陈屹 国金证券化工首席: 好的，谢谢惠助理。各位同事大家早早上好，也祝大家新年快乐，投资大吉。我是国金化 工陈意，那么我们本周的这个主题其实更多的是围绕着新年化工买什么？那么我先由我这 边来汇报一下，就是整个板块新年的一个边际变化，以及之后的一个投资的一个建议，那 么先由我这边开始讲一下，先讲一下整个板块的一个变化和投资建议。我会把它串起来讲 然后我们的理解是这样，就是站在新年来看，我们的理解，方向上面的话，主要是两个方 向。第一个是整个新兴的一个产业，第二个的话就是传统的一个周期。 那么在新兴产业这边的话，我们的理解今年主要是两个两条主线两条主线，第一条主线的 话就是通胀的环节，就是进一步通胀的环节，我一个理解就是随着整个人工智能需求的一 个进步进一步增长。那么整个就是越会有越来越多的通胀环节会出现。比如说在年前的话 除了大家常关注的像比如说 PCB 存储之外的话，我们也看到像电子布等等这些产品的话， 也出现了通胀的一个迹象。所以我们的理解，通胀的品种会越来越多。那么以今年的这个 过年期间的话，其实也有个重要的一个新闻，就是存储，存储现在市场其实在不断的一个 上调预期，大，比如说以 SK 海力士为例，它也有 ...

这次回访中，记者最深的感触是，新质生产力不是文件里的概念，而在企业的实验室里、车间的生 产线上，在科研工作者的坚守里、创业者的拼搏中，是政策赋能与企业实干双向奔赴的成果。 让创新的种子得以生根发芽、开花结果，让科技成果从实验室走向生产线、大市场，走进大众生 活，金融的精准滴灌、全力托举，是不可或缺的重要支撑。 金融管理部门在科技金融领域密集推出新举措、新安排，构建起全方位、多层次、全链条的金融支 持体系，为科创企业发展保驾护航。 政策落地见效，数据最具说服力。中国人民银行发布的数据显示，截至2025年11月末，金融"五篇 大文章"贷款余额107.7万亿元，同比增长12.8%。其中，科技贷款余额44.8万亿元，同比增长11.5%。 去年6月，参加"活力中国调研行"第一次走进广东东莞松山湖科学城时，智能化的快艇、爬坡过坎 的机器人等一系列前沿科创产品给记者留下了深刻印象。 "我们抱着船舶电动化的梦想，来到松山湖。"逸动科技联合创始人潘宗良对记者说。在政策指引 下，新质生产力发展蓝图持续铺展，正从理念转化为实践，于科创沃土上加速孕育。不到一年时间，企 业的变化已然可感可及——除了在船用动力系统新能源化持续升级，产品 ...

新年开新篇，奋进启新程。 在"十五五"开局之年，全国各地涌动实干热潮，各行各业抢抓开局、聚力攻坚，从科技创新研发到 企业生产一线，从项目建设现场到消费市场前沿，发展的活力持续迸发，为2026年经济发展筑好基、开 好局。 在服务新产业中发展新产业 浙江杭州，在算力与新材料赛道，传化集团旗下新安股份交出了硅基液冷领域技术与商用双突破的 新年答卷。 "我们依托60年有机硅材料研发与工程化经验，成功开发出具备高绝缘性、极低挥发性、优异热稳 定性及环境友好特性的硅基冷却液，完美适配浸没式液冷的严苛要求。"新安股份硅基新材料研究院院 长刘继指着浸没在透明冷却液中的服务器，详细讲解硅基液冷解决方案的细节。 针对数据中心、储能安全、超快充电等不同高热场景，新安股份已形成系列化产品矩阵，覆盖从材 料到系统的全链条，首个硅基浸没液冷商用项目在杭州稳定运行，其在新技术、新场景、新产业领域的 探索步伐还在继续。 眼下，液冷成为算力刚需，硅基材料凭借性能、成本与环保三重优势，成为液冷产业化的核心支 撑，市场空间加速打开，2026年有望迎来液冷产业化放量的关键节点。 "应用场景越多样、需求越细分，发展潜力就越大。"刘继充满信心地说，"今 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，2月25日，有机硅概念持续走强，东岳硅材涨停，兴发集团、三友化工、硅宝科技、合盛 硅业、鲁西化工、新安股份等跟涨。 ...

有机硅概念持续走强，东岳硅材"20cm"涨停，兴发集团、三友化工、硅宝科技、合盛硅业、鲁西化 工、新安股份等跟涨。 ...

上个马年沪指涨近60%！新年新福利来了，炒股排面要拉满，新号启幸运>> 格隆汇2月25日｜A股市场草甘膦概念股今日继续集体走强，其中，和邦生物涨停，兴发集团涨超4%，红太阳涨超 3%，润丰股份、江山股份、安道麦A、新安股份涨超2%。消息面上，2月18日，美国总统特朗普援引《国防生产 法》签署行政命令，将磷元素及草甘膦除草剂提升至国家安全优先事项，指出这两种物资的短缺将对国家安全构 成直接威胁。此外，早在2025年11月，美国地质调查局(USGS)已首次将磷酸盐纳入关键矿产清单。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603077 | 和邦生物 | 1 | 9.92 | 254 Z | 27.43 | 2.88 | | 600141 | 兴发集团 | 1 | 4.36 | 484亿 | 25.39 | 43.36 | | 000525 | 红太阳 | 家 | 3.17 | 84.84 乙 | 19.23 | 6.51 | | 301035 | 润丰股份 | 1 | 2.34 | ...

Group 1: AI and Token Consumption - The AI industry is experiencing a surge in token consumption, driven by major internet platforms investing heavily to transition users from traditional search to chatbots, thereby increasing reasoning volume and accelerating token consumption [1][4] - By December 2025, ByteDance's Doubao model is expected to reach a daily token usage of over 50 trillion, a tenfold increase from the previous year, while Google's platforms are projected to handle 1.3 trillion tokens monthly, up from 97 billion a year prior [4] - The rising demand for tokens is leading cloud service providers to increase their prices, with Amazon and Google announcing price hikes for their machine learning services in early 2026 [4][5] Group 2: Power and Cooling Solutions - The demand for AI computing power is escalating, but stricter policies on data center energy consumption are pushing the industry towards more efficient cooling solutions, such as liquid cooling, which can achieve a Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) of 1.1 to 1.2 compared to traditional air cooling systems [1][11] - Companies like 算想科技 are transitioning to liquid cooling solutions, with expectations that the share of liquid-cooled servers will rise from 5% to 60-70% in the coming years due to technological advancements that reduce costs [12] - The first commercial immersion liquid cooling project using silicon-based cooling fluids has been launched, demonstrating the reliability and economic viability of these materials in real-world conditions [13] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trends - The AI computing power rental market is experiencing significant growth, with many AI companies shifting from building their own computing power to renting it due to rising hardware prices [6][7] - Industry leaders are investing heavily in AI cloud infrastructure, as evidenced by NVIDIA's $2 billion investment in CoreWeave to enhance AI computing capabilities [8] - The market is witnessing structural contradictions, with traditional computing power rental models still dominant, but a shift towards edge computing and inference power is becoming more pronounced as AI applications expand [9][10]

截至2月24日11点16分，上证指数涨1.15%，深证成指涨1.92%，创业板指涨1.99%。ETF方面，粮食ETF 广发（159587）涨2.84%，成分股和邦生物（603077.SH）、川发龙蟒（002312.SZ）涨停，泰禾股份 （301665.SZ）、云图控股（002539.SZ）、湖北宜化（000422.SZ）、云天化（600096.SH）、兴发集 团（600141.SH）、新安股份（600596.SH）、扬农化工（600486.SH）、川恒股份（002895.SZ）涨超 5%。 消息方面，据报道，春季田管有序推进，保障粮食稳产丰产。当前冬小麦由南向北陆续返青，是抓好春 季田管的关键时期。主产区因地制宜落实各项举措，保障粮食稳产丰产。随着小麦进入返青期，用肥高 峰期即将到来，全国供销合作社系统已采购肥料2000万吨，并抓好农资跨区域调运，加快下摆到基层网 点，确保农资供应及时到位。 国投证券表示，截至2025年底，转基因玉米种植已扩展至13个省份，全年种植面积达3000万亩-5000万 亩，占全国玉米总面积的10%-15%，在政策持续推进下2026年渗透率有望进一步提升，转基因种子价格 溢价将带动相 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the trends and projections in the Chinese pesticide industry, indicating a slight decline in production for December 2025 but an overall growth in annual production for the year [1]. Industry Summary - In December 2025, the production of chemical pesticide active ingredients in China was 338,000 tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of 0.3% [1]. - The cumulative production of chemical pesticide active ingredients for the entire year of 2025 reached 4,117,000 tons, showing a cumulative growth of 8.7% compared to the previous year [1]. - The report is based on data from the National Bureau of Statistics and is compiled by Zhiyan Consulting, a leading industry research institution in China [1].

Core Insights - The AI industry is experiencing a surge in applications and investments, with major companies like Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance participating in a "red envelope war" to promote AI usage during the Spring Festival [1] - The demand for AI computing power is increasing rapidly, leading to a significant rise in token consumption and hardware prices, particularly in the context of cloud services [2][3] Token Consumption and Market Dynamics - The transition from traditional search to chatbots is accelerating, resulting in a massive increase in token usage, with ByteDance's Doubao model expected to reach a daily token usage of over 50 trillion by December 2025, a tenfold increase year-on-year [4] - Major cloud service providers are raising prices due to increased demand for AI computing power, with Amazon and Google announcing price hikes for their services [5] - The rapid growth in AI model training and inference is driving a resurgence in the storage industry, with high-bandwidth memory (HBM) becoming a key growth driver for leading manufacturers [6] Supply and Demand in Computing Power - The market for computing power rental is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with many AI companies shifting from building their own infrastructure to renting due to rising hardware costs [7] - Industry leaders are investing heavily in computing power rental services, exemplified by NVIDIA's $2 billion investment in CoreWeave to enhance AI computing capabilities [8] Edge Computing and Future Trends - The edge computing market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 1.6123 trillion yuan by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 27.3% [10] - Companies are focusing on building a complete ecosystem around edge computing, moving beyond traditional rental models to offer more integrated solutions [9] Liquid Cooling Technology - The demand for liquid cooling solutions is increasing as data center energy consumption rises, with liquid cooling systems expected to dominate the market, potentially reaching a 60-70% share by 2026 [12] - The first commercial immersion liquid cooling project using silicon-based cooling fluids has been successfully launched, demonstrating the reliability and economic viability of this technology [13]