行 业 及 产 业 房地产 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 2026 年 02 月 25 日 楼市改善趋势下政策放松加码，更彰显维稳房 价的目标和决心 看好 ——上海 225 楼市新政点评 事件： ⚫ 2026 年 2 月 25 日，上海市住房城乡建设管理委、市房屋管理局、市财政局、市税务局、 市公积金管理中心等五部门联合印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策的通知》，其 中：1）优化限购：缩短非沪籍居民购买外环内住房所需缴纳社保或个税年限。对非本市 户籍居民家庭或成年单身人士购买外环内住房的，购房所需缴纳社会保险或个人所得税的 年限，调整为购房之日前连续缴纳满 1 年及以上。符合条件非沪籍居民可在外环内增购 1 套住房。符合条件的持《上海市居住证》群体可在本市购买住房。2）优化住房公积金贷 款政策。3）完善个人住房房产税政策。 点评： 证券分析师 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 相关研究 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@sws ...

Group 1 - The real estate sector in both Hong Kong and A-shares saw significant gains on February 25, with notable increases in stock prices for major companies such as Country Garden, CIFI Holdings, and Longfor Group [2] - In the A-share market, companies like Hualian Holdings and Chengdu Investment Holdings experienced substantial price increases, with Hualian reaching the daily limit [2] Group 2 - The recent surge in the real estate market is attributed to multiple positive signals, including new policies from the Shanghai government aimed at optimizing real estate regulations, effective from February 26, 2026 [3] - Key policy changes include reducing housing purchase restrictions, increasing the maximum loan amount for first-time homebuyers to 2.4 million, and tax exemptions for first-time home purchases by adult children [3] - The Shanghai government’s new policies are expected to lower purchasing costs and stimulate housing demand, contributing to a balanced supply-demand relationship in the market [3] - During the Spring Festival, real estate companies actively promoted sales, with many projects offering discounts and special deals, which helped to build momentum for the market [3] Group 3 - According to a report from the China Index Academy, there are signs of recovery in the real estate market, with significant increases in new home transactions in Shanghai compared to last year [4] - The report highlights that while there are still disparities in market performance across different cities, the overall trend indicates a potential recovery, particularly in Shanghai and certain second-tier cities [4] - The introduction of policies aimed at stabilizing the market is expected to enhance market expectations and contribute to a more favorable environment for real estate transactions [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share real estate sector is experiencing a significant rebound, driven by government policies and promotional activities aimed at stimulating housing demand [1][2] Policy Support - The central government has continued to implement supportive measures for the real estate market, including tax rebates for housing exchanges and maintaining low mortgage rates [1] - Local governments are actively canceling purchase restrictions, lowering down payments, providing home purchase subsidies, and promoting trade-in programs, creating a robust support framework for market recovery [1] Market Performance - Core cities are seeing a rebound in second-hand home transactions, with new home promotions leading to increased visits and sales, indicating a reduction in market hesitation [1] - The real estate market is shifting from a downward trend to a stabilization phase, with structural recovery observed, particularly in first-tier and strong second-tier cities, while third and fourth-tier cities focus on inventory reduction [1] Real Estate Stocks - The recent rise in real estate stocks is attributed to a combination of policy expectations and valuation recovery, with industry risks gradually easing and signs of improvement in sales [1] - The undervalued real estate sector is regaining investor attention as the market shows signs of recovery [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The new "Hushiqiao" policy issued on February 25, 2026, represents a significant enhancement over the previous 2024 policy, aiming to systematically lower the barriers to home purchasing, enhance purchasing power, and reduce replacement costs to better meet rigid and improvement housing demands [1][2] - The policy is expected to stimulate short-term demand release, boost market confidence, and increase activity, particularly through the relaxation of purchasing qualifications in the outer ring, which may lead to a resurgence in both second-hand and new home transactions during the "small spring" period [1][2] - Structural impacts are anticipated, with core areas and improvement products benefiting the most, as the relaxation of purchase restrictions is likely to support price stability and liquidity in central urban areas and mature suburban districts [2] - The policy will facilitate market circulation and repair the "sell one buy one" replacement chain, targeting improvement customers through relaxed public housing loan recognition and property tax exemptions, thus promoting a healthy linkage between the first and second-hand housing markets [2] Summary by Sections Policy Comparison - The 2026 policy significantly reduces the social security duration required for non-local buyers in the outer ring from "5 years" to "1 year" and allows eligible non-local buyers to purchase an additional property [5] - The new policy introduces a housing purchase channel for holders of residence permits who have held them for over 5 years, allowing them to buy one property citywide without needing social security or tax proof [5] Credit and Public Fund Policies - The new policy raises the maximum public fund loan limit for first-time buyers from 1.6 million to 2.4 million, with potential increases up to 3.24 million for families with multiple children [6] - It optimizes the recognition of loan counts, allowing families with settled public fund loans and owning one or fewer properties to apply for public fund loans again [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: 1. **Elasticity Priority** - Local state-owned enterprises and real estate companies that will directly benefit from the recovery of regional market activity, with high business concentration and maximum performance and valuation elasticity [3] 2. **Stable Leaders** - Resource-based real estate companies with a strong brand presence and quality land reserves in Shanghai, expected to benefit from overall market recovery and accelerated new home sales [3] 3. **Valuation Recovery** - National real estate companies with strong operations, as the policy is expected to improve overall industry expectations and drive valuation recovery for quality firms [3]

2月25日，上海市住建委、房管局、财政局、税务局、公积金管理中心等五部门联合印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策的通知》，此次新政从限 购政策调减、公积金政策优化和房产税政策完善"三箭齐发"，涉及7项具体内容，简称"沪七条"。上海放松住房限购，持居住证满5年可买房 受此消息影响，A股和港股房地产板块表现强劲。 截至当天收盘，A股市场方面，我爱我家（000560）、华联控股（000036）、城投控股（600649）涨停，珠江股份（600684）、特发服务（300917）、京 投发展（600683）等上涨超过5%。华夏幸福（600340）、绿地控股（600606）、陆家嘴、金地集团（600383）跟涨。 | 皇庭国际 | 2.30 | 10.05% | 0.00% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000056.SZ | | | | | 我爱我家 | 3.62 | 10.03% | 0.00% | | 000560.SZ | | | | | 城投控股 | 5.63 | 9.96% | 0.00% | | 600649.SH | | | | | 华联控股 | 6.07 | 9.96% | ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent introduction of the "Shanghai Seven Measures" has significantly boosted the stock prices of real estate companies in both Hong Kong and A-shares, indicating a positive market reaction to the new policies aimed at easing property purchase restrictions [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On February 25, real estate stocks in Hong Kong saw substantial gains, with notable increases such as 7.41% for Heung Kong Holdings and 6.45% for Country Garden [1]. - A-shares also performed well, with the real estate sector rising by 2.11%, highlighted by a 9.96% increase for Chengdu Investment Holdings [1]. - The market's early response to the "Shanghai Seven Measures" was influenced by prior speculation and a recovery in the second-hand housing market in January [1]. Group 2: Policy Impact - The "Shanghai Seven Measures" are seen as a significant step in promoting demand and consumption in the real estate sector, aligning with broader economic goals for 2026 [2]. - The recent land auction in Guangzhou set a new record for land prices, indicating strong competition among major developers and reflecting positive sentiment in the real estate market [2]. Group 3: Market Trends - The emergence of a new land price record in Guangzhou is expected to positively influence market expectations and stimulate demand for luxury properties [3]. - Recent data shows a slight recovery in both new and second-hand housing transactions, with a notable increase in online property searches during the Spring Festival [4]. - The overall housing price decline has slowed, with January data indicating a 0.5% decrease, the smallest since August 2025, suggesting a potential stabilization in the market [4].

Market Performance - The market opened high on February 25, with a slight pullback in the afternoon before rising again, leading to the ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index both increasing by over 1% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.46 trillion yuan, an increase of 260.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.72%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.29%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.41% by the end of the trading day [1] Sector Movements - The market saw rapid rotation of hot sectors, with over 3,700 stocks rising, including 101 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] - The phosphate chemical sector experienced a surge, with stocks like Chengxing Co., Liuguo Chemical, and Hebang Bio achieving consecutive limit-ups [1] - The rare earth permanent magnet concept continued to rise, with Zhongce Co. and Baogang Co. hitting the limit [1] - The lithium mining sector also strengthened, with Dazhong Mining hitting the limit [1] - The semiconductor industry chain was active, with Youyan Silicon and Helin Micro hitting the 20% limit [1] - The real estate sector showed strong performance, with I Love My Home and Urban Investment Holdings hitting the limit [1] Limit-Up Stocks - A total of 75 stocks hit the limit today (excluding ST and delisted stocks), with 18 stocks achieving consecutive limit-ups [1] - Key stocks included YN Holdings with five consecutive limit-ups, Hanlan Co. in the power grid equipment sector with four consecutive limit-ups, and Jiangtong Equipment in the rare earth permanent magnet sector with four limit-ups in five days [1] Price Trends - Recent price increases have been observed in tungsten, rare earths, and dyes [13] - The international price of phosphate fertilizer has surpassed $700 per ton following the U.S. designation of key herbicides as strategic materials [13] - The demand for semiconductor chips is rising, with Shenghe Crystal Micro's IPO approved to raise 4.8 billion yuan for advanced packaging projects [13] - The demand for computing hardware is surging, leading to supply imbalances and continuous price increases in various sub-products like optical fibers and glass fibers [13]

编辑|段炼 杜恒峰 校对|何小桃 | | 影视传媒 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 901.75,-0.65% | | | | | 新闻 大V | 成分 资金 | | | | | 博纳影业 | | 10.34 | -10.01% | 0.00% | | SZ001330 | | | | | | 横店影视 | | | | | | SH603103 | | 28.27 | -10.00% | 0.00% | | 市值龙头10 | | | | | | 中国电影 | | | | | | SH600977 | | 15.32 | -8.26% | +0.39% | | 市值龙头5 | | | | | | 果麦文化 | | 43.05 | -6.62% | -0.02% | | 创 SZ301052 | | | | | | 光线传媒 | | | | | | 创 SZ300251 | | 20.62 | -5.33% | +0.29% | | 业绩龙头1 市值龙头 1 | | | | | 2月25日，A股三大指数全线飘红。截至收盘沪指涨0.72%，深成指涨1.29%， ...

消息面上，上海发布楼市"沪七条"，符合条件非沪籍居民可在外环内增购1套住房；持《上海市居住证》满5年及以上群体可在本市购买住房。 影视股再跌，博纳影业、横店影视2连跌停，中国电影跌超8%，光线传媒跌超5%。 | | 影视传媒 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 901.75,-0.65% | | | | | 新闻 大V | 成分 资金 | | | | | 博纳影业 | | 10.34 | -10.01% | 0.00% | | SZ001330 | | | | | | 横店影视 | | | | | | SH603103 | | 28.27 | -10.00% | 0.00% | | 市值龙头10 | | | | | | 中国电影 | | | | | | SH600977 | | 15.32 | -8.26% | +0.39% | | 市值龙头5 | | | | | | 果麦文化 | | 43.05 | -6.62% | -0.02% | | 创 SZ301052 | | | | | | 光线传媒 | | | | | | 创 SZ300251 | | 20.6 ...

Market Performance - The A-share market opened high and continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.72% and the ChiNext Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and Sci-Tech Innovation Index all rising over 1% [1] - More than 3,700 stocks in the market rose, with 101 stocks hitting the daily limit, marking over two consecutive days of more than 100 stocks reaching the limit [1] Rare Earth Sector - The rare earth permanent magnet concept saw a significant surge, with stocks like Northern Rare Earth (600111), China Rare Earth (600259), and others hitting the daily limit [1] - Prices of rare earth products increased significantly, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide averaging 882,000 CNY/ton, up 41,600 CNY/ton; neodymium metal at 1,036,700 CNY/ton, up 31,700 CNY/ton; dysprosium oxide at 1,622,900 CNY/ton, up 170,000 CNY/ton; and terbium oxide at 6,438,000 CNY/ton, up 118,000 CNY/ton [1] Basic Metals Sector - The basic metals sector experienced a surge, with stocks like Feilihua (300395) rising over 18%, and several others hitting the daily limit [1] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry saw an expanded upward trend, with stocks like Youyan Silicon (20cm) hitting the daily limit and others like Fuchuang Precision and Jiangfeng Electronics rising over 10% [2] Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector showed a strong performance, with stocks like Aerospace Development (000547) hitting the daily limit and others like Keshun Co. rising over 14% [2] - Blue Arrow Aerospace announced plans for a recovery test of its reusable rocket in the second quarter of this year [2] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector performed strongly, with stocks like I Love My Home (000560) and City Investment Holdings (600649) hitting the daily limit [2] - New policies were announced in Shanghai to relax housing purchase restrictions and optimize housing fund loan policies, effective from February 26 [2] Phosphate Chemical Sector - The phosphate chemical sector saw explosive growth, with stocks like Chengxing Co. (600078) and others achieving consecutive limit-ups [2] Declining Sectors - The storage chip sector faced declines, with stocks like Purun Co. dropping over 7% and others like Lanjie Technology and Jiangbolong falling over 3% [3] - The film and television cinema sector also saw a downturn, with Hengdian Film (603103) experiencing consecutive limit-downs [4] Hong Kong and International Markets - The Hong Kong stock index showed a slight increase, with the Hang Seng Technology Index fluctuating but ultimately rising by 0.13% [4] - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 2.20%, while the KOSPI index in South Korea increased by 1.91%, marking a historic close above 6,000 points [4]