通用计算机设备 启明星辰（002439.SZ） 增持-A(维持) 下游需求疲软影响全年收入表现，中移动协同持续深化 2025 年 4 月 17 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 | 市场数据：2025 年 4 月 | 16 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | 15.18 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | | 20.02/12.19 | | 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 | | 7.25/12.18 | | 股）： | | | | 流通 A 股市值（亿）： | | 110.11 | | 总市值（亿）： | | 184.95 | | 年 基础数据：2024 | 12 | 月 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | | -0.19 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | | -0.19 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | | 9.38 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | | -1.99 | | 资料来源：最闻 | | | | | 方闻千 执业登记编码：S076 ...

化学原料药 新和成（002001.SZ） 买入-B(维持) 营养品量价齐升推动业绩高增，主要产品受豁免，关税影响有限 2025 年 4 月 17 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件 市场数据：2025 年 4 月 16 日 收盘价（元）： 21.80 年内最高/最低（元）： 25.00/17.20 公司公布 2024 年年报及 25 年一季度预告，业绩高增。公司公布 2024 年年报数据，2024 年公司实现营收 216.10 亿元，同比增长 42.95%，实现归 母净利润 58.69 亿元，同比增长 117.01%。第四季度公司实现营收 58.28 亿元， 同比增长 41.99%，环比下降 1.84%。实现归母净利润 18.79 亿元，同比增长 211.60%，环比增长 5.26%。2024 年全年毛利率为 41.78%，同比上升 8.80pct； 净利率为 27.29%，同比上升 9.26pct。2024 年第四季度毛利率为 47.84%，同 比上升 16.40pct，环比上升 4.28pct；净利率为 32.40%，同比上升 17.63pct， 环比上升2.22pct。公司预告2025年第 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [1][10]. Core Views - The company's revenue performance for the year is impacted by weak downstream demand, while collaboration with China Mobile continues to deepen [1][5]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.315 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.44%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -226 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 130.53% [4][10]. - The company is focusing on strategic collaboration with China Mobile, enhancing product offerings in AI security, cloud security, and data security, which are expected to drive future growth [6][10]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue from security products was 1.905 billion yuan, down 26.12% year-on-year, while revenue from security operations and services was 1.383 billion yuan, down 27.20% year-on-year [5]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 58.77%, an increase of 1.00 percentage points compared to the previous year [5]. - The company’s R&D expenses reached 852 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [5]. - The net profit margin for 2024 was -6.86%, a decrease of 23.27 percentage points year-on-year [5]. Future Earnings Estimates - The company is projected to have earnings per share (EPS) of 0.25, 0.32, and 0.40 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10]. - Corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for these years are estimated at 61.00, 47.19, and 37.94 [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in its performance, with a revenue increase of 42.95% year-on-year to 21.61 billion yuan in 2024, and a net profit increase of 117.01% to 5.87 billion yuan [4][5] - The nutrition product segment has benefited from rising prices and volumes, driven by new production capacity and a recovery in the downstream aquaculture industry [5] - The company has effectively managed costs through innovation and optimization of production processes, contributing to improved operational performance [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 41.78%, up 8.80 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 27.29%, up 9.26 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 5.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.99%, and a net profit of 1.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 211.60% [4] - The company forecasts a net profit of 1.8 to 1.9 billion yuan for the first quarter of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 107% to 118% [4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 23.94 billion yuan, 26.27 billion yuan, and 28.65 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.8%, 9.7%, and 9.1% respectively [7] - Net profit projections for the same period are 6.32 billion yuan, 6.99 billion yuan, and 7.73 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.6%, 10.7%, and 10.6% respectively [7] - The report indicates an expected EPS of 2.06 yuan, 2.27 yuan, and 2.52 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.8, 9.8, and 8.8 [7]

2025 年 4 月 17 日 行业研究/行业快报 纺织服装行业近一年市场表现 相关报告： 【山证纺织服装】1-2 月国内社零同比增 长 4.0%，体育娱乐用品景气延续-【山证 纺服】1-2 月社零数据点评 2025.3.18 【山证纺织服装】Puma 披露 2024 年度 业绩，预计 2025 年收入增长低至中单位 数-【山证纺服】行业周报 2025.3.18 分析师： 王冯 执业登记编码：S0760522030003 邮箱：wangfeng@sxzq.com 孙萌 执业登记编码：S0760523050001 邮箱：sunmeng@sxzq.com 纺织服装 社零数据点评 同步大市-A(维持) 3 月国内社零同比增长 5.9%，金银珠宝品类双位数增长 事件描述： 4 月 16 日，国家统计局公布 2025 年 3 月社零数据。 事件点评： 资料来源：最闻，山西证券研究所 3 月国内社零同比增长 5.9%，表现高于市场一致预期。2025 年 3 月，国内实现社零 总额 4.09 万亿元，同比增长 5.9%，环比提升 1.9pct，表现高于市场一致预期（根据 Wind， 2025 年 3 月社零当月同比增速预测 ...

纺织服装行业近一年市场表现 相关报告： 【山证纺织服装】1-2 月国内社零同比增 长 4.0%，体育娱乐用品景气延续-【山证 纺服】1-2 月社零数据点评 2025.3.18 【山证纺织服装】Puma 披露 2024 年度 业绩，预计 2025 年收入增长低至中单位 数-【山证纺服】行业周报 2025.3.18 分析师： 王冯 执业登记编码：S0760522030003 邮箱：wangfeng@sxzq.com 孙萌 执业登记编码：S0760523050001 邮箱：sunmeng@sxzq.com 纺织服装 社零数据点评 同步大市-A(维持) 3 月国内社零同比增长 5.9%，金银珠宝品类双位数增长 2025 年 4 月 17 日 行业研究/行业快报 事件描述： 4 月 16 日，国家统计局公布 2025 年 3 月社零数据。 事件点评： 行业研究/行业快报 资料来源：最闻，山西证券研究所 3 月国内社零同比增长 5.9%，表现高于市场一致预期。2025 年 3 月，国内实现社零 总额 4.09 万亿元，同比增长 5.9%，环比提升 1.9pct，表现高于市场一致预期（根据 Wind， 2025 年 3 月 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing impact of tariff policies on the communication and semiconductor industries, emphasizing the resilience of the Chinese supply chain and the potential for recovery in communication equipment manufacturing due to recent tariff exemptions from the U.S. [7][11] - The report suggests a focus on domestic demand and self-sufficiency in technology as a strategic direction, particularly in high-end chips and computing power, driven by initiatives like the OISA industry chain plan [7][11] - The performance of specific companies such as 聚灿光电 and 聚辰股份 is noted, with significant revenue and profit growth attributed to market demand and product structure improvements [15][17] Industry Commentary - The communication industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with the U.S. tariff exemption on certain products expected to benefit the communication equipment sector, particularly for items like optical modules and routers [7][11] - The semiconductor industry is under pressure from fluctuating U.S. tariff policies, which are affecting market confidence and investment sentiment [7][11] - The basic chemical industry is also impacted by tariff disputes, but there is potential for domestic substitution and recovery in high-end materials and green chemistry sectors [9][11] Company Analysis - 聚灿光电 reported a 21.80% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q1 2025, reaching 731 million yuan, with a net profit growth of 27.72% [15] - 聚辰股份 achieved a remarkable 46.17% increase in revenue for 2024, totaling 1.028 billion yuan, with net profit soaring by 189.23% [17] - 聚胶股份 is seeing significant overseas growth, with a 30.03% increase in overseas revenue, and is expected to benefit from declining shipping costs [20][21] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that are positioned to benefit from tariff corrections and domestic technology initiatives, including 聚灿光电, 聚辰股份, and 聚胶股份 [10][19] - It suggests monitoring companies involved in high-end chip production and those with diversified global operations to mitigate tariff impacts [10][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company achieved record high performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 731 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.80%, and a net profit of 61 million yuan, up 27.72% year-on-year and 70.57% quarter-on-quarter [4][5]. - The company's LED chip business is expanding due to effective marketing strategies and market demand insights, leading to a significant increase in profitability [5][6]. - The company is progressing well with its "annual production of 2.4 million red and yellow light epitaxial wafers and chip project," which is expected to enhance its market position and profit margins [6]. Financial Data Summary - For Q1 2025, the gross margin was 15.52%, an increase of 1.97 percentage points year-on-year and 2.95 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 8.40%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.39 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.51 percentage points [5]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.41, 0.53, and 0.65 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 27.5, 21.0, and 17.3 [7][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [2][7] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and net profit, with a 46.17% year-on-year increase in revenue to 1.028 billion yuan and a 189.23% increase in net profit to 290 million yuan for the year 2024 [3][4] - The growth is attributed to the rapid increase in shipments of SPD products and automotive-grade EEPROM, driven by strong downstream demand [4][5] - The company's gross margin improved to 54.81%, up 8.22 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin reached 26.84%, an increase of 15.08 percentage points [5] Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.028 billion yuan, a 46.17% increase from the previous year, and a net profit of 290 million yuan, up 189.23% [3][4] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 259 million yuan, a 28.45% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 79 million yuan, reflecting a 339.79% increase [3][4] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 54.81%, and the net margin was 26.84%, indicating improved profitability [5] Product Development - The company is expanding its product lines, focusing on high-value markets such as SPD products for DDR5 memory modules, automotive-grade EEPROM, and NOR Flash for various applications [6] - The successful introduction of automotive-grade EEPROM to leading Tier 1 suppliers has significantly boosted sales [4][6] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 2.74 yuan in 2025, 3.83 yuan in 2026, and 4.81 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 26.5, 19.0, and 15.1 [7][9] - Revenue is expected to grow to 1.497 billion yuan in 2025, 2.010 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.476 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [9][13]

其他化学制品Ⅲ 聚胶股份（301283.SZ） 买入-B(维持) 海外增长突出，运费下降或推动盈利修复 2025 年 4 月 16 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 4 月 15 日，公司发布《2024 年年度报告》，实现营业收入 20.06 亿元， 同比+23.27%，实现归母净利润 0.78 亿元，同比-27.70%;扣非净利润 0.71 亿 元，同比-23.62%，净利下滑主要系原材料和海运费上涨。其中 2024Q4 实现 营业收入 5.59 亿元，环比+10.44%，实现归母净利润 0.11 亿元，环比+16.04%。 事件点评 海外市场增长持续，马来工厂将贡献新增量。公司 2024 年实现海外收 入 11.66 亿元，同比+30.03%。截止报告期未，马来西亚生产基地 6 万吨项 目已完成前期的厂房选址、租赁、改造报批和建筑设计等相关工作，预计将 于 2025 年 12 月竣工投产，贡献新增量。 海运费逐步回落，推动盈利改善。公司 24 年实现销售 13.68 万吨，同比 +22.18%，销售均价为 14640 元/吨，同比基本持平。整体销售毛利率为 12.38%，同比-2.64 ...