Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for the first quarter was RMB 248,564,203, a decrease of 6.21% compared to RMB 265,011,337 in the same period last year[6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 6,025,119, down 19.46% from RMB 7,481,215 year-on-year[6] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was RMB 5,553,117, reflecting a decline of 22.54% from RMB 7,168,617 in the previous year[6] - The basic and diluted earnings per share were both RMB 0.245, a decrease of 15.22% from RMB 0.289[6] - The weighted average return on equity was 1.96%, down from 2.50% year-on-year[6] - Total operating revenue for Q1 2025 was RMB 249.28 billion, a decrease of 6.5% compared to RMB 265.65 billion in Q1 2024[33] - Net profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 6.56 billion, down 18.3% from RMB 8.03 billion in Q1 2024[34] - Operating profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 7.85 billion, a decline of 20% from RMB 9.81 billion in Q1 2024[33] - The company reported a total comprehensive income of RMB 6.38 billion for Q1 2025, compared to RMB 7.95 billion in Q1 2024[35] - Total comprehensive income for Q1 2025 was 1,645,636 thousand RMB, up from 899,645 thousand RMB in Q1 2024, marking an increase of approximately 83.0%[46] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were RMB 2,272,225,394, an increase of 0.70% from RMB 2,256,413,630 at the end of the previous year[8] - Total assets as of March 31, 2025, amounted to RMB 2.27 trillion, an increase from RMB 2.26 trillion at the end of 2024[31] - Total liabilities as of March 31, 2025, were RMB 1.76 trillion, compared to RMB 1.75 trillion at the end of 2024[31] - Total liabilities decreased to CNY 213,438,807 from CNY 241,294,650, reflecting a reduction of 11.5%[42] Shareholder Information - The total number of ordinary shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 467,991[13] - The largest shareholder, China Railway Engineering Group Co., Ltd., holds 46.98% of the shares, totaling 11,623,119,890 shares[14] - The largest shareholder, China Railway Engineering Group Co., Ltd., holds 11.459 billion shares of RMB ordinary shares[21] Cash Flow - The net cash flow from operating activities was RMB -77,399,254, compared to RMB -68,065,449 in the same period last year[6] - In Q1 2025, cash inflow from operating activities was CNY 237,632,328, a decrease of 10.6% from CNY 265,972,677 in Q1 2024[37] - Cash outflow from operating activities totaled CNY 315,031,582, down 5.7% from CNY 334,038,126 in the previous year[37] - Cash inflow from investment activities was CNY 7,504,328, significantly higher than CNY 3,078,835 in Q1 2024, marking a 144.5% increase[38] - Cash outflow from investment activities increased to CNY 18,268,761 from CNY 15,689,011, representing a 16.4% rise[38] - The net cash flow from investment activities was -CNY 10,764,433, an improvement from -CNY 12,610,175 in the same quarter last year[38] - Cash inflow from financing activities reached CNY 68,011,381, up 27.5% from CNY 53,358,828 in Q1 2024[38] - The net cash flow from financing activities was CNY 28,687,962, a decrease of 20.5% compared to CNY 36,071,534 in Q1 2024[38] Contract Information - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a new contract amount of RMB 560.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.9%[20] - Domestic business new contracts amounted to RMB 494.4 billion, down 13.6% year-on-year, while overseas contracts increased by 33.4% to RMB 65.7 billion[23] - The company has a total of 72.341 trillion RMB in uncompleted contracts, reflecting a 5.1% increase from the previous year[20] Research and Development - Research and development expenses for Q1 2025 were RMB 3.15 billion, a decrease of 9.2% from RMB 3.47 billion in Q1 2024[33] - Research and development expenses for Q1 2025 were 358 thousand RMB, a decrease from 1,319 thousand RMB in Q1 2024, indicating a reduction in R&D investment[45] Profitability Metrics - The comprehensive gross profit margin was 8.61%, a decrease of 0.12 percentage points compared to the previous year[24] - Infrastructure construction revenue was RMB 216.796 billion, down 7.99% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 7.13%[25] - The company reported a significant increase in asset management revenue, which rose by 123.7% to RMB 26.96 billion[23] - Investment income for Q1 2025 significantly rose to 2,114,490 thousand RMB from 364,453 thousand RMB in Q1 2024, showing a substantial increase of about 480.5%[45] - The company incurred financial expenses of 754,042 thousand RMB in Q1 2025, down from 794,873 thousand RMB in Q1 2024, reflecting a decrease of approximately 5.1%[45]

Mergers and Acquisitions - Zhongguangtianze plans to acquire 100% equity of Changsha Sports Industry Company for 29.6 million yuan, constituting a related party transaction [1] Earnings Disclosure - JinkoSolar reported a revenue of 13.843 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 40.03%, with a net loss of 1.39 billion yuan compared to a net profit of 1.176 billion yuan in the same period last year [2] - Zhongjin Gold reported a revenue of 14.859 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.88%, with a net profit of 1.038 billion yuan, up 32.65% year-on-year [3] - Northern Rare Earth achieved a revenue of 9.287 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 61.19%, with a net profit of 431 million yuan, up 727.3% year-on-year [4] - Kweichow Moutai reported a revenue of 50.601 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.54%, with a net profit of 26.847 billion yuan, up 11.56% year-on-year [5] Share Buybacks - Shanjin International plans to repurchase shares with a total amount between 100 million and 200 million yuan at a price not exceeding 29.7 yuan per share [6] - Sichuan Road and Bridge plans to repurchase shares with a total amount between 100 million and 200 million yuan at a price not exceeding 12.54 yuan per share [7] - China Railway plans to repurchase shares with a total amount between 800 million and 1.6 billion yuan at a price not exceeding 8.5 yuan per share [8] - Anhui Construction's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company with a total amount not exceeding 200 million yuan [9][10] Risk Matters - Chuangxing Resources' stock will be subject to delisting risk warning starting May 6, 2025, due to negative net profit for the fiscal year 2024 [11] - Yong'an Pharmaceutical clarified that rumors regarding a significant price increase of taurine are untrue [12] - *ST Xulan's stock will be delisted on April 30, 2025, as decided by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [13] - Dawi Technology's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% of the company's total shares due to personal financial needs [14]

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the performance and potential of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China, particularly in the context of ongoing reforms and the integration of artificial intelligence in operations, which may enhance their competitiveness and market performance [2][4]. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the National Enterprise Win-Win ETF (159719) decreased by 0.47%, with a latest price of 1.48 yuan. Over the past week, it has seen a cumulative increase of 0.54% [1]. - The National Enterprise Win-Win ETF had a turnover of 1.2% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 2.3576 million yuan. The average daily transaction volume over the past year was 17.9394 million yuan [1]. - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) increased by 0.43%, with a latest price of 1.16 yuan. Over the past year, it has accumulated a rise of 13.72% [4]. Group 2: Index and Component Stocks - The National Enterprise Win-Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win-Win Index, which consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong. The top ten constituent stocks are predominantly "China National" stocks [4][6]. - The top ten stocks in the index include China Petroleum, China Petrochemical, China Construction, and China Mobile, with respective weightings of 15.58%, 12.33%, and 8.89% [6]. - The Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) saw a slight increase of 0.06%, with notable performers including Keda Manufacturing and Weigao Medical, which rose by 6.95% and 4.54%, respectively [4]. Group 3: Policy and Market Outlook - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is actively promoting the "AI+" initiative, focusing on integrating artificial intelligence into enterprise operations to enhance efficiency [1]. - According to Galaxy Securities, SOEs are expected to play a crucial role in China's modernization process, with ongoing reforms aimed at improving core competitiveness and operational efficiency [2]. - The market-oriented operational mechanisms of SOEs are being refined, with plans to implement performance adjustments and exit strategies for underperforming entities by 2025, which may lead to improved profitability [2].

Core Points - The completion of the world's tallest hotel, the Dubai Blue Sky Hotel, marks a significant achievement for China Railway 18th Bureau, showcasing China's construction capabilities in the Middle East [1][3] - China's investment in infrastructure projects in the Middle East has reached several hundred billion dollars, with a notable increase in contracts from 2013 to 2017, tripling from $18.46 billion to $55.66 billion [3][4] - The Middle East's wealth from oil exports provides a strong financial foundation for infrastructure development, making it an ideal market for Chinese construction companies [4][22] Demand - The Middle East, holding 60% of the world's oil reserves, has transformed from nomadic tribes to modern wealthy nations in a few decades [5] - In 2023, Saudi Aramco's revenue reached $440 billion, contributing 40% to Saudi Arabia's GDP, while Abu Dhabi contributed 68% to the UAE's GDP with a total income of $310 billion [6] - The region's population growth and economic development are driving significant infrastructure demand, with a population exceeding 500 million and a 6% annual growth rate [9][10] Advantages - Chinese construction companies have become the largest contractors in the Middle East, holding a 40% market share since 2022, supported by their technological strength and competitive pricing [11][22] - The Chinese construction industry has a strong foundation due to government support and rapid industrial growth, leading to a significant presence in global markets [12][17] - China's construction costs are typically 40% to 60% lower than those in other regions, with project timelines being 60% to 70% shorter, enhancing competitiveness [17] Market Trends - Middle Eastern countries have set ambitious infrastructure development goals, with Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 plan aiming for $1.1 trillion in investments and the UAE planning to allocate 46% of its budget to infrastructure by 2025 [10][22] - The shift in global energy consumption patterns poses a challenge to the oil-dependent economies of the Middle East, prompting a diversification of their economic structures towards infrastructure, renewable energy, and high-end manufacturing [6][19] Conclusion - The journey of Chinese infrastructure in the Middle East began in 2009 with the Mecca Light Rail project, gradually building trust and reputation through high-quality and efficient project delivery [23] - As more projects are executed, the influence of Chinese construction firms in the Middle East and globally is expected to grow, positioning the region as a critical hub for international expansion [23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 15.61 [6][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 23.9 billion in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.5%, and an operating profit of HKD 3.96 billion, up 10.8% year-on-year [1][2]. - New contract signing amounted to HKD 50.5 billion in Q1 2025, a decline of 29.1% year-on-year, primarily due to a high base effect from a significant project in Q1 2024 [1][2]. - Excluding the impact of the major project, the year-on-year growth in new contracts would be 59%, with a compound annual growth rate of 10.2% from Q1 2023 to Q1 2025 [2]. Revenue Breakdown - In Q1 2025, revenue from technology-driven, investment-driven, construction, and operations segments were HKD 4.8 billion, HKD 11.4 billion, HKD 6.2 billion, and HKD 0.5 billion respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 22%, 5%, -9%, and 11% [2]. - The contribution of technology-driven revenue increased to 20% of total revenue, while construction revenue accounted for 26% [2]. Market Opportunities - The construction of the Northern Metropolis in Hong Kong is expected to boost engineering expenditures, with average annual spending projected to rise from HKD 90 billion to HKD 120 billion over the next five years [3]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from urban renewal initiatives in mainland China, leveraging its MiC technology for efficient and sustainable construction [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is HKD 10.31 billion, HKD 11.17 billion, and HKD 12.05 billion respectively [4][19]. - The company is valued at a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 8x for 2025, with a target price of HKD 15.61 based on this valuation [4][19].

Group 1 - The National Enterprise Win ETF (159719) has seen a recent increase of 0.54%, with a latest price of 1.49 yuan, and a cumulative increase of 1.58% over the past two weeks as of April 25, 2025 [1][3] - The ETF has a turnover rate of 1.98% and an average daily trading volume of 17.98 million yuan over the past year, indicating strong liquidity [1] - The management fee for the ETF is 0.25% and the custody fee is 0.05%, making it the lowest among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasized the importance of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China's economy during a recent seminar, highlighting the need for theoretical research to address significant practical issues [1] - Analysts from Huafu Securities believe that in 2025, central SOEs may benefit from debt reduction and mergers and acquisitions, as well as from insurance capital entering the market and valuation restructuring opportunities [1] Group 3 - The CSI Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) has decreased by 0.82%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - The top-performing stocks include Dazhenglin (603233) with a rise of 5.70% and Gree Electric (000651) with an increase of 3.07%, while the worst performers include Oppein Home (603833) down 5.62% [3] - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) has also seen a decline of 0.69%, with a latest price of 1.15 yuan [3] Group 4 - The National Enterprise Win ETF closely tracks the FTSE China National Enterprise Open Win Index, which consists of 100 constituent stocks, including 80 A-share companies and 20 Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong [3] - The top ten constituent stocks of the index are predominantly state-owned enterprises, including China Petroleum, China Petrochemical, and China Construction [3][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market-B" for the construction industry [9] Core Insights - The fiscal policy for 2025 is expected to be more proactive, with an emphasis on increasing deficits and expanding the issuance of special bonds, which will support steady growth in infrastructure investment [10][12] - The approval of 10 new nuclear power units indicates a positive trend in the nuclear power sector, with a total investment expected to exceed 200 billion yuan [4][18] - The construction industry is anticipated to benefit from improved government investment and debt resolution measures, leading to a marginal improvement in the industry's fundamentals [3][10] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The political bureau meeting on April 25 emphasized the need for proactive macro policies, including the timely introduction of incremental reserve policies and enhanced counter-cyclical adjustments [3][16] - Infrastructure investment is expected to accelerate, driven by increased domestic demand and government support for local government debt issuance [3][17] Market Performance - The construction sector saw a weekly increase of 0.76%, underperforming the Shenzhen Composite Index but outperforming the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite Index [20] - The chemical engineering sector performed notably well with a weekly increase of 5.34% [20] Company Announcements - The report highlights significant contract wins, including China Energy Construction winning a project worth approximately 5.118 billion yuan [33] - The report also notes the financial performance of various companies, with some showing substantial year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit [34][35] Key Focus Stocks - The report suggests focusing on undervalued construction state-owned enterprises such as China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway Construction, which are expected to benefit from improved financial metrics and market conditions [10][11][12] - It also recommends attention to construction design firms and international engineering service providers that are expanding their overseas presence [11][12]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑装饰 建筑装饰行业跟踪周报 政策定调积极，期待进一步增量政策 2025 年 04 月 27 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] （2）财政部下达水利发展资金 471 亿元，聚焦保安全惠民生促发展加 力支持水利建设：资金聚焦三个方向，重点支持包括中小河流治理、 山洪沟治理和水利工程维修养护，农村供水和农业节水，以及地下水 超采区生态补水、幸福河湖建设和水土保持整县推进工作。财政发力 重点支持水利领域，有望支撑水利投资延续快速增长，利好相关工程 和材料企业。 ◼ 周观点：（1）政治局会议指出要强化底线思维，充分备足预案，要加 紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，根据形势变化及时推出增量储备政 策，加强超常规逆周期调节，面对外部冲击影响，定调更加积极，利 好基建地产链条景气度企稳回升。一季度经济开门红，基建投资累计 同比增速 5.8%，财政发力支持下基建投资延续景气态势。增量的财政 政策支持和融资端的改善对投资端和实物量的效果将逐渐显现，同时 扩内需预期增强，基建投资和重点区域建设有望政策加码。我们建议 关注估值仍处历史低位、业绩稳健的基建龙 ...

免责 声 明 近日，由申万宏源主承销的"中国中铁股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发 行科技创新可续期公司债券(第二期)"成功发行，品种一和品种二发行规模分别为12.5 亿元、12.5亿元，期限为3+N、5+N年期，票面利率为2.10%、2.16%。本期债券品种 一和品种二均创中国中铁同期限永续债券票面利率历史新低。 本内容最终解释权归申万宏源证券有限公司所有。 作为科技部、国务院国资委和中华全国总工会授予的全国首批"创新型企业"，中国 中铁在从事铁路、公路、城市轨道交通等领域专用施工机械的制造与研发方面处于国内 乃至世界领先地位，在科技创新实力、核心技术优势、生产制造水平、品牌知名度等方 面竞争力突出。中国中铁是全球领先的盾构机/TBM研发制造商，是全球领先的道岔和 桥梁钢结构制造商、国内领先的铁路专用施工设备制造商、世界领先的基础设施建设服 务型装备制造商。中国中铁研发制造的隧道掘进机、隧道机械化专用设备、工程施工机 械、道岔、钢桥梁等产品市场需求充盈稳定，相关产品市占率持续保持行业领先。旗下 控股子公司中铁工业（股票代码600528.SH）是我国铁路基建装备领域产品最全、A股 主板唯一主营轨道交通 ...