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AI吓坏美股,亚洲股市“因祸得福”,芯片股抢跑成最大受益者
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-02-13 08:09
美国市场对AI可能带来行业"被颠覆"的担忧,正在把全球资金从华尔街的潜在受害者,推向亚洲的AI基础设施赢家,芯片制造股成为最直接的受益者。 据彭博,MSCI亚太指数2026年以来上涨逾12%,而标普500年内下跌0.2%,纳斯达克100下跌约2%。过去10个交易日,纳斯达克100下挫4.6%,市值蒸发约 1.5万亿美元,软件股等被认为易受新AI工具冲击的板块领跌。 资金流向也在快速反映这一分化。周四,三星出现"最大规模"的海外净买入,股价上涨6.4%,周五继续上行;全球投资者对台湾股票录得第三大单周净买 入。日本存储芯片厂商铠侠控股周五股价大涨15%。 美光科技关于存储芯片供应紧张的最新评论,以及英伟达关于支出可持续性的表态,被市场解读为硬件周期与资本开支预期仍具支撑。 外资加码韩国、台湾与日本,指数权重放大芯片股的带动效应 在增量资金进入的背景下,亚洲主要芯片股在本地指数中的高权重,放大了其对市场表现的拉动作用。 彭博数据显示,台积电在台湾加权指数Taiex中的权重逼近45%,是十年前的三倍;韩国Kospi的结构也接近"双寡头",三星与SK海力士合计权重接近 40%。 市场押注的核心在于,全球资金正在从"烧 ...
万联证券:把握AI算力建设和终端创新投资机遇 建议关注存储和PCB细分板块
智通财经网· 2026-02-13 08:02
Core Viewpoint - Wanlian Securities predicts that the Shenwan Electronics industry will outperform the CSI 300 index in 2025, with a slight increase in valuation compared to recent years. The first three quarters of 2025 are expected to show improved performance and profitability. Looking ahead to 2026, investment opportunities in AI computing power construction and terminal innovation are recommended [1]. AI Computing Power Construction - The demand for key hardware in AI computing power is strong, with a focus on high-demand segments such as storage and PCB. The PCB industry in China is globally leading, with major domestic manufacturers accelerating capital expenditures to expand high-end PCB capacity. The price of CCL products is expected to rise due to increased raw material costs and strong demand, enhancing corporate profitability [1][2]. - In the storage sector, AI is expected to drive a new wave of prosperity. Capital expenditures from global cloud service providers are likely to increase, boosting demand for servers and upstream components. The market is dominated by DRAM and NAND Flash, with major manufacturers adjusting capacity to optimize supply-demand dynamics, leading to price increases [2]. AI Terminal Innovation - AI smartphones and PCs are expected to see a slowdown in global shipment growth by 2025, with leading manufacturers increasing their market share. The penetration rate of AI smartphones is anticipated to rise significantly, while AIPC penetration may exceed 50% by 2026. The average selling price (ASP) of smartphones is expected to increase, making high-end AI products more competitive [3]. - AI glasses are gaining traction, with steady growth in shipment volumes. The supply chain for AI glasses is fully covered in China, with over 70% of XR products manufactured there. Meta leads the AI glasses market, holding a 73% market share in the first half of 2025, largely due to the success of the Ray-Ban Meta AI glasses [4]. Investment Recommendations - The ongoing AI wave and the strong demand for key hardware in computing power present investment opportunities in the storage and PCB sectors, which are currently in an expansion phase. The market for AI smartphones, AIPC, and AI glasses is expected to grow as major manufacturers continue to release new products and enhance application ecosystems [5]. - In the storage sector, it is advisable to focus on the performance growth of storage manufacturers during the prosperity cycle and the recovery of profitability among storage module manufacturers due to rising product prices. Increased capital expenditures are expected to boost demand for upstream semiconductor equipment [5]. - For PCB, attention should be given to leading manufacturers with forward-looking layouts in high-end PCB fields such as HDI and multi-layer boards, as accelerated expansion by mainstream PCB manufacturers is likely to drive demand for upstream equipment and materials [5]. - In the AI innovation terminal space, it is recommended to monitor leading smartphone manufacturers like Apple for new product launches that could enhance brand shipments and boost industry demand. In the AIPC sector, focus on manufacturers with forward-looking layouts and those entering the global PC supply chain. For AI glasses, keep an eye on Meta and other leading manufacturers for new product releases that could increase shipment volumes [5].
通信行业月报:北美云厂商资本开支强劲,CPO商业化应用拐点临近-20260213
Zhongyuan Securities· 2026-02-13 07:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the communication industry [4][7]. Core Insights - In January 2026, the communication industry index increased by 5.47%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index (+3.76%), CSI 300 Index (+1.65%), Shenzhen Component Index (+5.03%), and ChiNext Index (+4.47%) [3][13]. - The capital expenditure of the four major North American cloud providers is expected to grow significantly, with a projected increase of over 60% in 2026 [6][24]. - The procurement results for special optical cables by China Mobile indicate that eight manufacturers, including Tongding Interconnection and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable, have been selected, highlighting the focus on key sectors such as industrial manufacturing and digital government [6][7]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The communication industry index showed a strong performance in January 2026, with a 5.47% increase, outperforming major indices [3][13]. - Sub-sectors within the communication industry saw varied performance, with cable, other communication equipment, and system equipment rising by 19.70%, 10.72%, and 7.85% respectively [16]. Telecommunications Sector - In 2025, the telecommunications business revenue reached CNY 1.75 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 0.7% [6][45]. - By December 2025, 5G mobile phone users accounted for 65.9% of total mobile phone users, with a monthly data usage (DOU) of 23.04GB per user, reflecting a 17.0% year-on-year increase [6][45]. Cloud Infrastructure Investment - The combined capital expenditure of the four major North American cloud providers in Q4 2025 was USD 126 billion, marking a 62.0% year-on-year increase [24][25]. - For 2026, the total capital expenditure guidance for these providers exceeds USD 660 billion, with an expected growth of 61.0% [24][25]. AI and Smartphone Market - The retail sales of communication equipment in China increased by 20.9% year-on-year in December 2025, driven by the demand for smartphones [44]. - The global smartphone shipment is projected to grow by 2% in 2025, reaching 1.25 billion units, with AI smartphones expected to penetrate 34% of the market by 2025 [6][44]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in optical devices, optical chips, optical modules, and AI smartphones, including Tianfu Communication, ZTE, and China Mobile [7][6].
内存价格暴涨90%创历史,AI算力引爆存储芯片“超级周期”,这三大核心或迎新机遇!
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-13 07:19
据《东方财富研究中心》2月13日消息,近日Counterpoint发布的《2月内存价格追踪报告》,截至2026 年第一季度,内存价格环比上涨80%—90%,本轮上涨的主要推手是通用服务器DRAM价格大幅攀升。 以服务器级内存为例,64GB RDIMM合约价已从去年第四季度的450美元,飙升至第一季度的900美元 以上,且二季度有望突破1000美元关口。 Counterpoint高级分析师Jeongku Choi 指出:"存储器行业盈利水平预计将达到前所未有的高度。2025年 第四季度,DRAM营业利润率已达到60%区间,这是通用DRAM利润率首次超过HBM。2026年第一季 度,DRAM利润率将首次突破历史峰值。" 此外,TrendForce集邦咨询最新数据显示,受惠于AI浪潮的推升,存储器与晶圆代工产值均将在2026年 同步创下新高。存储器产业受供给吃紧与价格飙升影响,产值规模大幅扩张至5516亿美元。尽管晶圆代 工产值同步创下2187亿美元的新高纪录,但存储器产值规模已攀升至晶圆代工的2倍以上。 TrendForce集邦咨询表示,随着Inference(推理)AI应用场景扩大,市场对高效能储存设备的需求远 ...
公司问答丨日联科技:全球前20大半导体制造商中有近一半都是SSTI的客户 其中包括三星、美光等企业
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-13 07:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that SSTI, a subsidiary of Rilun Technology, has established business relationships with major semiconductor manufacturers, including Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron [1] Group 2 - SSTI serves nearly half of the top 20 semiconductor manufacturers globally as clients, indicating a strong market presence and demand for its products [1]
集邦咨询:预计HBM4验证将于第二季度完成 三大原厂供应英伟达(NVDA.US)格局有望成形
智通财经网· 2026-02-13 06:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the growing demand for HBM4 driven by the expansion of AI infrastructure and GPU requirements, with NVIDIA's Rubin platform expected to significantly influence this demand [1][2] - TrendForce anticipates that the validation process for HBM4 by the three major memory manufacturers will be completed by the second quarter of 2026, with Samsung expected to lead the way due to its product stability [1][2] - The demand for high-performance storage devices is increasing, particularly among North American cloud service providers (CSPs) who are investing heavily in AI server construction starting from the end of 2025 [1] Group 2 - The overall shortage in memory capacity is intensifying, leading to significant price increases for Conventional DRAM products since the fourth quarter of 2025, which affects the profitability of HBM [2] - NVIDIA's reliance on specific suppliers for the Rubin platform may pose challenges in meeting demand, prompting manufacturers to adjust the supply distribution of HBM and Conventional DRAM to balance overall output and customer needs [2] - Samsung is progressing the fastest in the validation of HBM4, with expectations to begin quarterly mass production after completion in the second quarter, while SK hynix and Micron are also advancing but at different paces [5]
【买卖芯片找老王】260213 华邦/三星/圣邦微/太诱/新唐/英飞凌
芯世相· 2026-02-13 04:07
芯片超人已经 累计服务2.2万用户 ,打折清库存,最快半天完成交易! 找不到,卖不掉,价格还想再好 点 ,都可以来找我们! 算笔账 一批十万的呆料压在库存 每月仓储费➕资金成本至少5k 放半年就亏3万 有料单不知道怎么推广? | 优势物料,特价出售 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品牌 | 型号 | 年份 | 数量 | | 华邦 | W988D6FBGX6I | 25+ | 6K | | 华邦 | W25Q16JVBYIQ | 22+ | 90K | | 华邦 | W25Q40CLWI | 22+ | 30K | | 英飞凌 | BTS724G | 两年内 | 10k | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SKYWORKS | RFX2401C | 两年内 | 10k | | 三星 | KLM8G1GETF | 两年内 | 10k | | | B041 CXDB4CBAM | | | | CXMT/长鑫 | ML-A | 两年内 | 10k | | 三星 | K4B4G1646E | 24+ | 10k | | | BYMA | | | | 三星 ...
Galaxy S26系列最新渲染图:全系配色及设计细节曝光
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2026-02-13 03:52
渲染图显示,三款机型均提供黑色、白色、天蓝色和钴紫色四种核心配色,另有传言称"银影"和"粉 金"两款配色将作为三星官网专属款式推出。设计上,入门款S26和S26+变化不大,仅对后置相机模组 进行了更新,整体造型与前代基本一致。 S26 Ultra则在细节上有所升级,除全新相机模组外,机身底盘变得更为圆润,搭配的S Pen也随之调 整,笔尖端配色与机身呼应,笔身主体则根据机型颜色对应为黑色或白色。目前三星已确认,将于2月 25日举办发布会,正式推出Galaxy S26全系列机型。(旺旺) 来源:环球网 【环球网科技综合报道】据外媒9to5google报道,三星Galaxy S26系列的爆料持续升温,近日知名爆料 人埃文·布拉斯通过其"Leakmail"专栏,发布了一批疑似官方渲染图,首次清晰展示了S26、S26+及S26 Ultra三款机型的核心配色及外观细节。 ...
未知机构:供给短缺持续下存储行业预测上调及重点标的推荐在供给短缺持续的-20260213
未知机构· 2026-02-13 02:35
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **semiconductor storage industry**, particularly the **DRAM** and **NAND** segments, with a strong emphasis on **Micron Technology** and **Shannon Semiconductor** [1][2][3][9]. Key Insights and Arguments - **Supply Shortage and Price Increase**: The ongoing supply shortage in the storage industry has led to an upward revision of industry forecasts. Strong recommendations are made for Shannon Semiconductor, which is expected to have at least three times the upside potential. The stock has been added to the MSCI index, receiving a strong buy rating [1][9]. - **Price Trends**: According to Morgan Stanley, since Micron's earnings guidance, memory product prices have significantly increased. The current spot price for DDR5 has risen approximately **30%** year-to-date, and is about **130%** higher than January contract prices [2][3]. - **Future Price Expectations**: Morgan Stanley anticipates further increases in DRAM and NAND prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2026, with average selling prices expected to rise by **30%** [2][3]. - **Micron's Earnings Guidance**: Micron's guidance implies a **37%** quarter-over-quarter revenue growth, with DRAM and NAND average selling prices expected to increase by approximately **30%** [3][4]. - **Valuation and Earnings Potential**: Morgan Stanley suggests that Micron's earnings per share could exceed consensus estimates due to improved pricing. The market expects Micron's peak earnings to be around **$12** per share by the end of 2027, with potential for higher valuations based on extended industry cycles [3][4][5]. Additional Important Points - **Demand from AI**: The demand for memory products is driven by AI-related growth, with significant revenue increases expected from major clients like AMD and Broadcom. The memory industry may need to support nearly **$200 billion** in new AI-related revenue over the next 12 months [6][7]. - **Chinese Competitors**: Chinese memory manufacturers are currently facing supply constraints and are not expected to significantly impact global supply. Their market share remains low, and they are limited by technology and equipment access [6][7]. - **Micron's Capacity Expansion**: Micron's capacity improvements from projects like Boise and partnerships are not expected to yield substantial results until **2027** [6][7]. - **Target Price Adjustments**: Morgan Stanley has raised Micron's target price to **$450**, maintaining an overweight rating, and adjusting the cross-cycle earnings estimate to **$18** per share, reflecting a more optimistic outlook [8][9]. Conclusion - The semiconductor storage industry is poised for significant growth driven by supply constraints and increasing demand, particularly from AI applications. Micron Technology and Shannon Semiconductor are highlighted as key players with strong potential for investment returns.