2026年2月3日早盘，CPO等算力硬件股继续走强，罗博特科、天孚通信盘中涨超10%，股价均创历史新 高，太辰光、炬光科技、光库科技、天通股份等跟涨。 近期，光模块板块表现强劲，中际旭创与新易盛相继发布超预期业绩预告，印证全球算力基础设施建设 持续高景气。中际旭创预计2025年净利润98–118亿元，同比增长89.5%–128.2%，剔除汇兑损失及股权 激励等非经营性影响后实际经营更为扎实；新易盛预计2025年净利润94–99亿元，同比大增231.2%– 248.9%，高速率光模块需求放量成为核心驱动力。与此同时，Meta与康宁签署60亿美元长期光纤电缆 供货协议，订单规模远超康宁该业务历史营收水平，凸显北美数据中心对光通信底层硬件的刚性扩产需 求。 消息面方面，2026年起，部分电信服务增值税税率由6%上调至9%，涵盖手机流量、短信彩信及宽带接 入等基础通信服务。此次税制调整将加速运营商从传统通信服务商向"通信+算力+智能"综合信息服务 商转型，推动其优化资源配置、强化成本管控，并加快全栈创新节奏。中国移动首次提出打造通信、算 力、智能服务三大增长曲线；中国电信全面深化AI+行动；中国联通聚焦连接、算力、服 ...

2月3日，A股三大股指早盘高开低走触底反弹，截止午盘，沪指涨0.38%报4031.07点，深成指涨0.93%报13952.38点，创业 板指涨0.76%报3289.03点，科创50指数跌0.27%报1446.93点。沪深两市半日成交额1.6万亿，较上个交易日缩量385亿。全市场 超4400只个股上涨。 盘面热点较为杂乱，商业航天（核心股）概念爆发，十余只成分股涨停，巨力索具、通宇通讯、神剑股份、中超控股涨 停。光伏（核心股）概念持续走强，双良节能、奥特维涨停。化工（核心股）板块拉升，红宝丽3天2板，万丰股份4连板。AI 应用概念反复活跃，下跌方面，有色金属板块再度下挫，贵金属概念领跌，四川黄金、招金黄金等多股跌停。 热门板块 CPO等算力（核心股）硬件股继续走强 CPO等算力（核心股）硬件股继续走强，罗博特科、天孚通信涨超10%，股价均创历史新高，太辰光、炬光科技、光库科 技、天通股份等跟涨。 消息面上，国盛证券表示，算力（核心股）产业链高景气周期背景下，光模块头部厂商在大陆和泰国加速扩产，预计光模 块行业2026年一季度将迎来产能集中释放，驱动业绩进入新一轮爬坡期。 太空光伏（核心股）概念拉升 太空光伏（核 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.38% to 4031.07 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.93% to 13952.38 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.76% to 3289.03 points, while the Sci-Tech 50 Index fell by 0.27% to 1446.93 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.6 trillion yuan, a decrease of 38.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Highlights - The commercial aerospace sector saw significant gains, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, including Jili Suoj, Tongyu Communication, and Shenjian Co. [1] - The photovoltaic sector continued to strengthen, with stocks like Shuangliang Energy and Aotewi reaching the daily limit [1] - The chemical sector also experienced a rally, with Hongbaoli achieving two consecutive limit-ups and Wanfeng Co. hitting four consecutive limit-ups [1] - The AI application sector remained active, with stocks such as Zhejiang Wenlian and Huamei Holdings showing notable increases [1] Key Concepts - The computing power hardware stocks, particularly CPO, continued to perform well, with companies like Robot Co. and Tianfu Communication rising over 10% and reaching historical highs. The report from Guosheng Securities indicates a high prosperity cycle in the computing power industry, predicting a significant capacity release in the optical module industry by Q1 2026 [2] - The space photovoltaic concept saw a surge, with Shuangliang Energy and Aotewi hitting the daily limit. Guosheng Securities' report suggests that the demand for space energy is expected to explode, driven by the restructuring of the supply chain between China and the U.S. [3] - The AI application sector saw renewed activity, with several domestic model manufacturers updating their models, leading to increased visibility and interest in Chinese models on international platforms [4] - The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei concept stocks collectively opened strong, with companies like Jingtou Development and Chengjian Development hitting the daily limit. The central government's new urban planning aims to build a world-class metropolitan area centered around the capital [5] Institutional Insights - Guotai Junan believes that after a significant market drop, there are opportunities for stabilization and recovery, with a focus on domestic demand driving economic prospects and asset returns [6] - Huatai Securities views the recent market adjustment as primarily technical and emotional, suggesting that once technical indicators stabilize, an upward trend may resume [7] - CITIC Securities indicates that the current adjustment period for the liquor industry may soon reach a turning point, presenting a bottoming opportunity for capital market investments in the liquor sector [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of CPO hardware stocks such as Zhishang Technology, Tianfu Communication, Taicheng Light, and Changxin Bochuang, with significant gains in related ETFs [1] - SpaceX, owned by Elon Musk, has acquired xAI, an AI company also under Musk's ownership, indicating a strategic move in the AI sector [1] - According to Zhongjin Securities, the commercial aerospace sector is experiencing rapid development, with space photovoltaics becoming a key focus for power system upgrades, suggesting a transformative shift in the entire industry chain [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext AI ETF Huaxia (159381) has a nearly 50% weight in CPO, covering domestic software and AI application companies, with the top three holdings being Zhongji Xuchuang (15.64%), Xinyi Sheng (15.57%), and Tianfu Communication (6.85%) [2] - The Communication ETF Huaxia (515050) focuses on electronic and communication hardware, with major holdings including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Luxshare Precision, Industrial Fulian, and Zhaoyi Innovation [2] - The Cloud Computing ETF Huaxia (516630) emphasizes domestic AI software and hardware, with a combined weight of 83.7% in computer software, cloud services, and computer equipment, indicating a strong focus on AI applications [2]

2月3日早盘，CPO光模块大反攻，致尚科技20CM涨停，天孚通信猛涨超11%再创历史新高，长芯博 创、光库科技、太辰光等多股涨超8%，中际旭创、新易盛涨超3%。创业板人工智能ETF（159363）场 内反包大涨4%，成交额环比放量明显，近两日吸金1.5亿元！ | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 · | | | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 图加 九的 画班 工具 (2 > | | | 创业板人工智能ETF华宝 | 159363 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1,152 | | | | 159363(创业板人工智能ETF和空室) 09:41 价 1.150 混映 0.043(3.88%) 均价 1.144 版. | | | | D 4.0735 | 1.150 | | +0.043 +3.88% | | | | | | | | | | | | SZSE CNY 9:41:18 交易中 | 通用/ # + | | | | | | | | | | 2.71% | 净值击势 | | ...

Group 1 - The stock price of Taicheng Light fell by 5.11%, trading at 118.71 yuan per share, with a total transaction volume of 1.586 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 6.81%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 26.962 billion yuan [1] - Taicheng Light, established on December 12, 2000, and listed on December 6, 2016, is based in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, and specializes in the research, production, and sales of optical devices. The main revenue composition includes optical device products (98.02%), other products (1.81%), and optical sensing products (0.17%) [1] Group 2 - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Taicheng Light, one fund under China Europe Fund, the China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund A (018993), entered the top ten with 1.7805 million shares, accounting for 0.93% of circulating shares. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 11.3776 million yuan [2] - The China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund A (018993) was established on September 12, 2023, with a latest scale of 5.036 billion yuan. Year-to-date return is 2.75%, ranking 6131 out of 9000 in its category; the one-year return is 139.26%, ranking 25 out of 8193; and since inception, the return is 216.25% [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund A (018993) is Feng Ludan, who has a cumulative tenure of 4 years and 113 days. The total asset scale of the fund is 20.614 billion yuan, with the best fund return during the tenure being 216.25% and the worst being 40.13% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant target price increases for several listed companies from January 26 to February 1, with notable mentions including Baili Tianheng, Zexing Pharmaceutical, and Great Wall Motors, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market for these stocks [1][2]. Target Price Increases - Baili Tianheng (688506) has a target price increase of 375.97%, with a highest target price set at 1322.00 yuan [2]. - Zexing Pharmaceutical (688266) shows a target price increase of 88.56%, with a highest target price of 166.16 yuan [2]. - Great Wall Motors (601633) has a target price increase of 83.66%, with a highest target price of 38.00 yuan [2]. - Other companies with notable target price increases include Industrial Fulian (601138) at 73.31% and CATL (300750) at 71.71% [2][3]. Broker Recommendations - A total of 265 listed companies received broker recommendations during the period, with Qingdao Bank receiving the highest number of recommendations at 8 [3][4]. - Other companies with multiple recommendations include Xian Dao Intelligent and Wancheng Group, each receiving 5 recommendations [3][4]. Rating Adjustments - Eight companies had their ratings upgraded, including Shanghai Jahwa (600315) from "Hold" to "Buy" and ZTE Corporation (000063) from "Cautious Buy" to "Buy" [5][6]. - Two companies had their ratings downgraded, including Jincheng Shares (603396) from "Buy" to "Hold" and Huasheng Group (603018) from "Buy" to "Hold" [6]. First-Time Coverage - During the same period, 75 instances of first-time coverage were reported, with notable ratings including Shaanxi Tourism (603402) receiving a "Outperform Industry" rating and Bichu Electronics (688188) receiving a "Buy" rating [7].

Core Viewpoint - The CPO optical module sector and AI-related stocks have shown strong performance, with significant gains in various companies, indicating a bullish trend in the market driven by robust fundamentals and increasing demand for AI infrastructure [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - CPO optical modules and AI stocks have surged, with notable gains in companies such as Zhishang Technology (20% increase), Taicheng Light (12.91% increase), and Tianfu Communication (10.91% increase) [1][2]. - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363) rose by 2.76%, achieving a record closing high, with a trading volume of 916 million yuan, marking ten consecutive weeks of gains [2][5]. Group 2: Fundamental Drivers - Strong performance forecasts are evident, with 17 out of 21 CPO optical module stocks expecting significant net profit growth for 2025, indicating over 80% of companies in this sector are optimistic [4]. - The AI industry is experiencing rapid advancements, with numerous applications and models being released, which is expected to drive demand for AI computing infrastructure [4]. - The global Ethernet optical module market is projected to grow at a rate of 35% year-on-year by 2026, primarily fueled by the demand from AI infrastructure, particularly in data centers [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The ChiNext AI ETF is strategically positioned with approximately 60% of its portfolio in computing (leading optical module and IDC companies) and 40% in AI applications, reflecting a balanced approach to capitalize on both sectors [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][2] Core Insights - The company has lowered its 2025 profit forecast but raised the profit forecasts and target price for 2026-2027, indicating a long-term positive development trend despite slightly lower-than-expected performance for 2025 [2][11] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 21.29 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.415 billion yuan for 2025, with significant growth anticipated in subsequent years [11][12] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 755 million yuan in 2023 to 2.128 billion yuan in 2025, representing a 98% increase [4] - Net profit (attributable to the parent company) is expected to rise from a loss of 48 million yuan in 2023 to a profit of 342 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 426.8% increase [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from -0.11 yuan in 2023 to 0.76 yuan in 2025 [4] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from -4.2% in 2023 to 17.0% in 2025 [4] Market Data - The company's target price has been raised to 115.05 yuan, up from a previous target of 75.20 yuan [11] - The stock has a market capitalization of 41.538 billion yuan and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 639.70 for 2024, decreasing to 121.43 for 2025 and 51.99 for 2026 [6][13] Business Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from rapid growth in the data communication market driven by artificial intelligence, with various product lines showing strong order growth compared to the previous year [11] - Key products such as AWG and MPO are anticipated to see significant demand increases, particularly in North America [11]

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.31 整体略低预期，长期发展趋势向好 仕佳光子(688313) ——2025 业绩预告点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 余伟民(分析师) | 010-50949926 | yuweimin@gtht.com | S0880525040028 | | 王彦龙(分析师) | 010-83939775 | wangyanlong@gtht.com | S0880519100003 | | 黎明聪(分析师) | 0755-23976500 | limingcong@gtht.com | S0880523080008 | | 桂海晟(研究助理) | 021-38031384 | guihaisheng@gtht.com | S0880124070058 | 本报告导读： 下调 2025 年盈利预测，上调 2026-2027 年盈利预测及目标价，维持增持 评级。业绩略低预期，长期发展趋势向好，业务 26 年增长可期。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] ...