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券商晨会精华 | 黄金或仍有较大上涨空间
智通财经网· 2026-01-29 03:20
昨日沪指、深成指冲高回落,创业板指高开低走,盘中一度跌超1%。沪深两市成交额2.97万亿,较上 一个交易日放量704亿。盘面上,全市场超3600只个股下跌。从板块来看,资源股全天领涨,贵金属、 油气、电解铝方向轮番爆发,中国黄金4连板,湖南黄金3连板,中曼石油、晓程科技3天2板,四川黄金 10天6板,招金黄金8天5板,石化油服、准油股份涨停,中国铝业涨停创16年新高。分散染料概念集体 走高,浙江龙盛、闰土股份、亚邦股份涨停。存储芯片概念表现活跃,中微半导触及20CM涨停,气派 科技20CM涨停。下跌方面,医药医疗、光伏等板块跌幅居前。其中医药医疗概念走弱,百普赛斯、必 贝特跌超10%。截至收盘,沪指涨0.27%,深成指涨0.09%,创业板指跌0.57%。 历史上春季行情平均持续天数约70天,期间上证指数涨幅中位数约13.7%,本轮春季行情从2025年12月 17日开始,目前仅一个月,考虑到今年春节时间较晚叠加当前慢牛的环境,春季行情有望持续更长时 间。结合中观景气、盈利能力、筹码分布、估值、交易、周期阶段和赛道价值等多个维度,本期推荐关 注:电子(半导体)、传媒(广告营销、游戏、影视)、机械(自动化设备、工程 ...
现金流500ETF(560120)近11天获得连续资金净流入,冲击9连涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 03:16
Core Viewpoint - The cash flow of the CSI 500 Free Cash Flow Index has shown strong performance, with significant increases in both the index and its constituent stocks, indicating robust liquidity and investment interest in the market [1][4]. Group 1: Index Performance - As of January 29, 2026, the CSI 500 Free Cash Flow Index rose by 1.44%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Silver Nonferrous (+8.54%), Jibite (+6.87%), and Ordos (+4.68%) [1]. - The Cash Flow 500 ETF (560120) has experienced a 0.47% increase, marking its ninth consecutive rise [1]. - Over the past six months, the Cash Flow 500 ETF has achieved a net value increase of 47.61% [1]. Group 2: Fund Inflows and Returns - The Cash Flow 500 ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past 11 days, totaling 94.6296 million yuan [1]. - Historical performance shows that the ETF has a maximum single-month return of 7.97% and a longest consecutive monthly increase of 3 months, with an overall monthly profit probability of 88.57% [1]. Group 3: Index Composition - The CSI 500 Free Cash Flow Index consists of 50 high free cash flow rate companies selected from the CSI 500 Index, reflecting strong cash flow generation capabilities [4]. - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include CIMC, Shougang, Silver Nonferrous, and Zhejiang Longsheng, collectively accounting for 44.11% of the index [4]. Group 4: Individual Stock Performance - The top performing stocks within the index include: - CIMC: +1.68% (7.00% weight) - Shougang: +0.35% (6.00% weight) - Silver Nonferrous: +8.54% (5.52% weight) - Zhejiang Longsheng: +4.27% (5.50% weight) [6].
未知机构:20260128复盘宏观1特朗普表示对美元下跌不感-20260129
未知机构· 2026-01-29 02:00
20260128复盘 宏观: 1. 特朗普表示对美元下跌不感到担心。 还表示美国一支"大型舰队"正在前往伊朗,希望最终不必动用它。 2. 达里奥:我们正处在一个持续约80年的"大周期"(当前周期始于1945年)的末期,并正从内部冲突加剧的第5阶 段,滑向可能发生剧烈秩序重组的第6阶段。 人工智能: 1. 工业富联、SK海力士、希捷、AS 20260128复盘 1. 特朗普表示对美元下跌不感到担心。 还表示美国一支"大型舰队"正在前往伊朗,希望最终不必动用它。 2. 达里奥:我们正处在一个持续约80年的"大周期"(当前周期始于1945年)的末期,并正从内部冲突加剧的第5阶 段,滑向可能发生剧烈秩序重组的第6阶段。 人工智能: 1. 工业富联、SK海力士、希捷、ASML业绩超预期。 ASML称近几个月许多客户对人工智能需求乐观。 2. 卖方:在功率提高的进程中,液冷cage逐渐受益。 宏观: 3. 软银正洽谈向OpenAI追加投资至多300亿美元。 4. 近一年全球模型tokens使用量高速增长244%。 5. 腾讯云、阿里云上线Clawdbot。 1. 中国商火:坚决打赢主力箭首飞及回收攻坚战 全力突破可重复使 ...
万和财富早班车-20260129
Vanho Securities· 2026-01-29 01:59
我们不是资讯的搬运工 而是有态度的发现者 万和财富早班车 2026年1月29日 | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 4151.24 | | 0.27% | 上证当月连续 | 3065.6 | -0.03% | | 深证成指 14342.89 | | 0.09% | 沪深当月连续 | 4727.8 | 0.08% | | 创业板指 | 3323.56 | -0.57% | 恒生期货指数 | 35848.43 | 2.66% | 宏观消息汇总 1.国家药监局: 《采用脑机接口技术的医疗器械范式设计与应 用规范运动功能重建》等2项医疗器械行业标准立项。 2国家能源局:截至2025年底,全国累计太阳能发电装机容量 12亿千瓦,同比增长35.4%。 3.国务院国资委:大力推进战略性、专业化重组和高质量并购。 2.盈新发展(000620):拟5.2亿元收购长兴半导体60%股权,切入 存储芯片领域。 3.中牧股份(600195):预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的 净利润1.49亿元到1.92亿元 ...
政策利好+周期反转!化工ETF(516020)再涨2.48%创近3年新高,周期拐点已至?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 13:53
1月28日,化工板块攻势不减。反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF(516020)开盘短暂震荡后迅速拉 升,而后持续高位震荡,盘中场内价格最高涨幅达到3.2%,截至收盘,涨2.48%,收盘价续创2022年7 月以来新高。值得注意的是,化工ETF(516020)午后频现溢价交易,收盘溢价率更是高达0.42%,反 映买盘资金较为强势。 成份股方面,纯碱、氨纶、氮肥等板块部分个股涨幅居前。截至收盘,和邦生物、浙江龙盛双双涨停, 卫星化学、华峰化学飙涨超8%,鲁西化工、桐昆股份、宝丰能源等亦涨幅居前。 消息面上,近日,工业和信息化部、国家发改委等五部门联合印发《关于开展零碳工厂建设工作的指导 意见》。自2026年起,遴选一批零碳工厂,做好标杆引领;到2027年,在汽车、锂电池、光伏、电子电 器、轻工、机械、算力设施等行业领域,培育建设一批零碳工厂;到2030年,逐步扩展至钢铁、有色金 属、石化化工、建材、纺织等行业领域,探索传统高载能产业脱碳新路径。 方正证券指出,对化企而言,一方面未来部分高能耗或高碳排放子行业的供给侧增量存量均有政策约 束,另一方面,随着碳排放权交易市场的扩围,碳配额制度有望重塑部分行业成本曲线,加速 ...
ETF复盘资讯|牛气冲天!抢抓“涨价行情”主线,有色ETF(159876)飙升7%!化工、芯片同步猛攻
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 12:58
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.27% while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57%, driven by a "price increase" theme, particularly in resource sectors [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The overall market saw over 3,600 stocks decline, with a total trading volume of 2.97 trillion yuan [1] - The resource sector, particularly non-ferrous metals, led the market, with significant inflows of over 34.3 billion yuan into the sector [3] Group 2: ETF Performance - The Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876) reached a new high, with an intraday price increase of 7.35% and a closing increase of 6.95%, attracting a net subscription of 1.4 million units [3][5] - The Chemical ETF (516020) also performed well, with a closing increase of 2.48%, marking a new high since July 2022 [7] - The Hong Kong Information Technology ETF (159131) rose by 1.75%, reflecting strong performance in the semiconductor sector [10] Group 3: Commodity Prices and Economic Factors - International gold prices have reached historical highs, driven by geopolitical tensions and concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets [2][5] - The aluminum price has surged to a nearly four-year high, with spot gold reaching a new record of $5,283 per ounce [5] - The Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy decisions are expected to influence market dynamics, with a dovish stance likely to support the non-ferrous metals market [5] Group 4: Sector Analysis - The chemical industry is experiencing a price surge, with a notable increase in prices for products like soda ash and nitrogen fertilizers, indicating a potential turning point for the sector [7][9] - The semiconductor sector is witnessing a price increase, with major companies like Samsung and SK Hynix raising prices significantly for memory products [10][13]
闰土股份:境内外染料产能增加,市场竞争有加剧迹象
证券日报网1月28日讯 ,闰土股份在接受调研者提问时表示,我国已成为世界染料生产数量、贸易数量 和消费数量的第一大国,染料产量约占世界染料总产量的70%-75%。国内染料主要产区在浙江省、江苏 省和山东省,行业集中度较高。分散染料主要生产企业为浙江龙盛、闰土股份、吉华集团、安诺其等; 活性染料主要生产企业有闰土股份、浙江龙盛、锦鸡股份等,印度活性染料产能也已有相当规模。染料 行业属于充分竞争行业,近几年来,境内外染料产能增加,市场竞争有加剧迹象。 (编辑 袁冠琳) ...
古希腊掌管黄金的神
Datayes· 2026-01-28 12:31
Group 1 - The article highlights a significant surge in gold prices, with a rare "apocalyptic rise" pushing prices above $5,200 and $5,300, marking a single-day increase of over $100 [3] - UBS reports that since December 2025, at least 75% of gold price fluctuations are attributed to U.S. policy changes, with a model indicating that 68% of gold price movements since January 2025 are due to U.S. policy changes, increasing to 76% since December 2025 [5] - The article notes that the impact of policy factors may still be underestimated, with significant market structure changes linked to threats against the independence of the Federal Reserve [6] Group 2 - The dye industry is experiencing price increases, with core intermediates for disperse dyes rising by 50% this year due to environmental inspections and rising raw material costs [8] - Key companies in the dye sector include Zhejiang Longsheng, Guotu Co., Jihua Group, Yabong Co., and Annuoqi, all benefiting from price increases and improved market concentration [9] - Agricultural stocks are also noted, with corn and wheat prices rising, indicating strong expectations for international grain prices amid a backdrop of U.S. interest rate cuts and declining inventory ratios [8] Group 3 - The article discusses the performance of various commodities, with copper prices increasing by 15.4% over the past week and 113.8% over the past quarter, while the Baltic Dry Index has decreased by 11.5% over the past quarter [10] - The storage chip sector is highlighted, with companies like Micron and Seagate experiencing significant stock price increases, and price hikes of 15% to 80% announced for various storage products [13][21] - The article mentions that the first quarter is typically a favorable time for price increases, with expectations for further price signals as the spring construction season approaches [11]
牛气冲天!抢抓“涨价行情”主线,有色ETF(159876)飙升7%!化工、芯片同步猛攻
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 11:25
Market Overview - On January 28, A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.27% while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57%. The market logic revolved around the theme of "price increases," with resource products showing strong performance, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector [1][17]. - The total trading volume across both markets reached 2.97 trillion yuan, with over 3,600 stocks declining [1][17]. Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The non-ferrous metals sector led the market, attracting a net inflow of over 34.3 billion yuan. Notably, 16 stocks, including China Aluminum, hit the daily limit [4][19]. - The popular non-ferrous ETF, Huabao (159876), saw its price peak at a 7.35% increase, closing up 6.95%, marking a new historical high. This ETF has attracted a net subscription of 140 million units in a single day, accumulating over 1.2 billion yuan in the past 20 days [4][19]. Chemical Sector - The chemical sector experienced a broad increase, with the chemical ETF (516020) rising by 2.48%, reaching a new high since July 2022. The ETF's price saw a peak increase of 3.2% during the trading session [7][24]. - Key stocks in the chemical sector, such as Hebang Biotechnology and Zhejiang Longsheng, hit the daily limit, while others like Satellite Chemical and Huafeng Chemical surged over 8% [7][24]. Technology Sector - The technology sector, particularly in semiconductor stocks, remained active. The Hong Kong technology ETF (159131) rose by 1.75%, continuing its upward trend [11][19]. - The semiconductor market is experiencing a price surge, with major companies like Samsung and SK Hynix significantly increasing prices for memory chips used in iPhones, with increases exceeding 80% [11][14]. Global Economic Factors - International gold prices have been hitting historical records, driven by geopolitical tensions and concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets [2][21]. - The Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy decisions are anticipated to influence market dynamics, with expectations of a dovish stance potentially benefiting the non-ferrous metals market [5][21]. Policy and Future Outlook - The Chinese government is promoting the construction of zero-carbon factories across various industries, which may reshape the supply chain and production costs in the chemical sector [10]. - Analysts suggest that the chemical industry is entering a favorable period for investment, driven by supply-side constraints and increasing domestic demand as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [10][22].
化学制品板块1月28日涨1.38%,锦鸡股份领涨,主力资金净流入11.56亿元
证券之星消息,1月28日化学制品板块较上一交易日上涨1.38%,锦鸡股份领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4151.24,上涨0.27%。深证成指报收于14342.9,上涨0.09%。化学制品板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300798 | 锦鸡股份 | 9.58 | 20.05% | 81.59万 | | 7.45 Z | | 002440 | 国王股份 | 10.75 | 10.03% | 68.71万 | | 7.35亿 | | 600230 | 沧州大化 | 20.78 | 10.01% | 28.30万 | | 5.66亿 | | 600352 | 浙江龙盛 | 14.75 | 9.99% | 92.85万 | | 13.62亿 | | 002455 | 直川股份 | 7.93 | 9.99% | 63.07万 | | 4.98 亿 | | 603188 | 亚邦股份 | 5.31 | 9.94% | 25.29万 | | 1.33亿 | ...