Group 1 - The company Guodian Power announced a change in its audit report project partner for the year 2025 from Guo Shunxi to Sun Nianshao [2] - The signing registered accountant has been changed from Sun Nianshao to Wen Zhe [2] - Yan Baorui will serve as the quality control reviewer, while Lixin Accounting Firm will continue to perform the relevant audit work [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, recommending various companies within these industries for investment opportunities [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that China's total electricity consumption is projected to exceed 10 trillion kWh in 2025, reaching 10.4 trillion kWh, with a year-on-year growth of 5% [7][8]. - The growth in electricity consumption is driven primarily by the secondary and tertiary industries, which together contribute nearly 80% of the total increase in electricity demand [8]. - The report notes significant growth in electricity consumption from high-end manufacturing, digital economy, and new infrastructure projects, such as charging stations and 5G base stations, which are expected to see growth rates exceeding 30% [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity Sector - In 2025, the total electricity consumption is expected to reach 10.4 trillion kWh, with a 5% year-on-year increase. The first, second, and third industries, along with urban and rural residential electricity consumption, are projected to grow by 9.9%, 3.7%, 8.2%, and 6.3% respectively [7][9]. - The second industry remains the largest consumer of electricity, contributing 48% to the growth, while the third industry contributes 31% [9][13]. - The report recommends investments in coal-fired power companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian, as well as large hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment [15][16]. 2. Gas Sector - The report indicates that colder temperatures are expected to increase heating demand, leading to a rebound in gas prices across Europe and Asia. As of January 16, the Henry Hub spot price was $3.06/mmBtu, with a weekly increase of 6.77% [17][24]. - The report highlights that European gas prices have surged due to low inventory levels and increased heating demand, with the TTF spot price reaching €38.10/MWh, up 31.38% week-on-week [17][24]. - Recommendations include investing in integrated gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, as well as gas trading companies like New Hope and New Energy [38]. 3. Market Performance - The report notes that the public utility, power, and environmental sectors outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the week of January 12 to January 16, 2026 [40]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent initiatives in various provinces aim to enhance green energy and environmental standards, including the establishment of green mining standards in Guangxi and guidelines for industrial microgrid construction [46][47]. - The report also mentions significant corporate announcements, including mergers and acquisitions in the energy sector, which may impact market dynamics [50].

Group 1 - The core view of the report emphasizes the acceleration of utility sector transformation, highlighting the increasing value of dividends [1] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the utility sector, consistent with previous ratings [3] - The report indicates that the utility sector has outperformed the market, with a relative performance increase of 30% from January 2025 to January 2026 [4] Group 2 - Electricity demand growth is expected to continue, driven by industrial transformation, with significant contributions from wind and solar power [17] - The report notes that from January to November 2025, wind and solar power accounted for 86.2% of the total electricity generation increase, indicating a strong shift towards renewable energy sources [17][18] - The structure of electricity consumption is shifting from secondary industry to tertiary industry and residential use, with the tertiary sector expected to account for 50.2% of the total electricity consumption increase by 2025 [17] Group 3 - The report highlights that the cash flow of thermal power companies is improving, with a potential increase in dividend payouts [17] - It suggests that the transition towards utility-like operations in thermal power is accelerating, with companies like Huaneng International Power and Huadian International Power showing strong performance and dividend management [17] - The report indicates that the capacity price for coal-fired power is expected to rise in 2026, which could enhance profitability [17] Group 4 - Hydropower is expected to benefit from high reservoir levels, ensuring stable electricity generation during dry seasons, with companies like Changjiang Electric Power showing promising performance [17] - The report emphasizes the importance of asset securitization in hydropower, with ongoing projects expected to enhance growth potential [17] - The report also notes that long-term interest rates remain low, which could further enhance the attractiveness of hydropower investments [17] Group 5 - The report discusses the challenges faced by green energy, particularly in terms of pricing and profitability, but anticipates improvements driven by policy changes [17] - Nuclear power is expected to see accelerated approvals and market-driven pricing, which could enhance its competitiveness [17] - The report highlights the need for a focus on demand recovery in the gas sector, with companies like Jiufeng Energy positioned to benefit from cost improvements [17] Group 6 - The report recommends specific stocks within the utility sector, including Huaneng International Power, Huadian International Power, and Changjiang Electric Power, based on their strong performance and dividend potential [17] - It also highlights the potential of gas companies like Jiufeng Energy and renewable energy firms like Longyuan Power and Fuyuan Co., which are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions [17] - The report suggests that the utility sector is entering a phase of increased dividend value, making it an attractive investment opportunity [17]

证券代码：600795 证券简称：国电电力 公告编号：临2026-02 国电电力发展股份有限公司 关于年审会计师事务所变更2025年度审计 报告项目合伙人及签字注册会计师的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承 担法律责任。 国电电力发展股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 14 日召开八届三十六次董事会，审议通过《关于续聘公司 2025 年 度财务报告审计机构及内部控制审计机构的议案》，同意续聘立信会 计师事务所（特殊普通合伙）（以下简称"立信会计师事务所"）为 公司 2025 年度财务报告审计机构与内部控制审计机构，该议案已经 公司 2024 年年度股东大会审议通过。具体内容详见公司于 2025 年 4 月 16 日、2025 年 5 月 14 日在上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn） 上发布的《关于续聘公司 2025 年度财务报告审计机构及内部控制审 计机构的公告》（公告编号：临 2025-13）、《2024 年年度股东大会 决议公告》（公告编号：临 2025-19）。 孙念韶先生，权 ...

Market Performance - The public utility sector increased by 0.1% as of January 16, outperforming the broader market, with the electricity sector rising by 0.20% and the gas sector declining by 1.17% [2][8]. Electricity Industry Data Tracking - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port rose by 1 CNY/ton week-on-week, reaching 697 CNY/ton as of January 16. Meanwhile, Indonesian coal prices fell by 5.71 CNY/ton to 735.71 CNY/ton, and Australian coal prices decreased by 6.53 CNY/ton to 740.51 CNY/ton [3]. - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port increased by 150,000 tons week-on-week, totaling 5.5 million tons as of January 16. Inland power plants' daily coal consumption rose by 96,000 tons/day to 4.147 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 2.37% [3]. - The outflow from the Three Gorges Dam increased by 19.22% year-on-year and 23.55% week-on-week, reaching 9,180 cubic meters/second as of January 16 [4]. Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in Shanghai was 3,854 CNY/ton as of January 15, showing a week-on-week increase of 1.29% but a year-on-year decrease of 13.53% [5]. - The European TTF spot price rose by 18.6% week-on-week to 11.4 USD/million BTU, while the US HH spot price increased by 2.8% to 2.95 USD/million BTU [5]. - Domestic natural gas consumption in November was 36.280 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, with production at 21.880 billion cubic meters, up 5.9% year-on-year [6]. Key Industry News - The State Grid Corporation plans to invest 4 trillion CNY in fixed assets during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan, focusing on green transformation and enhancing grid functionality [7]. - Multiple provinces have highlighted natural gas as a key strategic energy source in their 14th Five-Year Plans, emphasizing its role in connecting traditional and new energy systems without setting consumption caps [7]. Investment Recommendations - The electricity sector is expected to see profit improvements and value reassessment due to ongoing supply-demand tensions, with a focus on coal power companies like Guodian Power and Huaneng International [8]. - The natural gas sector is anticipated to benefit from stable margins in city gas businesses and opportunities for traders with low-cost long-term gas sources [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the public utility sector [6] Core Insights - The report highlights a 5% year-on-year increase in total electricity consumption for 2025, with significant growth in various sectors, including a 9.9% increase in the primary industry and an 8.2% increase in the tertiary industry [2][11] - The National Grid announced a fixed asset investment plan of 4 trillion yuan for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, marking a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, aimed at building a new power system [3][11] - The report emphasizes the importance of digitalization in the power sector and suggests focusing on companies involved in power digitalization, such as State Grid Information Communication and Longxin Group [3] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The SW public utility sector rose by 0.06% this week, ranking 13th among 31 SW primary sectors, while the sub-sectors showed mixed performance with thermal power up by 0.35% and hydropower down by 1.76% [30] - Domestic and imported coal prices showed divergent trends, with domestic coal prices rising and imported coal prices declining [12][19] Key Events - The National Energy Administration released data indicating a 5% year-on-year increase in total electricity consumption for 2025, with notable contributions from the tertiary sector and urban residents [2][11] - The report notes that the average electricity price in Guangdong and Shanxi has increased year-on-year, while the monthly agent purchase electricity costs are on the rise due to increased capacity prices [13][14] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that the results of annual long-term contracts for thermal power are expected to be reasonable, with significant improvements in profitability for national thermal power operators [4] - The green electricity sector is anticipated to undergo valuation recovery due to policy support and increased subsidies, with recommendations to focus on companies like Longyuan Power and Datang Renewable [4] - The report indicates that while the electricity supply-demand situation remains loose, there is still a need for thermal and green power investments to match overall investment returns [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the green electricity sector, with the National Green Power Index rising by 1.36% and key stocks like Lushou Technology and Huayin Power showing significant gains [1] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the State Grid's fixed asset investment is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan, a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, focusing on new power system construction and smart grid infrastructure [1] - The government is increasing support for the energy storage sector, with plans for pilot projects and significant capacity targets, indicating a robust demand for large-scale energy storage in the domestic market [1] Group 2 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Green Power Index account for 54.68% of the index, including major players like China Nuclear Power and Three Gorges Energy [2] - The Green Power ETF (159625) closely tracks the National Green Power Index, providing an accessible investment tool for exposure to the performance of green electricity-related companies [2] - Investors can also leverage the corresponding Green Power ETF linked fund (017057) to capitalize on investment opportunities in the sector [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Viewpoints - The recent adjustment in the stock price of Changjiang Electric is attributed to short-term capital behavior rather than fundamental factors, with a significant weekly decline of 2.82%, marking the largest drop since 2025 [2][8] - The company's performance remains robust, with a projected revenue of 85.882 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.65%, and a net profit of 34.167 billion yuan, up 5.14% [8][64] - The current dividend yield is at a historical high compared to the ten-year government bond yield, suggesting a strong dividend value and investment opportunity [9][19] Summary by Sections Company Performance - Changjiang Electric's total power generation from its six hydropower stations is expected to reach approximately 307.194 billion kWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.82%, with a notable 19.93% growth in the fourth quarter [8] - The company has a high dividend payout commitment of at least 70% for the period from 2026 to 2030, reinforcing its stable dividend yield [9][19] Market Dynamics - The stock has experienced significant capital outflows, with a net outflow of 949 million yuan this week, the highest since March 2025, influenced by market sentiment and bond market pressures [8] - The company is expected to play a stabilizing role in the market as a core heavyweight stock during periods of rising risk appetite [2][8] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on low-positioning opportunities following the recent adjustments, as the fundamental value of Changjiang Electric remains solid [9] - Recommendations include quality transformation thermal power operators such as Huaneng International, Datang Power, and Guodian Power, as well as hydropower companies like Changjiang Electric and Guotou Power [9]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" with an expectation of an increase exceeding 15% over the next 3-6 months [4]. Core Insights - In 2025, China's total electricity consumption is projected to exceed 10 trillion kWh for the first time, validating the trend of transformation in electricity generation and consumption [1]. - The growth rates for various sectors in 2025 are expected to be 9.9% for primary industry, 3.7% for secondary industry, 8.2% for tertiary industry, and 6.3% for residential use, with significant growth in services related to charging and information transmission [1]. - The contribution of the tertiary industry and residential sectors to the overall electricity consumption growth is 49%, indicating a shift from high-energy manufacturing to emerging industries [1]. - The report highlights a slowdown in installed capacity growth for renewable energy, with significant progress in subsidy recovery for solar and wind energy [2]. - The capital operations in the sector are accelerating, with a focus on asset integration among large state-owned enterprises, which presents investment opportunities [3]. Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in China is expected to reach 10.37 trillion kWh in 2025, marking a 5.0% year-on-year increase [1]. - The growth in December showed a lower-than-expected increase due to higher temperatures, but future cold waves may boost demand [1]. Installed Capacity and Subsidies - Installed capacity growth for wind and solar energy has slowed, with notable figures for new installations in 2025 [2]. - Solar energy subsidies have increased significantly, with a recovery of 3.152 billion yuan, up 155.64% year-on-year [2]. Capital Operations and Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on the integration of assets among large state-owned enterprises, which may enhance investment value in the sector [3]. - Companies like Guikuan Electric Power and Huaneng International Power are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their strategic asset acquisitions and market positioning [3].

国网计划"十五五"投资固定资产 4 万亿元，多省明确天然气关键战略能源定位 【】【】[Table_Industry] 公用事业—电力天然气周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 1 月 18 日 15666646523.tcy 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 公用事业 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 邮 箱：lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 化工行业： 唐婵玉 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500525050001 邮 箱：tangchanyu@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 国网计划"十五五"投资固定资产 4 万亿元，多省 明确天然气关键战略能源定位 2026 年 1 月 18 日 ...