Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group, indicating a positive outlook on the company's future performance [4]. Core Insights - Lenovo Group's revenue for the fiscal year 2024/25 reached 498.5 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.5%, while net profit increased by 36% to 10.4 billion RMB [1]. - The AIPC business segment is experiencing rapid growth, with the device business (IDG) achieving double-digit revenue growth and a 13% increase in Q4 revenue. Lenovo holds the largest global market share in PCs at 23.7%, widening the gap with the second-largest competitor by 3.6 percentage points [2]. - Non-PC business contributions are rising, with the infrastructure solutions group (ISG) generating 104.8 billion RMB in revenue, a 63% year-on-year increase in Q4, marking the second consecutive quarter of profitability. The solutions and services group (SSG) also saw double-digit revenue growth with an operating profit margin exceeding 21% [2]. - Lenovo is advancing its Super Intelligent Agent Matrix, with a 13% increase in R&D investment for the fiscal year, and R&D personnel now account for 27.8% of the workforce, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for Lenovo Group for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028 are estimated at 1.665 billion USD, 1.874 billion USD, and 2.068 billion USD, with respective growth rates of 20%, 13%, and 10%. The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.13, 0.15, and 0.17 USD per share, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 9.20, 8.17, and 7.41 [4][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 3.77, indicating a potential upside of 18.2% from the current price of HKD 3.19 [2][12]. Core Views - The report highlights that the company's coal-fired power price differential is expected to outperform expectations in the first half of the year, and the current dividend yield remains attractive. The target price has been raised due to adjustments in financial forecasts and valuation methods [2][6]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 44,262 million - 2024: RMB 54,213 million (22.5% YoY growth) - 2025E: RMB 55,711 million (2.8% YoY growth) - 2026E: RMB 59,410 million (6.6% YoY growth) - 2027E: RMB 65,201 million (9.7% YoY growth) [5][13] - Net profit estimates are: - 2023: RMB 3,084 million - 2024: RMB 3,862 million (25.3% YoY growth) - 2025E: RMB 4,767 million (23.4% YoY growth) - 2026E: RMB 5,670 million (18.9% YoY growth) - 2027E: RMB 7,395 million (30.4% YoY growth) [5][13]. Operational Performance - The company's total power generation for January to April remained stable, with a slight increase of 0.3% YoY. Wind and solar power generation saw significant increases of 32.1% and 13.6% respectively, while coal power generation decreased by 14.2% due to asset sales [6][7]. - The report notes that the company plans to prioritize wind power projects with good grid connection resources before June, which is expected to support stable growth in overall power generation [6]. Valuation Adjustments - The report adjusts the valuation of the company's hydropower assets to 1.9 times the 2025 estimated book value, up from 1.5 times, leading to an increase in the target price to HKD 3.77 from HKD 3.51 [6][9]. - The report also notes a decrease in fuel costs for the coal-fired segment, which is expected to support profit forecasts [6]. Shareholder Confidence - The parent company has increased its stake in the company, indicating confidence in its future performance. The current dividend yield of 6% for 2025 and 7% for 2026 is considered attractive for investors [6][12].

交银国际研究 1 年股价表现 公司更新 资料来源 : FactSet 5/24 9/24 1/25 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 3690 HK 恒生指数 | 互联网 | 收盘价 | | 目标价 | | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 5 月 27 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 港元 | | 129.40 | 港元 | 165.00↓ | +27.5% | | | 美团 (3690 HK) | | | | | | | 外卖竞争投入加大，看好美团外卖业务运营能力，维持买入 | 财务数据一览 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 年结12月31日 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 收入 (百万人民币) | 276,745 | 337,592 | 388,895 | 436,083 | 472,495 | | 同比增长 (%) | 25.8 | 22.0 | 15.2 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 2025 年 05 月 27 日 潼关黄金（00340.HK） 高品金脉，紫金赋能步入高速成长期 周期/金属及材料 公司 2017 年成功转型为黄金采选冶公司，从潼关出发，2023 年成功布局甘肃 黄金资源，资源禀赋优异，增储增产潜力突出，2025 年引入紫金战略入股，有 望进入高速成长期，充分享受高金价红利。 强烈推荐（首次） 当前股价：1.63 港元 基础数据 | 总股本（百万股） | 4398 | | --- | --- | | 香港股（百万股） | 4398 | | 总市值（十亿港元） | 7.2 | | 香港股市值（十亿港元） | 7.2 | | 每股净资产（港元） | 0.6 | | ROE（TTM） | 8.5 | | 资产负债率 | 43.0% | | 主要股东 | 蒋薇 | | 主要股东持股比例 | 26.98% | 股价表现 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 23 245 178 相对表现 16 223 153 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -100 -50 0 50 May/24 Sep/24 Jan/25 Apr/25 (%) 潼关黄金 恒生指数 相关报 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Meituan-W (03690.HK) [1][3] Core Insights - Meituan's Q1 2025 revenue reached 86.56 billion, representing an 18.1% year-on-year growth, with operating profit at 10.57 billion, up 102.8%, and adjusted net profit at 10.95 billion, increasing by 46.2% [1][6] - The report expresses long-term optimism regarding the company's domestic core business barriers and growth potential, alongside new growth opportunities from overseas expansion [1][6] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2023: 276.85 billion - 2024: 337.59 billion - 2025E: 390.78 billion - 2026E: 451.15 billion - 2027E: 513.08 billion - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 26%, 22%, 16%, 15%, and 14% respectively [2][9] - **Adjusted Net Profit**: - 2023: 23.25 billion - 2024: 43.77 billion - 2025E: 42.79 billion - 2026E: 56.37 billion - 2027E: 70.15 billion - Notable growth of 709% in 2023, followed by 88% in 2024, with a slight decline of 2% expected in 2025 [2][11] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023: 3.79 - 2024: 7.13 - 2025E: 6.97 - 2026E: 9.19 - 2027E: 11.43 [2][11] - **Valuation Ratios**: - P/E (adjusted): 40.8 in 2023, decreasing to 13.5 by 2027 - P/B: 4.9 in 2023, decreasing to 2.3 by 2027 [2][10] Business Segment Performance - **Core Local Business**: - Q1 revenue of 64.32 billion, up 17.8%, with operating profit of 13.49 billion, a 39.1% increase [6] - **New Business**: - Q1 revenue of 22.23 billion, up 19.2%, with an operating loss of 2.27 billion [6] - **Delivery and Flash Purchase**: - Q1 delivery volume growth remained stable despite competitive pressures, with a projected increase in Q2 [6] - **International Expansion**: - Keeta is set to enter the Brazilian market, with a planned investment of 1 billion USD over five years [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba [3] Core Views - Alibaba's core business in e-commerce remains stable and shows positive growth, while its cloud business is entering a high-growth cycle driven by AI demand [7][9] - The company has exceeded expectations in its latest quarterly results, with revenue and adjusted net profit showing significant growth [7][9] Financial Performance Summary - For FY4Q25, Alibaba achieved revenue of 2364.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, slightly below Bloomberg consensus of 2379.1 billion yuan [7] - Adjusted net profit reached 298.5 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year, slightly above the consensus estimate of 298.5 billion yuan [7] - The Taobao Group reported revenue of 1013.7 billion yuan, growing 8.8% year-on-year, and adjusted EBITA of 417.5 billion yuan, up 8.4% [7] - The Cloud Intelligence Group's revenue increased by 17.7% year-on-year to 301.3 billion yuan, with adjusted EBITA growing 69.0% [7] - International digital commerce revenue grew by 22.3% year-on-year to 335.8 billion yuan, while the logistics segment saw a revenue decline of 12.2% [7] Future Outlook - The report forecasts Alibaba's revenue for FY2026-2028 to be 10642 billion yuan, 11748 billion yuan, and 12725 billion yuan respectively, with adjusted net profits of 1696 billion yuan, 1849 billion yuan, and 1955 billion yuan [9][11] - The company is expected to maintain a focus on AI and cloud integration alongside its core e-commerce business, with other segments showing signs of reduced losses [9][11] Valuation - The estimated market value of Alibaba is 30954 billion yuan, corresponding to a target price of 176.86 HKD per share [9][24]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 3.5 HKD, based on a current price of 2.9 HKD [6]. Core Insights - The company is a global metal mining giant focused on upstream metal resources, primarily copper and zinc, with significant operations in Peru, Australia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo [1][14]. - The Las Bambas mine is the main contributor to the company's revenue, accounting for approximately 66.48% of total revenue in 2024, with a strong EBITDA contribution of 77.82% [2][26]. - The company has seen a significant improvement in net profit, reaching 162 million USD in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1699%, driven by strong performance from Las Bambas and the acquisition of the Khoemacau mine [2][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was established in 1988 and has undergone significant transformations, including the acquisition of MMG in 2010 and the Las Bambas mine in 2014, enhancing its resource strength [1][15]. - The company operates five overseas mines, focusing on copper and zinc, and is expanding into nickel with a planned acquisition in Brazil [1][14]. Project Contributions - In 2024, copper products generated 3.308 billion USD in revenue, making up 73.86% of total revenue, with Las Bambas alone contributing 2.978 billion USD [2][29]. - The company expects production from its three main copper projects (Las Bambas, Kinsevere, and Khoemacau) to increase significantly, with total copper production potentially reaching 610,000 tons by 2025 [3][43]. Industry Analysis - The copper market is expected to experience tight supply conditions, with prices likely to rise due to increased demand from traditional and emerging sectors [4][3]. - The report forecasts that the company's net profits will grow significantly in the coming years, with projections of 420 million USD in 2025, 640 million USD in 2026, and 750 million USD in 2027 [4][31].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][14]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 15.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 141.5%, with a net loss of 660 million yuan, significantly narrowing the loss compared to previous quarters. The company expects vehicle sales to reach 524,000, 786,000, and 966,000 units in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding revenues of 97.76 billion, 158.1 billion, and 197.07 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 139.2%, 61.7%, and 24.6% [4][14]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company delivered 94,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 330.8%, with automotive business revenue of 14.37 billion yuan, up 159.2%. The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was 153,000 yuan. The company anticipates Q2 2025 deliveries between 102,000 and 108,000 vehicles, leading to total revenue of 17.5 to 18.7 billion yuan [12][14]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 15.6%, an increase of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year and 1.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The automotive sales gross margin was 10.5%, up 5.0 percentage points year-on-year [13][14]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.2 billion yuan in 2025, 5.99 billion yuan in 2026, and 9.42 billion yuan in 2027. The introduction of high-quality models is anticipated to drive a turning point in sales, while advancements in intelligent driving technology are expected to support a financial turnaround [14][15]. Market Expansion - The company has expanded its sales network to 690 stores across 223 cities and operates 2,115 self-owned charging stations. The upcoming launch of the Mona M03 Max is expected to penetrate the 150,000 yuan price segment, and the company has received over 1,500 pre-orders for the 2025 model X9 in various Asia-Pacific regions [13][14].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 3.5 HKD, based on a current price of 2.9 HKD [6]. Core Views - The company is a global metal mining giant focusing on upstream metal resources, with significant operations in copper and zinc, and has recently expanded into nickel [1][14]. - The Las Bambas mine is the primary contributor to the company's revenue, accounting for approximately 66.48% of total revenue in 2024, with a strong EBITDA contribution of 77.82% [2][26]. - The company has shown a significant recovery in 2024, with a net profit of 162 million USD, a year-on-year increase of 1699%, driven by strong performance from Las Bambas and the acquisition of the Khoemacau mine [2][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, headquartered in Melbourne, Australia, operates five overseas mines and has a strong focus on copper, zinc, and nickel production [1][14]. - The company has undergone significant transformations since its establishment, including the acquisition of MMG in 2010 and the Las Bambas mine in 2014, enhancing its resource strength [1][15]. Project Developments - The company operates three major copper projects: Las Bambas, Kinsevere, and Khoemacau, with Las Bambas expected to produce between 360,000 to 400,000 tons of copper in 2025 [3][47]. - The Kinsevere project is transitioning from oxide to sulfide ore, with production expected to increase from 45,000 tons in 2024 to between 63,000 to 69,000 tons in 2025 [3]. - The Khoemacau mine, acquired in 2024, is projected to produce 31,000 tons of copper in 2024 and increase to between 43,000 to 53,000 tons in 2025 [3]. Industry Analysis - The copper market is expected to experience tight supply and increasing prices due to rising production costs and strong demand from traditional and emerging sectors [4]. - The report anticipates that the company's financial structure will benefit from rising copper prices, with projected net profits of 420 million USD, 640 million USD, and 750 million USD for 2025-2027, respectively [4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 4.479 billion USD, with copper products contributing 3.308 billion USD, representing 73.86% of total revenue [2][29]. - The company's debt-to-asset ratio improved to 58.1% by the end of 2024, with a continuous decline in loan size from 8.13 billion USD in 2018 to 4.629 billion USD in 2024 [31][32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group (0992.HK) [1] Core Insights - Lenovo Group's basic business operations are strong, with all main business segments achieving double-digit year-on-year growth in FY2025, and a net profit increase of 37% [6][9] - The company is accelerating the implementation of hybrid artificial intelligence, which is expected to enhance overall performance and market competitiveness [9] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - For FY2025, Lenovo Group reported revenue of approximately $69.077 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.41%, and a net profit of approximately $1.384 billion, up 37.01% [5][6] - In FY2025Q4, revenue was about $16.984 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 22.50%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.64% [5][6] Business Segments - **Intelligent Devices Group (IDG)**: Achieved revenue of $51 billion in FY2025, a 13% increase, with an operating profit margin of 7.2%, leading the industry [6][7] - **Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG)**: Revenue reached $15 billion, a significant 63% increase, with the second half of the fiscal year turning profitable [7] - **Solutions and Services Group (SSG)**: Generated revenue of approximately $8.5 billion, a 13% increase, with operating profit reaching a record high of $1.8 billion, up 15% [7] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 are $76.370 billion, $82.733 billion, and $87.208 billion respectively, with non-HKFRS net profits projected at $1.601 billion, $1.874 billion, and $2.218 billion [9][10] - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in performance as AI functionalities penetrate the PC and mobile markets [9]