Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing sustained demand driven by local production needs, with a high capacity utilization rate of 95.8% as of Q3 2025. Revenue from the Chinese market has increased by 11% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting a shift in the supply chain and growing domestic demand [3][4]. - The company anticipates stable capital expenditures for the year, with a projected monthly capacity expansion of 50,000 12-inch wafers. Total capital expenditures for the year are expected to be around $7.5 billion, with 80% allocated for equipment purchases [4]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 671 billion, 783 billion, and 901 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 50.58 billion, 62.59 billion, and 75.34 billion yuan [5][7]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 57.8 billion yuan in 2024, growing to 67.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 27.72% in 2024 and 16.06% in 2025 [7][12]. - The projected EBITDA for 2025 is approximately 42.1 billion yuan, with a net profit margin expected to improve from 6.4% in 2024 to 7.5% in 2025 [7][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.46 yuan in 2024 to 0.63 yuan in 2025, reflecting the company's growth trajectory [7][12]. Relative Valuation - The company is positioned as a leading integrated circuit foundry in China, with a competitive edge in manufacturing capabilities and service offerings. It aims to enhance its business synergy through strategic acquisitions and maintain a high capacity utilization rate [10][11]. - The report compares the company's price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 5.98 with TSMC's P/B of 9.09, indicating a favorable valuation relative to its peers [11]. Market Position - The company is recognized as a benchmark in the domestic foundry industry, particularly in advanced process technology, which is crucial given the current high demand for high-end chips in the market [11]. - The anticipated growth in artificial intelligence and local production demands is expected to further solidify the company's market position and competitive advantages [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [6][13]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a 15.66% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 1.9 billion yuan. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 35.45% to -67 million yuan [3][4]. - The company's glass processing and display device businesses are developing steadily, benefiting from industry trends towards lightweight, high-definition, and large-size products. A significant technological breakthrough in glass-based ECI technology is expected to enhance profitability and solidify the company's leading position in the glass processing sector [4][5]. - The company is advancing its glass-based TGV technology and GCP technology, which are being extended to various fields, including Micro LED direct display and advanced packaging for high-performance chips. This diversification is expected to accelerate commercialization and enhance market competitiveness [5]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are 2.65 billion yuan in 2025, 3.33 billion yuan in 2026, and 5 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of -110 million yuan, 141.78 million yuan, and 498.55 million yuan respectively. The company anticipates significant growth in net profit starting in 2026 [6][9][12]. - The report highlights a projected revenue growth rate of 19.4% in 2025, 25.6% in 2026, and 50.4% in 2027, indicating a strong upward trend in financial performance [9][12]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 32.40 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 7.3 billion yuan. The company has a total share capital of 225 million shares, all of which are circulating [2]. - The company's largest shareholder is Yi Weihua, and it has a debt-to-asset ratio of 67.7% [2]. Market Performance - The stock has shown a performance trend with a notable increase of 57% from December 2024 to December 2025, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the company's growth prospects [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that China's economy continues to develop steadily, characterized by "demand decline and stable production" as of November [2] - Retail sales growth has shown a declining trend, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.3% in November, down 1.6 percentage points from the previous value, marking six consecutive months of marginal slowdown [8] - Service consumption remains robust, while smart economy consumption, such as smart wearables and digital consumption, exhibits high growth potential [2][8] Group 2 - Fixed asset investment has seen a cumulative year-on-year decline of 2.6% from January to November, with the real estate market undergoing deep adjustments and construction investment growth in negative territory [15] - The average price of commercial housing in November was 9096.64 yuan per square meter, a year-on-year decrease of 9.94%, indicating a bottoming process in housing prices [16] - Industrial value-added growth remained relatively stable at 4.8% year-on-year in November, with mining and high-tech industries showing significant growth [28]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2][35] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector experienced a slight decline, with the agricultural index down by 0.08%, ranking 10th among 31 primary industries [4][12] - The pig price is fluctuating at a low level, with expectations of continued capacity reduction due to oversupply [5][15] - The white feather chicken market shows stable chick prices and a slight increase in meat chicken prices, supported by holiday stocking [6][28] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural sector saw a minor decline, with the agricultural index down 0.08% [12] - The animal health and pig farming sectors led the gains due to ongoing low pig prices [13] 2. Livestock Industry Chain Tracking 2.1 Pigs - Pig prices are fluctuating around 11 CNY/kg, showing a trend of bottoming out [5][15] - Supply exceeds demand, with expectations of continued increases in pig output due to prior increases in piglet supply [15][18] - The industry is currently experiencing overall losses, with expectations that pig prices have not yet reached their lowest point [18] 2.2 White Feather Chicken - As of December 12, chick prices are stable at 3.7 CNY/chick, with an average profit of approximately 0.8 CNY per chick [6][28] - Meat chicken prices have increased by 1.39% to 3.65 CNY/jin, supported by holiday demand [6][28] 3. Planting Industry Chain Tracking - Sugar prices continue to decline, with an average price of 5393 CNY/ton as of December 12, down 56 CNY from the previous week [30] - Soybean prices have decreased, with Brazilian soybeans at 3762 CNY/ton and U.S. soybeans at 4329 CNY/ton, both down 2.1% [30] - Corn prices are rising, with an average price of 2299 CNY/ton, up 19 CNY from the previous week [30]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 43.43% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 553 million yuan. The gross profit margin improved from -21.6% to 6.8%, indicating a positive shift due to product structure optimization and economies of scale [4][5]. - The company is rapidly expanding its high-end business, achieving significant breakthroughs in key areas such as data centers, electric vehicles, and humanoid robots. Its GaN products are now in mass production for various applications, including AI and data centers, and have established partnerships with leading robotics companies [5][6]. - The company is collaborating with NVIDIA to support the implementation of an 800 VDC power architecture, which is expected to enhance efficiency and power density in AI data centers, while also reducing energy consumption and CO2 emissions [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 1.386 billion yuan in 2025, 2.453 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.866 billion yuan in 2027, with expected net profits of -800 million yuan, -328 million yuan, and 499 million yuan respectively [7][10]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in gross profit margin, reaching 45.37% by 2027, alongside a notable improvement in net profit margin, projected to be 12.91% in the same year [11].

证券研究报告：计算机|点评报告 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 行业基本情况 | 收盘点位 | | 5010.88 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 5841.52 | | 52 | 周最低 | 3963.29 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24% 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 2025-12 计算机 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:陈涵泊 SAC 登记编号:S1340525080001 Email:chenhanbo@cnpsec.com 分析师:李佩京 SAC 登记编号:S1340525080003 Email:lipeijing@cnpsec.com 分析师:王思 SAC 登记编号:S1340525080002 Email:wangsi1@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《太空算力：从地面到轨道，算力基 建的"升维战争"》 - 2025.12.01 沐曦 17 日上市，关注国产算力产业链 沐曦股份将于 2025 ...

证券研究报告：证券Ⅱ|行业周报 发布时间：2025-12-15 行业投资评级 中性|首次评级 | 行业基本情况 | | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 6851.1 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 7730.11 | | 52 周最低 | | 5627.38 | ⚫ 投资要点 经纪业务收入弹性释放，股基成交维持高位直接提升佣金收入， 尤其利好零售客户占比较高的券商（如东方财富、华泰、国泰君安）； 两融业务有望重启扩张，市场活跃+指数企稳将提振融资需求，当前 沪深 300 已站稳 4,500 点，有助于提升担保品价值；值得注意的是， 当前板块 PE 未快速上行，说明资金更多是"交易型"而非"追高型" 入场，有利于行情持续性，也降低券商自营追高风险。当前券商板块 基本面稳定向上，且券商股具备高贝塔属性，建议短期可积极布局综 合型头部券商。 ⚫ 行业基本面跟踪 行业相对指数表现 -19% -15% -11% -7% -3% 1% 5% 9% 13% 17% 21% 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 2025-12 证券Ⅱ 沪深30 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The recent Politburo meeting emphasizes the importance of domestic demand, marking a shift towards a long-term strategy for high-quality development and countering external uncertainties. The focus is on "supply-demand coordinated reform" to create new demand through "new quality productivity" and to unleash consumption potential through a "unified market" and "livelihood guarantees" [5][15]. - Moutai's pricing strategy is being closely monitored, with recent adjustments indicating a short-term control of supply and a mid-term structural adjustment. The price of Moutai has recently increased by 100 yuan to 1600 yuan, reflecting market pressures and strategic responses [6][17]. - The "Three Squirrels" brand is transitioning from a snack brand to a community hard discount retail model, demonstrating strong competitiveness in areas with limited hard discount presence. The store emphasizes fresh and made-to-order products, with a strict discounting strategy to manage inventory effectively [7][19][20]. Industry Performance - The food and beverage sector index (801120.SL) experienced a decline of 1.63% this week, ranking 22nd among 30 primary industries, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.55 percentage points. The current dynamic PE ratio for the industry is 21.53 [8][28]. - All ten sub-sectors within the food and beverage industry reported declines, with the lowest drop in the dairy sector at -1.05%. Notably, 16 stocks in the sector saw gains, with the top performers being Yanjinpuzi (+5.11%) and Kuaijishan (+4.85%) [29][30].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Insights - The recent Politburo meeting emphasizes the importance of domestic demand, marking a shift towards a long-term strategy for high-quality development through supply-demand coordination [5][15] - Moutai's pricing strategy is being adjusted to control supply and enhance channel profitability, with recent price increases observed [6][17] - Three Squirrels is transitioning from a snack brand to a community hard discount retail model, demonstrating strong competitiveness in underdeveloped markets [7][19] Industry Performance - The food and beverage sector index (801120.SL) experienced a decline of -1.63% this week, ranking 22nd among 30 sectors, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.55 percentage points [8][28] - All ten sub-sectors within the food and beverage industry reported declines, with the lowest drop in the dairy sector at -1.05% [29] Key Company Announcements - Moutai announced a cash dividend of 23.957 yuan per share, totaling approximately 30 billion yuan [37] - Wuliangye adjusted its ex-factory price to 900 yuan, aiming to alleviate channel pressure and stimulate sales [18] Important News - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have issued differentiated financial support plans for five major consumption areas, including durable goods and service consumption [16] - Budweiser plans to acquire a majority stake in the US ready-to-drink beverage brand BeatBox for approximately 4.9 billion USD [39]

证券研究报告：宏观报告 研究所 分析师:李起 SAC 登记编号:S1340524110001 Email:liqi2@cnpsec.com 研究助理:高晓洁 SAC 登记编号:S1340124020001 Email:gaoxiaojie@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《全球流动性处于何种水平？---数量 篇》 - 2025.12.08 宏观观点 海外宏观周报：美联储未来降息路径分歧加大 ⚫ 核心观点： 在 12 月的议息会议上，美联储如期降息 25bp，但点阵图中值显 示，26、27 年各仅有一次降息，同时与会者对于利率水平预测的分布 更加分散，反映出政策路径不确定性上升，未来多种情景并存。我们 认为，2026 年的降息幅度将超出市场预期，联邦基金目标利率终值有 望降至 3%以下。 当前市场对"关税改善财政状况"已经充分认可，但 1 月最高法 院有较大概率判定关税无效，市场可能重新聚焦美国财政可持续性问 题。为降低长端利率，短端利率必须"有克制"地下降更多，即节奏 上慢于预期，幅度上大于预期。 今年以来美股企业盈利持续超预期，显著推升居民部门财富效 应，却也掩盖了巨大的结构性差异。美股上涨带来的财富效 ...