Summary of Conference Call on Power Industry Industry Overview - The conference focused on the power industry, particularly the electricity market in China, and its outlook for 2026 and beyond [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Market Sentiment and Outlook**: - The overall sentiment in the market is bullish, with expectations that the power industry will enter a strong performance window starting from February into the second quarter of the year [1]. - The configuration value of the power industry is becoming more prominent, with increasing interest from investors [1]. 2. **Investment Recommendations**: - For short-term investments, sectors such as green energy and nuclear power are recommended as good options [1]. - For long-term investments, both thermal power and green energy are highlighted as sectors to focus on [2]. 3. **National Unified Electricity Market**: - A high-level implementation opinion was released, aiming to establish a unified national electricity market by around 2031, with a target of 70% market-based trading volume [2]. - The document emphasizes the importance of marketization and the integration of renewable energy sources into the market [3]. 4. **Marketization Concerns**: - There is a misconception among investors that marketization will lead to price reductions for downstream consumers, causing reluctance towards increased marketization [3]. - Currently, 64% of the electricity market is already market-based, and the integration of renewable energy sources is expected to help achieve the 70% target by 2030 [3]. 5. **Green Certificate System**: - The establishment of a green certificate system is crucial for promoting green energy consumption and is expected to alleviate the oversupply pressure on green certificates [4][5]. - The green certificate prices are anticipated to stabilize and potentially increase, benefiting green energy projects [5]. 6. **Investment Opportunities in Hydropower and Nuclear Power**: - Hydropower is seen as a stable and clean energy source, with significant investment potential due to its low cost and reliability [7][8]. - Nuclear power is expected to play a critical role in energy security and is likely to see increased investment, especially in the context of new infrastructure projects [24][25]. 7. **Market Dynamics and Price Trends**: - The electricity price dynamics are influenced by coal prices, with potential downward pressure on thermal power prices in the short term [13][14]. - However, long-term trends suggest that stable and clean energy sources like hydropower and nuclear power will benefit from marketization [8][9]. 8. **Sector-Specific Insights**: - For thermal power, companies with stable dividend policies and less exposure to price fluctuations are recommended [14]. - In the hydropower sector, companies like Changjiang Electric Power and Guotou Power are highlighted for their attractive dividend yields [16][17]. 9. **Nuclear Power Sector**: - The nuclear power sector is expected to see a rise in investment due to its strategic importance and the anticipated approval of new projects [25][26]. - The uranium market is also projected to experience price increases, driven by demand from nuclear power generation [27]. 10. **Future Outlook**: - The conference concluded with a positive outlook for the power industry, emphasizing the importance of policy support and market dynamics in shaping future investment opportunities [30][31]. Additional Important Content - The call highlighted the need for ongoing monitoring of market conditions and policy developments to identify investment opportunities [31]. - The discussion included insights into the potential for electricity futures markets to enhance price stability and risk management for power producers [12]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and recommendations from the conference call regarding the power industry, focusing on market trends, investment opportunities, and policy implications.

叶如祯 长江证券分析师: 尊敬的各位投资人，欢迎大家下午收听由这个长安金属煤炭举办的如何展望节后金属煤炭 行情的这个专题会议。那么核心还是节中的话，整体的这个，包括海外资产，包括其实商 品资产，也都出现了比较积极的这个大幅的这个波动。所以，这个长安金属煤炭联合还是 希望在节前去做一个这个观点的展望，以及整个 2~3 月份的这个配置的这样的一个策略。 我这边是这个贵金属叶如珍，然后主要是先更新一下这个黄金和白银的这个假期内的这个 情境。那么假期中，其实核心的线索主要还是这个特朗普和最高法院的这个司法战，触发 的这个避险情绪。 那么带动的贵金属的行情进一步的这个上行，那么触发的这个时点，其实主要是源于 2 月 20 日，这个美国最高法院对这个特朗普裁定这个从动无无权限。在非紧急特殊状态下实施 全面广泛这个性关税。那么在这个裁决之后，特朗普又基于这个 1974 年的这个贸易法案 的第 122 条。立即这个征收了这个 10%的这个全球的关税，那么有效期为 150 天。这一 来一回，直接我们讲导致了这个美元和美债利率的走弱，那么从而，一一方面催生了这个 整体这个美国经济预期的扰动。 另外一方面，还是主要是这个贸易情绪的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal mining industry [4] Core Views - The coal market is expected to perform well post-holiday, driven by domestic price increases as demand shifts towards domestic coal procurement due to rising overseas prices [1][7] - The focus for the coal market this year is on overseas developments rather than domestic factors, with potential "black swan" events in the overseas market, particularly related to U.S. demand and Indonesian production cuts, being crucial for price movements [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of Indonesian coal supply and its impact on global coal prices, suggesting that significant production cuts could lead to a tight global coal market and higher prices [2] Summary by Sections Market Review - The CITIC Coal Index reached 3940.86 points, up 1.86%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.5 percentage points during the week of February 9 to February 13, 2026 [77] - Domestic coal production was largely halted during the holiday, but overseas coal prices continued to rise, leading to an expectation of increased domestic prices as demand shifts [1][7] Key Areas of Analysis - **Thermal Coal**: Supply constraints have led to stable price increases before the holiday, with port inventories declining and daily consumption at power plants decreasing [11][27][30] - **Coking Coal**: Prices remained stable as downstream inventory replenishment ended, with a focus on the impact of Mongolian coal imports [35][42] - **Coke**: The market is expected to remain stable post-holiday, with attention on downstream demand recovery [53][75] Key Companies - The report highlights several companies as key investment targets, including: - China Shenhua (601088.SH) with a "Buy" rating and projected EPS growth [9] - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225.SH) also rated "Buy" [9] - New Energy (601918.SH) and Jinneng Holding (601001.SH) with "Buy" ratings [9] - Companies with overseas operations such as China Qinfa (Indonesia), Power Development (South Africa), and Yancoal Australia are noted for their potential benefits from overseas market dynamics [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the photovoltaic industry, with the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index rising by 1.93% as of February 24, 2026, driven by significant gains in key stocks such as GCL-Poly Energy and South Grid Energy [1] - The National Energy Administration plans to implement a new energy system and sector-specific energy plans in 2026, marking the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on energy security and the construction of a strong energy nation [1] - Key engineering projects will be crucial for the implementation of these plans, including the construction of major renewable energy bases and the promotion of small-scale projects like electric vehicle charging networks and zero-carbon parks [1] Group 2 - Guoyuan Securities indicates that since July 2025, measures to combat "involution" have improved the profitability of the photovoltaic industry, with expectations for a recovery in the industry due to price control and supply-side adjustments [2] - The photovoltaic industry chain is anticipated to turn profitable in 2026, supported by the exit of less efficient companies and technological upgrades among leading firms [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index accounted for 53.49% of the index, with companies like TBEA and LONGi Green Energy leading the list [2] Group 3 - The photovoltaic ETF managed by Harvest (159123) serves as a convenient tool for investing across the entire photovoltaic industry chain [3] - Investors can also access the photovoltaic ETF through an off-market connection (014605) to capitalize on investment opportunities within the photovoltaic sector [4]

每经AI快讯，2月24日，火电指数盘中强势上涨3%，成分股表现活跃。其中，豫能控股涨停，晋控电力 上涨7.69%，电投绿能上涨7.02%，新能泰山上涨5.99%，东方电气上涨5.84%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

%% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨行业深度 [Table_Title] 电裕求新变，煤紧风正帆 %% %% 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 张韦华 肖勇 赵超 SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490516080003 SAC：S0490519030001 SFC：BQT627 SFC：BUT918 SFC：BUY139 叶如祯 司旗 宋尚骞 SAC：S0490517070008 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 庄越 刘亚辉 韦思宇 SAC：S0490522090003 SAC：S0490523080003 SAC：S0490524120007 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 25 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年用电需求增速放缓，火电电量近 10 年首次负增长，风电、光伏、火电新增装机创新高 的同时利用小时加速恶化。展望 2026 年，虽然绿电建设降速，但电量过剩问题依然较为严峻， 火电利用小时压力较大，看好价格机制改革的推进落实。结合电力供需平衡表对煤电的预 ...

上市公司：甘肃能化（000552），新大洲Ａ（000571），冀中能源（000937），蓝焰控股（000968）， 山西焦煤（000983），电投能源（002128），郑州煤电（600121），兰花科创（600123），安源煤业 （600397），大有能源（600403），上海能源（600508），山煤国际（600546），淮河能源 （600575），辽宁能源（600758） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国石油天然气开采行业市场运行格局及发展策略分析报 告》 2025年1-12月，开采专业及辅助性活动企业数（以下数据涉及的企业，均为规模以上工业企业，从2011 年起，规模以上工业企业起点标准由原来的年主营业务收入500万元提高到年主营业务收入2000万元） 为448个，和上年同期相比，增加了43个，同比增长10.62%，占工业总企业的比重为0.09%。 2016-2025年开采专业及辅助性活动工业企业数统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产 ...

数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 2025年1-12月，煤炭开采和洗选业企业数（以下数据涉及的企业，均为规模以上工业企业，从2011年 起，规模以上工业企业起点标准由原来的年主营业务收入500万元提高到年主营业务收入2000万元）为 5234个，和上年同期相比，增加了53个，同比增长1.02%，占工业总企业的比重为1%。 2016-2025年煤炭开采和洗选业企业数统计图 上市公司：甘肃能化（000552），新大洲Ａ（000571），冀中能源（000937），山西焦煤（000983）， 电投能源（002128），郑州煤电（600121），兖矿能源（600188），华阳股份（600348），盘江股份 （600395），安源煤业（600397），开滦股份（600997），晋控煤业（601001），昊华能源 （601101），陕西煤业（601225） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《中国煤炭产业全景调研及未来发展趋势研判报告（2026版）》 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 ...

上市公司：甘肃能化（000552），新大洲Ａ（000571），冀中能源（000937），山西焦煤（000983）， 电投能源（002128），郑州煤电（600121），兖矿能源（600188），华阳股份（600348），盘江股份 （600395），安源煤业（600397），开滦股份（600997），晋控煤业（601001），昊华能源 （601101），陕西煤业（601225） 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 2016-2025年煤炭开采和洗选业企业数统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国城市燃气生产和供应行业市场深度评估及投资机会预测 报告》 2025年1-12月，煤炭开采和洗选业企业数（以下数据涉及的企业，均为规模以上工业企业，从2011年 起，规模以上工业企业起点标准由原来的年主营业务收入500万元提高到年主营业务收入2000万元 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Views - The report indicates that the coal industry is at the beginning of a new upward cycle, with a favorable combination of fundamentals and policies, making it a good time to invest in the coal sector [11][12] - The report highlights a significant increase in coal prices, with Qinhuangdao port's Q5500 coal price reaching 717 CNY/ton, up 24 CNY/ton week-on-week, driven by optimistic market expectations post-holiday and reduced supply from major coal-producing regions [11][30] - The report emphasizes the ongoing supply-demand balance in the short term, with a medium to long-term supply gap expected to persist, reinforcing the investment logic in coal assets [11][12] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Price Tracking - As of February 13, the market price for Qinhuangdao port's Q5500 coal is 717 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 3.5% [6][30] - International coal prices have also risen, with Newcastle's FOB price for Q5500 coal at 81.5 USD/ton, up 6.5% week-on-week [6][30] 2. Coal Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 84.4%, down 3.1 percentage points week-on-week, while the utilization rate for coking coal mines is 81.39%, down 5.3 percentage points [11][49] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces decreased by 10% week-on-week, while coastal provinces saw an 18.8% decline [11][50] 3. Coal Inventory Situation - Coal inventory in inland provinces increased by 1.854 million tons week-on-week, while coastal provinces saw a smaller increase of 0.235 million tons [50] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on stable and high-performing companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others, while also considering companies with high elasticity like Yanzhou Coal and others [12]