Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for China Tower Corporation with a target price raised to HKD 13.7, reflecting an increase in valuation from 3.1x to 4.0x based on the 2025 fiscal year EV/EBITDA [1][7][3]. Core Views - China Tower's fiscal year 2024 performance met expectations, with revenue increasing by 4.0% year-on-year to RMB 97.8 billion and net profit rising by 10.0% to RMB 10.7 billion, slightly above internal forecasts but below Bloomberg consensus [1][2]. - The traditional tower business, accounting for 77% of revenue, saw a modest growth of 0.9%, while the indoor distribution and two wings businesses experienced double-digit growth, achieving RMB 84 billion (up 18%) and RMB 134 billion (up 16%) respectively [1][2]. - The company announced a stock consolidation plan to optimize its capital structure and enhance shareholder value [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY25E are set at RMB 101.8 billion, with a growth rate of 4.1%, followed by RMB 104.4 billion in FY26E and RMB 108.4 billion in FY27E [2][10]. - EBITDA is expected to reach RMB 69.1 billion in FY25E, with a net profit forecast of RMB 12.1 billion, reflecting a 13.0% year-on-year growth [2][10]. - The company plans to maintain a dividend of RMB 0.42 per share for FY24, indicating a payout ratio of 76% [7][10]. Shareholder Structure - Major shareholders include Citigroup with 9.0% and GIC with 7.0% [4]. Stock Performance - The stock has shown a 13.3% increase over the past three months, although it has underperformed relative to the market by 7.5% [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 5.67, indicating a potential upside of 26.3% from the current price of HKD 4.49 [4][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a FY24 net profit of RMB 1.15 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, with a net profit margin of 11.4%, slightly down by 0.4 percentage points from FY23 [1]. - Revenue for FY24 reached RMB 10.07 billion, reflecting a 19.1% year-on-year growth, driven by increases in both adult and children's product sales [1]. - The company plans to expand its new retail format, "super premium stores," from 5 to 100 by the end of 2025, aiming to enhance customer shopping experiences and improve inventory turnover [3]. Financial Performance Summary - FY24 revenue: RMB 10,074 million, up 19.1% from FY23 [5] - FY24 net profit: RMB 1,149 million, up 15.4% from FY23 [5] - FY25 projected revenue: RMB 11,869 million, a 17.8% increase [5] - FY25 projected net profit: RMB 1,332 million, a 16.0% increase [5] - FY24 dividend per share: HKD 0.1, with a payout ratio of 45% [1][5] Inventory and Cash Flow - As of the end of 2024, inventory rose to RMB 2.11 billion, a 56.2% increase year-on-year, leading to an increase in inventory turnover days from 93 to 107 days [2]. - Operating cash flow decreased to RMB 56 million due to increased inventory levels, but management noted that terminal sales have grown over 10% since the beginning of 2025 [2]. Store Expansion Strategy - The company is focusing on opening "super premium stores," which will feature a mix of high-demand products, seasonal items, and cost-effective options, with an average store area of over 800 square meters [3]. - The expected average annual sales per super premium store is projected to reach RMB 10 million, contributing approximately 5% to total revenue by 2025 [3].

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in FY24 net profit attributable to shareholders, rising by 95.2% to 22.372 billion RMB, driven by higher product prices and lower raw material costs [1][4]. - The average selling prices for aluminum alloy products, alumina products, and aluminum alloy processing products increased by 6.6%, 33.6%, and 2.5% respectively, contributing to improved gross margins [1][8]. - The company has adopted an integrated business model that encompasses upstream, midstream, and downstream operations, ensuring stable production and profit margins [3]. - The dividend per share for FY24 was 1.61 HKD, with a dividend payout ratio increasing from 56.0% in FY23 to 73.3% in FY24, resulting in an attractive dividend yield of 10.7% [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY24 revenue reached 156.169 billion RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 16.9% compared to FY23 [5][8]. - Gross profit increased by 101.2% to 42.163 billion RMB, with gross margin improving from 15.7% to 27.0% [8]. - Operating profit rose by 94.8% to 33.299 billion RMB, with net profit after tax increasing by 96.4% to 24.546 billion RMB [8]. Market Demand - The demand for aluminum products is primarily driven by sectors such as construction, electronics, transportation, and durable consumer goods, accounting for approximately 75% of national electrolytic aluminum consumption [2]. - Factors such as ongoing infrastructure development, improvements in the real estate sector, and the growth of the new energy vehicle market are expected to boost aluminum product demand [2]. Business Model - The company's integrated business model includes upstream operations (bauxite, energy, alumina), midstream (electrolytic aluminum), and downstream (aluminum alloy processing), which helps ensure production stability and profit margins [3]. - The utilization of clean energy sources like hydropower and photovoltaics in production lines supports the company's "dual carbon" strategy and cost reduction efforts [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for AIA Group Ltd. with a target price adjusted to HKD 89.00 from the previous HKD 94.00, indicating a potential upside of 43.1% from the current price of HKD 62.20 [3][8][11]. Core Insights - The new business value (NBV) growth remains resilient across various markets, with year-on-year increases of +23% in Hong Kong, +20% in Mainland China, +15% in Thailand, +15% in Singapore, +10% in Malaysia, and +18% in other markets, contributing to an overall expected NBV growth of 14% for 2025 [2][8]. - AIA has announced a new share buyback plan of USD 1.6 billion, which is expected to enhance shareholder returns to approximately 6% [7][8]. - The company's operating profit after tax (OPAT) is projected to grow by 7% year-on-year to USD 6.605 billion in 2024, with a slight increase in earnings per share (EPS) to USD 0.60 [8][9]. Financial Performance - The total market capitalization of AIA Group is approximately HKD 673.75 billion, with an average trading volume of HKD 2.09 billion in March [3]. - The company reported a total NBV of USD 4.712 billion, reflecting an 18% increase year-on-year, although the growth rate in the second half of 2024 is expected to slow down [7][8]. - The operating return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 14.8%, up 1.3 percentage points from the previous year, indicating strong financial health [8][9]. Valuation Metrics - The stock is currently trading at 1.12x FY25E P/EV, which is at the lower end of its historical valuation range, suggesting significant upside potential [8][11]. - The report highlights that the dividend per share is expected to increase by 10% to USD 1.31, with an annual dividend yield of 3.1% [7][8]. - The adjusted target price reflects a valuation based on relative and appraisal methods, with the potential for further upward adjustments as shareholder returns and value growth progress [11][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price based on the last closing price of 4.82 HKD [1][10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 10.07 billion HKD in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.6%, and a net profit of 1.15 billion HKD, also up by 19.5% [4][10]. - The company is expected to expand its "super premium" store format, which is anticipated to contribute additional revenue in 2025 [1][10]. - The company is positioned as the fourth largest domestic sports brand in China, focusing on technology-driven professional sports products and enhancing its competitive edge in children's apparel [8][10]. Financial Performance - Revenue breakdown shows adult footwear and apparel revenue grew by 22% and 15% respectively, while children's footwear and apparel increased by 18% and 23% [5]. - The offline revenue increased by 23% to 7.3 billion HKD, with a total of 8,298 stores by the end of 2024 [5]. - The gross margin improved by 0.4 percentage points to 41.5%, while the net profit margin remained stable at 11.4% [7]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts a sales growth of 10%-15% for 2025, with a gross margin expected to be between 40%-42% [7]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.32 billion HKD, with an estimated earnings per share (EPS) of 0.64 HKD [11][10]. - The company plans to open approximately 100 new "super premium" stores in 2025, enhancing customer shopping experience [6][10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Neutral" rating with a total score of 69 out of 100 [3][14]. Core Insights - The company has a promising pipeline with products that, if approved, could meet significant demand in the Chinese market, particularly for conditions like Pediatric Growth Hormone Deficiency (PGHD) and others [2][6][8]. - The company is positioned as the first endocrine drug manufacturer in the Hong Kong market, which may provide a competitive edge [14]. Industry Outlook - PGHD is prevalent among children under 18, with 41.5% of the total short stature cases in this age group in China. The treatment rate for this condition is currently low at 5.3%, indicating a substantial unmet need [2]. - The company’s product, Lonapegsomatropin, is the first long-acting growth hormone approved in the US and Europe, with expectations for approval in China by 2025 [5][8]. - There is a lack of approved drugs for Achondroplasia in China, with only the company’s Navepegritide and Sanofi's SAR442501 in clinical trials, suggesting a strong first-mover advantage if successful [6]. - For Hypoparathyroidism, the market is expected to grow from 410,100 cases in 2023 to 495,600 by 2030, highlighting a significant demand for effective treatments [7]. Company Operations - The company has not yet launched any products, resulting in no sales revenue. The net loss for shareholders in 2023 was approximately 250 million RMB, a 13.5% decrease year-on-year, primarily due to reduced R&D costs [8]. - The company’s cash flow from operating activities has remained stable, with net cash used in operations of 270 million RMB in 2023 and 100 million RMB in the first half of 2024 [8]. - The company has no bank borrowings, indicating a healthy balance sheet despite the absence of product approvals [8]. Valuation Level - The company’s valuation is considered reasonable, with a market capitalization range of 77.0 to 84.6 billion HKD, slightly lower than comparable companies in the biotech sector [10]. - The price-to-book ratio for the company is projected to be between 18.3 and 20.2 times, which is competitive compared to peers [10]. Market Sentiment - Recent market conditions have improved, with 14 out of 19 newly listed companies experiencing price increases on their first trading day, indicating a favorable environment for new listings [13].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, YouRan Agriculture [5]. Core Views - The report highlights that the raw milk industry is experiencing a cyclical downturn, but a reversal is expected soon due to supply adjustments and increasing demand [4][5]. - YouRan Agriculture is positioned as the leading raw milk supplier in China, benefiting from economies of scale and strong customer relationships, particularly with Yili Group [4][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Characteristics of the Raw Milk Industry - The raw milk industry is characterized by strong cyclicality, typically experiencing price fluctuations every five years, influenced by rigid supply and steadily increasing demand [3]. - Supply rigidity is due to the biological asset characteristics of dairy cows, which require at least 24 months from breeding to milk production, and the geographical concentration of production [3][4]. - High capital barriers exist for new entrants, with significant investment required to establish dairy farms, and strong quality requirements from large dairy enterprises [3][4]. 2. YouRan Agriculture Overview - YouRan Agriculture is the largest raw milk supplier in China, managing nearly 600,000 dairy cows across 96 farms, accounting for 9.7% of the national raw milk output [4]. - The company has a comprehensive supply chain covering breeding, feed, and milk production, achieving a milk yield of 12.6 tons per cow [4]. - In 2023, YouRan sold 12.45 billion yuan worth of raw milk to Yili Group, with a sales price approximately 20% higher than the market average [4]. 3. Raw Milk Price Cycle Characteristics - The current raw milk price cycle has been declining for 42 months since its peak in mid-2021, leading to significant capacity reduction in the industry [4]. - The report anticipates that by the second half of 2025, the raw milk market will reach a supply-demand balance, potentially reversing the price cycle [4][5]. 4. YouRan Agriculture's Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for YouRan's revenue from 2024 to 2026 is 2.086 billion, 2.284 billion, and 2.626 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to turn positive by 2025 [5]. - The report estimates that the company's earnings per share (EPS) will improve from -0.1 yuan in 2024 to 0.6 yuan in 2026, reflecting the anticipated recovery in raw milk prices [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][11][12]. Core Insights - The new business value (NBV) growth shows resilience, with a projected increase of 14% year-on-year for 2025, despite adjustments in economic assumptions due to declining long-term interest rates in mainland China [2][8]. - A new share buyback plan of US$1.6 billion is expected to enhance shareholder returns to approximately 6% [7][8]. - The company's target price is adjusted to HKD 89.00, reflecting a potential upside of 43.1% from the current share price of HKD 62.20 [3][8]. Financial Performance - The company's market capitalization is approximately HKD 673.75 billion, with an average trading volume of HKD 2.09 billion in March [3]. - The NBV growth rates for various markets are as follows: Hong Kong +23%, mainland China +20%, Thailand +15%, Singapore +15%, Malaysia +10%, and other markets +18% [2]. - The operating profit after tax (OPAT) is projected to grow by 7% year-on-year to US$6.605 billion in 2024, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to reach US$0.60 [8][9]. Shareholder Returns - The total shareholder return rate is expected to reach 6% in 2025, combining dividends and share buybacks [7][8]. - The dividend per share is projected to increase by 10% year-on-year to US$1.31, with an annual dividend of US$1.75, reflecting a 9% increase [7][8]. Valuation Metrics - The company is currently trading at 1.12x FY25E P/EV, which is at the lower end of its historical valuation range [8][11]. - The adjusted target price corresponds to a FY25E P/EV of 1.60x, indicating significant upside potential [11][12].

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in FY24 net profit attributable to shareholders, rising by 95.2% to 22.372 billion RMB, driven by higher product prices and lower raw material costs [1][4]. - The average selling prices for aluminum alloy products, alumina products, and aluminum alloy processing products increased by 6.6%, 33.6%, and 2.5% respectively, contributing to improved gross margins [1][8]. - The company has adopted an integrated business model that encompasses upstream, midstream, and downstream operations, ensuring stable production and profit margins [3]. - The dividend per share for FY24 was 1.61 HKD, with the payout ratio increasing from 56.0% in FY23 to 73.3% in FY24, resulting in an attractive dividend yield of 10.7% [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY24 revenue reached 156.169 billion RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 16.9% compared to FY23 [5][8]. - The gross margin improved from 15.7% to 27.0%, supported by rising selling prices and declining raw material costs [1][8]. - Operating profit for FY24 was 33.299 billion RMB, marking a 94.8% increase year-on-year [8]. Market Demand - The demand for aluminum products is primarily driven by sectors such as construction, electronics, transportation, and durable consumer goods, accounting for approximately 75% of national electrolytic aluminum consumption [2]. - Factors such as ongoing infrastructure development, improvements in the real estate sector, and the growth of the new energy vehicle market are expected to boost aluminum product demand [2]. Business Model - The company's integrated business model includes upstream operations (bauxite, energy, alumina), midstream (electrolytic aluminum), and downstream (aluminum alloy processing), which helps ensure production stability and profit margins [3]. - The utilization of clean energy sources like hydropower and photovoltaics in production lines supports the company's "dual carbon" strategy and cost reduction efforts [3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 5.67, indicating a potential upside of 26.3% from the current price of HKD 4.49 [4][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a FY24 net profit of RMB 1.15 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, with a net profit margin of 11.4%, slightly down by 0.4 percentage points from FY23 [1]. - Revenue for FY24 reached RMB 10.07 billion, reflecting a 19.1% year-on-year growth, driven by increases in both adult and children's product sales [1]. - The company plans to expand its store network by adding 124 new outlets in 2024, with a focus on enhancing the shopping experience through the introduction of "super stores" [3]. Financial Performance Summary - FY24 revenue: RMB 10,074 million, up 19.1% from FY23 [5] - FY24 net profit: RMB 1,149 million, up 15.4% from FY23 [5] - FY25 projected revenue: RMB 11,869 million, a 17.8% increase [5] - FY25 projected net profit: RMB 1,332 million, a 16.0% increase [5] - FY24 dividend per share: HKD 0.1, with a payout ratio of 45% [1][5]. Inventory and Cash Flow - As of the end of 2024, inventory rose to RMB 2.11 billion, a 56.2% increase, leading to an increase in inventory turnover days from 93 to 107 days [2]. - Operating cash flow decreased to RMB 56 million due to increased inventory levels [2]. Store Expansion Strategy - The company is set to increase the number of "super stores" from 5 to 100 by the end of 2025, with an expected average store efficiency of RMB 10 million per year [3]. - The product mix in these stores will consist of 30% premium products, 20% off-season products, and 30% cost-effective products [3].