1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q3 2025, the scale of public offering fixed - income + funds increased significantly compared to the previous quarter, reaching a record high, with the increment mainly coming from secondary bond funds, possibly due to institutional funds such as insurance funds and wealth management [2][7]. - The concentration of leading institutions has increased. The proportion of the top ten fund companies in the fixed - income + fund scale has risen from 43.0% in Q2 2025 to 46.0% in Q3 2025 [2]. - The equity position of fixed - income + funds has risen to the highest level since Q1 24, with obvious increased allocation to equities. The funds mainly increased their holdings in the manufacturing sector while also considering finance, technology, and basic industries [2]. - Fixed - income + funds' top ten heavy - position stocks are relatively stable overall, and the ten stocks with the most increased holdings are mainly concentrated in the technology field [2]. - In Q3 2025, convertible bond funds and secondary bond funds became the main forces for increasing convertible bonds. Fixed - income + funds continued to prefer convertible bonds in the banking sector, but the proportion of bank - sector convertible bonds decreased, while the proportions of convertible bonds in the power equipment, non - bank finance, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industries increased significantly [2][3]. - There is no significant correlation between the scale of fixed - income + funds and their yield distribution characteristics. The income of small - and medium - scale products is more elastic, and in Q3 2025, the proportion of products with positive income is 83.49%, with an average yield of about 3.16% [3][66]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Overall Scale: Secondary Bond Funds Become the Main Force for Expansion - Fixed - income + funds are a hybrid investment strategy that uses fixed - income assets as the core allocation and enhances returns through a small amount of equity - asset allocation. Their scale increased rapidly in Q2 and Q3 25, reaching over 2.5 trillion yuan again in Q3 25 [7]. - In Q3 2025, the scale of public offering fixed - income + funds increased significantly compared to the previous quarter, reaching a record high. The total net asset value of fixed - income + funds was about 2.75 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 0.5 trillion yuan from Q2 25, with a month - on - month increase of 23.2%. The increment mainly came from secondary bond funds, whose scale exceeded that of primary bond funds and became the largest type of fixed - income + funds [2][7]. - The number of fixed - income + funds increased slightly in Q3 2025, also reaching a record high. The proportion of secondary bond funds in the total market's net asset value increased significantly, while the proportions of primary bond funds and partial - debt hybrid funds decreased slightly [10][13]. - The significant increase in the scale of secondary bond funds in Q3 may be mainly due to institutional funds such as insurance funds and wealth management. For example, the proportion of secondary bond funds in bank wealth - management bond - fund investments increased by 6.3 pct month - on - month to 8.9%, and the investment scale increased by 0.06 trillion yuan to 0.09 trillion yuan [2][14]. 3.2 Institutional Scale: Concentration of Leading Institutions Increases 3.2.1 Stock Scale Ranking - In Q3 2025, the proportion of the top ten public - offering fund companies in the fixed - income + fund scale increased month - on - month, and the industry concentration increased. The proportion of the top five fund companies increased from 26.2% in Q2 2025 to 28.9% in Q3 2025, and the proportion of the top ten increased from 43.0% to 46.0% [20]. - As of the end of September 2025, the top ten fund companies in the fixed - income + fund scale were E Fund, Invesco Great Wall Fund, Fullgoal Fund, Huatai - PineBridge Fund, Bosera Fund, China Merchants Fund, GF Fund, China Europe Fund, China Asset Management, and Penghua Fund [20]. 3.2.2 Stock Scale Changes - In Q3 2025, the scale changes of different - scale fund companies in the fixed - income + fund field showed significant differentiation. Large - scale public - offering fund companies had a scale increase far exceeding the industry average, while small - and medium - sized fund companies had little scale change, and some even shrank [26]. - Different types of fund companies also showed significant differentiation in the scale growth of fixed - income + funds in Q3 2025. Private - equity - affiliated fund companies led with an increase of 85.89 billion yuan, followed by securities - affiliated and bank - affiliated fund companies, while insurance - affiliated fund companies had a contraction of 3.6 billion yuan [29]. - In Q3 2025, leading institutions became the main force for growth. The top ten public - offering fund companies in the scale growth of fixed - income + funds were Invesco Great Wall Fund, Fullgoal Fund, Bosera Fund, Huatai - PineBridge Fund, China Europe Fund, E Fund, Yongying Fund, Penghua Fund, GF Fund, and Huashang Fund [30]. 3.3 Asset Allocation Changes: Increase in Equity Position 3.3.1 Changes in the Allocation of Major Asset Classes of Fixed - Income + Funds - According to Q3 2025 data, the asset - allocation structure of fixed - income + funds was adjusted, and the stock position rose to the highest level since Q1 24. The market - wide market - value proportions of stocks, bonds, and cash in fixed - income + funds in Q3 25 were 8.9%, 87.1%, and 1.4% respectively, with corresponding scale increases of 1020.9 billion yuan, 3759.6 billion yuan, and 35.8 billion yuan compared to Q2 25 [35]. - Except for convertible bond funds, the stock - holding proportions of other types of bond funds increased to varying degrees compared to the previous quarter, while the bond - holding proportions decreased to varying degrees [39]. 3.3.2 Changes in Stock - Asset Investment - Fixed - income + funds' equity assets are mainly invested in the manufacturing sector. In Q3 2025, the manufacturing sector accounted for about 63% of the investment scale, followed by the mining, finance, and information transmission, software, and information technology services industries, with a total proportion of about 24% [47]. - In Q3 2025, the manufacturing industry was the most significantly increased industry, with a scale increase of 634 billion yuan and a proportion increase of 6.03 percentage points. The mining and information transmission, software, and information technology services industries also had increased investment, while the power, construction, real estate, and education industries had reduced investment [49]. - In Q3 2025, the top ten heavy - position stocks of fixed - income + funds were relatively stable overall. Zijin Mining, CATL, and Tencent Holdings remained in the top three, and technology stocks such as Alibaba - W, Zhongji Innolight, Luxshare Precision, and SMIC entered the top ten. The overall allocation direction of the top ten heavy - position stocks continued to hold the growth sector [50]. - The ten stocks with the most increased holdings by fixed - income + funds in Q3 2025 were mainly concentrated in the technology field, and 8 of them also entered the top ten heavy - position stocks of public - offering funds in the same quarter [52]. 3.3.3 Changes in Convertible - Bond Asset Investment - Among fixed - income + funds, convertible bond funds and secondary bond funds are the main holders of convertible bonds. In Q3 2025, convertible bond funds and secondary bond funds became the main forces for increasing convertible bonds, while primary bond funds and partial - debt hybrid funds reduced their holdings [53][55]. - Overall, about 11.19% of fixed - income + funds' assets were allocated to convertible bonds in Q3 2025. Only the convertible - bond position of convertible bond funds increased month - on - month, while the positions of other fixed - income + funds decreased [55]. - Among the top five heavy - position bonds of fixed - income + funds, financial bonds and treasury bonds dominated in Q3 2025, with a total proportion of about 80%, and convertible bonds accounted for 7.5% [56]. - Among the top five heavy - position bonds of fixed - income + funds in Q3 2025, bank - sector convertible bonds still dominated, but the proportion decreased, while the proportions of convertible bonds in the power equipment, non - bank finance, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industries increased significantly [61]. - The top ten convertible bonds with the most increased holdings by fixed - income + funds in Q3 2025 were mainly concentrated in the banking, non - bank finance, and power equipment sectors, and 8 of them also entered the top ten in the convertible - bond holding scale of fixed - income + funds in the same quarter [65]. 3.4 Performance - According to Q3 2025 data, there is no significant correlation between the scale of fixed - income + funds and their yield distribution characteristics. The income of small - and medium - scale products is more elastic. In Q3 2025, the proportion of products with positive income was 83.49%, and the average yield was about 3.16% [66]. - The top ten fixed - income + funds with outstanding performance in Q3 2025 included Huaan Zhilian Hybrid (LOF), Southern Changyuan Convertible Bond, etc. These funds achieved excess returns through flexible allocation of equity positions such as technology and convertible - bond assets [67]. - Among the top ten heavy - position stocks of fixed - income + funds with a quarterly yield of over 18% in Q3 2025, the technology - growth sector dominated, and the holdings were relatively decentralized, reflecting the differentiated positioning of different fixed - income + products' investment strategies [68].

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [4] Core Views - The aluminum price is on an upward trend, and the profitability of electrolytic aluminum continues to expand [3] - Copper prices are expected to remain volatile in the short term due to macroeconomic factors, with a potential upward cycle anticipated as supply-demand dynamics shift towards a shortage [5][25] - Lithium demand is exceeding expectations, leading to a reduction in lithium salt inventory and a rebound in lithium prices [5][77] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to a tight supply situation [5][86] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - China's retail sales in October grew by 2.9%, exceeding expectations [9] - The U.S. government ended its longest shutdown, which is expected to influence market dynamics positively [9] 2. Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 1.07% [11][12] - The sector's PE_TTM is 25.81, indicating a premium over the broader market [20][23] 3. Industrial Metals - Copper: Prices increased by 0.99% in London and 1.12% in Shanghai, with inventories decreasing [25] - Aluminum: Prices rose by 1.48% in Shanghai, with profitability for aluminum producers increasing by 5.40% [38] - Lead and Zinc: Lead prices increased, while zinc prices saw a slight decline [47] 4. Energy Metals - Lithium: Prices for lithium carbonate rose by 5.91% to 85,150 yuan/ton, with lithium demand remaining strong [77] - Cobalt: Prices for cobalt increased, with domestic prices reaching 397,000 yuan/ton [86]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector showed positive revenue growth in Q3 2025, with the net profit growth rate of thermal coal companies outperforming that of coking coal companies [4] - The price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal increased from 621 RMB/ton on June 30, 2025, to 699 RMB/ton on September 30, 2025, reflecting a cumulative increase of 12.6% in Q3 [4] - The overall performance of coal companies in Q3 was supported by rising coal prices, inventory reduction, and increased electricity sales during peak summer demand [4] - The production of leading thermal coal companies remained stable, while coking coal production faced pressure, leading to more aggressive inventory reduction [4] - The improvement in long-term contracts for thermal coal helped boost coal prices, although some companies still recorded a decline in unit sales revenue due to delayed price transmission [4] - The cost control strategies adopted by thermal coal companies helped maintain profitability despite rising costs in some coking coal companies [4] - The winter season is expected to see strong coal prices due to supply constraints and increased demand for heating [5] Summary by Sections Section: Q3 Performance - The coal sector's Q3 revenue showed a positive trend, with thermal coal companies experiencing a net profit growth rate that was better than that of coking coal companies [4] - The overall revenue for coal companies in Q3 was positively impacted by rising coal prices and increased electricity sales [4] Section: Price Trends - The price of thermal coal saw a significant increase in Q3, with a 12.6% rise in Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal prices [4] - Despite the increase in market prices, some companies experienced a lag in price transmission, affecting their unit sales revenue [4] Section: Production and Inventory - Leading thermal coal companies maintained stable production levels, while coking coal production faced challenges [4] - Most listed coal companies did not significantly reduce their sales volumes, with some companies achieving higher sales in Q3 [4] Section: Cost Management - Thermal coal companies continued to focus on cost control, resulting in a decrease in unit costs [4] - Some coking coal companies faced rising costs, which negatively impacted their performance [4] Section: Future Outlook - The report suggests a positive outlook for Q4 2025, with expectations of continued improvement in coal company performance due to favorable market conditions [5] - The winter season is anticipated to bring strong coal prices driven by supply constraints and increased heating demand [5]

证券研究报告 | 商贸零售 | | --- | 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 15 日 投资评级： 看好（维持） 证券分析师 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 10 月 CPI 同比上涨 0.2%，海南离岛免税新政 11 月 1 日 起正式实施 ——新消费行业周报（2025.11.10-2025.11.14） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 10 月 CPI 同比上涨 0.2%。10 月 CPI 环比上涨 0.2%，同比上涨 0.2%，扣除食品和 能源价格的核心 CPI 同比上涨 1.2%，涨幅连续第 6 个月扩大，整体表现超预期。其 中，扩内需等政策措施持续显效，叠加国庆、中秋长假带动，服务价格上涨 0.8%， 涨幅比上月扩大 0.2pct，增速亮眼，飞机票和宾馆住宿价格分别上涨 8.9%和 2.8%； 医疗服务和家政服务价格分别上涨 2.4%和 2.3%。 海南离岛免税新政 11 月 1 日起正式实施，周度免税数据高增。海口海关 11 月 8 日 公布数据，11 月 1 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The retail sales growth in October exceeded expectations, with basic living and some upgraded consumption categories experiencing rapid growth [4] - The total retail sales of consumer goods in October reached 46,291 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%. Excluding automobiles, the total retail sales amounted to 42,036 billion, growing by 4.0% year-on-year [7][6] - Urban and rural retail sales in October were 40,021 billion and 6,270 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 2.7% and 4.1% [7] Summary by Category Overall Data - The overall retail sales in October showed a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, with significant growth in essential and some upgraded consumption categories [7][6] Consumption Types - The retail sales of catering outpaced goods, with limited above-unit retail sales reaching 17,782 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [14] - The retail sales of goods and catering in October were 41,092 billion and 5,199 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 2.8% and 3.8% [14] Essential Consumption - In essential consumption, the retail sales of grain, oil, and food increased by 9.1%, beverages by 7.1%, tobacco and alcohol by 4.1%, and daily necessities by 7.4% [18][26] Optional Consumption - In optional consumption, jewelry and communication equipment saw significant growth, with jewelry retail sales increasing by 37.6% and communication equipment by 23.2% [26][34] Other Consumption Categories - Among other consumption categories, furniture retail sales grew significantly by 9.6%, while home appliances, building materials, and petroleum products saw declines of 14.6%, 8.3%, and 5.9% respectively [35][39]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is implementing a restricted stock incentive plan to enhance its long-term incentive mechanism, aiming to align the interests of shareholders, the company, and management for sustainable growth [8] - The company has shown strong sales performance during the Double Eleven shopping festival, entering the sales Top 20 list for the first time, with significant growth in popular products [8] - The company is expanding its product range and increasing its SKU speed, which opens up growth opportunities in various market segments [8] - The company has seen a steady increase in repurchase rates, with a total of approximately 13.4 million online and 5.6 million offline registered members, leading to a comprehensive repurchase rate of 26.8%, up 2 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.21 billion, 1.58 billion, and 2.03 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 38%, 30%, and 28% respectively [8] Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 2,885.96 million RMB in 2023 to 5,153.06 million RMB in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.65% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 661.9 million RMB in 2023 to 1,212.7 million RMB in 2025, with a CAGR of 37.7% [7] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to remain strong, with values of 42.8% in 2023 and around 25% in the following years [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company plans to invest 21 million yuan in Anypu to enhance its high-end product matrix and strategically enter the mass spectrometry market, which is a key segment in the domestic scientific instrument industry [5][6] - The mass spectrometry market is currently dominated by developed countries, with 90% of the global market share, and China has an annual import scale of approximately 10 billion yuan for mass spectrometers [6] - The company has launched the N70 Fourier Transform Near-Infrared Spectrometer, which is expected to drive incremental sales and has established a research institute in collaboration with Xi'an Jiaotong University for the development of cell membrane chromatography products [6] - The company is increasing its investment in overseas markets, with its subsidiary G.A.S. developing methods for detecting siloxane content in biogas power generation, which has already become a standard detection method in the U.S. [6] Financial Summary - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 0.50 billion yuan in 2025, with projected profits of 0.63 billion yuan in 2026 and 0.80 billion yuan in 2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 43, 34, and 27 times respectively [6][8] - Revenue is projected to grow from 3.10 billion yuan in 2024 to 5.26 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 20.21% [8][10] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 2.77% in 2024 to 12.03% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [8][10]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: None [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strategic importance of civil nuclear energy in global energy transition and climate governance, highlighting its current contribution of approximately 9% to global electricity and 23% to low-carbon electricity. It notes that nuclear energy has avoided around 70 billion tons of CO2 emissions over the past 50 years and could potentially reduce an additional 90 billion tons by 2050 if development accelerates [4][16] - The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) predicts a 2.5-fold increase in nuclear power capacity by 2050, positioning it as a core support for achieving "net zero emissions" goals. Currently, there are about 440 operational reactors across 31 countries, with over 60 under construction and 30 more planned [4][16] - The report also highlights the potential applications of innovative technologies such as Small Modular Reactors (SMR) and Advanced Modular Reactors (AMR) in hydrogen production, heating, and non-electric sectors, calling for stronger policy and financial support to drive a new growth cycle in the global nuclear energy industry [4][16] Market Performance Review - During the week of November 3 to November 7, 2025, technology stocks experienced a pullback, with the Hang Seng Tech Index closing at 5837.4, down 1.2%, underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 2.5 percentage points. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closed at 6947.4, down 3.9%, also underperforming the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices [7][9] - The AI energy sector saw declines influenced by earnings reports, with the top five gainers being COHERENT (+17%), 亚舍立科技 (+8%), 艾马克技术 (+8%), 美光科技 (+6%), and 百度集团-SW (+6%). Conversely, the top five decliners included NUSCALE POWER (-32%), DUOLINGO (-26%), ENERGY FUELS (-24%), 超微电脑 (-23%), and CENTRUS ENERGY (-20%) [9][4] Web3 and Cryptocurrency Market - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies decreased to $3.37 trillion as of November 7, 2025, down from $3.64 trillion the previous week. The total trading volume for cryptocurrencies was $166.74 billion, accounting for 4.95% of the total market cap [18][24] - The sentiment in the cryptocurrency market is currently in a state of panic, with the Fear and Greed Index at 21, indicating a fear-driven market environment [20] - The report notes that the core assets in the cryptocurrency market experienced significant price declines due to tightening liquidity and expectations of interest rate hikes, with major assets briefly falling below $100,000 [29][30]

Group 1: Fixed Income Market Insights - As of November 9, 2025, there are 189 existing amortized cost open-end bond funds in the market, with a total net asset value of 1.45 trillion yuan and a total asset value of 2.03 trillion yuan as of September 30, 2025 [5][6] - The upcoming open days for amortized cost open-end bond funds from Q4 2025 to Q2 2026 are expected to create strong demand for medium to long-term credit bonds, particularly those with a maturity of 3-5 years [7][8] - It is estimated that the opening of these funds could bring approximately 1.198 billion yuan of stable allocation funds to the credit bond market, with about 518 billion yuan expected to flow in before the end of Q2 2026 [6][7] Group 2: Company Performance Overview - Lituo Technology (920225.BJ) reported a revenue of 346 million yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 66.13 million yuan [9][10] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 109 million yuan, with a net profit of 13.45 million yuan, indicating overall performance pressure in the third quarter [9][10] - The company is focusing on expanding its rubber hose business into new markets such as nuclear power, data centers, and marine engineering, with new products expected to drive growth [10][11] Group 3: Product Development and Market Expansion - The rubber hose business is expected to transition from traditional manufacturing to high-end equipment support, with new products in nuclear power and data centers showing promise [10] - The HPP ultra-high pressure sterilization equipment has received new orders from the juice beverage industry, indicating a successful market entry and potential for further expansion into other food sectors [11][12] - The company is exploring diverse business models, including processing cooperation and leasing, to lower customer entry barriers and enhance market penetration [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company achieved stable revenue year-on-year in Q3 2025, focusing on the ramp-up of soft hoses in the nuclear power market and the development of HPP equipment [5][7] - The rubber hose business is expected to expand into new markets such as nuclear power, data centers, and marine engineering, with new products being developed and tested [7] - The HPP ultra-high pressure sterilization equipment is gaining traction, with new orders in the juice beverage sector and plans to explore additional applications [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 485 million RMB in 2023, 484 million RMB in 2024, 547 million RMB in 2025, 641 million RMB in 2026, and 757 million RMB in 2027, with growth rates of 29.50%, -0.32%, 13.03%, 17.20%, and 18.08% respectively [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 134 million RMB in 2023, 107 million RMB in 2024, 107 million RMB in 2025, 141 million RMB in 2026, and 172 million RMB in 2027, with growth rates of 60.78%, -19.82%, 0.04%, 31.85%, and 21.74% respectively [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.05 RMB in 2023, 0.84 RMB in 2024, 0.85 RMB in 2025, 1.11 RMB in 2026, and 1.36 RMB in 2027 [6] Business Development - The company is focusing on the industrialization of new products in the rubber hose sector, including nuclear power hoses, liquid cooling hoses for data centers, and marine oil hoses [7] - The HPP equipment segment is expanding its application areas and exploring diverse business models to lower customer entry barriers [7] - The company maintains a healthy cash flow and is investing in capacity optimization and material recycling projects [7]