野心还看不懂吗？ 对于马斯克和他背后的商业帝国，不能再用老眼光看了。 特斯拉可能既是商业伙伴，又是国家威胁。 想象一下，当最后一辆特斯拉Model S缓缓驶下加州弗里蒙特工厂的生产线，经过一番改造后，从这里将走出以百万计的Optimus机器人；想象一下，马斯 克的SpaceX及其全资拥有的子公司xAI正在参加五角大楼的秘密项目，目标是研发可由语音控制、自主运行的无人机集群技术…… 随着市场逐渐饱和、竞争对手不断涌现，电动汽车市场竞争愈发激烈，利润空间也在不断被压缩。 2025年，特斯拉全球交付163.61万辆电动车，同比下降8.56%，连续第二年下滑。 那一刻，可能既是在宣告特斯拉一个时代的结束，也是人类工业史上一个新里程碑时刻。 1月28日，特斯拉四季度业绩电话会议上，CEO埃隆·马斯克宣布将于今年二季度末正式停产Model S和Model X，腾出产能用于生产Optimus机器人。 在马斯克眼中，Optimus和Cybercab无人驾驶出租车才是特斯拉未来的核心增长点，这与其在SpaceX和星链的布局一脉相承。特斯拉作为现金牛和融资基 盘，为马斯克其他业务创造稳定的资金来源。 然而，马斯克的野心不断膨胀， ...

【重点推荐】 证券研究报告 | 2026年02月24日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2026-02-13 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 4082.07 | 14100.18 | 4660.40 | 15387.66 | 4134.99 | 1470.33 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | -1.25 | -1.27 | -1.25 | -0.94 | -1.19 | -0.71 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 8468.08 | 11358.71 | 4528.78 | 3880.66 | 5421.16 | 615.92 | 宏观与策略 策略专题:策略专题研究-决胜 26 年牛市的三大行业机遇 行业与公司 公用环保行业专题:可控核聚变系列研究（一）-聚变启航，未来已来 【常规内容】 宏观与策略 宏观快评:1 月金融数据解读-居民信贷"破冰" 宏观快评:美国 1 月 CPI 点评-通胀回落，降息时点仍靠后 固定收益投 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that solid-state batteries are expected to enter a critical phase in 2026, with vehicle-grade packs beginning road tests in H1 and mass production lines expected to be established in H2, driven by GWh-level production line tenders and new vehicle models appearing in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology directory [1] - In 2025, the industrialization of solid-state batteries is accelerating, with vehicle-grade cells expected to be produced in H1 and pilot lines established in H2, leading to two major market surges [1] - The key catalysts for 2026 are the tenders for GWh-level production lines and the road testing of solid-state related vehicle models, which may lead to significant market movements similar to those in 2025 [1] Group 2 - Solid-state batteries are naturally suited for space applications due to their wide temperature range, high safety, and energy density, making them ideal for extreme conditions such as vacuum and high radiation [2] - The annual demand for solid-state batteries in satellite applications is expected to reach tens to hundreds of GWh, with additional potential in deep space exploration and lunar bases [2] - Investment recommendations include focusing on four main lines: battery segment led by CATL, equipment segment with companies like Xianhui Technology, materials segment with lithium sulfide and electrolytes, and new technologies with firms like Zhongyi Technology [2]

Core Insights - The lithium battery sector is experiencing significant price increases, with lithium carbonate rising to 170,000 yuan/ton (+42% MoM) and lithium hydroxide to 165,000 yuan/ton (+62% MoM) [1] - In December, China's wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.42 million units, showing a year-on-year increase of 26% [1] Group 1: Lithium Battery Market - The lithium battery sector has shown strong performance since January 2026, outperforming major indices like the CSI 300 and SSE 50 [2] - The lithium-related sectors have seen monthly transaction values increase, with the low-altitude economy segment rising by 44% [2] - The market is currently focused on the lithium battery sector, with many segments at historically high valuation levels [2] Group 2: Carbonate Lithium Cycle and New Technologies - The lithium carbonate market is undergoing a cyclical reversal, driven by inflation in the supply chain and the emergence of new technologies like sodium batteries [3] - Historical analysis indicates that from 2015 to 2025, lithium carbonate has experienced two complete cycles, with the next upturn expected to be driven by domestic energy storage capacity subsidies and new energy vehicle replacement policies [3] Group 3: New Energy Vehicle Sales - December saw a mixed performance in the new energy vehicle market, with China and Europe showing strong growth while the U.S. market faced challenges [4] - In December, new energy vehicle sales in China, Europe, and the U.S. were 1.42 million, 300,000, and 80,000 units respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +3%, +35%, and -35% [4] Group 4: Energy Storage Developments - In December, China's energy storage installations reached 63 GWh, a significant increase of 95% MoM and 441% YoY, driven by year-end project completions [5] - The U.S. energy storage market saw a total installation of 39 GWh for the year, with a year-on-year growth of 39%, although this was below expectations due to uncertainties from the Inflation Reduction Act [5] Group 5: Price Trends and New Technologies - Lithium salt and cathode materials have seen strong price increases due to policy changes, with lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices rising by 74% and 95% respectively [6] - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating towards commercialization, with significant advancements in production and technology expected by 2025 [7] Group 6: Investment Recommendations - The lithium battery sector is poised for a price and volume surge in 2026, with a focus on companies involved in lithium, separators, and solid-state technology [8]

深度！【东吴电新】固态电池：技术突破装车在即，太空领域打开想象空间 25年看，固态电池产业化加速，H1车规级电芯下线，H2中试线落地，带来两轮主升浪行情。 26年看，固态电池进入关键期，H1车规级Pack下线，开启装车路试验证，H2预计量产线落地。 我们认为26年核心催化点在于GWh级量产线的 深度！【东吴电新】固态电池：技术突破装车在即，太空领域打开想象空间 26年看，固态电池进入关键期，H1车规级Pack下线，开启装车路试验证，H2预计量产线落地。 我们认为26年核心催化点在于GWh级量产线的招标+固态相关车型的路试，有望带来类比25年两轮大级别的行情， 建议重点关注头部企业的产线招标情况，以及后续亮相工信部申报名录的新车型。 #具备宽温域+高能量+安全性、固态电池天然适配太空领域。 #固态26年进入路试阶段、边际变化从电芯转为Pack、重点关注车型路试进展。 #固态26年进入路试阶段、边际变化从电芯转为Pack、重点关注车型路试进展。 25年看，固态电池产业化加速，H1车规级电芯下线，H2中试线落地，带来两轮主升浪行情。 固态电池在卫星领域每年需求有望达几十甚至上百GWh，此外还有深空探测器、月球基地等 ...

Core Insights - Qianxun Intelligent has successfully completed two rounds of financing totaling nearly 2 billion, attracting top-tier investors from various sectors, including leading venture capital firms and state-owned enterprises, indicating strong confidence in the company's technology and growth prospects [1][2][4] Investment Landscape - The financing round reflects a comprehensive ecosystem of support, with top-tier capital betting on technological foresight, industrial capital injecting resources, and state-owned capital providing long-term stability [2][4] - The investment landscape is characterized by a rapid influx of capital into the embodied intelligence sector, with projections indicating that the total financing in this field in China will reach 73.543 billion by 2025, with over 740 investment events [1][2] Technological Advancements - Qianxun Intelligent's Spirit v1.5 model has become the first Chinese open-source model to surpass the performance of Pi0.5, showcasing strong zero-shot generalization capabilities and efficient execution across various tasks [4][5] - The company has significantly reduced data collection costs by 90% through self-developed equipment, enabling the large-scale deployment of real-world data [5][7] - The company emphasizes the importance of diverse data, asserting that "dirty data" is key to scaling VLA models, which has led to a more valuable data philosophy compared to traditional clean data approaches [9] Commercialization and Industry Impact - Qianxun Intelligent has achieved significant breakthroughs in commercialization, with the world's first humanoid embodied intelligence production line operational at CATL's base, demonstrating superior adaptability and efficiency in production processes [9][11] - Collaborations with major companies like JD.com are expanding the application of embodied intelligence in retail, exploring the potential of large-scale deployment in retail networks [11] Team and Expertise - The company boasts a highly skilled team, often referred to as an "AI dream team," with members from top universities and expertise in core areas such as multimodal large models and robotics, positioning them competitively against global leaders [11] - Investors recognize the team's unique combination of academic excellence and practical industry experience, which is crucial for driving innovation in embodied intelligence [11] Future Outlook - Following this financing round, Qianxun Intelligent plans to increase investments in foundational models and real data systems, aiming to deepen industry collaboration and contribute to the development of embodied intelligence as a core infrastructure for the future [11]

今日早参 2026 年 2 月 24 日 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：美国高院驳回"特朗普关税"后的波折与推演 继美国国际贸易法院与联邦巡回上诉法院先后裁定"特朗普关税"违法后 （参见《法院裁决能阻止特朗普加征关税吗？》，2025/5/30），当地时间 2026 年 2 月 20 日（周五），美国最高法院判定特朗普依据《国际紧急经济 权力法》（IEEPA）征收的"对等关税"和"芬太尼关税"违法。如我们此前 预测，最高法院判决后，特朗普政府当日提出替代性关税政策，表示将依据 美国《1974 年贸易法》第 122 条在常规关税基础上对全球商品加征 10%的 关税，并很快次日在社交媒体 Truth Social 上表示将对部分国家关税上调至 15%，但未公布具体国家列表（参见《最高法院挑战"特朗普关税"后续如 何？》，2025/11/12）。然而，我们认为特朗普关税风波并不会由此平息，不 仅后续关税政策仍有变数，围绕已征收的大量关税返还的机制和体量也仍悬 而未决。IEEPA 关税被驳回彰显了美国"三权分立"体 ...

| 工商信息 | | | | | | 이 응出 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 企业名称 | 时代奇瑞（合肥）新能源科技有限公司 | | | | | | | 法定代表人 | 来永杰 【关联企业 3 ж | 登记状态 2 | 存续 | 天眼评分 2 | 98 % | | | | | 成立日期 | 2026-02-13 | | | | | 统一社会信用代码 ⑦ | 91340181MAK6UFT75P | 注册资本 2 | 200000万人民币 | 实缴资本 ① | | | | 工商注册号 | 340181000249531 | 纳税人识别号 ② | 91340181MAK6UFT75P | 组织机构代码 ② | MAK6UFT7-5 | | | 菅V期限 | 2026-02-13 至 2046-02-13 | 纳税人资质 | | 核准日期 | 2026-02-13 | | | 合同学型 | 其他有限责任公司 | 国标行业 | 技术推广服务(M751) v | 人员规模 | | | | 参保人数 | | 美文名称 | | | | | | 登记机关 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Lithium battery concept stocks have seen significant price increases, driven by strong market demand and favorable industry conditions [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Ruipu Lanjun (00666) increased by 12.17%, trading at 15.49 HKD [1] - Zhongchuang Xinhang (03931) rose by 7.58%, trading at 28.4 HKD [1] - Longpan Technology (603906) (02465) gained 3.21%, trading at 10.92 HKD [1] - CATL (300750) (03750) saw a rise of 2.28%, trading at 538 HKD [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association's lithium division reported a significant increase in lithium carbonate prices in January 2026, with an active market and widening basis [1] - On the supply side, lithium carbonate production remains stable, although some cathode material companies are undergoing maintenance [1] - On the demand side, national subsidies continue to enhance expectations for the new energy vehicle market, while a decrease in lithium battery export tax has boosted first-quarter export demand [1] Group 3: Analyst Recommendations - Aijian Securities suggests that the implementation of a new pricing mechanism for independent energy storage capacity may further drive demand for storage installations, promoting growth in the lithium battery industry [1] - Guojin Securities believes that lithium supply has established a transition through the oversupply cycle, with the inventory cycle officially entering a "proactive restocking" phase of prosperity [1]

Core Insights - The fifth China International Energy Storage Industry Expo (EESA) will take place from November 24 to 26, 2026, at the National Exhibition and Convention Center (Shanghai), featuring over 800 companies showcasing the entire energy storage industry chain [2][4] - The theme of the expo is "Technology Implementation, Resource Aggregation, Global Collaboration," aligning with China's 14th Five-Year Plan for energy development [4] - The event aims to create a comprehensive industrial ecosystem covering technology research and development, product manufacturing, application scenarios, and capital connections [4][5] Scale and Influence - The expo is expected to attract over 800 global energy storage companies, including more than 50 international leading firms, with over 150,000 professional visitors anticipated [7] - The international audience is projected to comprise over 35%, highlighting the expo's global significance and leadership in the energy storage sector [7] - Compared to similar international exhibitions, EESA stands out in terms of exhibition area, number of exhibitors, and degree of internationalization, making it a key player in the global energy storage exhibition landscape [7] Cutting-edge Technologies - The expo will feature a "Black Technology Experience Zone," showcasing next-generation energy storage innovations such as ion batteries, liquid hydrogen storage, and AI smart operations [9] - Leading global companies will present their latest developments, including CATL's "condensed battery," BYD's "cube energy storage system," and Huawei's "light-storage direct current coupling solution" [9] - The technology exhibition will cover a complete chain from material innovation to system integration, addressing energy density and safety boundaries with solid-state and sodium-ion batteries [9] Global Platform - EESA serves as a platform for Chinese manufacturers to connect with global markets and for international companies to enter the Chinese market, leveraging Shanghai's position as a global trade and innovation hub [11] - The organizing committee will invite international buyer groups, including Fluence and Powin, and provide one-stop services for cross-border compliance, product certification, and market consulting [11] - The expo will host over 20 high-level forums focusing on global energy storage policies, including significant regulations like the EU's "New Battery Law" and the US IRA Act, aiding companies in understanding market entry rules and opportunities [11] Comprehensive Industry Coverage - The expo will feature nine specialized exhibition areas to provide a clear view of the energy storage ecosystem, covering all aspects from core components to end-use applications [13] - The range of exhibits will include energy storage systems and core equipment, advanced storage technologies, smart grids, hydrogen and fuel cells, and testing and certification services [13] - The layout of the three exhibition halls is designed to facilitate effective connections between exhibitors and visitors, with each hall focusing on different segments of the industry [16] Value of Participation - Participation in the EESA expo offers companies enhanced brand influence, business opportunities, and industry insights, providing a complete value chain service from technology display to market connection and capital introduction [19] - Exhibitors will engage directly with high-quality buyers, project developers, and investment institutions from around the world, demonstrating the expo's value as an international trade platform [19] - For professional visitors, the expo serves as an excellent opportunity to gain insights into industry trends, compare technology solutions, and establish collaborative networks, supported by over 20 high-end forums and industry matchmaking activities [19]