【金融街证券ETF研究】证券研究报告 · 基金研究 | 2026/2/25 ● 铜连接/线缆 一交换机 CPO光模块 · 源杰科技/新易盛 · 华丰科技 /瑞可达 · 紫光股份 / 锐捷网络 · 中际旭创 / 光迅科技 · 宝胜股份 / 鼎通科技 · 星网锐捷 / 菲菱科思 · 天孚通信 / 太辰光 · 沃尔核材 / 金田股份 · 共进股份 · 德科立 / 长芯博创 · 兆龙互联 / 神宇股份 数据来源:Wind数据库,金融街证券研究所梳理 重点 注ETF标的清单 分析师:张一 S0670524030001|张宁 S0670524090001|刘艳平 S0670512050002| 余闵华 S0670524050001 |周晟昂 S0670525050001 | 陈阳 S0670525120001 | 蔡萌萌 S0670524110001 | 徐娜 S0670524020001 "十五五"规划一人工智能(网络设施) · 技术概况: 人工智能(ArtificialIntelligence,Al)是研究、开发 用于模拟、延伸和扩展人类智能的理论、方法、技术及应用系统的一 门技术科学,其核心在于通过计算机系统模拟人 ...

是什么促使内外资机构突然变得如此乐观？ 2026年2月9日股市复盘：攻势如虹，价值领航 今日A股气势如虹，大盘高歌猛进，开盘即奠定了全天强势基调。沪指以超过4100点的高位开盘，三大指数集体飘红。与以往冲高回落的走 势不同，今日大盘稳扎稳打，步步攀升，如同拾阶而上。午后虽有短暂横盘，但抛压轻微，显示市场惜售情绪浓厚。尾盘时段，甚至出现资 金主动抢筹的迹象。最终，三大指数均以接近全天最高点收盘，尤其是上证指数，收出一根气势逼人的光头阳线，技术上呈现出强势多头信 号，预示买盘力量占据绝对优势。 此轮上涨行情中，大金融板块尤其是券商股，扮演了核心驱动角色。锦龙股份率先封板，华泰证券、中信证券等头部券商纷纷大幅跟涨。券 商股素有"行情风向标"和"发动机"之称，它们的集体发力，极大地提振了市场信心，直接拉动指数上行，为市场注入了一剂强心剂。 除了券商板块，科技成长和新能源无疑是今日盘面上的耀眼明星。半导体、通信设备、光伏设备等板块成为资金重点涌入的领域。数据显 示，仅半导体板块就吸金53.19亿元，通信设备板块紧随其后，净流入52.95亿元，光伏设备板块也获得了48.71亿元的资金注入。这三大板块 合计吸引了超过150 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share CPO concept stocks have collectively risen, with Tianfu Communication surging 17% to reach a historical high, indicating strong market interest in AI-related investments and the potential for growth in the optical module sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Tianfu Communication's stock price increased by 17%, reaching a historical high [1] - New Yisheng rose over 7%, while Zhongji Xuchuang increased by over 5% [1] - Various AI ETFs, including those from Fuguo, Huaxia, Guotai, Hu'an, Huabao, Dacheng, and Southern, all saw gains exceeding 6% [1] Group 2: ETF Performance - Fuguo's AI ETF increased by 6.69% with a year-to-date return of 13.79% and an estimated scale of 35.19 billion [2] - Huaxia's AI ETF rose by 6.56% with a year-to-date return of 13.74% and an estimated scale of 17.74 billion [2] - Guotai's AI ETF saw a 6.59% increase with a year-to-date return of 13.88% and an estimated scale of 7.28 billion [2] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The optical module sector is experiencing a concentrated chip structure that requires time for optimization and self-correction [3] - Despite being a traditionally slow season, the demand for optical modules shows strong certainty and profitability growth, attracting significant investment [3] - The current concentration of chips indicates a large amount of short-term floating profit, which may lead to increased stock price volatility [3] Group 4: CPO Technology Outlook - There is a notable expectation gap regarding the rapid replacement of pluggable optical modules by CPO technology, primarily due to misinterpretations of developments by companies like Nvidia [4] - The industry fundamentals suggest that CPO and pluggable modules will coexist, with pluggable modules remaining the mainstream demand for the next few years [4] - Leading optical module manufacturers are not excluded from the CPO ecosystem and have established strong barriers in core areas like silicon photonics [4] Group 5: Future Demand Projections - Confidence in future demand for optical modules is increasing, with major CSPs like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta projected to spend a total of $660 billion on capital expenditures by 2026, a 60% year-on-year increase [5] - The demand for optical modules is expected to maintain a rapid upward trend due to the anticipated growth in AI-related capital investments and the ongoing evolution of chip technology [5] - The overall total cost of ownership (TCO) indicates that optical modules will remain competitive for an extended period, supporting continued growth in related companies' performance [5]

Group 1: Market Performance - The CPO concept sector showed active performance in the early trading session, with two stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] - Notable stock performances include Guangku Technology with a 20% increase, Tianfu Communication up over 19%, and Taicheng Light up over 16% [1] Group 2: CPO Index and Financial Data - The CPO index reached 9351.91, reflecting an 8.51% increase [2] - Key stock prices include Guangku Technology at 188.28, Tianfu Communication at 302.51, and Taicheng Light at 140.92 [2] Group 3: Industry Insights - CPO technology is a significant upgrade direction for the optical module industry, with increasing demand for high-speed optical modules like 800G and 1.6T due to AI computing needs [4] - Companies with advanced optical-electronic packaging technology will gain competitive advantages as CPO products scale up, leading to substantial revenue growth [4] Group 4: Company Profiles - Zhongji Xuchuang has established a technological layout in CPO and is a key supplier for global AI computing infrastructure, expected to benefit from increased orders due to CPO industry development [5] - Tongfu Microelectronics is anticipated to achieve breakthroughs in optical-electronic packaging technology by 2025, potentially capturing market share in the CPO packaging sector [5] - Tianfu Communication has been proactive in developing CPO-related products and is expected to benefit from the CPO industry wave due to its leading position in precision components for optical communication [5]

当AI发展正从算力建设转向应用落地，一键布局"算力+AI应用"的创业板人工智能ETF（159363） 及场外联接（023407），更直接受益于AI技术商业化爆发的增长红利。从赛道看，创业板人工智能约 六成仓位布局算力（光模块龙头+IDC龙头），约四成仓位布局AI应用，不止是"算力"核心，也是真正 的"AI应用"代表。 每日经济新闻 2月3日，CPO光模块大反攻，致尚科技一度20CM涨停，天孚通信猛涨超11%再创历史新高，中际 旭创、新易盛涨超3%。热门ETF品种——创业板人工智能ETF（159363）早盘一度大涨4.5%，无限逼近 历史新高，近两日该ETF强势吸金1.5亿元。 消息面上，光模块龙头"易中天"已悉数披露2025年年报业绩预告。受益于全球算力基础设施投入加 大、高速光模块与光器件需求旺盛，叠加企业自身降本增效措施，三家公司均展现出强劲的增长势头： 中际旭创预计2025年归母净利润98亿–118亿元，同比增长89.5%–128.2%。新易盛预计2025年归母净利 润94亿–99亿元，同比增长231.2%–248.9%。天孚通信预计2025年归母净利润18.81亿–21.50亿元，同比 增长40.0% ...

银河证券指出，当下时点光通信仍处于相对低估的水平，在需求端持续放量的基础上，产能的紧缺 仍将是2026年制约光通信发展的主要瓶颈，在我国光模块厂商全球市占率居首并仍在持续提升的基础 上，"十五五"时期内，认为产业链向上游渗透的机遇较为充足，从"中国制造"向"中国智造"的转型有望 突出呈现在光通信板块上，基于此，不仅看好光通信板块，也看好光模块上游光器件产业链；CPO的高 速发展也将呈现较大供应链机遇，看好目前布局相关技术的相关公司。 每日经济新闻 2026年2月3日，A股三大指数集体高开，CPO光模块大反攻！创业板成长ETF（159967）上涨 1.6%，持仓股天孚通信涨超9%，中际旭创涨超2%，新易盛涨超1%。 消息面，光模块龙头"易中天"（中际旭创、新易盛、天孚通信）2025年年报业绩预告悉数出炉，受 益于全球算力基建加码带动高速光模块及器件需求高增，叠加自身降本增效落地，三家业绩均实现强劲 增长。 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全 ...

2月3日早盘，CPO光模块大反攻，致尚科技20CM涨停，天孚通信猛涨超11%再创历史新高，长芯博 创、光库科技、太辰光等多股涨超8%，中际旭创、新易盛涨超3%。创业板人工智能ETF（159363）场 内反包大涨4%，成交额环比放量明显，近两日吸金1.5亿元！ | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 · | | | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 图加 九的 画班 工具 (2 > | | | 创业板人工智能ETF华宝 | 159363 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1,152 | | | | 159363(创业板人工智能ETF和空室) 09:41 价 1.150 混映 0.043(3.88%) 均价 1.144 版. | | | | D 4.0735 | 1.150 | | +0.043 +3.88% | | | | | | | | | | | | SZSE CNY 9:41:18 交易中 | 通用/ # + | | | | | | | | | | 2.71% | 净值击势 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a significant downturn, with major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 2.48%, and over 4600 stocks declining, indicating a severe market sentiment shift towards panic selling [1] Group 1: Market Overview - The overall market sentiment is extremely negative, with a notable decrease in trading volume to 2.61 trillion, suggesting that many investors are hesitant to engage [1] - The primary driver of the market decline is identified as the cyclical sectors, particularly the non-ferrous metals sector, which fell over 7% [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The first identified opportunity is in the electric grid equipment sector, which saw a surge in stock prices despite the overall market decline, driven by the increasing demand for stable power supply in AI data centers [2] - The second opportunity lies in CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) modules, which showed strong performance due to significant profit growth from leading companies, indicating robust demand in the global computing infrastructure [3] - The third opportunity is in the liquor industry, particularly high-quality brands that have undergone long-term adjustments, attracting long-term investors looking for stable core assets [4] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The immediate trigger for the market decline was a significant drop in gold and silver prices in international markets, which created a ripple effect in the A-share market [6] - The internal issue was the excessive speculation in cyclical sectors, which had previously seen rapid price increases, leading to a high trading density that made them vulnerable to external shocks [6] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - Investors are advised to avoid bottom-fishing in recently plummeted cyclical stocks, as their adjustments may not be over [7] - Focus should shift towards sectors representing future technology, such as AI power infrastructure and high-growth hard technology, as indicated by market movements [7] - A change in investment strategy is recommended, moving from speculative narratives to a focus on tangible orders and financial performance [7]

Core Viewpoint - The CPO optical module sector and AI-related stocks have shown strong performance, with significant gains in several key companies, indicating a bullish trend in the market driven by robust fundamentals and increasing demand for AI infrastructure [1][4][7]. Group 1: Company Performance - Zhishang Technology reached a 20% limit up, while Taicheng Light and Tianfu Communication saw increases of nearly 13% and 11% respectively, with Tianfu Communication hitting a historical high [1][7]. - Other notable performers included Lian De Technology, Xin Yi Sheng, Guang Ku Technology, Zhong Ji Xu Chuang, and Chang Xin Bo Chuang, all of which rose over 5% [1][4]. Group 2: Market Trends - The A-share market has seen 21 CPO optical module concept stocks disclose 2025 earnings forecasts, with 17 expecting year-on-year net profit growth, indicating strong fundamentals [4][10]. - The AI industry is experiencing a surge in applications and model upgrades, which is expected to stimulate demand for AI computing infrastructure [4][10]. - The global Ethernet optical module market is projected to grow at a rate of 35% year-on-year by 2026, driven by strong demand from AI infrastructure, particularly in data centers [4][10]. Group 3: ETF Insights - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363) has gained 2.76%, reaching a new closing high, with a trading volume of 916 million yuan, marking a ten-week winning streak [2][8]. - The ETF is strategically positioned with approximately 60% of its portfolio in computing (leading optical module and IDC companies) and 40% in AI applications, reflecting a balanced approach to capitalize on both sectors [5][10].

今天的市场，用一个词形容就是"割裂"。指数看着还行，但手里的个股却可能绿油油一片，这种滋味确 实不好受。 截至午盘，上证指数微涨0.03%，收在4134.03点；创业板指和科创50分别上涨0.44%和0.57%。然而，指 数表面的平静之下，是超过4600只个股下跌的惨淡现实。市场呈现出典型的"指数稳、个股冷"格局，赚 钱效应非常集中，大多数投资者可能只赚了指数，没赚到钱。 相比之下，港股今天表现得更强势一些，恒生指数大涨1.08%。这背后有政策暖风的支持，央行宣布支 持香港人民币业务的资金安排翻倍至2000亿元，提升了离岸市场的流动性，给了外资和南向资金更多信 心。 那么，今天A股里，为数不多的"火"烧在哪里呢？答案非常清晰：科技主线。通信板块大涨2.13%，电 子板块上涨1.50%，成为两市最亮眼的风景线。此外，银行板块也上涨了1.03%，起到了稳定大盘的作 用。 通信和电子的强势，核心驱动力来自AI（人工智能）产业的重大进展。昨天，阿里发布了千问Qwen3- Max-Thinking大模型，性能达到国际顶尖水平。同时，AI领域另一家公司阶跃星辰完成了超50亿元的巨 额融资。这两大事件叠加，彻底点燃了市场对 ...