% for 2025, 17.56% for 2026, and 19.52% for 2027 [9][10] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.65 RMB, 2.26 RMB, and 2.92 RMB respectively [9][10]