Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the real estate market policies are continuously tightening, creating investment opportunities in building materials. Recent policies from the central bank and local governments aim to support home purchases and improve safety in construction sites, indicating a shift towards a balanced supply-demand dynamic in the real estate market [3][4] - Recommended stocks in the consumer building materials sector include Sankeshu (channel penetration and retail expansion), Dongfang Yuhong (waterproof leader with optimized operational structure), Weixing New Materials (high-quality operations with a significant retail business), and Jianlang Wujin. Beneficiary stocks include Beixin Building Materials (gypsum board leader with diversified expansion in coatings and waterproof sectors) [3] - The report also notes that the National Development and Reform Commission has issued a plan for energy conservation and carbon reduction in the cement industry, aiming to control cement clinker capacity to around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025, which is expected to accelerate the iteration of energy-saving and efficient equipment [3][4] Market Performance - The building materials index increased by 2.41% in the week from June 23 to June 27, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.95%, resulting in a 0.46 percentage point advantage [4][13] - Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index has risen by 0.88%, while the building materials index has decreased by 3.79%, indicating a 4.67 percentage point underperformance [4][13] - In the past year, the CSI 300 index has increased by 13.29%, while the building materials index has only risen by 7.19%, showing a 6.11 percentage point underperformance [4][13] Cement Sector - As of June 27, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 284.72 yuan/ton, a decrease of 4.47% month-on-month. The price trends varied by region, with Northeast China seeing a significant drop of 21.95% [6][24] - The clinker inventory ratio reached 69.36%, an increase of 1.27 percentage points from the previous month [6][25] Glass Sector - The report indicates that the spot price of float glass as of June 27, 2025, was 1200.53 yuan/ton, reflecting a slight increase of 0.13%. The inventory of float glass decreased by 2.51%, with a total of 59 million weight boxes [6][75] - The average price of photovoltaic glass was 120.70 yuan/weight box, down by 3.44% [6][78] Fiberglass Sector - The report notes that the price of fiberglass remains stable, with various types of fiberglass priced between 3400 to 6600 yuan/ton depending on the type and region [6][3] Consumer Building Materials - The report tracks the prices of key raw materials for consumer building materials, noting slight fluctuations. For instance, the price of asphalt remained stable at 4520 yuan/ton, while the price of acrylic acid increased by 1.87% to 6825 yuan/ton [6][3]

Group 1: AH Premium Rate Overview - The AH premium index reached a five-year low on June 11, 2025, down over 10% compared to the end of 2024[4] - The AH premium rate measures the price difference between A-shares and H-shares of the same company, reflecting liquidity, investor structure, and tax policy differences[6] - Historical analysis shows that the AH premium rate has generally favored A-shares, but there have been periods where H-shares traded at a premium[9] Group 2: Historical Changes and Influencing Factors - The opening of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect in late 2014 expanded foreign investment channels, impacting the flow of funds into Hong Kong stocks[7] - From 2019 to 2020, the AH premium rate increased due to changes in foreign investment preferences and a slowdown in capital inflows[8] - Specific sectors, such as financials and consumer staples, have seen varying premium rates, with some H-shares trading at a premium during certain periods[63] Group 3: Current Market Dynamics - Recent trends indicate that the Hong Kong market is experiencing a surge in liquidity, driven by a weaker US dollar and increased demand for Hong Kong dollars[19] - The influx of southbound funds has significantly increased since May 2025, contributing to the current market dynamics[23] - The report suggests that the current AH premium may not be a reliable timing indicator for investing in Hong Kong stocks due to its limited representation of the broader market[60]

Core Viewpoint - The demand for the calcium carbonate industry in China is on the rise, with consumption expected to grow from 27.55 million tons in 2019 to 32 million tons by 2024, driven by downstream market needs [1][15]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Calcium carbonate, primarily in the form of limestone, is widely used in construction, chemical, environmental protection, metallurgy, and agriculture [1][15]. - The calcium carbonate industry has a complete supply chain in China, covering mining, processing, and application development [8][10]. Group 2: Production and Demand - The production of calcium carbonate is projected to reach 28 million tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.44% [13]. - The increase in infrastructure projects has led to a higher demand for cement and limestone products, boosting the production of calcium carbonate [13][15]. Group 3: Resource Distribution - China has abundant calcium carbonate resources, with significant deposits located in provinces such as Gansu and Anhui, where high-quality reserves are found [11][12]. - Gansu's Huoqiangou-Dilangba mining area has a total resource reserve of over 2.26 billion tons, making it the largest single calcium carbonate deposit in the country [11]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The calcium carbonate market in China features a diverse competitive landscape, including large state-owned enterprises and numerous small to medium-sized companies [17]. - Key players in the industry include Southeast New Materials Co., Jiangsu Qunxin Powder Technology Co., and others [18][20]. Group 5: Industry Trends - The industry is expected to see an expansion in production capacity as companies invest in modern mining projects and production line upgrades [22]. - Market concentration is anticipated to increase, with larger companies gaining market share through mergers and resource integration, while smaller firms focus on niche markets [23]. - Environmental pressures are prompting companies to adopt cleaner production methods and improve resource utilization efficiency [24].

Group 1 - XD Conch Cement (600585) closed at 21.44 CNY on June 27, 2025, down 1.15% from 21.69 CNY the previous week, with a market cap of 113.617 billion CNY, ranking 1st in the cement sector and 121st among all A-shares [1] - The highest intraday price for XD Conch Cement was 22.3 CNY on June 26, 2025, while the lowest was 21.35 CNY on June 27, 2025 [1] - The company provided a guarantee of 10 million CNY for its subsidiary, Fujian Sanming Haizhong Environmental Protection, with no other guarantees provided to this subsidiary [1] Group 2 - Sanming Haizhong Environmental Protection signed a loan agreement with Industrial Bank Sanming Branch for 10 million CNY, with a one-year term, and received a full joint liability guarantee from Anhui Haizhong Environmental Protection [2] - As of December 31, 2024, Sanming Haizhong Environmental Protection had total assets of 61.33 million CNY, total liabilities of 12.31 million CNY, and net assets of 49.02 million CNY, with an operating income of 15.74 million CNY and a net profit of 1.27 million CNY for the year [2] - The total amount of external guarantees provided by the company and its subsidiaries was 838 million CNY, representing 0.45% of the audited net assets attributable to the parent company for the fiscal year 2024 [2]

编者按：6月26日，美银证券发布中国基础材料深度研究报告《2025 年下半年展望：龙头应保持领先地 位》，下半年的基本展望是：对铜 > 黄金 > 合金持乐观态度；对锂、多晶硅等持悲观态度。 由于卡莫阿 - 卡库拉铜矿、智利产量在长期供应中受限，TC/RC（加工费 / 精炼费）为负，可能导致生 产削减。伦敦金属交易所（LME）的中国库存处于低位，强劲的电网投资（占铜需求的 40% 以上）以 及欧盟需求可能反弹，应能抵消太阳能装机放缓（约占中国铜需求的 3%）以及美国高库存的影响。 在美银的报告中，首选是黄金，其次是铝 / 铜，对多晶硅、焦煤和锂最为看空。 在 2025 年下半年，美银预计：1）房地产需求疲软将持续；2）电动汽车销量同比增速环比走弱（下半 年增速为十几 %，而前 5 个月为 44%）；3）2025 年第四季度 - 2026 年上半年家电需求负增长；4）太 阳能装机量同比下降 30%。不过，电网投资应会强劲。 美银预计龙头将继续领先，落后者将进一步落后。 在上半年黄金大幅上涨且美银对太阳能表示担忧后，美银对铜最为乐观，对太阳能材料最为悲观。 因此，美银将信义光能的评级从买入下调至中性，将洛阳钼业（C ...

首席联合电话会 - 周期专场 20250618 摘要 房地产市场呈现优质供给驱动销售的特点，整体销售量受优质供给影响 显著。尽管房企促销手段多样，但难以有效提升非优质产品的销售，市 场企稳回升时间尚不明确。 短期内，房地产板块存在 7 月份潜在博弈机会，预计三季度或有房地产 政策出台，并可能与其他金融政策配合。推荐关注绿城中国、越秀地产、 建发和滨江等估值偏低的优质标的。 2025 年 5 月基建投资增速放缓，财政支出对基建支持有限，专项债发 行进度滞后但全年额度预计用完，特别国债开始发行。下半年专项债应 用将带来工作量提升。 顺周期标的如鸿路钢构、金工、中国巨石、雨虹防水和三棵树估值已达 安全水平，可左侧布局。央企如中国建筑、隧道股份、四川路桥及水泥 企业塔牌集团、海螺水泥、华新水泥可作为配置选择。 有色金属板块中，贵金属方面长期看好黄金，短期宏观风险或致金价震 荡，关注紫金矿业、湖南黄金及山东黄金。工业金属方面，铜铝价格震 荡，关注五矿资源及宏发股份的扩产速度。 Q&A 房地产市场的当前状况如何？未来的投资机会在哪里？ 从基本面来看，房地产市场仍然由供给驱动。我们在重庆、成都、深圳和广州 等城市的调研显示 ...

Group 1 - Western Cement (02233) opened over 5% higher, currently up 5.04% at HKD 1.46, with a trading volume of HKD 5.1596 million [1] - The company announced plans to sell its companies and assets in Xinjiang on June 24, 2025, with multiple transactions involving different buyers and sellers [1] - Transaction A involves the sale of equity for RMB 398 million, Transaction B for RMB 161.5 million, Transaction C for RMB 920.5 million, and Transaction D for RMB 170 million, all subject to adjustments [1] Group 2 - The target companies are wholly-owned subsidiaries of Seller A, primarily engaged in the manufacturing and sales of cement and related products, as well as waste management services [2] - The assets for sale were acquired and built between 2011 and 2020 and have positively contributed to the group's profitability in recent years [2] - The board believes that the net proceeds from the sale will be better utilized to repay part of the company's issued preferred notes (interest rate of 4.95%) and to release operating cash flow to support expansion projects, particularly in Africa [2]

Group 1 - The stock price of Conch Cement (600585) closed at 22.09 yuan on June 25, 2025, with an increase of 0.55% and a turnover rate of 0.42% [1] - The trading volume was 169,900 shares, with a total transaction amount of 374 million yuan [1] - On June 25, the net inflow of main funds was 7.27 million yuan, accounting for 1.94% of the total transaction amount [2][4] Group 2 - Conch Cement announced a guarantee implementation progress, providing a guarantee of 10 million yuan for its subsidiary, Fujian Sanming Haizhong Environmental Technology Co., Ltd. [2][4] - The guarantee is within the approved limit of 1.85965 billion yuan for 20 subsidiaries [2] - As of December 31, 2024, Sanming Haizhong Environmental had total assets of 61.33 million yuan and total liabilities of 12.31 million yuan [2]

重要内容提示： ● 被担保人名称：福建三明海中环保科技有限责任公司（以下简称"三明海中 环保"），为安徽海螺水泥股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）附属公司。 ● 担保金额及已实际为其提供的担保余额：本次由本公司附属公司安徽海中环 保有限责任公司（以下简称"安徽海中环保"）为三明海中环保提供担保，担保金 额为人民币 1,000 万元。截止本公告披露日，除本次担保外，本公司及附属公司未向 三明海中环保提供其他担保。 ● 担保是否有反担保：无 三明海中环保与兴业银行股份有限公司三明分行（以下简称"兴业银行三明分 行"）签订了借款金额为人民币 1,000 万元的借款合同，借款期限为 1 年。同时，安 徽海中环保与兴业银行三明分行签订了保证合同，为上述借款提供全额连带责任保 证。 股票简称：海螺水泥 股票代码：600585 公告编号：临 2025-21 安徽海螺水泥股份有限公司 Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 本公司分别于 2025 年 3 月 24 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Western Cement, is undergoing a series of asset sales to focus on overseas market expansion, particularly in Africa and Central Asia, while reallocating financial and management resources to strengthen its financial position and support ongoing expansion plans [4][6][7]. Group 1: Transactions Overview - Transaction A involves the sale of all equity interests in target companies for a consideration of RMB 398 million [1] - Transaction B entails the sale of assets for RMB 161.5 million, with the buyer establishing a joint venture in Xinjiang [1][2] - Transaction C involves the sale of assets for RMB 920.5 million, with a similar joint venture structure in Xinjiang [1][2] - Transaction D includes the sale of assets for RMB 170 million, also establishing a joint venture in Xinjiang [1][3] Group 2: Company Operations and Market Position - The company primarily engages in the manufacturing and sales of cement and related products, with a total cement production capacity of 27 million tons in China as of December 31, 2024 [4] - The company has expanded its operations to include overseas markets, with a total cement production capacity of 12.3 million tons outside China, including significant capacities in Ethiopia and Uzbekistan [5] - The company is a leading cement producer in Shaanxi province, holding a strong market position in the eastern and southern markets of the province [4] Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Strategy - The company’s overseas markets contributed approximately 38% of total revenue, despite only accounting for 20% of total sales volume, indicating higher profitability in these regions [6] - The average gross profit per ton in Africa and Uzbekistan significantly exceeds that of China, with figures of RMB 323 and RMB 64 respectively, compared to RMB 42 in China [6] - The company aims to utilize proceeds from the asset sales to repay part of its outstanding preferred notes and to enhance operational cash flow for further expansion, particularly in Africa [7]