Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Sands China (01928) declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.25 per share, consistent with last year's final dividend, but increased the payout ratio to 63% [1] Group 1: Dividend and Financial Projections - The bank expects the final dividend for 2025 to remain at HKD 0.25, totaling HKD 0.50 for the year; assuming gradual increases to HKD 0.80 in 2026 and HKD 1.00 in 2027 [1] - Sands China's target price is slightly raised from HKD 21.5 to HKD 21.6, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2: Market Conditions and Business Strategy - Compared to Galaxy Entertainment (00027), Sands China's dividend may disappoint some investors, but Goldman Sachs believes this aligns with expectations due to recent fluctuations in gaming revenue market share, indicating significant business pressure [1] - The management's short-term goal is to increase gaming volume to achieve an EBITDA close to USD 2.6 to 2.7 billion, which is anticipated to be reached by 2026 [1] - Unlike other gaming companies that base dividends on payout ratios, Sands China prefers to maintain consistent dividend amounts across different market cycles, as evidenced by maintaining a full-year dividend of HKD 1.99 during the anti-corruption period from 2014 to 2015 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Sands China (01928) declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.25 per share, consistent with the previous year's final dividend, but with an increased payout ratio of 63% [1] Group 1: Dividend and Financial Projections - The bank expects the final dividend for 2025 to remain at HKD 0.25, leading to a total annual dividend of HKD 0.50; it anticipates gradual increases to HKD 0.80 in 2026 and HKD 1.00 in 2027 [1] - Sands China's target price is slightly raised from HKD 21.5 to HKD 21.6, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2: Market Conditions and Business Strategy - Despite some investor disappointment compared to Galaxy Entertainment (00027) increasing its dividend, Goldman Sachs believes Sands China's decision aligns with expectations due to fluctuations in market share and increased promotional activities to address competition [1] - The management has indicated that the short-term goal is to enhance gaming volume, aiming for EBITDA to reach between USD 2.6 billion and USD 2.7 billion, which is expected to be achieved by 2026 [1] - Unlike other gaming companies that base dividends on payout ratios, Sands China prefers to maintain consistent dividend amounts across different market cycles, as evidenced by its stability during the anti-corruption period from 2014 to 2015 [1]

高盛发表研报指，金沙中国宣派中期每股0.25港元，与去年末期股息持平，但派息率提高至63%。虽然 与银河娱乐提高派息相比，金沙的股息或令部分投资者略感失望，但该行认为此举符合预期，因近期集 团的博彩收入市场份额波动，反映业务面临较大压力，需要增加促销活动以应对竞争。 另外，金沙中国管理层早前指短期目标是提升博彩量，令EBITDA接近26亿至27亿美元水平，该行料有 关目标需到2026年才能达成。基于业务复苏与市场份额恢复进度，该行现料2025年末期息维持0.25港 元，全年合计为0.5港元；假设2026年股息逐步提升至0.8港元，2027年可达1港元。 高盛将金沙中国目标价由21.5港元微升至21.6港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

研究报告 Research Report 17 Aug 2025 中国 & 香港 & 美国可选消费 China (A-share) & Hong Kong & US Discretionary 可选消费 W33 周度趋势解析：海外消费表现优异，新消费主题股价稳健回暖 Week 33 Discretionary Trends: Overseas Consumption Performs Well, New Consumption- Themed Stocks Steadily Recover [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | [Table_Info] | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 评级 | 股票名称 | 评级 | | 耐克 | Outperform 德业股份 | | Outperform | | 美的集团 | Outperform 波司登 | | Outperform | | 京东集团 | Outperform 石头科技 | | Outperform | | 格力电器 | Outperform 永辉超市 | | ...

Core Insights - The 2025 South China Book Festival has attracted over 200 cultural figures from home and abroad, marking the largest gathering of its kind [1] - Guangdong has established itself as a cultural highland, leading the nation in cultural industry revenue and innovation [2][10] - The festival has evolved since its inception in 1993, becoming a significant platform for cultural exchange and international collaboration [3][5] Group 1: Cultural Significance - The South China Book Festival has been held for 32 years, showcasing a commitment to cultural promotion and internationalization [3] - The festival serves as a bridge for understanding overseas publishing trends and fostering copyright cooperation [3][5] - Notable authors and cultural figures frequently participate, enhancing the festival's reputation as a cultural hub [3] Group 2: Economic Impact - Guangdong's cultural industry generated approximately 2.5 trillion yuan in revenue in 2024, accounting for over one-sixth of the national total [2] - The new cultural economy, including digital publishing and gaming, has seen a revenue increase of 10.5% [2] - The province's GDP has consistently ranked first in the country for 35 years, providing a robust foundation for cultural investment and consumption [8] Group 3: Industry Development - Guangdong has implemented a comprehensive policy package to stimulate high-quality development in the cultural sector, covering various fields such as film and gaming [11][14] - Major film and television companies are establishing operations in Guangdong, with over 40 key domestic enterprises already present [11] - The province has allocated over 100 million yuan annually to support film production and promotion, resulting in significant box office success [13] Group 4: Future Prospects - New cultural projects and collaborations are emerging, indicating strong confidence in Guangdong's cultural industry [14] - The region is expected to continue attracting cultural enterprises and talent due to its favorable policies and market conditions [14] - The integration of technology and culture is anticipated to drive further innovation and growth in the sector [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Galaxy Entertainment, highlighting the resilience of the gaming industry and the long-term growth potential of the company [6]. Core Insights - Galaxy Entertainment achieved a net revenue of HKD 12 billion in Q2 2025, representing an 8% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 10% year-on-year increase. The adjusted EBITDA was HKD 3.2 billion, with a 7% quarter-on-quarter increase but a 1% year-on-year decline. Key revenue metrics have recovered to 82%, 130%, 138%, and 31% of 2019 levels for total gross revenue, mass market revenue, slot machine revenue, and VIP turnover, respectively [6][8]. - The company has a net cash position of HKD 30.3 billion as of June 30, 2025, and announced an interim dividend of HKD 0.70 per share, with a payout ratio of 58%, up from 50% in 2024 [6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Overseas Social Services - Galaxy Entertainment's Q2 2025 performance shows a recovery in various revenue streams, with EBITDA returning to 79% of 2019 levels. The Capella Hotel is in trial operation, with full opening expected soon. The Macau Galaxy Phase IV project is progressing, with completion expected in 2027 [6][8]. 2. Overseas Pharmaceuticals - The 2025 medical insurance directory and commercial insurance innovative drug directory preliminary review has been published, with 534 out of 718 submissions passing the initial review. The new directory includes several CAR-T products and other innovative drugs [10][12]. 3. Domestic Pharmaceutical Companies - Crystal Holdings expects a revenue of at least HKD 500 million in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of approximately 387%. In contrast, Jinxin Reproductive expects a net loss of no more than HKD 1.09 billion due to asset impairments [11][12]. 4. Overseas Pharmaceutical Company Updates - Insmed's DPP-1 inhibitor, BRINSUPRI, has received FDA approval for treating non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis. Novartis's BAFF-R monoclonal antibody has met primary endpoints in two Phase III studies for treating active Sjögren's syndrome [13][14]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on innovative drugs and pharmaceutical companies with strong clinical pipelines, including companies like BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others [15]. 6. Market Performance - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index rose by 3.50%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 1.75 percentage points, indicating a positive market sentiment towards healthcare stocks [8].

Core Viewpoint - Galaxy Entertainment reported a mixed performance in 2Q25, with net revenue growth but lower-than-expected EBITDA, leading to revised earnings forecasts and a lowered target price while maintaining a Buy rating [1][4]. Financial Performance - 2Q25 net revenue reached HK$12.0 billion, reflecting an 8% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 10% year-over-year increase [1]. - Normalized adjusted EBITDA was HK$3.2 billion, showing a 7% increase QoQ but a 1% decrease YoY, attributed to a lower mass market hold rate [1]. - Total gross gaming revenue, mass market revenue, slot machine revenue, and VIP rolling chip volume recovered to 82%, 130%, 138%, and 31% of 2Q19 levels, respectively [2]. - EBITDA recovery was at 79% of the 2019 level [2]. Dividend and Cash Position - As of June 30, 2025, the company's net cash stood at HK$30.3 billion [4]. - The interim dividend is set at HK$0.70 per share, with a payout ratio increased to 58% from 50% in 2024 [4]. New Developments - The Capella Hotel, a 95-all-suite project, has been in trial operation since May, with full opening expected soon [3]. - Construction of Phase 4 of Galaxy Macau is progressing, with completion scheduled for 2027, featuring high-end hotel brands, a theater with approximately 5,000 seats, green gardens, a water resort deck, and a casino [3]. Investment Outlook - The target price has been revised down from HK$55 to HK$50, indicating a 24% upside potential, while the Buy rating is maintained due to the resilience of the gaming business and long-term growth potential [1][4].

Core Viewpoint - Galaxy Entertainment's 2Q25 performance met market expectations, with net revenue of HKD 12.044 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8%, recovering to 91% of 2Q19 levels [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for 2Q25 was HKD 3.569 billion, up 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, aligning closely with Bloomberg's expectation of HKD 3.540 billion [1] - The company announced an interim dividend of HKD 0.70 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of approximately 60% [1] Growth Drivers - The strong performance was attributed to the opening of the Capella hotel, which increased market share, and entertainment activities that boosted property visitation [1] - Cost control measures helped maintain stable daily operating costs [1] Management Insights - The management expects capital expenditure for 2025 to be HKD 7 billion, with HKD 3 billion spent in the first half of 2025 [1] - The company plans to continue hosting large concerts and entertainment events in Macau, recognizing the sustainability and return potential of integrated resorts [1] Market Positioning - The high-end gaming segment continues to outperform the regular gaming segment, driven by the opening of Capella [1] - The management anticipates that the StarWorld Hotel will benefit from the demand for satellite casinos, which are expected to close by the end of 2025 [1] Investment Outlook - Due to the better-than-expected performance of Capella, the adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 5% and 3% to HKD 14.524 billion and HKD 15.330 billion, respectively [2] - The target price has been increased by 6% to HKD 44.80, reflecting an 11% upside potential based on a 10x EV/adjusted EBITDA for 2025 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Galaxy Entertainment's Q2 2025 financial results show strong recovery in gaming operations, driven by the concert economy, but stock performance was muted due to profit-taking and operational pressures at the StarWorld Hotel [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q2 2025 gaming gross gaming revenue (GGR) reached HKD 12 billion, up 16% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 82% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - VIP gaming revenue was HKD 2.4 billion, up 73% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 33% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - Mass gaming revenue was HKD 8.8 billion, up 6% year-on-year and 7% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 130% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - Slot machine revenue was HKD 800 million, up 19% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 139% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was HKD 3.6 billion, up 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 82% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. Group 2: Entertainment and Customer Traffic - In the first half of 2025, Galaxy hosted 190 entertainment, sports, and exhibition events, resulting in a 65% year-on-year increase in customer traffic [2]. - Notable events included the World Table Tennis Championships and concerts by major artists, leading to a peak daily visitor count of 123,000 [2]. - The company is advancing the upgrade of the StarWorld Hotel and the construction of Phase IV in Cotai, which will feature a theater, water park, and family-friendly facilities, expected to open in 2027 [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Valuation - The entertainment momentum is expected to continue into the second half of 2025, with various events planned that could enhance customer traffic across the Cotai area [3]. - The target price for Galaxy has been raised to HKD 49.5, reflecting a valuation premium due to its strong market position and diversified non-gaming offerings [3]. - GGR forecasts for 2025-2027 have been increased by 1.6%, 5.6%, and 2.7% to HKD 459 billion, HKD 529 billion, and HKD 568 billion respectively [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for Q2 2025, with significant year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth in net revenue and adjusted EBITDA, driven primarily by high-end gaming activities [1][2][4] Financial Performance - Net revenue for the company increased by 10.3% year-on-year and 7.5% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 12.04 billion, recovering to 91.4% of the same period in 2019 [1] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 12.4% year-on-year and 8.3% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 3.57 billion, recovering to 82.4% of the same period in 2019, with an EBITDA margin of 29.6% [1] - The company announced an interim dividend of HKD 0.7 per share, with a payout ratio increased to 59%, marking it as the first in the industry to raise dividends [1] Segment Performance - "Galaxy Macau" and StarWorld Hotel reported net revenues of HKD 10 billion and HKD 1.17 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 16% and a decline of 11.5%, while quarter-on-quarter changes were 9% and a decrease of 5.7% [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for "Galaxy Macau" and StarWorld Hotel was HKD 3.33 billion and HKD 0.30 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 19.5% and a decline of 22.3%, and quarter-on-quarter changes of 10.2% and a decrease of 13.4% [2] - Hotel occupancy rates for "Galaxy Macau" and StarWorld Hotel were reported at 98% and 100% respectively [2] Development Projects - The company has commenced trial operations for its new hotel brand, Capella, which features approximately 95 luxury villas and suites, aiming to attract high-quality clientele [3] - Ongoing construction for the fourth phase of "Galaxy Macau" is expected to be completed by 2027, covering an area of approximately 600,000 square meters and introducing several high-end hotel brands [3] - The total capital expenditure budget for the year is set at HKD 7 billion, with HKD 1.5 billion already invested during the period [3] Market Dynamics - Large concerts and performances are contributing to overall revenue growth, while competition within the industry remains intense but manageable [4] - Retail sales remained stable, with rental income increasing by 1%, and future retail growth is expected to be steady [4] - The company is focusing on enhancing non-gaming facilities to cater to mid-market strategies, particularly at StarWorld Hotel [4] Investment Outlook - The company maintains a buy rating with a target price of HKD 49.81, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth prospects due to strong financials, robust management, and ongoing development projects [4]