北京时间1月28日早间，伦敦金现一度冲破5200美元/盎司，连续8个交易日上涨，继续创历史新高。 特朗普再度干预美联储政策预期，黄金继续创历史新高，市场对降息路径的博弈叠加地缘风险，推动黄金持续走强；与此同时，中国国有大行同步上调黄 金积存业务门槛，反映金融体系正对高波动资产进行风险重估。 周二（1月27日），美国总统特朗普再度表态，他表示，美联储主席上任后利率将下降。他还表示，他很快就会宣布美联储主席人选。 黄金ETF与机构配置持续升温 金价持续走强的背景下，黄金相关主题ETF（交易型开放式指数基金）成资金追捧焦点，吸金能力突出。据Wind数据，当前市场上共有20只黄金主题ETF 产品，其中14只为黄金ETF、6只为黄金股ETF。 世界黄金协会此前表示，2025年金价共计53次刷新历史纪录，推动全球投资者以前所未有的资金规模配置实物黄金ETF，北美地区为主要驱动力；全年的 全球黄金ETF流入规模激增至890亿美元，资产管理总规模（AUM）增长至5590亿美元，双双刷新历史纪录。总持仓攀升至4025吨的历史峰值。 银行收紧黄金积存业务门槛 1月26日，农业银行在官网发布关于存金通黄金积存业务增加风险承受能力测 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicates that the public fund's heavy stockholding data for Q4 2025 shows a continued low preference for the banking sector, despite ongoing interest in state-owned and joint-stock banks [1] Group 1: Active Fund Holdings - The proportion of active funds underweight in the banking sector has increased, with a current underweight ratio of 8.88%, up by 0.5 percentage points [1] - The total market value of active fund holdings in banks is 30.545 billion yuan, reflecting a 1.52% increase quarter-on-quarter, with a holding ratio of 1.88%, up by 0.07 percentage points, remaining at a near five-year low [1] - The rankings of bank holdings among active funds show state-owned banks at 0.31%, joint-stock banks at 0.61%, city commercial banks at 0.77%, and rural commercial banks at 0.19%, with state-owned banks seeing a notable increase of 0.08 percentage points [1][2] Group 2: Passive Fund Holdings - The total market value of passive fund holdings in banks is 110.423 billion yuan, with a holding ratio of 7%, up by 1.56 percentage points, ranking 6th among the Shenwan first-level industries [3] - The holding ratios for state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks are 0.88%, 5.63%, 0.42%, and 0.08%, respectively, all showing increases, particularly joint-stock banks which rose by 1.37 percentage points [3] Group 3: Northbound Capital Flows - Northbound capital has seen a slight net outflow from the banking sector, with total holdings amounting to 177.26 billion yuan, up by 2.06%, and a holding ratio of 6.85%, increasing by 0.12 percentage points [4] - The net outflow from the banking sector was 5.08 billion yuan, with notable net purchases in banks such as China Merchants Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and Ningbo Bank, amounting to 4.356 billion, 1.419 billion, and 1.344 billion yuan, respectively [4]

Core Viewpoint - The current deposit market is experiencing significant changes, with varying interest rates across different banks, leading consumers to reconsider where to place their savings [1][3]. Group 1: Traditional Deposit Rates - Major state-owned banks like Industrial, Agricultural, China, and Construction Bank offer a mainstream one-year fixed deposit rate of around 0.95% [1]. - In contrast, some local small and medium-sized banks, such as certain rural commercial banks, are offering more attractive rates, with some providing one-year rates of 1.35% or higher for deposits of 50,000 or 200,000 yuan [1]. Group 2: Considerations for High-Interest Rates - Consumers are advised to clarify how long the "high interest rate" will last, as some banks may offer these rates as short-term promotions or limited-time activities [3]. - The cost of early withdrawal should be understood, as most fixed deposits will revert to the current account interest rate if withdrawn before maturity [3]. - Safety is a crucial factor; deposits in legally established banks in China are insured, with a coverage limit of 500,000 yuan per bank, not per account [3]. Group 3: Digital Currency Developments - Starting from January 1, digital RMB wallets have transitioned from being merely "digital cash" to "digital deposit currency," allowing users to earn interest on funds held in these wallets [5]. - This change enhances the convenience of using digital RMB for payments while also enabling users to earn interest without needing to transfer funds to a bank account, effectively integrating payment and savings [5]. Group 4: Smart Decision-Making Tips - It is essential to ensure that any bank offering higher interest rates is a legitimate and licensed institution, identifiable by the blue "deposit insurance" sign at their branches [7]. - Diversifying deposits is recommended; consumers should avoid placing all funds into long-term fixed deposits and consider splitting their savings into different terms for flexibility [7]. - Reviewing contracts carefully before signing is crucial, focusing on key details such as interest rates, terms, and early withdrawal conditions [7].

Core Insights - The banking sector is undergoing a significant structural transformation in physical branch networks due to the rise of fintech and increasing industry competition [1][2] - In 2025, over 11,000 bank branches were approved for closure, while more than 8,400 new branches were established, indicating a shift from "scale expansion" to "value enhancement" [1][2] Group 1: Branch Closures - The trend of branch closures has accelerated, with over 11,000 branches approved to cease operations in 2025, a significant increase from 2,483 in 2024 [2][3] - Nearly 8,000 of the closures were commercial bank branches, marking a record high for branch exits in recent years [2][3] - The closures are driven by deep digital transformation and the need for banks to adapt their operational strategies [2][3] Group 2: New Branch Openings - In 2025, a total of 8,548 new bank branches were established, surpassing the number of closures [4] - The focus has shifted towards optimizing branch structures, with an emphasis on enhancing coverage in county areas and aligning with rural revitalization and inclusive finance strategies [4][5] Group 3: Efficiency and Value Creation - The transformation of bank branches aims to enhance service quality and redefine their roles, moving from mere transaction processing to value creation [6][7] - Banks are increasingly integrating technology into their branch operations, with a focus on creating specialized branches for sectors like technology finance, green finance, and elder finance [6][7] - The future of physical bank branches is expected to involve a redefined role rather than complete elimination, emphasizing the need for a hybrid approach that combines online and offline services [7]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has announced an extension for the exchange period of the 2026 Year of the Horse commemorative coins and notes, with various regions extending the deadline to early February 2026 to accommodate public demand [1][2][3]. Group 1: Exchange Period and Regions - The nationwide unified exchange period for the 2026 Year of the Horse commemorative coins and notes is set from January 20 to January 26, 2026 [2]. - Regions such as Beijing, Ningxia, Shenzhen, Chongqing, Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, and Shanxi have extended the exchange deadline, with some areas allowing exchanges until February 2, 2026 [1][2][3]. Group 2: Bank Participation and Procedures - Major banks including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), China Construction Bank (CCB), and Bank of Communications have issued announcements regarding the extension and exchange rules [3][4]. - Customers who successfully reserved the commemorative coins and notes but did not exchange them during the initial period can now do so from January 27 to January 31, 2026, at their designated bank branches [4][3]. Group 3: Current Exchange Status - As of January 25, 2026, the exchange progress for the 2026 Year of the Horse commemorative coins was 80.8%, with 80.8 million coins reserved, while the commemorative notes had a progress of 89.47% with 89.45 million notes reserved [7]. - Specific regions reported varying exchange rates, with Beijing achieving a 95.34% exchange rate for coins and 98.02% for notes by January 26, 2026 [7]. Group 4: Market Trends - The secondary market for the commemorative coins and notes has seen a decline in prices, with many sellers reducing their asking prices below 1,000 yuan, contrasting with previous high prices [8][12]. - However, the price for sequentially numbered commemorative notes has increased, with some listings showing prices that have doubled compared to their face value [14].

| .HSIADR 恒生指数ADR | | --- | | 27133.89 ↑ +6.94 +0.03% - 收盘价 01/27 16:00 美东 | | ■ 可 可 可 中 可 中 | | 最高价 27190.23 开盘价 27190.23 成交量 3858.63万 | | 最低价 27051.22 昨收价 27126.95 平均价 27120.72 | | 52周最高 27275.90上 涨 -- 平 智 -- | | 52周最低 19335.70 下 跌 -- 振 幅 0.51% | | 800000 恒生指数 27126.95 +361.43 +1.35% | 智通财经APP获悉，周二，美股三大指数涨跌不一。恒生指数ADR上涨，按比例计算，收报27133.89点，较香港收市升6.94点或0.03%。 大型蓝筹股涨跌不一，汇丰控股收报138.036港元，较香港收市涨2.63%；腾讯控股收报608.989港元，较香港收市涨0.33%。 | 序号 | 名称 | 港股代码 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | ADR代码 | ADR换算价(HKD) | 较港股升跌 较活 | | --- | --- | - ...

● 本报记者 吴玉华 港股大额回购频现 分析人士认为，上市公司回购释放出一个重要积极信号，有助于维护公司价值。在流动性持续宽裕的背 景下，投资者风险偏好有望回暖，港股有望震荡上行。 从2026年以来港股上市公司回购金额来看，腾讯控股、小米集团-W、舜宇光学科技、吉利汽车、泡泡 玛特、巨子生物、先声药业、快手-W、百胜中国、百融云-W位居前十，回购金额分别为63.58亿港元、 23.90亿港元、8.69亿港元、5.60亿港元、3.48亿港元、1.40亿港元、1.26亿港元、1.00亿港元、0.85亿港 元、0.83亿港元。从行业分布情况来看，其中既有腾讯控股、快手-W这样的互联网科技公司，也有吉 利汽车、泡泡玛特这样的非必需性消费公司，还有巨子生物、先声药业这样的生物医药公司。 从回购金额最大的腾讯控股来看，2026年以来，腾讯控股在10个交易日出现回购，每个交易日的回购金 额均超过6.3亿港元，保持了持续稳定的回购态势。 业内人士认为，对于投资者而言，上市公司回购是一个重要的积极信号，往往体现公司对盈利能力增长 和盈利质量改善的信心，有助于维护公司价值；同时也能够向投资者释放积极信号，提振投资者对上市 公司后 ...

2026年伊始，全球金融市场风起云涌，黄金市场更是波澜壮阔。在这样的大背景下，国内黄金零售市场也呈现出一番独特的景象。 一、足金饰品价格高企，品牌溢价凸显 二、国际金价震荡，零售端"易涨难跌" 国际现货黄金在经历了令人瞩目的上涨，一度突破4958美元/盎司的历史高位后，受到地缘政治紧张局势有所缓和的影响，金价回落至4800美元关口附近震 荡。国内市场上，上海黄金交易所AU9999的报价也在1100元/克附近波动。然而，这种国际金价的波动在零售端的体现却并不明显。各大金店的足金饰品挂 牌价格依然坚挺，维持在历史高位。这主要是因为饰品金的价格构成中，除了金价本身，还包含了高额的加工费和品牌溢价。相比于投资类金条，饰品金的 价格对国际金价的敏感度较低，呈现出"易涨难跌"的特点。因此，投资者需要警惕"价格锚点"的错位，理性看待饰品金的保值功能。 三、三大因素驱动黄金"长牛" 黄金此轮上涨并非无源之水，而是受到了全球宏观环境深刻变化的影响。其背后的核心驱动力主要体现在以下三个方面： 地缘政治风险激增，避险需求井喷：2026年初，全球安全形势复杂严峻，大西洋两岸贸易摩擦不断，中东、东欧地区冲突频发。在动荡的国际局势下，黄 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent adjustments by major state-owned banks in China, including Agricultural Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, to increase the risk assessment requirements for gold accumulation business reflect a proactive approach to risk management in response to rising gold prices and market volatility [1][2]. Group 1: Changes in Risk Assessment Requirements - Agricultural Bank of China announced that starting January 30, 2026, personal clients must undergo a risk assessment to participate in its gold accumulation business, requiring a cautious rating or higher [1]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China previously set a requirement for clients to achieve a balanced rating or higher for opening accounts and initiating gold accumulation plans [1]. Group 2: Rationale Behind the Changes - The increase in risk assessment requirements aims to protect investors from irrational investment risks and to comply with regulatory demands for investor suitability management [2]. - The adjustments are seen as a rational risk control measure by financial institutions, reinforcing investor protection and reducing potential complaints related to price volatility [2]. Group 3: Market Positioning of Gold Accumulation Products - Some banks, like China Merchants Bank, are positioning their gold accumulation products as medium-risk investments, indicating a shift from low-threshold financial products to those requiring appropriate risk tolerance [3]. - The industry is moving towards enhancing the quality of gold accumulation business rather than merely expanding its scale, emphasizing the need for risk matching and compliance management [3].

据了解，多家银行个人抵押经营贷年化利率已下探至"2字头"区间，与此同时，经营贷的授信额度、贷 款期限及产品灵活度也同步优化。 经营贷利率处于低位 工商银行北京市某支行信贷经理对记者表示，目前该行个人抵押经营贷年化利率区间已调整为2.31%至 2.61%，贷款额度最高可达1000万元。 多家国有大行的信贷经理表示，在客户资质、抵押物条件符合要求的情况下，抵押类经营贷年化利率普 遍可达到"2字头"；对综合贡献度较高的存量优质客户，实际执行年化利率仍有下探空间。 "经营贷利率大幅下行的影响广泛深远。对小微企业而言，尤其是餐饮、文化、数字绿色等享受财政贴 息的领域，融资成本下降缓解了经营压力，有效激发了其贷款与投资意愿；从宏观层面看，低成本资金 的注入有助于稳定实体预期，为经济复苏与结构优化提供金融支撑。"薛洪言表示。 薛洪言认为，这一趋势也给市场带来多重挑战。经营贷规模扩张加剧银行净息差压力，中小银行盈利空 间受挤压。在低利率环境下推进业务，银行需警惕多重风险。首要风险为信用风险，非理性价格竞争可 能导致银行放松客户准入与贷后管理，埋下资产质量隐患；合规与操作风险尤为突出，资金违规挪用将 会引发监管处罚与声誉损失； ...