Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [15]. Core Insights - The report highlights the growth potential of 隆盛科技 in the commercial aerospace sector, focusing on core component supply and deepening relationships with key customers, successfully entering the satellite constellation supply chain [2][3]. - The company is expanding its production capacity in the harmonic reducer sector, aiming for 200,000 units by 2026, while also exploring new applications in commercial aerospace [4]. - The automotive industry shows a positive trend, with domestic and international vehicle production and sales increasing, particularly in the new energy vehicle segment [6][7]. Summary by Sections 隆盛科技 Update - 隆盛科技 is focusing on core component supply in the commercial aerospace sector, with its subsidiary 微研中佳 providing key components for satellite energy and control modules, successfully integrating into the supply chains of major aerospace companies [3]. - The company is also advancing in the harmonic reducer market, with a planned production capacity of 200,000 units by 2026, and is developing customized solutions for humanoid and industrial robots [4]. - Other business segments, including drones and precision components, are showing positive growth, with significant advancements in the natural gas heavy-duty truck EGR valve market [5]. Quarterly Report Preview - According to data from 中汽协, the total vehicle production and sales for Q4 2025 reached 10.186 million and 10.023 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 3.9% and 1.7% [6]. - Domestic retail share for independent brands reached 66.9% in Q4 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2 percentage points, while new energy vehicle wholesale reached 4.89 million units, up 13.2% year-on-year [7]. - The average industry discount rate decreased by 1.33 percentage points to 12.28% in Q4 2025, indicating reduced terminal discounts [8]. - Traditional raw material price indices saw a decline, while new energy raw material prices and shipping costs increased, impacting supply chain profitability [8].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2][17]. Core Insights - The report highlights the growth potential in the commercial aerospace sector, with the company focusing on core component supply and deepening relationships with key clients, successfully entering the satellite industry chain [4]. - The harmonic reducer segment is projected to reach a production capacity of 200,000 units by 2026, with ongoing expansion into new commercial aerospace applications [5]. - The company is actively promoting the collaborative development of multiple business segments, solidifying its core competitiveness across various sectors including drones, precision components, and natural gas heavy-duty vehicle EGR valves [6]. - The automotive industry shows a positive trend with a total production and sales of 10.186 million and 10.023 million vehicles respectively in Q4 2025, reflecting year-on-year increases of 3.9% and 1.7% [7]. - Domestic brands are leading the market with a retail share of 66.9% in Q4 2025, while new energy vehicles continue to see significant growth [8]. - The average industry discount rate has decreased, indicating reduced terminal concessions, with the average discount rate falling by 1.33 percentage points to 12.28% [9]. - Traditional raw material prices have declined, while new energy raw material prices and shipping costs have increased, impacting supply chain profitability [9]. Summary by Sections 1. 隆盛科技 Update - The company is focusing on core component supply in the commercial aerospace sector, successfully integrating into the satellite industry chain with key clients [4]. - The harmonic reducer production capacity is set to reach 200,000 units by 2026, with new applications in commercial aerospace being explored [5]. - The company is enhancing collaboration across various business segments to strengthen its competitive edge [6]. 2. Q4 Forecast - The automotive industry saw production and sales of 10.186 million and 10.023 million vehicles in Q4 2025, with year-on-year growth of 3.9% and 1.7% respectively [7]. - Domestic brands captured a retail market share of 66.9%, with new energy vehicle sales increasing by 13.2% year-on-year [8]. - The average industry discount rate decreased by 1.33 percentage points to 12.28%, indicating reduced terminal concessions [9]. - Traditional raw material prices fell, while new energy raw material prices rose, affecting supply chain profitability [9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Hold" [6] Core Views - The automotive sector experienced a weekly increase of 2.20%, with the best-performing sub-sector being automotive services, which rose by 6.87% [3] - The average daily wholesale volume of domestic passenger car manufacturers was 51,200 units, a year-on-year decrease of 28.00%, while the average daily retail volume was 50,200 units, down 22.00% year-on-year [3] - In January, the narrow passenger car retail market is expected to reach approximately 1.8 million units, with new energy vehicles accounting for around 800,000 units, resulting in a penetration rate of 44.4% [4] - CATL launched a light commercial vehicle solution featuring the industry's first mass-produced sodium battery, which can operate effectively in extreme temperatures [4][11] - Tesla plans to sell the Optimus robot to the public by the end of next year, indicating a significant future business line for the company [5] Summary by Sections Automotive Sector Performance - The automotive sector's weekly performance was +2.20%, ranking 15th among 31 first-level industries [3] - The top five companies in terms of stock performance included New Coordinates (+36.30%) and Iron Flow Co. (+32.97%) [3] Sales and Market Trends - The expected retail sales for January are 1.8 million units, with a month-on-month decrease of 20.4% but a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [4] - The penetration rate for new energy vehicles in January is projected at 44.4% [4] Technological Developments - CATL's sodium battery solution for light commercial vehicles is designed for various vehicle types and can function in extreme cold [4][11] - The first prototype of the Hongqi all-solid-state battery has successfully passed critical testing, marking a significant technological advancement for the company [11] Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies involved in intelligent vehicle technology and those with potential overseas sales [12] - Recommended companies include Beiqi Blue Valley and several component manufacturers [14]

26年有望成为无人驾驶商业化元年，当前特斯拉部署的FSD V14或已达准L4水平，政策宽松预期强化。 近期美国众议院举行听证会，讨论更为宽松的新汽车自动驾驶立法;国内上海发布《上海高级别自动驾 驶引领区"模速智行"行动计划》，目标到2027年高级别自动驾驶应用场景实现规模化落地。该行看好具 备软硬一体解决方案能力的主机厂及Tier1、出行平台及运营商、芯片、激光雷达及线控底盘等等自主 可控增量零部件，主机厂科技属性有望重估。 人形机器人：近期T链核心供应商关键沟通持续推进，未来1-2个月去伪存真强化，进入基本面兑现阶 段，板块缩圈特征显著，重点把握T链确定性及技术迭代受益环节。 后续板块跟踪潜在节点包括：1.28 特斯拉年报解读、2-3月V3样机正式发布及小批量量产、Q2供应链海外产能准备进展、下半年大规模量 产，以及宇树上市进展等。 智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，当前汽车板块处于淡季弱势表现，但近期来看，市场对销量 悲观预期反馈逐步钝化，悲观预期见底，结构性看反内卷及出海预期改善，自动驾驶政策催化落地，人 形机器人特斯拉V3临近推出节点。该行维持前期观点，26年汽车以旧换新政策支撑内需，商用车或更 ...

行 业 及 产 业 2026 年 01 月 26 日 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 相关研究 《整车出海、机器人预期强化；同时关注 业绩确定性白马——2026/1/12- 2026/1/18 汽车周报》 2026/01/19 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 黄忠煌 A0230519110001 huangzh@swsresearch.com 联系人 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 从成本到数据，机器人进步新范式 看好 ——机器人行业发展核心竞争力探讨 本期投资提示： 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 评 ⚫ 新能源汽车与人形机器人两大硬科技产业具备高度同构性，2026 年人形机器人的发展 节点对标 2012-2014 年的新能源汽车，而新能源汽车的产业演进路径也为机器人行业 提供了清晰的阶段对标框架。二者均依托成熟大规模制造业与 AI 算法跃迁，国内新能 源车借国家战略驱动爆发，完成政策到市场、技术到生态的演进；2026 年机器人技术 刚迈过"可用"门槛，政策推动、资本热度空前，与彼 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the mechanical equipment industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The humanoid robot sector is showing structural strength with a clear upward trend, as indicated by the recent index movements and increased trading volume [5][14] - Key drivers for the humanoid robot industry include Elon Musk's announcement at Davos regarding the public sale of Optimus by the end of 2026 or early 2027, the debut of the "Magic Atom Robot" at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala, and the verification of mass production capabilities by Yushutech with an expected shipment of over 5,500 units in 2025 [6][15] - The industry is transitioning from technology validation to mass production, establishing a solid foundation for long-term growth [6][15] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robot Sector - The humanoid robot index has entered a phase of oscillating upward movement, outperforming the CSI 300 index with a 0.82% increase [5][14] - The top five performers in the humanoid robot sector for the week include New Coordinates (36.30%), Weichuang Electric (12.31%), and Top Group (11.30%) [5][14] Magic Atom Robot - The "Magic Atom Robot," developed by Chasing Technology, will showcase its capabilities at the 2026 CCTV Spring Festival Gala, marking a significant step in public recognition and market penetration for humanoid robots [20][28] - The performance of the Magic Bot Z1 and Magic Dog robots will be tested in a live environment, demonstrating their advanced motion control and interaction capabilities [21][24] Focus on 2026 Production - The humanoid robot industry is expected to transition from "0-1" to "1-10" in 2025, focusing on technological convergence and certainty in production [35] - The anticipated mass production and commercialization in 2026 will shift the focus to order fulfillment and capacity building, with key beneficiaries identified in various segments such as structural components and motors [42]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Longsheng Technology's stock has seen a significant increase of 5.03%, reaching a price of 61.97 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 656 million yuan and a turnover rate of 6.12%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 14.112 billion yuan [1] - Longsheng Technology, established on June 16, 2004, and listed on July 25, 2017, operates in the engine exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) system sector, new energy sector, and precision components sector. The revenue composition is 62.71% from other businesses and 37.29% from EGR products and injection systems [1] Group 2 - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Longsheng Technology, a fund under Invesco Great Wall, specifically the Invesco Great Wall Steady Return Mixed A (001194), has newly entered the list in the third quarter, holding 1.6733 million shares, which accounts for 0.95% of the circulating shares. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 4.9697 million yuan [2] - The Invesco Great Wall Steady Return Mixed A fund, established on April 10, 2015, has a latest scale of 2.953 billion yuan. Year-to-date, it has achieved a return of 7.69%, ranking 2858 out of 8847 in its category; over the past year, it has returned 122.45%, ranking 39 out of 8099; and since inception, it has returned 407.22% [2] - The fund manager of Invesco Great Wall Steady Return Mixed A is Jiang Shan, who has been in the position for 4 years and 165 days, with a total fund asset scale of 45.107 billion yuan. The best fund return during his tenure is 242.18%, while the worst is -16.09% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Longsheng Technology's subsidiary, Weiyan Zhongjia, provides key components for satellite energy and control modules, supporting satellite and payload companies, and indirectly serving constellation operators like GW [1] Group 1 - The company has completed the construction of three phases of its aerospace expansion project [1] - The company is rapidly advancing its capacity expansion to lay a solid foundation for the large-scale development of commercial aerospace [1]

Group 1: Company Overview and Subsidiaries - Wuxi Longsheng Technology Co., Ltd. is actively involved in the commercial aerospace sector through its subsidiary Wuxi Weiyan Zhongjia Precision Machinery Co., Ltd., focusing on key components for satellite energy systems [2][3]. - The company has established a strong presence in the aerospace supply chain, providing products to major clients such as Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation and Galaxy Aerospace [3]. Group 2: Product Development and Market Position - The company’s commercial aerospace products include critical components like solar wing hinges and control modules, essential for satellite operations [3]. - Wuxi Longsheng has initiated the development of harmonic reducers for commercial aerospace applications, indicating a strategic expansion into emerging markets [3][4]. - The company has completed three phases of its aerospace expansion project, enhancing production capacity to meet growing customer demands [4]. Group 3: Electric Motor and Precision Parts - The electric motor core components are positioned to serve both passenger and commercial vehicle markets, with a focus on high-value segments [4]. - The precision parts division, acquired in 2018, continues to be a cornerstone of the company’s operations, emphasizing automotive components and efficient supply chain management [4]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in production capacity for harmonic reducers, projecting an output of approximately 200,000 units for the year 2026 [4]. Group 4: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The demand for natural gas heavy-duty truck EGR valves is expected to grow, with the company successfully breaking through foreign technology monopolies [4]. - The commercial aerospace sector is recognized as a strategic growth engine for the company, with a focus on leveraging product performance and delivery capabilities to secure a competitive advantage [3][4].

Group 1 - Yongda Automotive shows strong recovery potential in luxury car dealership performance, supported by cash flow and dividend yield attractiveness [1] - The company benefits from BMW's support in new car gross profit, alongside the clearing of inefficient dealerships in the luxury car sector [1] - The new energy business is expected to contribute significantly, with a projected net cash flow exceeding 1.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [1] Group 2 - Tianzhun Technology's core business is experiencing strong growth, but the industry faces cost pressures due to memory shortages [2] - The company focuses on intelligent driving and embodied intelligence, with significant growth momentum [2] - The shortage of high-end DDR5 memory and rising DRAM prices are impacting the cost structure for automotive manufacturers [2] Group 3 - Longsheng Technology has significant untapped potential in the commercial aerospace sector, with its subsidiary positioned in precision welding components [3] - The traditional business remains a core pillar of performance, while the robotics segment has clear long-term growth logic [3] - Yinxun shares are expected to see substantial market value elasticity due to the data center liquid cooling module as a core growth driver [3] Group 4 - Fuda shares have issued convertible bonds, signaling positive developments, with strong performance expected in 2026 due to scarce production capacity [3] - The company is involved in the drafting of national standards for robotic components, with overseas client validation progressing [3] - Tiancheng Self-Control is positioned as a key player in the low-altitude economy, with significant market share potential as the industry matures [3]