Core Viewpoint - Zimbabwe's sudden ban on lithium ore and concentrate exports has created significant disruptions in the global lithium supply chain, affecting nearly 20% of China's lithium raw material supply and potentially leading to a supply gap of approximately 14,000 to 15,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent per month starting in May 2026 [1][3][4]. Group 1: Impact of Zimbabwe's Ban - Zimbabwe's Ministry of Mines announced an immediate suspension of all lithium ore and concentrate exports, including shipments already at sea, to strengthen mineral regulation and promote domestic processing [1][3]. - In 2025, China imported 7.75 million tons of lithium concentrate, with 1.2 million tons (19%) coming from Zimbabwe, highlighting the critical role of Zimbabwe in China's lithium supply [3]. - The ban is expected to lead to a significant increase in lithium prices, with domestic carbonate lithium futures prices surging to over 171,440 yuan per ton, reflecting a nearly 17% increase in just two trading days [4]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Opportunities - The immediate market reaction saw a spike in lithium prices, with the benchmark price for battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 162,000 yuan per ton, an increase of over 8% since the beginning of the month [4]. - Companies with integrated mining and processing capabilities in Zimbabwe are positioned to benefit from the ban, as they can still apply for export licenses while others face supply constraints [6]. - A total of 13 domestic companies with lithium carbonate production or lithium mining resources are now in the spotlight, with 7 of them forecasting significant profit increases for 2025 [7]. Group 3: Company Profiles and Strategies - The first tier of companies, termed "ban immune," includes Huayou Cobalt, which has established deep processing capacity in Zimbabwe and is set to produce lithium sulfate, allowing it to circumvent the export ban [9]. - Zhongjin Lingnan has a strong position with its control over the Bikita lithium mine, which allows it to apply for export licenses despite the ban, and it has a stockpile of 150,000 tons of lithium concentrate to buffer against short-term export restrictions [11]. - The second tier includes resource giants like Ganfeng Lithium, which has diversified global resources and is expected to see a significant increase in production from 200,000 tons to 500,000 tons by 2026, benefiting from rising lithium prices [11][13]. Group 4: Long-term Industry Implications - The ban is prompting a reevaluation of companies with overseas resources, local processing capabilities, or stable domestic sources, as their strategic value is being reassessed in the market [17]. - The surge in lithium carbonate futures and the rising stock prices of lithium mining companies reflect this market reassessment and the potential for long-term growth in the sector [17].

有色金属 2026 年 2 月 26 日 氧化镨钕价格已至 85 万元/吨，近一个月涨 26%、近三个月涨 56% ——金属新材料高频数据周报（20260209-20260215） 要点 军工新材料：电解钴价格上涨。（1）本周电解钴价格 42.30 万元/吨，环比 +0.7%。本周电解钴和钴粉价格比值 0.74 ，环比+0.7%；电解钴和硫酸钴价 格比值为 4.31 ，环比+0.7%。（2）碳纤维本周价格 83.8 元/千克，环比 +0%。毛利-9.19 元/千克。 新能源车新材料：氢氧化锂价格上涨。（1）本周碳酸锂和氢氧化锂价格分别 为 14.38 、13.76 万元/吨，环比+6.9%、+3.9%。（2）本周硫酸钴价格 9.53 万元/吨，环比+0%。（3）本周磷酸铁锂、523 型正极材料价格分别为 5.24 、18.73 万元/吨，环比+0%、+4.1%。（4）本周氧化镨钕价格 849.82 元/公斤，环比+12.2%。 光伏新材料：价格持平。（1）本周光伏级多晶硅价格 6.19 美元/千克，环比 +0%。（2）本周 EVA 价格 9,650 元/吨，环比+0%，处于 2013 年来较低位 置。（3）本 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the lithium industry is "Outperform" [1] Core Views - Supply: The rebound in lithium prices has stimulated supply, but short-term increments are limited. Australian lithium mines are stabilizing production, while South American salt lakes are experiencing slower-than-expected ramp-up in capacity. Zimbabwe has tightened export policies, which may impact supply in the short term [3][12][16]. - Demand: Domestic demand for power batteries is expected to peak, with energy storage becoming a significant marginal variable for lithium salt demand. Global lithium demand is projected to reach approximately 2 million tons LCE in 2026, driven by a 50% year-on-year increase in energy storage battery demand and a 20% growth in power battery demand [5][6]. - Balance Sheet: Supply and demand are tightening, with inventory cycles further declining. Global lithium supply and demand are expected to be around 2 million tons LCE, and any unexpected demand increase could create a significant supply gap. The current inventory cycle for lithium salts in China is less than one month, indicating a tightening market [6][31]. Supply Summary - Overseas Supply: Australian lithium mines are stabilizing production, but the recovery of suspended projects is slow. South American salt lakes have many new projects, but their ramp-up progress is below expectations. Zimbabwe's recent export policy changes may temporarily affect supply [3][12][16]. - Domestic Supply: Domestic lithium spodumene mines have not yet entered large-scale production. The supply disruptions in lithium mica have not been resolved, and new projects in domestic lithium salt lakes are expected to contribute some incremental supply [4][20][27]. Demand Summary - The demand for lithium is expected to be driven by both power and energy storage batteries, with a projected global demand of around 2 million tons LCE in 2026. The energy storage battery demand is expected to significantly exceed expectations starting from the second half of 2025, while power battery demand is anticipated to recover quickly from March 2026 [5][6]. Balance Sheet Summary - The lithium market is expected to experience a tightening supply-demand balance, with inventory cycles decreasing. The current inventory cycle for lithium salts in China is less than one month, indicating a potential for price increases in the near term [6][31].

供给：锂价反弹刺激供给，但短期增量有限 智通财经APP获悉，国信证券发布研报称，动力电池和储能电池双驱动，预计2026年全球锂需求有望达 到约200万吨LCE。另国内锂电池出口退税下调，短期或推动锂电抢出口，需求前置下或将带动锂行业 供需边际趋紧。经历过连续几个月的去库存之后，目前国内锂盐库存周期仅不足一个月时间，在供需如 此紧张的情况下，库存矛盾将愈加凸显。该行看好锂价在近期进一步上行，预计短期有望涨至20万元/ 吨以上。 国信证券主要观点如下： 相关标的：赣锋锂业、天齐锂业、盐湖股份、中矿资源、永兴材料、华友钴业、盛新锂能、雅化集团、 大中矿业、国城矿业 风险提示：锂终端需求不及预期;全球锂资源开发速度超预期。 动力电池和储能电池双驱动，预计2026年全球锂需求有望达到约200万吨LCE。储能电池需求自2025年 下半年开始显著超预期，年初也保持旺盛的需求状态，预计全年出货量可以达到900Gwh左右，同比增 速近50%;动力电池需求年初遇冷，主要是受补贴退坡和淡季消费等因素影响，预计从3月份开始有望迅 速回暖，全年仍有望实现20%左右增长。另外，国内锂电池出口退税下调，自2026年4月1日至12月31日 ...

证券研究报告·行业研究·电力设备与新能源行业 需求超预期，开启26-27年向上新周期 ——碳酸锂专题 电新首席证券分析师 ：曾朵红 执业证书编号：S0600516080001 联系邮箱：zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 电动车首席证券分析师 ：阮巧燕 执业证书编号：S0600517120002 联系邮箱：ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 联系电话：021-60199793 2026年2月26日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 1 摘要 注：全文的"预计"若无特别说明，均为东吴证券研究所预测 ◆ 供给：增量供给为非矿、澳矿、国内盐湖，增量多集中于26H2。中性情况下，26年全球锂矿供给214万吨， 新增44万吨，若津巴布韦锂精矿出口恢复低于预期，则实际新增更低；27年262万吨，新增48万吨；28年 303万吨，新增41万吨。其中，26年增量主要来自：国内盐湖新增8.4万吨（麻米措、察尔汗、拉果措）、国 内矿山6.6万吨（枧下窝复产、新疆红柳滩、党坝、加达、湘源矿）、海外盐湖6.9万吨（3Q、Mariana和 CO）、澳矿的7.8万吨（泰利森和皮尔巴拉以及Marion等矿山达产）、非矿11.5万吨（中 ...

作者 |一财阿驴 09:30锂矿概念股大幅高开，金圆股份一字涨停，江特电机、永杉锂业、大中矿业等股涨幅靠前。 2026.02.26 本文字数：457，阅读时长大约1分钟 阿驴「全家福」套餐上线 一次集齐你的幸运符号！ 「马上有钱」，实干派必备 「福禄加马」，福气党优选 09:27 A股开盘丨创业板指跌0.24%，锂矿股涨幅居前 沪指高开0.09%，深成指涨0.14%，创业板指跌0.24%。科创综指涨0.25%。锂矿股涨幅居前，能源金 属、电池、游戏板块活跃，油气开采、光伏设备板块走低。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 上证指数 | | 4151.07 | 3.84 | 0.09% | | 399001 深证成指 | | 14495.86 | 19.99 | 0.14% | | 881001 万得全A | | 6910.35 | 10.36 | 0.15% | | 000680 科创综指 | | 1824.23 | 4.51 | 0.25% | | 399006 创业板指 | | 3346.74 | -8. ...

2月26日，大中矿业涨7.13%，截至发稿，报42.68元/股，成交1.70亿元，换手率0.30%，总市值654.32亿 元。大中矿业股价已经连续8天上涨，区间累计涨幅40.83%。 截至发稿，陈志伟累计任职时间2年208天，现任基金资产总规模4.72亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 39.74%， 任职期间最差基金回报2.54%。 赵远飞累计任职时间112天，现任基金资产总规模1264万元，任职期间最佳基金回报6%， 任职期间最 差基金回报6%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本 文出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 责任编辑：小浪快报 数据显示，大成基金旗下1只基金重仓大中矿业。大成颐禧积极养老目标五年持有混合发起式(FOF) （017768）四季度持有股数2000股，占基金净值比例为0.48%，位居第十大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮 盈赚取约5680元。连续8天上涨期间浮盈赚取2.31万元。 大成颐禧积极养老目标五年持有混合发起式(FOF)（017768）成立 ...

09:33 创业板指跌幅扩大至1%，上证指数跌0.1%，深证成指跌0.36%。两市下跌个股超2700只。 09:22 港股开盘丨恒指涨0.95% 锂矿股走高 恒指开盘涨0.95%，恒生科技指数涨0.46%。锂矿股多数走高，天齐锂业涨6.11%，赣锋锂业涨5.48%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | મટા | 恒生指数 | 27019.74c | 254.02 | 0.95% | | HSTECH 恒生科技 | | 5284.51 c | 24.01 | 0.46% | 09:16 人民币兑美元中间价报6.9228，调升93个基点。前一交易日中间价报6.9321。 09:30 锂矿概念股大幅高开，金圆股份一字涨停，江特电机、永杉锂业、大中矿业等股涨幅靠前。 09:27 A股开盘丨创业板指跌0.24%，锂矿股涨幅居前 沪指高开0.09%，深成指涨0.14%，创业板指跌0.24%。科创综指涨0.25%。锂矿股涨幅居前，能源金 属、电池、游戏板块活跃，油气开采、光伏设备板块走低。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Zimbabwe has announced an immediate suspension of lithium concentrate and raw ore exports, which is expected to significantly impact the lithium market [1][2] - Zimbabwe holds lithium reserves of 126 million tons, making it a major supplier in the global lithium market [1] - Following the announcement, lithium-related stocks such as Jinyuan Co., Jiangte Motor, Yongshan Lithium Industry, Guocheng Mining, Dazhong Mining, Rongjie Co., and Yongxing Materials experienced significant price increases, with Jinyuan Co. hitting the daily limit [1] Group 2 - Citic Securities has indicated that the lithium sector is likely to see a substantial rise in stock prices due to the export suspension [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Zimbabwe has announced an immediate suspension of all lithium ore and lithium concentrate exports, which has led to a significant increase in lithium-related stocks in the A-share market [1][2] - The suspension aims to strengthen mineral regulation and accountability, allowing only companies with valid mining rights and approved processing plants to export [1][2] - Zimbabwe is the largest lithium exporter in Africa and the second-largest source of lithium concentrate imports for China, with a reported import of approximately 7.75 million tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 39.4% [1] Group 2 - The ban on lithium exports is a significant shift from the previously planned full ban in 2027, causing global disruptions in the lithium supply chain and increasing the short-term supply gap [2] - The price of lithium carbonate surged nearly 12% to 187,700 yuan per ton following the announcement [1][2] - Various lithium-related stocks saw substantial gains, with companies like Jinyuan Co. and Keli Yuan nearing their daily limit up, reflecting strong market sentiment [1][3]